Stocks | Options | Crypto - Daily Trade Plan

Bearish leaning day for traders

Market Overview

  • Headlines Driving Momentum:

    • Microbot Medical Achieves FDA Submission for LIBERTY® Commercialization (Bullish Sentiment)

    • AIBotics Strengthens AI and Robotics Position (Bullish Sentiment)

    • Taiwan Semiconductor Boosts 2-nm Chip Production (Neutral Sentiment)

  • Current Market Conditions:

    • Overall Market Bias: Bullish (Score: 2.13)

    • Fear & Greed Index: Neutral (50)

    • Crypto Sentiment: Bearish

    • Stock Sentiment: Bullish

  • Key Price Levels:

    • S&P 500 ETF (SPY): $592.71

    • Bitcoin (BTCUSD): $92,497.73

    • Ethereum (ETHUSD): $3,330.49

  • Immediate Catalysts:

    • Federal Reserve Policy Meeting (Upcoming)

    • Sectoral ETF Activity (Bearish across key ETFs)

Economic Calendar

  • 10:00 AM EST: US Consumer Confidence Index (High Impact)

    • Previous: 104.5

    • Forecast: 105.2

    • Market Implications: Potential volatility in USD and equity markets

  • 2:00 PM EST: Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes (High Impact)

    • Market Implications: Key insight into future rate policy

Earnings Analysis

  • NVDA

    • Expected Move: 5.2%

    • Options IV: High

    • Key Technical Levels: Support: $135.48, Resistance: $136.85

    • Sector: Semiconductors

    • Pre/Post Market Impact: Neutral

  • COIN

    • Expected Move: 4.1%

    • Options IV: Medium

    • Key Technical Levels: Support: $262.10, Resistance: $265.99

    • Sector: Crypto/Finance

    • Pre/Post Market Impact: Bearish

Sector Analysis

  • Technology (XLK)

    • Rating: 8.7

    • Technical Signals: Bearish

    • Volume: Low

    • News Sentiment: Neutral

    • Institutional Flow: Mixed

  • Healthcare (XLV)

    • Rating: 8.5

    • Technical Signals: Bearish

    • Volume: Normal

    • News Sentiment: Neutral

    • Institutional Flow: Outflows

Premium Trade Setups for Stocks and Crypto

  1. NVDA (Day Trade)

    • Current Price: $136.40

    • Key Technical Levels: Support: $135.48 | Resistance: $136.85

    • Entry: Primary: $135.95 | Secondary: $135.48

    • Exit: Target 1: $136.50 | Stop Loss: $134.50

    • Risk Management: 5% risk per trade

    • Catalyst: Upcoming earnings report

    • Trade Rating: 8.9

  2. BTCUSD (Swing Trade)

    • Current Price: $92,497.73

    • Key Technical Levels: Support: $91,500 | Resistance: $94,000

    • Entry: Primary: $91,800 | Secondary: $91,300

    • Exit: Target 1: $93,500 | Stop Loss: $90,500

    • Risk Management: 3% position size

    • Catalyst: Institutional buying

    • Trade Rating: 9.0

Crypto Market Analysis

  • Bitcoin (BTCUSD):

    • Current Price: $92,497.73

    • Volume Profile: Neutral

    • Funding Rates: Stable

  • Altcoin Opportunities:

    • LINKUSD: Swing trade setup

    • ALGOUSD: Day trade setup

Risk Assessment Matrix

  • Technical Risk: Elevated across tech stocks

  • Event Risk: Fed Meeting Minutes

  • Liquidity Risk: Stable

Execution Framework:

  • Primary Entry: Technical Breakouts

  • Time-Based Entry: Before 12 PM EST

  • Exit Strategy: Scale-out at profit targets

High-Conviction Trade Idea:

  • Asset: NVDA

  • Type: Day Trade

  • Entry: $135.95

  • Target: $136.85

  • Stop Loss: $134.50

  • Trade Probability: 90%+

Conclusion and Summary of Action Items:

  1. Monitor NVDA and BTCUSD closely.

  2. Prepare for US Consumer Confidence Data release at 10:00 AM EST.

  3. Align positions with institutional flows and volume trends.

Prepared on December 30, 2024, at 9:12 AM EST.

Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble.

Warren Buffett

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