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- π¨ PRECIOUS METALS SURGE & TECH REBOUND: MASSIVE MOVES AHEAD OF JOBS REPORT π¨
π¨ PRECIOUS METALS SURGE & TECH REBOUND: MASSIVE MOVES AHEAD OF JOBS REPORT π¨
DCG COMMAND CENTER - Trading Week Outlook |Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Market Open Strategy
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π EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: KEY THINGS TO KNOW
URGENT OVERNIGHT DEVELOPMENTS:
π₯ Silver EXPLODES +6.2% to $85/oz - Biggest intraday move in weeks
π₯ Gold surges +2% above $5,100/oz - Safe haven demand intensifies
π Asia markets HIT RECORDS - Japan Nikkei +2.3%, South Korea KOSPI all-time highs
π Bitcoin slides -3.2% to $67,000 - Crypto weakness continues pre-jobs data
β‘ MAJOR EARNINGS: VRT rockets +15%, SHOP surges +13%, futures mixed
CRITICAL DATA TODAY:
β° 8:30 AM ET: Jobs Report - Expected 66K vs 50K prior (MARKET MOVER)
Federal Reserve rate cut odds rising to 41% for one more cut in 2026
S&P 500 Futures: 6,966 (-0.06%) hovering near 7,000 resistance
VIX: 18.58 (-14.65%) - Fear gauge plunges
π― HOTTEST SECTOR SENTIMENT RIGHT NOW
π₯ BULLISH SECTORS - MONEY ROTATION IN PROGRESS
1. DATA CENTER INFRASTRUCTURE β‘β‘β‘ (Rating: 9.5/10)
$VRT (Vertiv Holdings) - BLOWOUT EARNINGS
Guides FY26 Revenue $13.5B vs $12.4B Est (+8.9% beat)
Guides FY26 EPS $6.02 vs $5.33 Est (+13% beat)
Backlog surges 109% YoY to $15B
Catalyst: AI infrastructure boom, pricing power intact
2. E-COMMERCE PLATFORMS π (Rating: 9/10)
$SHOP (Shopify) - MONSTER Q4 BEAT
Revenue $3.67B vs $3.59B Est (+2.2% beat)
Q1 Guide: Revenue growth +30-33% vs +25% expected
GMV $123.8B (+31% YoY)
Catalyst: AI commerce adoption accelerating
3. PRECIOUS METALS & MINING βοΈ (Rating: 9.5/10)
SILVER FUTURES (SI) - EXPLOSIVE BREAKOUT
Goldman targets continued safe-haven demand
Catalysts: Fed dovish pivot, geopolitical tensions, industrial demand
GOLD FUTURES (GC) - RECORD TERRITORY
Goldman Sachs target: $5,400 by year-end
Central bank buying remains strong (China 15th consecutive month)
Trade Setup: GLD calls, physical accumulation
4. CYBERSECURITY π (Rating: 8.5/10)
$PANW (Palo Alto Networks) - ACQUISITION COMPLETE
Closes CyberArk acquisition to secure AI Era
Catalyst: Enterprise AI security spending surge
β οΈ BEARISH/WATCH SECTORS
1. CRYPTOCURRENCY π (Rating: 3/10)
Bitcoin: $67,017 (-2.4%)
Ethereum: $1,953 (-2.7%)
Analysis: Consolidation mode ahead of macro data
Downside protection demand rising in $COIN, $MSTR
Saylor danger zone: MSTR viable until ~$80 (currently under pressure)
Strategy: AVOID longs until Bitcoin reclaims $70K with volume
2. TRADITIONAL RETAIL πͺ (Rating: 4/10)
Weak consumer spending data (December retail sales stalled)
$MAT (Mattel) down 5% on revenue miss
Discretionary spending under pressure
3. INSURANCE/HEALTHCARE PAYERS βοΈ (Rating: 4.5/10)
$HUM (Humana) down $14, guides FY26 EPS below consensus
Reimbursement pressures continue
Medicare Advantage headwinds persist
π TRUMP IMPACT & POLITICAL EDGE
USMCA TRADE PACT UNCERTAINTY
Breaking: Trump privately weighing exit from USMCA (his own trade deal)
Market Impact: Creates uncertainty for $2 trillion annual trade
Sectors Affected: Automotive, manufacturing, agriculture
Trading Angle: Short-term volatility = opportunity in multinational manufacturers
INTEREST RATE COMMENTARY
Trump Statement: "Interest rate cuts would reduce US debt"
Pressure mounting on Fed independence narrative
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination creates dovish expectations
Trade: Position for lower rates = BENEFIT growth stocks, PRESSURE financials
GREENLAND GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS
Russia Response: Will take military measures if Greenland militarized
Trade: Boosts defense stocks, precious metals
Safe-haven flows continue
π S&P 500 FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS
Current: 6,966.25 (as of 06:47 UTC)
Critical Resistance: 7,000 (psychological barrier)
Support Levels:
S1: 6,940
S2: 6,920 (must hold)
S3: 6,880 (200-day MA area)
Resistance Levels:
R1: 7,000
R2: 7,020 (breakout confirmation)
R3: 7,060 (blue sky breakout)
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish BELOW 7,000, BULLISH above with volume
π° BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT BREAKDOWN
Bitcoin (BTC): $67,017 (-2.4%)
Sentiment: β οΈ BEARISH SHORT-TERM, NEUTRAL MEDIUM-TERM
Technical Analysis:
Failed to hold $70K support zone
Trading below 365-day moving average (first time since March 2022)
Key Levels:
Resistance: $70,000 (must reclaim)
Support: $65,000-$67,000 (current zone)
Danger Zone: Below $60,000 signals further downside to $50K
Fundamental Drivers:
US ETF flows turned NET SELLERS in 2026 (vs +46K BTC bought in 2025)
Institutional demand reversed materially - CryptoQuant
Awaiting clarity on Fed rate path (jobs & CPI data this week)
Trading Strategy:
AVOID new longs until $70K reclaimed with volume
Scalp shorts on rallies into $68,500-$69,000 resistance
Long setup ONLY: Break and hold above $71,000 = target $75K
Ethereum (ETH): $1,953 (-2.7%)
Underperforming Bitcoin
Key support: $1,900
Strategy: Wait for Bitcoin stabilization first
Altcoin Sector:
Extreme fear persists
Opportunity: DeFi, Layer-2 solutions on extreme dips IF Bitcoin holds
π₯ KEY CATALYST TRADES FOR TOMORROW (Feb 11)
TRADE #1: DATA CENTER AI INFRASTRUCTURE
Thesis: VRT earnings show unstoppable AI capex cycle
Primary Play: $VRT (Vertiv Holdings)
Conviction: 9/10 - Backlog growth, pricing power, FY26 guide smash
Sympathy Plays:
$SMCI (Super Micro Computer) - AI server demand
$NVDA (NVIDIA) - Data center GPUs
$ANET (Arista Networks) - Data center networking
TRADE #2: E-COMMERCE AI TRANSFORMATION
Thesis: SHOP proves e-commerce + AI = explosive growth
Primary Play: $SHOP (Shopify)
Conviction: 8.5/10 - Q1 guidance acceleration, AI monetization path clear
Sympathy Plays:
$AMZN (Amazon) - E-commerce leader
$MELI (MercadoLibre) - LatAm e-commerce
$SE (Sea Limited) - Southeast Asia e-commerce
TRADE #3: SAFE HAVEN PRECIOUS METALS
Thesis: Fed dovish pivot + geopolitical risks = metals surge
Primary Play: Silver Futures / $SLV (iShares Silver Trust)
Conviction: 8/10 - Technical breakout, industrial demand, safe-haven flows
Secondary Play: Gold Futures / $GLD
Conviction: 7.5/10 - Goldman $5,400 target, central bank demand
TRADE #4: CONTRARIAN TECH BOUNCE
Thesis: Oversold software names due for relief rally
Primary Play: $NET (Cloudflare)
Upgraded to Outperform at Baird with $260 PT (+20% upside)
Multiple analyst upgrades post-earnings
Conviction: 7/10 - Fundamental improvement, technical oversold
TRADE #5: NUCLEAR/URANIUM RENAISSANCE
Thesis: AI power demands driving nuclear resurgence
Primary Play: $UUUU (Energy Fuels)
Goldman initiates with BUY rating, $30 PT (+38% upside)
Conviction: 7.5/10 - AI data center power needs, uranium supply shortage
Sympathy Plays:
$CCJ (Cameco) - Uranium producer
$UEC (Uranium Energy) - US uranium
$NXE (NexGen Energy) - Uranium developer
π° NEWS CATALYST WRAP-UP
MAJOR POST-MARKET EARNINGS (Tuesday Night/Wednesday Morning):
β WINNERS:
$VRT - Vertiv +$30 pre-market (from $170s to $204)
$SHOP - Shopify +13% (from $118 to $127)
$NET - Cloudflare revenue beat, multiple upgrades
$BETA - Beta Technologies +$3.70 (Amazon 5.3% stake disclosed)
$HNGE - Hinge Health +$5, beat estimates
β LOSERS:
$HUM - Humana -$14, weak FY26 guide
$MRNA - Moderna -$4, FDA refusal-to-file letter for flu vaccine
$MAT - Mattel -$5, revenue miss
$R - Ryder -$5, thin guidance
$COIN / $MSTR - Crypto exposure down 6% and 3%
COMMODITY EXPLOSIONS:
Silver: +6.2% to $85.57/oz (biggest move in weeks)
Gold: +1.7% to $5,120/oz (near record highs)
Oil (WTI): >$65/barrel, energy sector support
π INTERNATIONAL MARKET RECAP
ASIA-PACIFIC: RECORD-BREAKING SESSION
π―π΅ Japan Nikkei: +2.3% to NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
π°π· South Korea KOSPI: +1% to NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
π¨π³ China: Premier urges AI investment, computing power expansion
π¦πΊ Australia ASX: Gains across resources, tech
Key Takeaway: Risk-on sentiment in Asia despite US tech weakness = bullish global rotation
β° ECONOMIC CALENDAR - TODAY (Wednesday, Feb 11)
MARKET-MOVING DATA:
7:00 AM ET - MBA Mortgage Applications
Composite: -0.3%
Purchase: -2.4%
Refi: +1.2%
Impact: Minor - Housing market stabilizing
8:30 AM ET π¨ - EMPLOYMENT SITUATION (MAJOR)
Nonfarm Payrolls Est: +66,000 (vs +50K prior)
Unemployment Rate Est: 4.4% (unchanged)
Why It Matters: BIGGEST DATA OF THE WEEK
Weak number (<40K) = Fed cuts sooner = stocks UP, dollar DOWN
Strong number (>90K) = Fed on hold = potential pullback
Trade Strategy: Straddles on SPY/QQQ, volatility spike expected
10:10 AM ET - Jeffrey Schmid (Kansas City Fed) Speaks 10:15 AM ET - Michelle Bowman (Fed Governor) Speaks
2:00 PM ET - Treasury Statement 4:00 PM ET - Beth Hammack (Cleveland Fed) Speaks
THURSDAY (Feb 12) PREVIEWS:
$DDOG (Datadog) Investor Day in New York - AI observability narrative
Continued earnings flow from mid-caps
πΌ OVERALL MARKET STRATEGY FOR FEBRUARY 11, 2026
GAME PLAN:
PRE-MARKET (7:00-9:30 AM ET):
β Monitor futures reaction to any overnight news
β Watch VRT, SHOP gap-ups for entry opportunities (wait for pullback)
β Set alerts for S&P 6,940 (support) and 7,000 (resistance)
β Precious metals: Look for profit-taking dips in silver around $84-85
MARKET OPEN (9:30-10:00 AM ET):
β οΈ CAUTION: First 30min will be volatile ahead of 8:30 AM jobs data (WAIT FOR DATA)
Actually, JOBS DATA IS 8:30 AM - Trade AFTER release, not before
Let initial volatility settle (first 15 minutes)
If Jobs Miss (<50K): Buy tech dips, precious metals breakouts, dollar weakness plays
If Jobs Beat (>80K): Take profits on rallies, prepare for rate-cut odds to fall
MID-DAY (10:00 AM-2:00 PM ET):
Digest Fed speakers (Schmid 10:10 AM, Bowman 10:15 AM)
Primary Focus: Retest levels after jobs data reaction
Look for entries in VRT pullback to $200-202, SHOP $124-126
Silver consolidation around $83-85 = load zone if thesis holds
POWER HOUR (3:00-4:00 PM ET):
Monitor for institutional flows (options expiration positioning)
Be Ready: Reversal patterns if morning move was extreme
Lock profits on day trades, prepare overnight positions
π MONEY ROTATION & SECTOR FLOW ANALYSIS
MONEY FLOWING INTO:
β Data Center Infrastructure - AI capex unstoppable (VRT proof)
β E-Commerce Tech - AI-driven commerce acceleration (SHOP proof)
β Precious Metals - Safe haven + industrial demand convergence
β Cybersecurity - Enterprise AI security spending (PANW/CyberArk)
β Nuclear/Uranium - Power demands from AI data centers
MONEY FLOWING OUT OF:
β Cryptocurrency - Institutional outflows, technical breakdown
β Traditional Retail - Consumer spending weakness
β Healthcare Payers - Reimbursement pressure (HUM example)
β Biotech (select) - Regulatory setbacks (MRNA example)
π² ADVANCED STRATEGIES: OPTIONS FLOW
BULLISH UNUSUAL OPTIONS ACTIVITY:
VRT: Heavy call buying in March
SHOP: April $140 calls seeing accumulation
GLD: March $140-$145 calls (gold exposure)
BEARISH HEDGING:
SPY: March $690 puts increased (7,000 level rejection hedge)
QQQ: February $500 puts (tech protection)
π FUTURES & PRE-MARKET MOVERS
S&P 500 Futures (ES): 6,966.25 (-0.06%)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ): Slight weakness
Dow Futures: Marginal gains
Top Pre-Market Gainers:
VRT +15% (earnings)
SHOP +13% (earnings)
BETA +28% (Amazon stake)
ASTS +5% (BlueBird 6 satellite deployment)
NET +5% (analyst upgrades)
Top Pre-Market Losers:
COIN -6% (Bitcoin weakness)
MSTR -3% (Bitcoin exposure)
MRNA -4% (FDA setback)
HUM -8% (guidance)
MAT -5% (earnings miss)
π― MASTERMIND GUIDANCE: COMMUNITY TRADER INSIGHTS
Key Takeaways from Trading Community:
"$UNH institutions stayed invested through $600 to $250 drop"
Retail has better entry than Buffett if average $260-280
Strategy: Quality healthcare dips = accumulation opportunity
"$HIMS institutional ownership increased during price drop"
Smart money added while retail sold
Lesson: Follow smart money, not emotion
"Palmer's Trading Alerts Highlights:"
VRT massive guide raise = data center supercycle confirmed
SHOP AI commerce narrative gaining institutional support
UUUU Goldman initiation = uranium thesis validation
"ZoZo's Market Intelligence:"
Unusual volume in nuclear names pre-AI power narrative
Defense sector positioning for geopolitical escalation
Silver squeeze mechanics similar to 2020 setup
β οΈ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES - READ BEFORE TRADING
POSITION SIZING:
High Conviction (9-10/10): 2-3% of portfolio per trade
Medium Conviction (7-8/10): 1-2% of portfolio per trade
Speculative (<7/10): 0.5-1% of portfolio per trade
STOP LOSSES ARE MANDATORY:
NO EXCEPTIONS - Every trade MUST have stop loss
Use mental stops on illiquid names, hard stops on liquid names
Trail stops as trades move in your favor
DON'T CHASE:
VRT up $30 pre-market = WAIT for pullback
SHOP up 13% = WAIT for consolidation
Best Entry: First pullback after gap-up on volume
π’ DCG TRADE RATING SYSTEM
TODAY'S TOP-RATED SETUPS:
Trade | Ticker | Rating | Risk | Reward | Time Horizon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Center AI | VRT | 9.5/10 | Medium | High | 2-4 weeks |
E-Commerce AI | SHOP | 9/10 | Medium | High | 2-4 weeks |
Silver Breakout | SI/SLV | 9/10 | Medium | High | 1-3 weeks |
Uranium Bull | UUUU | 8/10 | High | Very High | 4-8 weeks |
Cybersecurity | PANW | 8.5/10 | Low | Medium | 2-6 weeks |
Cloudflare Bounce | NET | 7/10 | Medium | Medium | 2-3 weeks |
Gold Safe Haven | GC/GLD | 7.5/10 | Low | Medium | 1-4 weeks |
Legend:
9-10/10 = STRONG BUY, highest conviction
7-8/10 = BUY, good setup
5-6/10 = HOLD/WATCH, needs confirmation
Below 5/10 = AVOID or WAIT
π FINAL THOUGHTS & DAILY AFFIRMATION
Market Theme for February 11, 2026:
"The Rotation is REAL - From Crypto to Commodities, From Software to Infrastructure"
Trading Wisdom: The market is showing us EXACTLY where the money is going:
β OUT of speculative crypto β INTO hard assets (gold/silver)
β OUT of pure software β INTO AI infrastructure (data centers)
β OUT of consumer discretionary β INTO essential commerce (e-commerce platforms)
Your Competitive Edge: While retail traders panic over Bitcoin's decline, professional traders are loading:
Physical assets with real supply/demand dynamics
Infrastructure plays with guaranteed AI capex cycles
E-commerce platforms with pricing power and AI integration
Today's Action Plan:
Wait for jobs data (8:30 AM ET) - Don't trade before major catalyst
Watch VRT/SHOP pullbacks - Don't chase, let them come to you
Position in precious metals - The trend is your friend
Avoid crypto longs - Respect the downtrend until proven otherwise
Stay nimble - Volatility = opportunity, but also risk
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β so you can trade with confidence while others trade with hope.
Inside the 2026 Oracle Trading Forecast, you'll see:
β Month-by-month market sentiment
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This is how professionals plan their year. Now it's yours.
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β‘ QUICK REFERENCE CHEAT SHEET
Today's Watchlist:
VRT (data center king)
SHOP (e-commerce + AI)
SLV/SI (silver surge)
UUUU (uranium Goldman pick)
NET (tech oversold bounce)
PANW (cybersecurity acquisition play)
Today's Key Levels:
S&P 500: 7,000 resistance, 6,940 support
Bitcoin: $70K resistance, $65K support
Silver: $85-87 breakout zone
Gold: $5,100-5,150 consolidation
Today's Key Time:
8:30 AM ET - JOBS REPORT (everything else is noise until this prints)
β οΈ DISCLAIMER
This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. All trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The DCG Command Center and its authors are not registered investment advisors. All trade ideas represent opinions and should not be construed as personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. Trade at your own risk.
Market data and prices verified as of February 11, 2026, 06:47 UTC. Prices are subject to change and may vary based on execution timing and market conditions.
DCG COMMAND CENTER
Where Professional Traders Come to Win
February 11, 2026 Edition

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