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- "Oil, War & Volatility: Traders Brace for Explosive Week as Global Tensions Flare" DCG STOCKS, OPTION, CRYPTO Trading Plan | Week of June 22, 2025
"Oil, War & Volatility: Traders Brace for Explosive Week as Global Tensions Flare" DCG STOCKS, OPTION, CRYPTO Trading Plan | Week of June 22, 2025
Strait of Hormuz risks, Fed testimony, and key earnings fuel a high-stakes setup for energy, defense, and gold—while tech and crypto reel from macro crossfire.
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🔀 Market Strategy Outlook
Sentiment: Mixed but risk-off bias short term. Heavy rotation to safety: gold, energy, defense. Expected Move (SPX): ±116 pts | Range: 5900–6100 Trend Bias: Bearish-to-neutral early week, potentially bullish reversal post-Powell.
BULLISH SECTORS:
⚡ Energy (XLE, USO, INDO, CVX)
🚨 Defense (RTX, DFEN, LMT)
🔷 Uranium/Nuclear (LEU, SMR)
💸 Gold & Silver (GLD, SLV, GDX)
BEARISH SECTORS:
📈 Tech (QQQ, NVDA, META, AMD)
🛣 Altcoins & Crypto Equities (MARA, COIN)
🏠 Real Estate (XLRE)
🌍 News Catalyst Breakdown
Macro & Fed:
Fed Gov. Waller hints at July rate cut.
Powell testifies Tues/Wed; markets expect dovish tone.
Core PCE Friday = critical inflation signal.
Geopolitical Headlines:
Iran Parliament approves Hormuz closure; 20M+ bpd affected.
U.S. Navy approved Hormuz reopening, momentary de-escalation.
Russia, China call for UN ceasefire; Iran rejects diplomacy.
Corporate Highlights:
GMS in talks with HD, QXO - watch takeover bids.
Couchbase acquired at $24.50/share (deal premium).
Centrus (LEU) extends DoE uranium fuel contract.
Circle and Seaport highlight stablecoin momentum.
TSLA opens robotaxi network to early adopters.
📊 Economic Calendar (June 24–28)
Mon: Manufacturing/Services PMI, Existing Home Sales
Tues: Powell Testimony, Consumer Confidence, FDX Earnings
Wed: Powell (pt 2), MU Earnings, New Home Sales
Thurs: GDP, Initial Claims, Durable Goods, NKE Earnings
Fri: Core PCE Inflation – Biggest market mover
🔢 Seasonality & Technical Patterns
June Post-OPEX: Typically weak. Expect pullbacks early week.
Volatility compression into Thursday (GDP), followed by potential Friday reversal.
SPX 5900 key support zone.
🚀 Overnight & Intraday Trades (High Conviction)
Long:
⭐ CVX July $150c
⭐ GLD July $192c
⭐ RTX July $100c
Short:
❌ MU $130p into earnings
❌ MARA common
❌ QQQ puts (short term hedge)
🔹 Watchlist Focus
Oil plays: INDO, XLE, PBR, XOM (news-sensitive)
Crypto reversal: BTC, ETH, STRK (volume surge)
Event trades: FDX, MU, NKE (earnings swing setups)
🚨 Trading Instructions
Copy/Paste Guide ⬇️
Trade Smart. Trade Strategic. Stay Nimble – Geo/Macro risk remains elevated.

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