Stocks | Options | Crypto - Daily Trade Plan DCG January 29, 2025 – Special Pre-Market Plan

πŸ”Ή Key Market Themes Today:πŸ”₯ Tech & AI Surge: NVDA, ASML, MSFT, META leading the chargeπŸ“ˆ Earnings Power Plays: FFIV, MSFT, META, TSLA – What’s next?⚑ Semiconductors on Fire: ASML, AMD, NVDA – Breakout alert!πŸ“Š FOMC Decision Day: Will Powell shake the markets?πŸ”Ž High-Conviction Trade Setups: Bullish options flow spotted in META, MSFT, COIN

January 29, 2025

Pre Market DCG Premium Overview

  • Flat to slightly higher open expected with markets focusing on Mega Tech earnings (MSFT, META, TSLA).

  • FOMC rate decision expected to be a non-event, but inflation concerns persist.

  • VIX at 16.5, showing market stability after Monday's sell-off.

  • Commodities rally: Cocoa, lumber, and coffee prices are surging, indicating inflationary pressure.

  • Oil/Natural Gas trade lower, while bonds gain strength.

  • European markets hit record highs, recovering from AI-driven tech selloff.

  • Japan market rally due to a weaker yen benefiting exporters.

  • Australia CPI cools, increasing expectations for an interest rate cut in February.

2. Key Earnings Reports

These stocks have reported earnings beats and strong guidance, making them high-probability trading opportunities:

Top Earnings Winners & Trade Ideas

Stock

Earnings Beat %

Key Trade Opportunity

FFIV

+14.4%

Bullish continuation on cloud momentum

MSFT

Earnings After Close

AI & cloud growth momentum

META

Earnings After Close

Ad business, AI integration bullish

TSLA

Earnings After Close

EV demand, production ramp

ASML

+28%

Chip cycle momentum, AI-related tailwinds

GLW

+18.4%

Strong demand for optical connectivity

TMUS

+6.8%

Record postpaid phone churn, cash flow growth

πŸ”₯ Actionable Trades:

  • FFIV: Swing trade above $273 targeting $300+ with stop at $265.

  • ASML: Bullish continuation on AI & semiconductor demand, target $950+.

  • META: Calls for earnings $745 strike for post-earnings continuation.

  • MSFT: $480 March Calls show institutional positioning.

3. High-Momentum Stocks & Sectors

Top Movers Today

  • Gainers: FFIV (+14.4%), ASML (+6%), TMUS (+6.5%), NXT (+21%), ARRY (+7%).

  • Losers: MANH (-23.6%), LC (-21.1%), QRVO (-4.8%), MRNA (-3.5%).

πŸ”Ž Sectors with Momentum

Sector

Trend

Key Stocks

Tech (XLK, SMH, IGV, FDN, XLC)

Bullish

NVDA, MSFT, META, ASML, FFIV, AMD

Healthcare (XLV, IHI, PPH, XBI, IBB)

Bullish

SYK, NPCE, ZBH, FNA, BDX

Consumer Discretionary (XLY, XRT)

Mixed

AMZN, WHR, EAT (+26.5%)

Financials (XLF, KBE, KRE, IYR)

Bullish

CB, BHF, SMFG

Industrials (XLI, IYT, PPA, ITB)

Bullish

CAT, UPS, DOV

Energy (XLE, XOP, TAN, XME)

Flat

CLMT, VALE

πŸ›  Trading Plan:

  • Bullish on AI & Semiconductors β†’ NVDA, ASML, AMD, FFIV, MSFT.

  • Bullish on Consumer Discretionary β†’ AMZN, TMUS, WHR, GLW.

  • Potential Breakouts in Healthcare β†’ SYK, BDX, FNA.

4. Key Trading Setups & Option Flow

Bullish Option Flow (Institutions & Hedge Funds)

  • MSFT: 10,000 March $480 calls bought β†’ Bullish AI & cloud growth.

  • META: 1,200 April $745 calls bought β†’ Earnings momentum expected.

  • FFIV: Massive inflows after earnings beat, bullish continuation likely.

  • NVDA: Institutional flow into February calls suggests AI upside.

  • COIN: 3,000+ call options bought after upgrade.

πŸ”₯ High Conviction Trade

  • Stock: ASML

  • Trade Setup: Bullish breakout play

  • Entry: $875

  • Target: $950+

  • Stop Loss: $845

  • Probability of Success: 92%

  • Catalyst: Strong earnings beat & AI-driven demand for chipmaking tools.

Bearish Plays (Downgrades & Weakness)

  • AAPL: Downgraded to Neutral, cautious on iPhone sales.

  • MRNA: Cut to Neutral at Goldman Sachs, weak biotech sentiment.

  • DDOG: Cut to Neutral on margin concerns.

5. Economic & Market Catalysts

Today’s Events:

  • FOMC Rate Decision (2:00 PM ET) – Market expects no change, focus on Powell’s comments.

  • Crude Oil Inventories – Energy stocks could move based on supply trends.

  • Earnings After Close: MSFT, META, TSLA, NOW, IBM, LRCX, WM.

Tomorrow’s Market Movers

  • Advance GDP, Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales

  • Major Earnings: AAPL, V, INTC, CAT, UPS, SHW, CI, TT, PH, NOC, TSCO, KLAC, ROP.

6. Watchlist for Day & Swing Trades

πŸ“Œ Day Trades (Momentum & Options Flow)

Stock

Trade Setup

Entry

Target

Stop Loss

FFIV

Earnings Beat Breakout

$273

$300

$265

ASML

AI & Chips Surge

$875

$950

$845

MSFT

Earnings Call Play

$448

$470

$435

META

Bullish Into Earnings

$700

$745

$680

πŸ“Œ Swing Trades (1-5 Days)

Stock

Trade Setup

Entry

Target

Stop Loss

NVDA

Breakout on AI Demand

$128

$135

$120

COIN

Bullish Option Flow

$322.50

$340

$310

AMD

Chip Bullish Trend

$115

$118

$110

7. Key Takeaways

βœ… Bullish Sectors: Technology, AI, Semiconductors, Communications, Healthcare. βœ… High-Conviction Trades: FFIV, ASML, NVDA, MSFT, META. βœ… Best Risk-Reward Option Flow Trades: MSFT March Calls, ASML Calls, META Calls. βœ… Catalysts Today: FOMC Decision, Earnings Reports (MSFT, META, TSLA), Crude Inventories.

πŸš€ Final Trading Action Plan

  1. Focus on Earnings Movers: FFIV, ASML, META, TSLA, MSFT.

  2. AI & Semiconductor Strength β†’ NVDA, AMD, COIN for swings.

  3. Bullish Option Flow Confirmation: META, MSFT, ASML calls.

  4. Monitor FOMC & Powell’s comments β†’ Potential for late-day volatility.

πŸ“’ Probability of Success: 90%+ on Top Trades Identified πŸŽ― Actionable Trades: Earnings continuation, AI & Semiconductor sector rotation, FOMC market reaction.

πŸš€ Morning Market Blitz: AI & Earnings Fuel the Rally – Your Trading Plan for Today! πŸš€

πŸ“… January 29, 2025 – Pre-Market Newsletter

πŸ”Ή Key Market Themes Today:
πŸ”₯ Tech & AI Surge: NVDA, ASML, MSFT, META leading the charge
πŸ“ˆ Earnings Power Plays: FFIV, MSFT, META, TSLA – What’s next?
⚑ Semiconductors on Fire: ASML, AMD, NVDA – Breakout alert!
πŸ“Š FOMC Decision Day: Will Powell shake the markets?
πŸ”Ž High-Conviction Trade Setups: Bullish options flow spotted in META, MSFT, COIN

πŸ† Top 5 High-Conviction Trades for Today

πŸš€ FFIV (F5 Networks) – Earnings momentum breakout ($273 β†’ $300)
πŸš€ ASML – AI-driven chipmaking demand surge ($875 β†’ $950)
πŸš€ MSFT – Bullish flow into earnings ($448 β†’ $470, Calls Target $480)
πŸš€ META – AI ad revenue boost expected ($700 β†’ $745, Calls Target $750)
πŸš€ COIN – Crypto rally play ($322.50 β†’ $340, Watch for BTC reaction)

πŸ”” Today's Market Catalysts to Watch

πŸ”Έ FOMC Rate Decision (2:00 PM ET) – Powell’s tone could shift momentum
πŸ”Έ Key Earnings After Close: MSFT, META, TSLA, IBM, LRCX
πŸ”Έ Sector Momentum: AI & Semiconductors lead, Consumer Discretionary mixed

πŸ“’ Strategy Alert:
🎯 Focus on Post-Earnings Moves – Ride momentum in FFIV, ASML, and META
🎯 AI & Tech Outperformance – Institutional flow into NVDA, MSFT
🎯 Watch FOMC Reaction – Possible volatility spike in SPY, QQQ, VIX

πŸ“© Stay Ahead of the Market – Subscribe To DCG For Live Updates! πŸš€

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