Stocks, Options and Crypto - DCG Command Center Midday Report - June 12, 2025

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DCG Command Center Midday Report - June 12, 2025

📌 Market Overview Today (Updated 12:00 pm PST):

• Markets experienced volatility due to widespread internet outages impacting AWS, Google Cloud, and major services like Spotify, Discord, Twitch, Firebase, and Cursor.

• Technology stocks facing short-term bearish pressure due to operational disruptions.

• Continued bullish sentiment in AMD and Energy sectors despite tech sector disruptions.

🚨 Today's Key Catalysts & Momentum:

• AMD: Strong positive momentum continues with high-impact AI partnerships.

• Tesla (TSLA): Continued bullish sentiment boosted by positive commentary from President Trump.

• Internet Infrastructure: Bearish pressure from widespread AWS and Cloudflare outages.

2. Watchlist & Active Trades

Active Bullish Trades:

• INSM: Strong bullish call volume increasing (Aug. 110 calls).

• CIVI: Continued bullish flow, strong put selling (Oct $32.50 puts).

• MRVL: High-volume bullish positioning in June $72 calls ahead of Investor Day.

• CVS: Heavy June $66 call buying for short-term breakout.

• XLE: Significant bullish activity in Aug. $92 and $88 calls.

• RKT: Elevated bullish positioning (Aug $16 calls now exceeding 20k).

Active Bearish Trades:

• ORCL: Increasing bearish volume in Sep. $200 puts.

• CRM: Large bearish put buying (Sep $270 puts).

• AMD: Potential bearish pressure from US export controls news impacting forecasts.

3. Market Action Since Open

• Holding Up: Technology (GILD, MRVL), Energy (XLE, USO), Healthcare (INSM, BSX).

• Reversals: Google Cloud-related stocks (GOOG, NET) experiencing intraday volatility due to widespread outages.

• New Leading Sectors/Themes:

  • Energy sector sees increasing bullish options activity (XLE calls).

  • AI semiconductor theme pressured by NVIDIA excluding China from forecasts.

Key Intraday News/Catalysts:

• Google Cloud experiencing significant outage, impacting numerous web services.

• NVIDIA stops including China in forecasts, raising uncertainty in chip sector.

• AMD introduces new 'Vulcano' AI networking chip.

4. Technicals & Sentiment

• Intraday Technical Changes:

  • SPX confirmed strong support at 600 gamma level; intraday bullish reversal maintaining market stability.

  • VIX persistent but contained, reflective of cautious optimism amidst geopolitical risks.

• Noteworthy Volume, Block Trades, Options Flow:

  • Heavy put buying in high-profile tickers (AAPL, MDB, TSLA, UNP).

  • Large bullish block trades: INSM calls, CVS calls, MRVL calls.

  • Large bearish positions: CRM puts, ORCL puts.

• Shift in Sentiment:

  • Social media and Discord channels increasingly cautious about tech outages and geopolitical events.

5. Special Requests

• Midday Reevaluation Needed:

  • NET/GOOG: Evaluate impacts of Google Cloud outage; consider short-term bearish hedging.

  • AMD/NVDA: Reassess semiconductor positioning given NVIDIA’s forecast adjustments and AMD’s new product announcements.

• Morning Bias:

  • Confirmed Valid for Technology (AI except NVDA adjustments), Energy, and Healthcare.

  • Adjusted Caution for cloud service-related technology stocks due to Google Cloud outages.

New High-Probability Trades

• Bullish Energy (XLE)

  • Trade: Buy Aug. $92 calls (~$1.25 premium)

  • Rationale: Robust bullish options flow; energy prices stable near intraday highs.

• Bearish CRM

  • Trade: Buy Sep. $270 puts (~$18.37 premium)

  • Rationale: Large bearish options activity indicates potential downside risks.

• Bullish MRVL

  • Trade: Buy June $72 calls (~$1.20 premium)

  • Rationale: Heavy intraday bullish call buying ahead of key Investor Day event.

📅 Tomorrow's Key Events (June 13, 2025):

• Monitoring recovery from today's widespread internet outages.

• Continuation of positioning for AI and semiconductor developments.

• Anticipation of market adjustments pre-Triple Witching options expiration week.

🚀 Bullish Sectors:

• AI Semiconductors: Led by strong AMD partnerships and innovations.

• Energy: Sustained bullish sentiment and stable commodity prices.

• Healthcare: Continued momentum, especially in stocks like INSM and CVS.

🐻 Bearish Sectors:

• Cloud Infrastructure: Heavy bearish sentiment due to major outages (AWS, Google Cloud, Cloudflare).

• CRM and ORCL: Increased bearish options activity.

🧭 Overall Market Strategy:

• Strong bullish positions maintained in AI chip producers, energy, and healthcare.

• Introduce hedging strategies and bearish positions on cloud infrastructure services heavily impacted by outages.

• Heightened vigilance required due to increased VIX and market uncertainty.

⚠️ S&P 500 Futures Key Levels (Updated):

• Bullish Resistance: 6150

• Bullish Support: 6000

• Bearish Major Support: 5950 (critical in case of tech sell-off)

🔥 Bitcoin & Crypto Sentiment Breakdown:

• Positive institutional developments continue.

• Bitcoin holding strong near $108,000.

🇺🇸 Trump Impact & Political Edge:

• Positive remarks boosting Tesla and general EV market sentiment.

• Market cautiously optimistic about geopolitical stability.

💡 Mastermind Guidance (Updated):

• Emphasize strong bullish sectors (AI, Energy, Healthcare).

• Actively hedge against continued cloud-service disruptions.

• Maintain agile response readiness for rapid market shifts.

🚀 Overnight Recommendation:

• Strong holds on AMD, TSLA, XLE bullish positions.

• Increase bearish positions or hedges in cloud infrastructure stocks impacted by outages.

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