🧠 Weekend Market Blitz - DCG Market Intel – “Total Reset” Fuels Global Risk Rally May 11th, 2025 Weekly Trading Update!

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📊 Market Overview

Macro Sentiment: 🔼 Positive Bias

• Trump-China Trade Talks: Multiple confirmations from President Trump of a "total reset" and significant progress. Sunday’s continuation of US-China negotiations in Geneva creates global bullish sentiment.

• India-Pakistan Ceasefire: De-escalation, though fragile, reduces geopolitical risk.

• Putin’s Ceasefire Talks with Ukraine: Adds bullish sentiment to risk markets.

• Fed Policy: Expectations for inflation over 3% through year-end; CPI data to influence next market leg.

Sentiment by Asset Class:

• 📈 Equities: Positive

• 💰 Options: Bullish, favoring tech, energy, and AI narratives

• ₿ Crypto: Extremely Bullish (Altcoin Season signs + BTC at $105K)

🔥 Bullish Sectors:

• Tech (AI, Software, Semiconductors)

• Quantum Computing ($RGTI, $WKEY)

• FinTech & Payments ($DAVE, $TOST, $SEZL)

• Defense ($AXON)

• AI + GPU Compute ($GPU, $DSYNC)

• Energy (Natural Gas, due to geopolitics)

• Meme & AI Crypto ($DOGE, $ETH, $TAO, $SUI)

🧊 Bearish Sectors:

• Auto (EVs: Tesla EU sales slump)

• Media (Tariff risk on foreign films - $DIS, $WBD)

⚠️ Key Events This Week

• 🗓 Sunday: US-China Tariff Talks Continue (Geneva)

• 🗓 May 13: Xi at CELAC Forum (China macro speech)

• 📊 CPI Data: Scheduled midweek

• 🧠 SEC Tokenization Conference May 12 (AI/Blockchain Catalysts)

🌒 Seasonality & Market Patterns

• Strong May seasonality for S&P 500 post early-month volatility

• Mid-month tends to mark upside inflections when macro aligns

• New moon approaching June 24–25 is historically bullish

🧠 Overall Market Strategy

• Favor risk-on positioning into Monday due to bullish trade headlines

• Watch CPI: If softer, expect breakout in growth tech, AI, and crypto

• Sector rotation into AI, GPU, Quantum, and Meme Crypto likely

• Maintain overnight bias long on strongest narratives, reduce risk on CPI day

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