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S&P 500 Futures +1.3% | QQQ Futures +2.1% | SPCX ~$161 Post-IPO | Oil -5%+ | BTC ~$65,700 | G7 Summit Kicks Off in Evian, France | June 15, 2026 — Monday Pre-Market Edition

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⚡ 5 THINGS TO KNOW RIGHT NOW — BEFORE THE BELL

  1. 🕊️ US-IRAN PEACE DEAL CONFIRMED — President Trump announced Sunday a framework agreement to end the war with Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Officials from both countries will formally sign the memorandum of understanding in Switzerland on June 19. This is the single biggest macro catalyst for markets this year.

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🌍 MACRO BACKDROP — THE BIG PICTURE

The macro landscape entering this week has shifted dramatically overnight. The US-Iran peace deal — confirmed by both Washington and Tehran on Sunday — represents the single most significant geopolitical de-escalation event since the conflict began on February 28, 2026. A global relief rally drove stocks and bonds higher while oil tumbled to a three-month low after the US and Iran agreed to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. European stocks climbed 0.9% to shatter a pre-war record high, Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 2.1%, and Brent traded below $84 a barrel. This is not a rumor or a ceasefire — this is a formal memorandum of understanding with a signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. Bloomberg

The critical context for DCG traders: inflation worries kept investors cautious even as bonds and stocks rallied on Monday after the US-Iran interim deal eased nerves, with market participants warning that the conflict's economic fallout remains unresolved. Strategists at KCM Trade, Pepperstone Group, and Stifel Nicolaus have all warned the agreement is more likely to create a short-term trading opportunity than the start of a longer-term rally. This is a HEADLINE-DEPENDENT, MOMENTUM-DRIVEN session — not a fundamentals-driven one. Business Standard

On top of Iran, this week delivers the first FOMC meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh (who replaced Powell on May 15). Markets priced approximately 65% probability of holding rates steady, with Kevin Warsh inheriting a deeply divided FOMC amid persistent inflation uncertainty. With oil now crashing 5%+ on the Iran deal, the inflation outlook has meaningfully improved overnight — creating the conditions for a potentially dovish surprise from Warsh on Wednesday. Polymarket

The SpaceX IPO is the other massive theme. SPCX closed its debut session up nearly 20%, with the stock trading around $161 after opening at $150 from its $135 IPO price. CEO Musk projected that SpaceX could reach approximately $1 trillion in revenue by 2030 — a statement that went viral across financial media overnight and is driving sustained pre-market interest. CNBC

Bottom line for DCG traders: BUY the Iran deal trade (tech, transports, consumer), FADE energy on bounces, and stay ALERT for Wednesday's Fed catalyst.

🗓️ TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR — MONDAY, JUNE 15, 2026

Time (ET)

Event

Estimate

Impact

8:30 AM

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (June)

12

🟡🟡

9:15 AM

Industrial Production YoY (May)

1.9%

🟡🟡

9:15 AM

Manufacturing Production MoM (May)

0.3%

🟡

9:15 AM

Industrial Production MoM (May)

0.2%

🟡

9:15 AM

Capacity Utilization (May)

76.2%

🟡

10:00 AM

NAHB Housing Market Index (June)

37

🟡🟡

11:00 AM

Treasury Buyback Announcement (Preliminary)

🟡

11:30 AM

3-Month & 6-Month Bill Auctions

🟡

🏦 SECTOR PERFORMANCE SNAPSHOT — PRE-MARKET JUNE 15, 2026

🟢 ADVANCING SECTORS (TradingTerminal.com — 1D)

Sector

ETF

Performance

Notes

🤖 Technology

XLK

+3.35%

AI + SPCX halo effect, oil down = risk-on

🛍️ Consumer Discretionary

XLY

+1.10%

Lower oil = consumer spending boost

🧪 Basic Materials

XLB

+1.00%

Gold surge + supply chain improvement

🏦 Financials

XLF

+0.56%

Yields falling, peace = reduced default risk

⚡ Utilities

XLU

+0.27%

Safe yield play with lower oil

🌐 Communication Services

XLC

+0.00%

Flat — watching

🏗️ Industrials

XLI

+0.00%

Flat — G7 tariff overhang, but upside if deal

🤖 STOCK MARKET NEWS — SECTOR BY SECTOR

🔥 HOT SECTOR #1: SPACE & INNOVATION 🚀

SpaceX Goes Public — The Biggest IPO of Our Generation Meets the Iran Peace Rally

SpaceX's debut is now colliding with the Iran peace deal to create an extraordinary setup for the innovation and space sector. SpaceX's stock opened at $150 on Friday — an 11% jump from its IPO price — and finished up nearly 20% for the day, with the company pricing its IPO at $135 per share. Over the weekend, CEO Musk projected SpaceX could reach ~$1T revenue by 2030, with traders on Hyperliquid pushing perp contracts to the $166–$172 range in after-hours crypto trading. A reported whale has already built a $2.72M long with 3x leverage ahead of potential Nasdaq Top 100 inclusion — a forced buying event that could push the stock significantly higher. Yahoo Finance

The sympathy play ecosystem around SPCX is massive: Rocket Lab (RKLB), AST SpaceMobile (ASTS), and Red Cat (RCAT) are all mentioned as stocks-in-focus by Stocktwits this morning. The innovation sector is in full momentum mode.

🎯 SPCX (SpaceX) Trade Setup:

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