🚀 NVIDIA CRUSHES EARNINGS: AI SUPERCYCLE REIGNITES — PCE DATA & IRAN TALKS SET THE STAGE FOR THURSDAY'S BREAKOUT OPPORTUNITIES

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⚡ KEY THINGS TO KNOW — FEBRUARY 26, 2026

Heading into today's open, here is what every trader in the DCG Command Center must know before placing a single trade:

• NVDA EARNINGS BEAT: Revenue $68.13B (+73.2% YoY) vs $66.13B est | EPS $1.62 vs $1.54 est | Data Center $62.3B (+75% YoY). NVDA closed at $195.56 Wednesday, pre-market at ~$197.65 (+1.04%). Goldman Sachs says strong guidance to sustain move higher. Citi raises PT to $300.

• CELH MASSIVE BEAT: Celsius Holdings revenue $721.6M vs $635.31M est (+117% YoY) | EPS $0.26 vs $0.19 est. Pre-market up ~9 points (~+18% from ~$41.50 prior close). Now ~20% of U.S. energy drink market.

• IONQ QUANTUM SURGE: Q4 revenue $61.89M vs $40.38M est (+428.5% YoY) | EPS -$0.20 vs -$0.51 est. Pre-market +6 points (~+18%), last at ~$33.59-$38.96.

• BIG ECONOMIC DATA AT 8:30 AM ET: PCE Price Index (Jan), Core PCE MoM, Personal Spending MoM, Durable Goods Orders, Jobless Claims (4-week avg 221K). This is THE inflation print — market moving.

• BITCOIN BOUNCING: BTC at $68,173 (+4.31% 24h). Fear & Greed at 16 (Extreme Fear). Recovering after Jane Street halted sell algorithms. Extreme oversold conditions suggest potential mean reversion.

• GEOPOLITICAL CATALYST: U.S.-Iran nuclear talks begin TODAY in Geneva. Brent crude above $70/bbl. Energy sector in focus.

• AI BILL: U.S. Senators to reintroduce AI Innovation Bill Thursday — bullish for AI/tech sector broadly.

• S&P FUTURES: ESH2026 trading at ~6,957.25, slightly negative pre-market (-0.04%). Key levels: H3 Short 6,960 | L3 Long 6,908 | L4 Short Breakout 6,880 | L5 SB Target 6,828.

• SENTIMENT SHIFT: Bull sentiment declining for 3rd straight week (AAII). Markets entering cautious consolidation after strong Wednesday session (+0.81% SPY, +1.26% Nasdaq).

✅ PHASE 0: VERIFIED PRICE TABLE (As of Feb 25 Close / Feb 26 Pre-Market)

All prices verified from Yahoo Finance, CNBC, Investing.com, and CoinMarketCap as of February 26, 2026 pre-market.

�� WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 25 MARKET RECAP

Index Performance — February 25 Close

Wednesday Sector Leadership (Best to Worst)

Post-Market Key Catalysts

• NVDA beat on all metrics post-close. Stock surged ~3.5% within 10 minutes of CFO commentary drop.

• CELH reported blowout Q4: Revenue $721.6M (+117% YoY) — massive beat over $635.31M consensus.

• IONQ quantum computing revenue up +428.5% YoY. Pre-market indicated up ~6 points or +18%.

• NTNX Nutanix beats and announces AMD multi-year strategic partnership for AI infrastructure.

• TTD Trade Desk guided Q1 revenue below consensus despite Q4 beat — shares down -16.79% and falling.

 �� STOCK MARKET NEWS — TODAY'S TOP CATALYSTS

�� MAJOR CATALYSTS

• NVDA Q4 FY2026 RESULTS (MAJOR BULLISH): EPS $1.62 (+$0.08 beat) | Revenue $68.13B (+73.2% YoY) | Data Center $62.3B (+75%) | Q1 FY2027 Guidance: ~$78B (+/-2%). Citi PT raised to $300. Goldman: 'Strong guidance to sustain move higher.' Pre-market: $197.65 (+1.04%).

• PCE INFLATION DATA (MAJOR — 8:30 AM ET): Core PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) | PCE Price Index YoY (Jan) | Personal Spending MoM. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Hot reading = rate-hike fears resurface = market sell-off risk. Cool reading = bull rip.

• U.S.-IRAN NUCLEAR TALKS BEGIN TODAY (MAJOR GEOPOLITICAL): High-stakes talks in Geneva begin Thursday. Brent crude >$70/bbl. Energy stocks and defense names sensitive. Watch XOM, CVX, LMT, RTX.

�� MODERATE CATALYSTS

• AI INNOVATION BILL REINTRODUCTION (Moderate Bullish): U.S. Senators reintroduce AI Innovation Bill Thursday — positive for AI infrastructure names: NVDA, AMD, AVGO, SMH ETF.

• AMZN-OPENAI DEAL (Moderate Bullish): Amazon considering up to $50B investment in OpenAI ($15B upfront), with expansion of AWS partnership and Trainium chip adoption. AMZN pre-market slightly positive.

• SIEMENS ENERGY DATA CENTER DEMAND (Moderate Bullish): By 2030, data centers to consume as much electricity as Germany + Japan combined. Grid/power infra names in play: NEE, AES, ETN, EATON.

• SPOT UPGRADE (Moderate Bullish): Spotify upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Arete Research. Sentiment shift in streaming/consumer tech.

• NTNX + AMD STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP (Moderate Bullish): Multi-year deal to jointly develop open full-stack AI infrastructure. Positive sympathy for AMD.

�� MODERATE BEARISH

• TTD TRADE DESK WEAK Q1 GUIDE (Moderate Bearish): Guided Q1 revenue below consensus despite Q4 beat. Stock -16.79% pre-market at $25.16. Short-term downside momentum. Watch for sympathy pressure on digital advertising peers: DV, MGNI.

• HIKMA PHARMA PLUNGES -15.3% (Moderate Bearish): FTSE 100 pharmaceutical company hits 4-year low on earnings. Negative sentiment ripple for specialty pharma.

• AMAZON UK LAWSUIT (Minor Negative): Amazon denied permission to appeal UK lawsuits from retailers and consumers. Regulatory overhang.

• BULL SENTIMENT DECLINING FOR 3RD STRAIGHT WEEK (Minor Bearish): AAII survey shows fewer bulls. Contrarian indicator — deep enough oversold can flip bullish.

��️ TRUMP IMPACT & WHITE HOUSE MARKET INTELLIGENCE

White House Press Activity — Feb 25-26, 2026 Impact

President Trump's State of the Union Address (Wednesday, February 25) was noted by BMO Senior Economist Sal Guatieri as 'nothing market moving' in terms of direct market catalysts. However, the cumulative Trump policy environment continues to shape key market themes:

• TARIFF ENVIRONMENT: Ongoing tariff policy uncertainty continues to weigh on Industrials (-0.78%) and Materials (-0.56%). Stellantis is exploring Chinese Leapmotor EV tech for Europe — flagging the complex regulatory dance between China and U.S. connected vehicle rules (2027 ban pending). Watch STLA.

• AI STRATEGIC POLICY: White House developing U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve blueprint (full report expected mid-2026). Bullish long-term for BTC.

• TRADE POLICY: Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid noted 'overly high inflation' as primary concern. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's policy leanings being scrutinized. Rate-cut timeline unclear.

• IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL TALKS: A Trump-initiated diplomatic push in Geneva today. Resolution could reduce geopolitical risk premium in oil — negative for energy stocks but positive for broader market.

• DATA CENTER DEMAND + AI EXECUTIVE ORDERS: Administration's AI-friendly posture underpins the secular data center buildout trend identified in SIEMENS ENERGY's AGM call.

Trump Momentum Trades

• LONG: AI infrastructure — NVDA, AMD, AVGO (AI Executive Order + DoD AI spending)

• LONG: Defense — LMT, RTX, NOC (geopolitical tensions, Iran talks)

• LONG: Domestic energy — XOM, CVX (tariff protection, Iran wildcards)

• WATCH: Tariff-exposed industrials — CAT, DE remain under pressure from trade uncertainty

�� ECONOMIC CALENDAR — THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 26, 2026

ALL reports release at 8:30 AM ET. This is a heavy data morning — position accordingly BEFORE open.

Trading Strategy Around Data Release

• COOL PCE (Below expectations) → Bull scenario: Rate-cut hopes reignite. Expect SPY to rip, QQQ to lead, bonds rally, dollar softens. BEST CASE for longs.

• HOT PCE (Above expectations) → Bear scenario: Rate-hike fears return. SPY/QQQ sell off, yields spike. NVDA's post-earnings glow could get dampened. Reduce position risk before 8:30 AM ET.

• IN-LINE PCE → Neutral: NVDA earnings carry the day. Expect tech leadership to continue with moderate upside.

⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT: Do NOT be fully positioned in directional trades before 8:30 AM ET PCE release. Wait for the print and first 5-minute candle confirmation before adding risk.

�� SECTOR ANALYSIS — THURSDAY FEBRUARY 26, 2026

�� BULLISH SECTORS

• TECHNOLOGY (STRONGEST): NVDA earnings catalyst. AI Innovation Bill reintroduction. IONQ +428% revenue YoY. SMH semiconductor ETF key. NTNX+AMD partnership. Data center electricity demand soaring. LEADERS: NVDA, AMD, AVGO, IONQ, NTNX, ANET.

• CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (BULLISH): CELH blowout earnings (+117% revenue). Energy drink market share grab. Sympathy plays: MNST, KO. Watch for consumer spending data from PCE.

• FINANCIALS (BULLISH): Led Wednesday with +1.75% gain. Strong volume. Watch JPM, GS, MS as rate expectations clarify post-PCE.

• UTILITIES / ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE (BULLISH): Siemens Energy data center electricity demand forecast. Grid investment theme. NEE, ETN, AES, EATON.

�� BEARISH SECTORS

• DIGITAL ADVERTISING: TTD Trade Desk -16.79% on weak Q1 guidance. Negative read-through for DV (DoubleVerify), MGNI (Magnite), PUBM.

• CONSUMER STAPLES: Weakest sector Wednesday (-0.81%). Sector rotation OUT of defensives INTO growth accelerating.

• INDUSTRIALS: Trade war uncertainty, policy 'standby' mode per Bouygues CEO. Tariff overhang continues.

• REAL ESTATE: Rising yields pressure REITs. PCE data will be decisive.

Money Rotation Thesis

Clear rotation OUT of defensive sectors (Consumer Staples, Real Estate, Industrials) and INTO growth/technology (Tech, Financials, Consumer Discretionary). This is a risk-ON environment post-NVDA earnings, with the 1-year QQQ performance at +19.85% vs SPY +16.59%. IWM small-caps +22.67% YTD signals broadening participation.

₿ BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT BREAKDOWN

Crypto Market Snapshot — February 26, 2026 (~5 AM CST)

Crypto Narrative & Trade Setup

• BOUNCE CATALYST: Jesse Cohen (X/Twitter) noted 'All it took for Bitcoin to rally was for Jane Street to shut off its sell algorithms.' BTC has declined ~47.5% peak-to-trough from Oct 2025 highs. RSI extreme oversold. Funding rates sharply negative — typical late-stage stress setup favoring mean reversion.

• BULLISH LONG-TERM NARRATIVE: Michael Saylor compares BTC's slump to Apple and Amazon's multi-year skepticism periods. U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve blueprint in development (report due mid-2026).

• INSTITUTIONAL SIGNAL: Bitwise acquires $2.2B crypto staking firm Chorus One. Major institutional capital expanding on-chain exposure.

• BEARISH DATA: Bitcoin ETFs logged ~25,000 BTC net selling in Q4 2025 (institutional 13F filings). BTC below 365-day moving average for first time since March 2022.

• FEAR & GREED AT 16: Historically, extreme fear readings precede significant bounces. Not a guarantee, but probability favors contrarian longs with tight risk.

Crypto Sector Movers (SoSoValue)

• Solana Ecosystem: +4.50% | Base Ecosystem: +4.94% | ETF Candidates: +6.48%

• Sui Ecosystem: +5.41% | Tokenized Stocks: +4.76% | Grayscale 2025 Top20: +4.77%

• CeFi: +3.23% | PayFi: +4.14% | AI Crypto: +3.49%

• Bitcoin Dominance: 57.26% — still elevated, meaning alts must push BTC higher first

�� HIGH-CONVICTION TRADE IDEAS — FEBRUARY 26, 2026

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: All trade ideas are for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management. Join our community at aitradingskool.com for live trade coaching.

 �� S&P FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS — THURSDAY FEBRUARY 26

Based on DCG Camarilla levels and TradingView chart analysis (screenshot verified):

Futures Bias

• BIAS: Neutral to slightly BULLISH. NVDA beat provides fundamental support. PCE data at 8:30 AM ET is the swing factor.

• BULL SCENARIO: PCE in-line or cool → ES breaks above 6,965 → H4 Long Breakout target 7,000+

• BEAR SCENARIO: PCE hot → ES drops below 6,908 L3 support → next stop 6,880 L4 → then 6,828 L5 bear target

• TRADE PLAN: Buy dips to 6,908-6,920 with stop at 6,878. Target 6,975-7,000. Risk/reward 2:1.

�� EARNINGS WRAP & UPCOMING CATALYSTS

Earnings Results — Wednesday Feb 25 After-Hours

Sympathy Stocks — Benefit from Positive Earnings

• NVDA beat → Sympathy: AMD, AVGO, ANET, MRVL, TSM (TSMC), SMH ETF, SOXX ETF

• CELH beat → Sympathy: MNST (Monster Beverage), KO (Coca-Cola distribution deal), FIZZ (National Beverage)

• IONQ beat → Sympathy: RGTI (Rigetti), QBTS (D-Wave), QUBT (Quantum Computing), OKLO (nuclear power for quantum)

• NTNX+AMD partnership → Sympathy: AMD, DELL, PSTG (Pure Storage) — enterprise AI infrastructure

Earnings Reporting Thursday Feb 26

• CELH (Celsius Holdings) — Already reported AH Wed. Market digesting.

• BIDU (Baidu) — Est. EPS $1.12 | Revenue $4.68B. China AI exposure.

• CM (Canadian Imperial Bank) — Est. EPS $1.74 | Revenue $5.24B.

• VIPS (Vipshop Holdings) — Est. EPS $0.68 | Revenue $4.78B. China e-commerce.

• HAFN (Hafnia) — Est. EPS $0.24 | Revenue $264M. Tanker shipping.

�� MASTERMIND & SOCIAL INSIGHTS — DCG COMMUNITY INTEL

Key Social Intelligence from X / Discord

• JESSE COHEN (@JesseCohenInv): 'All it took for Bitcoin to rally was for Jane Street to shut off its sell algorithms.' — Confirms institutional selling was primary BTC headwind.

• PALMER (@BankTheTrade): NVDA $195.56 'flat lots to read' — noting data center revenue record $62.3B, +75% YoY. Also flagged IONQ +6 pre-market and NTNX +9.

• SHAY BOLOOR (@StockSavvyShay): '$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang says SaaSpocalypse narrative is WRONG. AI agents won't replace SaaS — they'll sit on top. Value accrues to platforms.' — Bullish for cloud SaaS names: CRM, SNOW, DDOG.

• SHAY BOLOOR on AMZN: 'OpenAI in talks to expand $38B AWS partnership, considering Trainium chips. Amazon considering up to $50B investment in OpenAI.' — AMZN is undervalued as AI infrastructure story.

• MIKE ZACCARDI (@MikeZaccardi): Bull sentiment declining for 3rd straight week. SPY unch, NVDA +1.6%, CRM -3.7%, BABA -3.0% (Wed close). — Signals cautious but tech-specific strength.

• ASKTRADERS: FTSE 100 gaining — Rolls-Royce lifted guidance and announced buybacks. Global risk-on sentiment building.

• TRADING TERMINAL DATA: HCTI (Healthcare Triangle) most active pre-market volume at +70.07% to $10. Small-cap speculative activity elevated.

Community Guidance for Thursday

• Focus #1: NVDA family trade. The AI mega-trend is intact. Buy dips post-PCE.

• Focus #2: CELH gap play. Wait for open and first 15-min candle before committing.

• Focus #3: Bitcoin bounce. Extreme fear = opportunity for those with long-term conviction.

• Focus #4: PCE data is THE wildcard. Risk management before 8:30 AM ET is non-negotiable.

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��️ OVERALL MARKET STRATEGY — THURSDAY FEBRUARY 26, 2026

Bullish & Bearish Sentiment Overview

Hottest Sector Sentiment Now

• �� #1 TECHNOLOGY/AI SEMICONDUCTORS: NVDA, AMD, AVGO, IONQ, SMH — strongest catalyst overnight

• �� #2 QUANTUM COMPUTING: IONQ +428% revenue. Sector ignition play: RGTI, QBTS, QUBT

• �� #3 CONSUMER ENERGY BEVERAGES: CELH blowout. MNST sympathy. Health/wellness trend

• �� #4 CRYPTO/BLOCKCHAIN: BTC bounce from extreme fear. ETH +7.29%. AI crypto sector +3.49%

• �� #5 AI CLOUD/INFRA: AMZN, MSFT — OpenAI deals confirm hyperscaler AI spending cycle intact

Trade Highlights by Market

• STOCKS: NVDA (long post-PCE), CELH (gap play), IONQ (momentum), NTNX (partnership), SHORT TTD

• OPTIONS: NVDA $200C Mar21 | CELH $50-$55C spread | IONQ $35C Mar21 | TTD $24P Mar21 | AMZN $215C Mar28

• FUTURES: ES long above 6,908 targeting 6,975-7,000 | Stop 6,878 | Bear breakdown level: 6,880

• CRYPTO: BTC long $66K-$68.5K targeting $72K-$76K | ETH long $2,000-$2,080 targeting $2,300 | SOL $83-$88 targeting $98

�� SEASONALITY & MARKET PATTERNS

• Late February seasonality is historically mixed — the 'February Barometer' for full-year returns tends to be set by month-end data.

• Post-earnings NVDA historically sees 5-7 day follow-through when beats are combined with raised guidance — which occurred Wednesday night.

• Bitcoin's extreme fear readings (below 20) have historically resolved bullish within 2-4 weeks in prior cycles, though past cycles do not guarantee future outcomes.

• PCE data on Thursday before month-end often sets the tone for early March. A cool reading could reignite the Q1 risk-on rally.

• Year-to-Date Performance Leaders: IWM +22.67% leads, followed by QQQ +19.85%, SPY +16.59%, DIA +13.92%. Small-caps outperforming — breadth expanding.

�� ADVANCE & DECLINING SECTORS / MONEY ROTATION

Advancing Sectors (Rotation INTO)

• Technology +1.92% — AI earnings fuel renewed institutional buying

• Financials +1.75% — Yield curve stabilizing, credit conditions healthy

• Consumer Discretionary +0.30% — CELH earnings confirm consumer spending health

• Communication Services +0.29% — SPOT upgrade adds momentum

Declining Sectors (Rotation OUT OF)

• Consumer Staples -0.81% — Defensive positioning unwinding as risk-on returns

• Industrials -0.78% — Trade policy uncertainty and EU 'standby' mode per Bouygues CEO

• Real Estate -0.66% — Rising yields create headwinds

• Materials -0.56% — Commodity uncertainty, tariff exposure

Money Rotation Summary

The dominant rotation Thursday: GROWTH over VALUE. TECH over DEFENSIVES. DOMESTIC AI over GLOBAL INDUSTRIALS. PCE data will either confirm or disrupt this rotation. Cool PCE = full acceleration of growth rotation. Hot PCE = temporary reversal back to defensives (utilities, consumer staples).

 �� FINAL GUIDANCE — KEY TAKEAWAYS FOR FEBRUARY 26, 2026

The DCG Command Center's top conviction insights for Thursday's session:

• 1. WAIT FOR PCE DATA: Do not enter major positions before 8:30 AM ET. The data will set the tone.

• 2. NVDA IS THE AI BELLWETHER: The beat confirms the AI supercycle is intact. Buy the dips on any post-earnings weakness.

• 3. CELH IS A CONVICTION HOLD: 117% revenue growth is not a fluke. The energy drink market share story has legs.

• 4. BTC BOUNCE IS REAL BUT FRAGILE: Extreme fear is a contrarian indicator, but macro headwinds persist. Size small.

• 5. AVOID TTD AND AD-TECH: Weak Q1 guidance signals advertising budget pressure. The sector is a headwind for Thursday.

• 6. IRON-CLAD RISK MANAGEMENT: Use stops on every trade. Pre-market moves can reverse violently at the open.

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This is how professionals plan their year. Now it's yours.

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⚡ DCG COMMAND CENTER — Market Intelligence for the Active Trader ⚡

DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Prices verified as of February 26, 2026 pre-market. Always conduct your own due diligence.

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