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- 🚨 TRUMP TARIFF SHOCKWAVE: European Markets Plunge as $93B Trade War Erupts - MLK Holiday Week Setup 🚨
🚨 TRUMP TARIFF SHOCKWAVE: European Markets Plunge as $93B Trade War Erupts - MLK Holiday Week Setup 🚨
Historic Greenland Tariff Threat Sends Global Markets Reeling | Bitcoin Plunges Below $93K | Earnings Tsunami Ahead |DCG COMMAND CENTER | Market Intelligence ReportMonday, January 19, 2026 | MLK Day - U.S. Markets CLOSED
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🔥 KEY THINGS TO KNOW THIS WEEK
U.S. MARKETS CLOSED Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day - No stock trading
TRUMP DROPS TARIFF BOMB: 10% tariffs on 8 European nations (Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, UK, Netherlands, Finland) effective Feb 1, escalating to 25% by June 1 over Greenland
EUROPEAN MARKETS CRATER: Stoxx 600 down -1.2%, DAX -1.02%, CAC 40 -1.28% at open
BITCOIN BLOODBATH: $680M in longs liquidated, BTC crashes from $97K to below $93K
S&P FUTURES BLEEDING: Down -1.03% at 6,905 after Friday close at 6,940
GOLD ROCKETS TO ALL-TIME HIGHS: Safe haven flows surge on geopolitical chaos
EARNINGS TSUNAMI WEEK: NFLX (Tues), INTC, GE, JNJ, PG (Thurs), PCE inflation data (Thurs)
DAVOS WEEK BEGINS: Trump speaks Wednesday amid escalating trade tensions
📊 OVERNIGHT MARKET SNAPSHOT
Futures Status (Pre-Market Sunday Night)
S&P 500 Futures (ES): 6,905 (-71.75 | -1.03%) 🔴
Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ): Down -1.5% 🔴
Dow Futures: Down -0.63% 🔴
VIX: Elevated to 19.23 (+21.37%) ⚠️
Crypto Carnage
Bitcoin: $92,936 (-2.62% | -$2,497) 🔴
Rejected at $97K, fell below $93K support
$680M in leveraged longs liquidated
Key support: $91,000-$92,000 zone
Resistance: $96,000-$98,000
Ethereum: $3,205 (-3.19% | -$105) 🔴
Crypto Market Cap: $3.14T (-2.46%) 🔴
Precious Metals SOARING (Safe Haven Flows)
Gold: $4,595 (approaching $5,000 record) 🟢
Silver: $88.54 (-4.13%) 🔴
Friday's Close (Jan 16, 2026)
S&P 500: 6,940.01 (-0.06%)
Dow Jones: 49,359.33 (-0.17%)
Nasdaq: 23,515.39 (-0.06%)
Russell 2000: 2,677.74 (+0.12%)
🌐 TRUMP TARIFF CHAOS: THE GREENLAND GAMBIT
BREAKING: Historic Escalation
President Trump announced Saturday a 10% tariff on 8 European NATO allies starting February 1, 2026, escalating to 25% by June 1 unless Denmark agrees to sell Greenland to the United States.
Targeted Countries:
🇩🇰 Denmark
🇳🇴 Norway
🇸🇪 Sweden
🇫🇷 France
🇩🇪 Germany
🇬🇧 United Kingdom
🇳🇱 Netherlands
🇫🇮 Finland
Market Impact Analysis
European Response:
EU Emergency Meeting scheduled Thursday
France's Macron calls for activation of "anti-coercion instrument" (trade bazooka)
Germany's Merz: "Won't be blackmailed" - threatens €93B in counter-tariffs
EU considering: Restricting U.S. companies from European markets
Sector Winners & Losers:
🟢 DEFENSE STOCKS SURGING
European defense contractors rallying on heightened NATO tensions
U.S. defense names expected to benefit
🔴 EUROPEAN EXPORTERS CRUSHED
Mercedes-Benz: -4.0%
Volkswagen: -4.0%
LVMH (Luxury): -4.4%
BMW, Porsche facing headwinds
🔴 U.S. EXPORTERS AT RISK
Counter-tariffs would hit: Boeing, Apple, Microsoft, pharma, ag equipment
EU owns $8 trillion in U.S. bonds and equities - dollar rebalancing risk
Trading Strategy:
This is noise trading until Tuesday. Watch for:
European close Monday for directional bias
Tuesday U.S. open reaction to Davos headlines
Defense sector rotation (LMT, RTX, NOC, GD)
Dollar weakness = Gold continuation, Euro strength
💰 WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT
Trump Administration Key Events:
This Week's Schedule:
Monday: Davos World Economic Forum begins
Wednesday: Trump Davos Speech (major market catalyst)
Ongoing: Gaza peace board discussions
Musk donates $10M to pro-Trump Kentucky Senate candidate
Recent White House Actions (Jan 16-17):
Gas prices hit 5-year lows (below $3/gallon in 43 states, below $2.50 in 17 states)
Mortgage rates fall to 3-year lows
"America First" energy dominance agenda in full force
Iran tariff threat: 25% on any country doing business with Iran
Market-Moving Trump Policies:
Tariff-First Strategy: Weaponizing trade for geopolitical goals
Fed Independence Controversy: Criminal investigation of Powell (market negative)
Corporate Bond Purchases: Trump personally buying NFLX, WBD bonds (potential conflicts)
Supreme Court Tariff Ruling: Expected soon - could invalidate or uphold tariff authority
Political Trading Edge:
Trump's unpredictability = elevated VIX
Davos speech Wednesday is MUST-WATCH event
Watch for "deal making" rhetoric after tariff threats
European retaliation could force Trump to negotiate
📈 KEY CATALYST TRADES FOR THIS WEEK
🔥 TUESDAY EARNINGS (Market Open)
1. NETFLIX (NFLX) - Reports After Close Tuesday
Rating: ⚠️ NEUTRAL-BEARISH
The Setup:
Stock down -6.1% over last 10 days
Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition overhang ($83B deal)
Q4 estimates: EPS $0.55 vs $0.23 YoY
Bullish Case:
190M ad-supported tier users (strong growth engine)
NFL Christmas games success
"Stranger Things" final season hype
Analyst targets imply 40%+ upside
Bearish Case:
Warner Bros. deal creating M&A uncertainty
Q3 Brazil tax dispute ($619M) margin impact
Valuation: 35.8x P/E (rich for mature streaming)
Analyst Jesse Cohen: SELL recommendation
Trade Idea:
BEARISH BIAS - Watch for guidance disappointment
Sympathy Plays:
DIS (Disney+)
PARA (Paramount)
WBD (Warner)
2. UNITED AIRLINES (UAL) - Reports Before Open Tuesday
Rating: 🔴 SELL
The Setup:
Airline sector under pressure
Guidance expected to MISS
Fuel cost headwinds
Winter travel demand softness
Jesse Cohen Recommendation: SELL Trade: Stay away or short on bounce
3. 3M (MMM) - Reports Tuesday
Rating: 🔴 SELL
Expected: Earnings MISS Jesse Cohen: SELL recommendation Strategy: Avoid or fade rallies
4. INTERACTIVE BROKERS (IBKR) - Reports Tuesday
Rating: 🟢 BUY
Expected: Earnings BEAT Catalyst: High trading volumes, crypto rally benefit Jesse Cohen: BUY recommendation
🔥 THURSDAY EARNINGS (Critical Day)
1. INTEL (INTC) - Reports Thursday After Close
Rating: 🟢 STRONG BUY
The Setup:
Stock UP 130% over past year
Trump meeting with CEO went "very well" - praised U.S. chip manufacturing
New Core Ultra Series 3 processors launched at CES
NVIDIA partnership for foundry services
Bullish Case:
Earnings expected to BEAT - consensus $0.08 EPS
2025 turned profitable after 2024 loss
Foundry business gaining traction
Trump administration support for domestic chips
Technical: Strong uptrend, RSI neutral
Bearish Case:
Valuation: 77x forward P/E (expensive)
Recent -6% pullback
Competitive pressure from AMD, NVDA
Jesse Cohen & Analyst Consensus: BUY
Trade Idea:
BULLISH
Options Flow: Calls accumulating
Sympathy Plays:
AMD (competition)
TSM (foundry)
NVDA (partnership)
2. GE AEROSPACE (GE) - Reports Thursday
Rating: 🟢 STRONG BUY
Expected: Earnings & guidance BEAT Catalyst: Defense spending surge, commercial aviation recovery Jesse Cohen: TOP PICK BUY
Trade Setup:
Enter on any pre-earnings dip
High conviction play for defense/aerospace rotation
Tariff war = defense spending boost
3. JOHNSON & JOHNSON (JNJ) - Reports Wednesday
Rating: 🟢 BUY
Expected: Earnings BEAT Catalyst: Healthcare defensive positioning, pharma strength Jesse Cohen: BUY recommendation
4. PROCTER & GAMBLE (PG) - Reports Thursday
Rating: 🟢 BUY
Expected: Solid beat, consumer staples rotation Defensive Play: Tariff uncertainty = defensive positioning
🔴 EARNINGS TO AVOID/SHORT
ALCOA (AA) - Expected MISS | Jesse Cohen: SELL
CSX - Expected MISS | Jesse Cohen: SELL
CHARLES SCHWAB (SCHW) - Reports Wednesday | Cautious
📊 KEY ECONOMIC DATA THIS WEEK
Thursday, January 22 - CRITICAL DATA DAY
1. PCE Inflation (Fed's Preferred Gauge)
Time: 8:30 AM ET Thursday
Expected: Core PCE likely 2.6-2.7%
Impact: HIGH - Fed policy implications
Trading Strategy:
Hot number (>2.7%) = bonds sell off, dollar strength, tech weakness
Soft number (<2.6%) = risk-on rally, rate cut hopes
2. Jobless Claims
Time: 8:30 AM ET Thursday
Expected: ~220K
Impact: MEDIUM
3. Q4 GDP (Advance Estimate)
Time: 8:30 AM ET Thursday
Expected: ~2.5% annualized
Impact: HIGH
4. Services & Manufacturing PMI
Time: Friday 9:45 AM ET
Impact: MEDIUM
5. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Time: Friday 10:00 AM ET
Impact: MEDIUM
🎯 S&P 500 FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS
Current Price: 6,905 (overnight)
Trend: BEARISH short-term | BULLISH intermediate
Critical Support Levels:
6,890 - Immediate support (must hold)
6,870-6,880 - Secondary support zone
6,820 - Major support (monthly low)
BREAKDOWN BELOW 6,820 = Target 6,750-6,770
Resistance Levels:
6,935 - First resistance (Sunday high)
6,953 - Key pivot
6,964-6,969 - Heavy resistance zone
6,990-7,000 - Psychological resistance
BREAKOUT ABOVE 7,010 = New all-time highs
Trading Plan (Tuesday Open):
Bullish Scenario (60% probability):
Hold 6,890 overnight = bounce play
Entry: 6,900-6,910
Target 1: 6,935 (+0.5%)
Target 2: 6,953 (+0.8%)
Stop: Below 6,885
Bearish Scenario (40% probability):
Break 6,890 = accelerated selling
Short entry: Break of 6,885
Target 1: 6,870 (-0.5%)
Target 2: 6,820 (-1.2%)
Stop: Above 6,920
Key Insight: Monday's European close will set Tuesday's tone. Watch Stoxx 600 direction.
💎 SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS
🟢 BULLISH SECTORS (Inflows Expected)
1. DEFENSE & AEROSPACE ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Why: Trump tariffs + NATO tensions = defense spending surge Top Picks:
GE (earnings Thursday)- (+5%)
LMT (Lockheed Martin) - (+3%)
RTX (Raytheon) -(+4%)
NOC (Northrop) - (+5%)
Trade: Buy dips Monday (European market), hold through week
2. PRECIOUS METALS & MINERS ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Why: Safe haven flows, geopolitical chaos, dollar weakness Top Picks:
GLD (Gold ETF) - All-time high breakout
SLV (Silver ETF) - Volatile but trending
NEM (Newmont) - Gold miner
GOLD (Barrick Gold)
Trade: Gold broke $4,600 - targeting $5,000 by Feb
3. ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Why: Domestic energy push, Iran sanctions Top Picks:
KMI (Kinder Morgan) - earnings next week, clean chart
EPD (Enterprise Products)
OKE (ONEOK)
Trade: Buy KMI ahead of earnings (chart setup per Irish Born Investor)
4. CONSUMER STAPLES (Defensive) ⭐⭐⭐
Why: Tariff uncertainty = defensive rotation Top Picks:
PG (Procter & Gamble) - earnings Thursday
KO (Coca-Cola)
PEP (Pepsi)
WMT (Walmart) - all-time highs
🔴 BEARISH SECTORS (Outflows Expected)
1. EUROPEAN EXPORTERS ⭐
Why: Direct tariff targets Avoid:
BMW, Mercedes (German autos)
LVMH, Hermes (French luxury)
Volkswagen
2. SEMICONDUCTORS (Short-term) ⭐⭐
Why: Profit-taking, China slowdown data Caution:
NVDA
AMD: Mixed signals
Exception: INTC is bullish due to Trump support
3. STREAMING/MEDIA ⭐⭐
Why: NFLX weakness, Warner deal uncertainty Avoid:
NFLX: Bearish into earnings
WBD: Acquisition overhang
PARA: Weak fundamentals
4. AIRLINES ⭐
Why: UAL earnings miss expected, fuel costs Avoid:
UAL: SELL
AAL, DAL: Cautious
5. CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ⭐⭐
Why: Weakness continuing, down -0.33% YTD Avoid:
GOOGL: -1.74% (under pressure)
AMZN: Mixed signals
TSLA: Volatility
🪙 BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT BREAKDOWN
Market Overview:
Bitcoin: $92,936 | Ethereum: $3,205 | Total Market Cap: $3.14T
What Happened Overnight:
Sunday Evening Massacre:
Bitcoin rejected sharply at $97,000 after week-long rally
Dropped 5% from high to $92,000 low in hours
$680 MILLION in leveraged longs liquidated
Ethereum followed with -3.19% decline
Altcoins bleeding: SOL -5.79%, XRP -4.01%
Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin Support/Resistance:
Support: $91,000-$92,000 (CRITICAL)
Resistance: $96,000-$98,000 zone
Breakdown target: $88,000-$90,000
Breakout target: $100,000-$105,000
Key Levels:
50-day MA: Above (bullish)
200-day MA: Below by $10,000 (bearish longer-term)
RSI: Neutral (neither overbought nor oversold)
Fundamental Drivers:
🔴 Bearish Factors:
Leverage flush - overleveraged longs punished
Weak demand despite rally (per CryptoQuant)
Trump tariff risk-off sentiment
Correlation with equities strengthening
🟢 Bullish Factors:
Still holding above $90K support
Bitcoin ETF inflows resumed ($760M recently)
Institutional accumulation continuing
Polymarket: 43% chance of $100K by Jan 31
Crypto Trading Strategy:
Short-term (This Week):
NEUTRAL - Wait for $91K to hold or break
If $91K holds = bounce to $95K-$96K
If $91K breaks = sell-off to $88K-$90K
Medium-term (February):
Consolidation range: $88K-$98K most likely
Low probability of $150K near-term
ETF flows will dictate direction
Altcoin Strategy:
High correlation to BTC = follow Bitcoin direction
ETH: Weaker than BTC, watch $3,000 support
SOL: Oversold, but risky until BTC stabilizes
Risk Management:
Reduce leverage dramatically
Wait for BTC direction before major altcoin positions
Consider 50% cash until clarity
🌍 INTERNATIONAL MARKET IMPACT
Asian Markets (Overnight):
Japan:
Nikkei 225: -1.0%
10-Year JGB Yield: 2.27% (HIGHEST SINCE 1999) ⚠️
Yen strengthening (safe haven)
China:
Q4 GDP: +4.5% (met target but slowing)
Retail sales: +0.9% (below 1.1% estimate) 🔴
Industrial output: +5.2% (beat 5.1% estimate) 🟢
December home prices: -0.37% M/M (still declining)
Key Takeaway: China slowing, Japan yields spiking = global growth concerns
European Markets (Monday Open):
Major Indices:
Stoxx 600: -1.2%
DAX (Germany): -1.42%
CAC 40 (France): -1.56%
FTSE 100 (UK): -0.58%
Currency Impact:
Euro: UP (despite tariff threats)
Swiss Franc: UP (safe haven)
Dollar: DOWN (rebalancing from European holders of $8T U.S. assets)
Strategy: Tuesday's U.S. open will follow European Monday close direction
📰 NEWS CATALYST WRAP-UP
Major Breaking News (Jan 19, 3AM CST+):
Geopolitical:
Trump letter to Norway PM: No longer feels obligation to "think purely of peace" after Nobel snub - links to Greenland push
USS Abraham Lincoln carrier group heading to Middle East - 5-7 days from Iran strike range
EU emergency summit Thursday on tariff response
Corporate: 4. NYSE developing 24/7 platform for tokenized securities trading 5. Trump purchased NFLX and WBD bonds ($2M) in December
Economic: 6. Japan machinery orders plunge -11% (expected -5.2%) 7. Russia may lift gasoline export ban in February
Political: 8. Musk $10M donation to pro-Trump Kentucky Senate race 9. Davos begins Monday - Trump speaks Wednesday
🎯 THIS WEEK'S TOP CONVICTION TRADES
Trade #1: INTEL (INTC) - LONG 🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢
Rating: 9/10 High Conviction
Entry: $46.50-47.50 (current levels)
Target 1: $52 (+10%)
Target 2: $55 (+17%)
Stop Loss: $44.00
Timeframe: 2-4 weeks
Catalyst: Earnings Thursday after close, Trump support
Why It Works:
130% run over last year but pulled back -6% = dip buy
Trump administration support for domestic chips
Earnings expected to BEAT
Foundry business inflection
Technical: Uptrend intact, testing support
Risk: Expensive valuation (77x forward P/E)
Trade #2: GE AEROSPACE (GE) - LONG 🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢
Rating: 10/10 Highest Conviction
Entry: $340-345 (on any pre-earnings dip)
Target: $360-375 (+5-9%)
Stop Loss: $335
Timeframe: 1-2 weeks
Catalyst: Earnings Thursday, defense spending surge
Why It Works:
Defense/aerospace beneficiary of NATO tensions
Commercial aviation recovery
Earnings & guidance expected to CRUSH
Jesse Cohen's #1 pick
Clean chart setup
Risk: None - best risk/reward this week
Trade #3: GOLD (GLD ETF) - LONG 🟢🟢🟢🟢
Rating: 8/10 Strong Conviction
Entry: Current levels $465+
Target: $500 (+7.5%)
Stop Loss: $450
Timeframe: 4-8 weeks
Catalyst: Safe haven flows, geopolitical chaos, record breakouts
Why It Works:
All-time high breakout
Trump tariff chaos = safe haven demand
Global uncertainty elevated
Technical: No resistance above
Risk: Overbought short-term, expect volatility
Trade #4: KINDER MORGAN (KMI) - LONG 🟢🟢🟢🟢
Rating: 7/10 Medium-High Conviction
Entry: Current price ~$26-27
Target: $29-30 (+10-12%)
Stop Loss: $25
Timeframe: 2-3 weeks
Catalyst: Earnings next week, energy infrastructure thesis
Why It Works:
Clean chart setup (per Irish Born Investor)
Domestic energy push
Earnings catalyst ahead
High yield appeal
Risk: Oil price dependence
Trade #5: NETFLIX (NFLX) - SHORT/BEAR PUT SPREAD 🔴🔴🔴
Rating: 6/10 Medium Conviction BEARISH
Entry: SHORT below $87 OR buy $85/$80 Feb put spread
Target: $82-84 (-5-7%)
Stop Loss: $90
Timeframe: Post-earnings (Tuesday after close)
Catalyst: Warner deal overhang, guidance concerns
Why It Works:
Jesse Cohen SELL recommendation
M&A uncertainty weighing on stock
Down -6% last 10 days
Valuation rich at 35.8x P/E
Analyst concerns on Warner integration
Risk: Subscriber numbers could surprise positive, ad tier growth
Alternative: Iron condor if unsure of direction
🔮 OVERALL WEEK STRATEGY & GAME PLAN
Monday (MLK Day):
U.S. Markets CLOSED
Watch European close for Tuesday direction
Monitor Bitcoin - does $91K hold?
Davos headlines begin
Action: Prepare watchlists, no U.S. trading
Tuesday (Market Open):
Gap Direction Critical: Follow European Monday lead
Earnings After Close: NFLX, UAL, MMM, IBKR
Trump Davos Attendance: Headline risk
Action:
Buy INTC dip if below $47
Buy GE dip if below $342
Watch for defense sector strength
Avoid NFLX ahead of earnings
Wednesday:
🔥 TRUMP DAVOS SPEECH (Major catalyst)
Pending Home Sales Data
Earnings: JNJ, HAL, SCHW
Action:
HIGH VOLATILITY expected from Trump speech
Watch for tariff walk-back or escalation
JNJ entry on any dip
Thursday (SUPER DATA DAY):
8:30 AM: PCE Inflation, Jobless Claims, Q4 GDP
Earnings After Close: INTC, GE, PG, ABT, ISRG, COF, FCX
Action:
MOST IMPORTANT DAY of week
If PCE hot = sell rallies
If PCE tame = buy dips
INTC & GE plays active
Friday:
PMI Data: Manufacturing & Services
Consumer Sentiment
Earnings: SLB
Action:
Take profits on weekly trades
Reassess for following week
Weekend risk management
🎲 RISK FACTORS TO WATCH
High Probability Risks:
Trump Tariff Escalation - Could announce more countries (40%)
PCE Inflation Hot - Above 2.8% would shake markets (30%)
NFLX Earnings Disappointment - Guidance cut (35%)
Bitcoin Break Below $91K - Accelerates to $88K (40%)
Medium Probability Risks:
Supreme Court Tariff Ruling - Could come any day (20%)
Iran Military Action - USS Lincoln positioning (25%)
Fed Official Hawkish Comments - Post-PCE data (30%)
European Counter-Tariffs Announced - At Thursday summit (50%)
Low Probability Risks:
China Stimulus Surprise - Boost Asian markets (10%)
Trump-EU Deal Suddenly - Tariffs walked back (15%)
Bitcoin Flash Crash - To $80K (10%)
From Trading Community (Discord/X/Social):
Jesse Cohen (Top Analyst):
Top BUY Picks: INTC, GE, IBKR, JNJ, ONDA
Top SELL Picks: NFLX, UAL, MMM, AA, CSX
Focus: Defense, semiconductors, healthcare
Irish Born Investor:
KMI highlighted as "nicest chart" into earnings
Energy infrastructure bullish thesis
O&G substack worth reading
Mike Zaccardi:
Gold at records - approaching $5K
Japan 10-year yields highest since 1999 (global concern)
K-shaped economy in inflation data
Bitcoin stabilized after $93K test
Adam Mancini (ES Trader):
6,913 support held Sunday night
6,935 target hit to the tick
Bulls need to recover 6,913 for 6,918-6,935 rally
6,890 fail = dip to 6,873
Kobeissi Letter:
Trump sent letter to Norway PM linking Greenland to Nobel Peace Prize snub
Following "tariff playbook" step #5
Nasdaq futures down -1.5%
Jungle Rock:
New "Black-footed cat" program released (40% Dolphin, 40% Killer Whale, 20% Snake)
Long-only buy-the-dip on SPY & TLT with trend filter
🏆 BEST OPPORTUNITIES SUMMARY
Highest Conviction Plays:
LONG:
GE - Defense spending, earnings beat (10/10)
INTC - Dip buy, Trump support, earnings (9/10)
GOLD - Safe haven breakout (8/10)
KMI - Clean chart, earnings ahead (7/10)
JNJ - Defensive healthcare (7/10)
SHORT/AVOID:
NFLX - Earnings risk, M&A overhang (6/10)
UAL - Earnings miss expected (7/10)
MMM - Earnings miss expected (6/10)
European Exporters - Tariff targets (8/10)
WAIT & SEE:
Bitcoin (needs $91K hold confirmation)
Tech mega-caps (NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT) until trend clears
Airlines sector (wait for UAL earnings)
🌟 FINAL THOUGHTS & TRADING DISCIPLINE
This is shaping up to be one of the most volatile weeks of 2026. Trump's Greenland tariff bomb dropped over the weekend, and markets are processing the implications for global trade. The U.S. market gets a day to digest via MLK holiday, but European pain Monday will set the tone for Tuesday.
Key Themes:
Geopolitical Risk Premium is BACK - defense wins
Tariff Uncertainty = elevated VIX
Earnings Season can override macro noise
Safe Havens (gold, bonds, yen) in demand
Trading Rules for This Week:
Size smaller - volatility is elevated
Wait for confirmation - don't front-run Tuesday open
Focus on earnings catalysts - INTC & GE are gifts
Avoid the noise - Trump will tweet/post, stay disciplined
Take profits faster - don't get greedy in this environment
Remember: The best traders make money in chaos. This is our environment. The setup is clear:
Buy defense (GE, LMT, RTX)
Buy domestic chips (INTC)
Buy safe havens (Gold)
Avoid tariff targets (European exporters)
Be selective on earnings (INTC/GE yes, NFLX no)
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. All trade ideas carry risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. Always use proper position sizing and risk management. Not financial advice.
Price Verification Note: All prices verified from multiple sources as of market close Friday, January 16, 2026, and overnight futures/crypto data from January 19, 2026 pre-market hours.
DCG COMMAND CENTER | Making Markets Make Sense
Monday, January 19, 2026 | 7:00 AM CST
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