🚨 PRECIOUS METALS HISTORIC REBOUND & PHARMA BREAKOUT DOMINATES MARKET 🚨

Gold Surges Back Above $5,000 | Silver Rockets +28% | LLY Crushes Earnings | Tech Sells Off |DCG COMMAND CENTER | Market Intelligence ReportTrading Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

February 04, 2026

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⚡ KEY THINGS TO KNOW FOR TODAY'S SESSION

✅ PRECIOUS METALS STAGE MASSIVE COMEBACK: Gold surges 6%+ back above $5,000, Silver rockets 28% in 48 hours to $90/oz
✅ ELI LILLY EXPLODES HIGHER: LLY beats by $0.63, guides 2026 revenue $80B-$83B vs $77.7B est, up 7% premarket to $1,003
✅ SOFTWARE SECTOR CARNAGE CONTINUES: AMD down 9% despite beat, UBER misses EPS guidance, SaaS stocks under pressure
✅ BITCOIN STABILIZES: BTC trading $76,350 after testing $73K lows, down 22% from highs but finding support
✅ GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN ENDS: Trump signs funding bill, markets open with reduced uncertainty
✅ KEY DATA TODAY: ADP Jobs 8:15am ET, JOLTS 9:00am ET, ISM Services PMI 10:00am ET

📊 FUTURES & MARKET OVERVIEW

S&P 500 Futures ($ES): 6,950.50 (+0.13%)

  • Support Levels: 6,920 | 6,890 | 6,860

  • Resistance Levels: 6,965 | 6,989 | 7,010

  • Key Level: 6,930 reclaim confirms bullish momentum

Market Sentiment: Mixed to cautiously optimistic
VIX: 16.34 (-6.31%) - Fear subsiding
10Y Treasury: 4.275% (+0.80%)

Overnight Action:

  • Asia-Pacific stocks mostly higher, South Korea KOSPI hits record high

  • European markets stabilizing after tech selloff

  • Gold/Silver massive recovery after Friday's historic collapse

  • Crypto attempting bounce from weekend lows

🔥 BREAKING NEWS & CATALYSTS

🏥 HEALTHCARE/PHARMA - BIGGEST WINNER

$LLY (Eli Lilly) - MONSTER EARNINGS ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Last Close: $1,003.46

  • Premarket: $1,070+ (+7%)

  • Q4 EPS: $7.54 vs $6.73 est (BEAT by $0.81)

  • Q4 Revenue: $19.29B vs $18.01B est (BEAT)

  • Mounjaro: $7.41B vs $6.75B est

  • Zepbound: $4.26B vs $3.8B est

  • 2026 Revenue Guide: $80B-$83B vs $77.71B est

  • 2026 EPS Guide: $33.50-$35 vs $33.24 est

Trading Idea: BUY $LLY on pullbacks
Entry Zone: $1,020-$1,040
Target 1: $1,100 (+7%)
Target 2: $1,150 (+12%)
Stop: $980
Rating: 9/10 - High Conviction Long

Sympathy Plays:

  • $NVO (Novo Nordisk) - Oversold bounce candidate, down 14% on weak guidance

  • $ABBV (AbbVie) - Beat earnings, $16.62B revenue vs $16.42B est

  • Healthcare sector rotation play

💎 PRECIOUS METALS - HISTORIC VOLATILITY

GOLD 🥇

  • Current: $5,000-$5,050/oz (+6-7% today)

  • Friday Low: $4,662

  • Previous High: $5,600

  • Reuters Poll: Average $4,746/oz in 2026, $4,745 in 2027

  • JP Morgan Target: $6,300 by end 2026 (+30%)

SILVER 🥈

  • Current: $87-$90/oz (+28% in 48 hours!)

  • Friday Low: $78.86 (-30% worst day since 1980)

  • Previous High: $122/oz

  • Reuters Poll: Average $79.50/oz in 2026

  • Citi Target: $150/oz

Catalyst: Fed independence concerns, geopolitical risks, supply deficits, Chinese speculation

Mining Stock Plays:

  • $GDX (Gold Miners ETF)

  • $GDXJ (Junior Gold Miners)

  • $SLV (Silver ETF) - Last $76.96, up 4%

  • $AG (First Majestic Silver)

  • Fresnillo (UK) - World's largest silver producer

Trading Strategy: Volatility cuts both ways - use tight stops, scale in on pullbacks
Rating: 7/10 - High volatility, strong fundamentals

💻 TECHNOLOGY - UNDER PRESSURE

$AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) ⚠️

  • Last Close: $242.11

  • Premarket: $220-$229 (-9% to -5%)

  • Q4 EPS: $1.53 vs $1.32 est (BEAT)

  • Q4 Revenue: $10.27B vs $9.67B est (BEAT by 34%)

  • Q1 Guide: $9.8B ±$300M vs $9.38B est

  • Issue: $390M from unexpected China sales = "low quality" beat

  • Concerns: OpenAI reliance, MI450 delays

Trading Idea: WAIT for stabilization
Potential Entry: $200-$210 (gap fill to $170 possible)
Rating: 4/10 - Avoid near-term, revisit long-term

$NVDA (Nvidia)

  • Last: $180.52

  • Catalyst: AI chip sales to China stalled by US security review

  • H200 orders: Chinese customers NOT placing orders

  • FTC Scrutiny: Sen. Warren urges investigation of tech AI deals

Software Sector Pain:

  • "SaaSpocalypse" or "SaasMageddon" - sector hated

  • Anthropic wake-up call on AI disruption hitting traditional software

  • $CRM, $ADBE, $NOW, $TTD, $TEAM, $HUBS all under pressure

🚗 $UBER - EARNINGS MISS GUIDANCE

  • Last Close: $77.93 (-6%)

  • Q4 EPS: $0.14 vs $0.79 est (MISS)

  • Q4 Revenue: $14.37B vs $14.32B est (BEAT)

  • Gross Bookings: $54.1B vs $53.1B est (BEAT)

  • Trips: 3.8B (+22% YoY)

  • Q1 EPS Guide: $0.65-$0.72 vs $0.75 est

  • CFO Change: Balaji Krishnamurthy named CFO

Issue: EBITDA stronger than expected but tax rate confusion caused EPS miss
Positive: CEO says by 2029, Uber will be largest AV trip facilitator globally
30% Drawdown: Part of broader software selloff

Rating: 3/10 - Avoid until dust settles

₿ CRYPTOCURRENCY UPDATE

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Current: $76,350 (-3.4%)

  • Recent Range: $72,884 (low) to $80,000

  • 24H Change: Down from $78,748

  • YTD Performance: -16%

  • Key Level: $75,000 support critical

Market Analysis:

  • Bitcoin testing $76K support level (critical for MSTR Q4 earnings Feb 5)

  • $468B wiped from crypto market in recent selloff

  • Over $2B in liquidations since Thursday

  • Bitwise CIO: "Full-bore crypto winter" like 2022

  • Fed uncertainty, Kevin Warsh hawkish appointment weighing

Altcoins:

  • $ETH (Ethereum): $2,241 (-2.59%)

  • $SOL (Solana): $96.42 (-6.51%)

  • $XRP: $1.59 (-1.08%)

  • $DOGE: $0.107 (-0.49%)

Strategy: Wait for clear bottoming pattern before adding exposure
Rating: 5/10 - High risk, potential reward if supports hold

🎯 KEY CATALYST TRADES FOR WEDNESDAY

📈 BULLISH SETUPS

1. $LLY - Obesity Drug Dominance ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Entry: $1,020-$1,040 (on any pullback)

  • Target: $1,100-$1,150 (+7-12%)

  • Stop: $980

  • Catalyst: Blowout earnings, 2026 guidance crushed estimates

  • Rating: 9/10

2. GOLD/SILVER MINERS - Recovery Play ⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • $GDX Entry: On 3-5% pullback

  • $SLV Entry: $74-$76

  • Target: $GDX +10-15%, $SLV $95-$100

  • Catalyst: Metals recovering from historic selloff

  • Rating: 7/10 (volatility warning)

3. $LITE (Lumentum) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Last: $435.10 (+9%)

  • Q2 EPS: $1.67 vs $1.41 est (BEAT)

  • Q2 Revenue: $665.5M vs $652M est

  • Q3 Guide: Above consensus

  • Entry: $425-$435

  • Target: $475-$500

  • Rating: 8/10

4. $ENPH (Enphase Energy) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Last: $37.28 (+24%)

  • Q4 EPS: $0.71 vs $0.59 est (BEAT)

  • Q4 Revenue: $343M vs $338M est

  • Upgrade: BMO Capital to Market Perform

  • Entry: $36-$38

  • Target: $42-$45 (+15%)

  • Rating: 8/10

5. $SMCI (Super Micro Computer) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Last: $29.67 (+11%)

  • Q2 EPS: $0.69 vs $0.49 est (BEAT)

  • Q2 Revenue: $12.68B vs $10.42B est (+123% YoY)

  • Q3 Guide: Above consensus

  • FY26 Revenue: Raised above consensus

  • Entry: $28-$30

  • Target: $34-$37

  • Watch: Margin concerns

  • Rating: 7/10

6. $TTWO (Take-Two Interactive) ⭐⭐⭐

  • Last: $212.17 (+2.4%)

  • Q3 Loss: ($0.50) vs ($0.39) est

  • Q3 Revenue: $1.76B vs $1.58B est (+28.5% YoY)

  • Entry: $210-$215 (sold off 20% into earnings)

  • Target: $230-$240

  • Rating: 7/10

📉 BEARISH/AVOID SETUPS

1. $AMD - Quality of Beat Questioned ⚠️

  • Avoid: $220-$242 range

  • Watch: Potential gap fill to $170-$200

  • China revenue concerns

  • Rating: 2/10 (avoid)

2. $UBER - Guidance Disappointment ⚠️

  • Avoid: Current levels

  • 30% drawdown from highs

  • Part of broader software rout

  • Rating: 3/10 (avoid)

3. $NVO (Novo Nordisk) ⚠️

  • Down 13-14% after weak guidance

  • 2026 outlook disappoints

  • Wait for stabilization

  • Rating: 4/10 (wait)

4. Software/SaaS Names ⚠️

  • $CRM, $ADBE, $NOW, $TEAM all under pressure

  • AI disruption fears

  • Anthropic legal AI tool spooking sector

  • Rating: 2-3/10 (avoid sector)

5. $MSTR (MicroStrategy) ⚠️

  • Downgrade: Canaccord target cut $474 → $185

  • BTC correlation risk

  • Q4 earnings Feb 5

  • Rating: 3/10 (avoid)

📰 WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT

Government Shutdown Resolution:

  • Trump signed funding bill Tuesday afternoon

  • Ended partial shutdown that began Saturday

  • "Great victory for American people" - Trump

  • Employees return to duty stations Feb 4

Trump Administration Developments:

  • Venezuela Oil: Millions of barrels heading to Houston, exports up to 800K bbl/day

  • Iran Negotiations: Talks still ongoing, meeting scheduled Friday in Istanbul

  • Colombian Relations: Trump met with President Petro for 2 hours, "got along very well"

  • Fed Miran Resignation: Fed's Miran resigns from White House post

  • Kevin Warsh: Confirmed as next Fed Chair nominee, hawkish pick

Clinton Testimony: Bill and Hillary Clinton to testify before Congress Feb 26-27 on Epstein investigation

Market Impact: Shutdown resolution removes near-term uncertainty, but Fed independence concerns remain with Warsh nomination

📅 ECONOMIC CALENDAR - WEDNESDAY, FEB 4

8:15 AM ET - ADP Employment Change (Jan)

  • Expected: Key labor market indicator

  • Impact: HIGH - Jobs data critical for Fed policy

9:00 AM ET - JOLTS Job Openings (Dec)

  • Previous: Watch for hiring trends

  • Impact: MEDIUM

10:00 AM ET - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jan)

  • Expected: 52.5

  • Impact: HIGH - Services sector health crucial

10:00 AM ET - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jan)

  • Impact: MEDIUM - Inflation indicator

💰 SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW

✅ BULLISH SECTORS TODAY

  1. HEALTHCARE/PHARMA 🏥

    • Leader: $LLY crushing earnings

    • $ABBV solid results

    • Obesity drug market exploding

    • Money Flow: STRONG BUY

  2. PRECIOUS METALS/MINING 💎

    • Gold/Silver massive recovery

    • Safe haven demand intact

    • Supply deficit narratives

    • Money Flow: STRONG BUY (with volatility)

  3. ENERGY (Selective) ⚡

    • $ENPH solar play working

    • Alternative energy bounce

    • Money Flow: MODERATE BUY

  4. SEMICONDUCTORS (Selective) 🔌

    • $LITE, $SMCI working

    • $AMD, $NVDA struggling

    • Money Flow: MIXED

⚠️ BEARISH/DECLINING SECTORS

  1. SOFTWARE/SaaS 📉

    • AI disruption fears

    • Broad sector selloff

    • Money Flow: HEAVY SELLING

  2. GIG ECONOMY 🚗

    • $UBER disappointment

    • Profitability questions

    • Money Flow: SELLING

  3. CRYPTOCURRENCY STOCKS ₿

    • $MSTR, $COIN, $HOOD under pressure

    • Bitcoin weakness = stock weakness

    • Money Flow: SELLING

🎲 TRUMP MOMENTUM TRADES

Venezuela Oil Deal 🛢️

  • US energy companies positioned to benefit

  • 800K bbl/day exports to Houston

  • Watch: $XOM, $CVX, energy services

"Buy America" Trade 🇺🇸

  • Dollar strength on Warsh nomination

  • Domestic manufacturing focus

  • Watch: Industrials, defense

Tariff/Trade Positioning

  • Ongoing negotiations with multiple countries

  • Policy uncertainty = opportunity

  • Watch: Currency hedges, international exposure plays

📊 OPTIONS FLOW & DARK POOL ACTIVITY

Notable Call Flow:

  • $LLY: Heavy call buying 1100-1150 strikes March

  • $GDX: Call volume spiking in recovery

  • $SLV: Massive option volume both ways

Notable Put Flow:

  • $AMD: Put protection being added

  • $UBER: Bearish flow continues

  • $QQQ: Hedging activity elevated

Dark Pool Prints:

  • Healthcare names seeing institutional accumulation

  • Tech names seeing distribution

  • Precious metal miners getting bought

🔮 BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT

Current State:

  • Crypto winter according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan

  • "Full-bore, 2022-like, Leonardo-DiCaprio-in-The-Revenant-style crypto winter"

  • NOT a bull market correction - this is a bear phase

Key Levels:

  • Bitcoin: $75K support critical, $80K resistance

  • Ethereum: $2,200 support, $2,400 resistance

  • Solana: $95-$100 make or break

Institutional Flow:

  • Spot ETF outflows slowing ($278M in Jan vs larger prior months)

  • Central exchange reserves declining

  • Long liquidations dominating

Outlook:

  • Cautious - let clear bottom form

  • Historical crypto winters last 12-18 months

  • DCA strategy more appropriate than lump sum

  • Rating: 5/10 risk/reward

🎯 TRADE HIGHLIGHTS BY MARKET

STOCKS 📈

Winners: $LLY, $LITE, $ENPH, $SMCI, $TTWO
Losers: $AMD, $UBER, $NVO, $MSTR
Strategy: Rotate into healthcare, selective tech

OPTIONS 📊

Hot Plays: $LLY calls, $GDX calls, $AMD puts
Avoid: Naked short vol in precious metals (IV spike)
Strategy: Spreads better than naked positions

FUTURES 📉

ES Levels: 6,930 support, 6,965 resistance
Gold: $5,000 psychological level key
Strategy: Range trade until clear breakout

CRYPTO ₿

BTC: $76K support watch
Strategy: Wait for higher lows pattern
Risk Level: HIGH

🧠 MASTERMIND INSIGHTS & SOCIAL SENTIMENT

Key Themes from Trading Community:

  1. "SaaSpocalypse is real" - Software sector getting destroyed, AI replacement fears

  2. "Gold/Silver recovery too fast?" - Profit taking likely after 28% silver bounce

  3. "LLY is the new mega-cap healthcare" - Obesity market could be $100B+

  4. "AMD China revenue is a red flag" - Quality of beat matters more than beat itself

  5. "Don't catch falling knives in crypto" - Let BTC stabilize before adding

Tom Lee (Fundstrat): "Hard to be late-cycle when ISM Manufacturing just broke above 50"

Adam Mancini: "Every elevator down sell in ES ends in a squeeze" - Got long at 6,920 failed breakdown

Mike Zaccardi: "Halfway through earnings season, +4.7% surprise vs +3.7% pre-COVID average"

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⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDERS

Position Sizing: Never risk more than 2% per trade
Stop Losses: ALWAYS use them - precious metals volatility proves why
Diversification: Don't chase single themes (software bears learned this)
Take Profits: $LLY longs should scale out into strength
Stay Liquid: Keep 20-30% cash for opportunities

📌 OVERALL MARKET STRATEGY

Near-Term Outlook: Mixed with sector-specific opportunities

Key Drivers:

  1. Economic data today (ADP, JOLTS, ISM Services)

  2. Earnings quality vs. quantity (AMD vs LLY example)

  3. Sector rotation away from software into healthcare

  4. Precious metals volatility creating swing opportunities

  5. Fed policy uncertainty with Warsh nomination

Recommended Approach:

  • 30% Healthcare - $LLY and sympathy plays

  • 25% Precious Metals - $GDX, $SLV with tight stops

  • 20% Selective Tech - $LITE, $SMCI, avoid mega-cap

  • 15% Cash - Deploy on weakness

  • 10% Hedges - $SPY puts or $VIX calls

What to Watch This Week:

  • Thursday: Jobless Claims, Trade Balance

  • Friday: Monthly Jobs Report (BIG)

  • Weekend: Digest earnings, position for next week

🔔 KEY TAKEAWAYS

✅ Precious metals recovery is real but volatile - Trade with stops
✅ Healthcare is THE sector - $LLY showing leadership
✅ Software sector pain likely continues - AI disruption fears overblown but real
✅ Crypto needs more time - Don't be a hero catching falling knives
✅ Economic data today is critical - Could shift Fed expectations
✅ Quality > Quantity in earnings - AMD learned this the hard way

📈 FINAL WORD

The market is telling us a clear story: ROTATION IS HAPPENING. Money is flowing OUT of expensive, AI-hyped software and INTO established healthcare champions with real earnings power. The precious metals volatility offers tactical opportunities but requires discipline.

Wednesday's economic data will be crucial for determining if the recent tech weakness is a sector-specific issue or the start of something broader. The shutdown ending removes one uncertainty, but Fed policy questions remain.

Best setups today: $LLY on pullbacks, precious metal miners on dips, avoid the software carnage.

Trade smart, not hard. See you at tomorrow's session.

DCG COMMAND CENTER | Making Every Trade Count
This newsletter is for educational purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Follow us for real-time updates and join the community at AITradingSkool.com

Newsletter compiled: February 4, 2026, 7:00 AM ET
Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Juice, Investing.com, TradingView, CoinDesk
All prices verified as of market open February 4, 2026

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