Stocks, Option, Crypto - 🔹 February 17th, 2025 Trading Plan Newsletter – Market Insights & High-Conviction Trades

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Market Analysis & Trade Plan for the Trading Week Starting February 17, 2025

Key Market Themes & Trump Impact

1. Trump’s Reciprocal Tariff Plan

   • Bullish Sectors: U.S. manufacturing (XLI, CAT, DE, F, TSLA, GM) – domestic production benefits from protectionist policies.

   • Bearish Sectors: Retail & consumer discretionary (XRT, WMT, TGT, COST, AMZN) – potential price inflation risks.

2. Defense Sector Volatility

   • Trump’s NATO Withdrawal Rumors & Russia Negotiations

   • Bullish Sectors: Cybersecurity & Pacific defense-focused companies (LMT, RTX, NOC, PLTR, MSFT).

   • Bearish Sectors: Traditional defense stocks (GD, BA, HII) under pressure due to NATO pullback concerns.

3. Gold & Commodities Rally

   • Goldman Sachs raises gold target to $3,100

   • Bullish Sectors: Gold miners (GLD, NEM, GOLD, AEM, AU) – increased demand due to uncertainty over Fort Knox audit speculation and government spending concerns.

4. Crypto Sentiment & SEC Crackdown

   • Trump administration investigating SEC, IRS, and government spending

   • Bullish Sectors: Crypto-friendly stocks (COIN, RIOT, MARA, HOOD) & decentralized finance.

   • Bearish Sectors: Traditional banking & regulatory-heavy institutions (JPM, BAC, WFC, MS).

5. Semiconductors & AI Rally

   • Nvidia ($NVDA) returns to $140 on AI strength

   • Bullish Sectors: AI & semiconductor stocks (NVDA, AMD, AVGO, SMCI, TSM, ASML) – driven by increased AI training demand and strong earnings outlook.

6. EV Sector Volatility

   • Tesla ($TSLA) facing China self-driving approval delays

   • Bearish Sectors: China-exposed EVs (TSLA, NIO, XPEV, LI, BYD)

   • Bullish Sectors: Battery material stocks (LAC, ALB, PLL) & U.S. domestic EV supply chain.

Trading Strategy for the Week

1. Long AI & Semiconductor Stocks – Nvidia, SMCI, AMD continue to dominate AI trends.

2. Gold as a Safe Haven Hedge – Fort Knox audit speculation & GS’s $3,100 target.

3. Crypto Recovery Plays – COIN & XRP gain momentum.

4. Defense Sector Selectivity – RTX, LMT strong, but traditional defense (GD, BA) face uncertainty.

5. China Rebound Watchlist – BABA and JD offer high-risk, high-reward setups.

6. Short Tesla ($TSLA) – China regulatory uncertainty adds risk to EV growth.

Final Recommendations

• Most Bullish Stocks: NVDA, SMCI, GLD, COIN, RTX

• Most Bearish Stocks: WMT, TGT, GD, BA

• Strongest Overnight Swings: NVDA, LMT, COIN, SMCI, GLD, XRP

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• 📊 Trade Type: Bullish Swing ( Subscribe To Premium For Trade of The Week)

• 🎯 Target: $5.20 - $5.50

• 🚀 Catalyst: Dark pool accumulation & earnings anticipation

• 📈 Probability of Success: 90%+

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