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- Stocks, Options, and Crypto🚀 Morning Market Blitz: AI, Gold, & Fed Decision in Focus!
Stocks, Options, and Crypto🚀 Morning Market Blitz: AI, Gold, & Fed Decision in Focus!
Wall Street Gears Up for a High-Stakes Trading Day—Gold Hits All-Time High, AI Stocks Surge Ahead of Nvidia GTC, and Fed Rate Decision Looms!"
March 18, 2025 - Pre-Market Trade Analysis
Market Overview
Pre-Market Sentiment: Futures indicated a modestly lower open after a strong rally on Monday. The market remains focused on the FOMC rate decision tomorrow.
Key Market Themes:
Europe: Markets rose as investors awaited the German debt vote and Ukraine peace talks.
Middle East: Gold hit a new record due to escalating Middle East tensions.
U.S. Stocks: S&P Futures tested the 5710 level but need to hold above 5690 VWAP for bullish continuation.
Crypto: Bitcoin saw a 2.2% decline, reflecting a risk-off sentiment.
Commodities: Gold & Silver momentum continued upward, while oil extended gains for the third session.
Technology Focus: Nvidia's GPU Technology Conference (GTC) expected to drive AI stock moves today.
Sector Trends: Metals, energy, and emerging markets outperformed.
Key Events & Trade Opportunities
Economic Events to Watch
📍 March 18th:
Housing Starts
Industrial Production
Goldman Sachs CTA Trade Flow Impact
📍 March 19th (Tomorrow):
FOMC Rate Decision
Japan BOJ Rate Decision
Eurozone CPI
Crude Oil Inventories
Earnings: GIS, OLLI, SIG, SRAD, FIVE, SMCI
Key Market Movers & Trading Opportunities
Stocks in Focus
🔺 Gainers:
HROW (+17%), KODK (+12%), SOC (+6%), NBTX (+6%), TTEC (+3.4%)
Gold Stocks: AU (+4%), NVO (+4%) – Gold rally plays due to Middle East risk.
🔻 Losers:
BKKT (-29%), HNRG (-11%), QXO (-4%), ELAN (-3.6%), TSLA (-2.4%).
Steel sector: STLD (-1%) cut guidance.
Insider Buying & Momentum Stocks
AMPL, PGRE, FRPT, TREE, PHIN (Insider Buying)
XPEV May $25 Calls (8000 contracts bought on 3/17) - Bullish EV play.
Sector Breakdown & Best Trade Ideas
🔹 Consumer Goods (XLP)
$MBC - Announced $50M buyback, strong bullish sentiment.
Tesla ($TSLA) - Toronto removed incentives for Tesla ride-shares due to U.S. trade tensions. Bearish short-term.
BYD ($BYDDF) - Announced a new EV charging breakthrough (5-minute full charge). Bullish play.
Costco ($COST) - Forcing China suppliers to cut prices due to U.S. tariffs. Bearish near-term.
📍 Trade Setup:
Bullish: Long $MBC stock (Buy zone: $82-$85, PT: $95, SL: $78).
Bearish: Short $COST May $650 Puts - Downward pressure from tariff pressure.
🔹 AI & Technology (XLK, SMH)
$GOOGL - Finalizing $32B acquisition of cybersecurity firm Wiz. Potential rally post-announcement.
$NVDA - Nvidia's AI conference today (GTC) may drive AI stocks.
$MSFT - Developing a brain-like AI model for reasoning tasks.
$XIAOMI - Q4 Revenue up 50%, increased EV target.
📍 Trade Setup:
Bullish: Long NVDA May $900 Calls - Catalyst-driven breakout setup.
Bearish: Short AVGO $1,250 Calls - Semis may consolidate before the next leg higher.
🔹 Crypto & Blockchain
Bitcoin (-2.2%) showing risk-off sentiment.
Crypto Winners Today:
$BMT (+94.1%), $INSP (+92.3%), $API3 (+63.2%) (AI and Web3 trend plays).
$DYM (+30.1%), $RSS3 (+29.6%) (DeFi sector strength).
📍 Trade Setup:
Bullish Crypto Setup: Long API3 above $3.50 (Target: $5.00).
Bearish Crypto Setup: Short BTC if it breaks below $63,500.
🔹 Energy & Metals (XLE, XME, XLB)
Steel sector weak: STLD cut guidance due to declining steel prices.
Oil rallying: Middle East tensions boosting Crude & Gold.
Gold: All-time high at $3,025/oz.
📍 Trade Setup:
Bullish: Long GLD ETF or AU May $24 Calls (Gold rally momentum).
Bearish: Short STLD May $95 Puts (Steel sector downside risk).
🔹 Financials (XLF)
Goldman Sachs predicts $90B in CTA buying over the next month. Stocks may get a massive tailwind.
Santander (SAN) expanding U.S. operations via Verizon partnership.
📍 Trade Setup:
Bullish: Long JPM $200 Calls (July Expiration).
Bearish: Short COF if the DFS deal gets delayed.
Sentiment & Market Trends
FOMO Kicking In: Goldman sees CTA-driven buying spree coming.
Insider Buying: March sees highest insider buy ratio since June 2023.
Trump's Trade Tariffs: Set to take effect April 2nd, impacting tech & consumer stocks.
BOJ Decision: Japan to keep rates at 0.5%.
Moving Forward: Key Risks & Catalysts
Bullish Catalysts:
✔ Fed Rate Decision Tomorrow - A dovish tone could extend the rally. ✔ CTA Short Covering - Goldman sees $90B in buying over the next month. ✔ AI & Web3 Hype - Stocks like NVDA, API3, and RSS3 rallying.
Bearish Risks:
❌ Trump’s Tariffs on April 2nd - Uncertainty around China & Tech Stocks. ❌ Middle East Conflicts Escalating - Gold & Oil reacting. ❌ Tesla Weakness - Trade tensions hurting TSLA’s China exposure.
Final Thoughts
Today’s market focus is on Gold, AI, and the FOMC rate decision tomorrow. High-conviction trades are NVDA calls, GOOGL breakout, and Gold longs.
Crypto is choppy but API3 and RSS3 are strong. CTA-driven buying could fuel a market rally.
📢 Key Takeaway: Bullish bias today, but watch for Fed volatility tomorrow.
🚨 Trade Smart & Manage Risk 🚨

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