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- π¨ METALS MANIA & SANTA RALLY: Silver Breaks $75, S&P Eyes Record Close #40 on Boxing Day π π°
π¨ METALS MANIA & SANTA RALLY: Silver Breaks $75, S&P Eyes Record Close #40 on Boxing Day π π°
Historic Precious Metals Surge Drives Cross-Asset Breakouts While Crypto Consolidates Near $88K & Chip Stocks Continue AI Infrastructure Dominance | DCG COMMAND CENTER WEEKLY GAMEPLAN | Friday, December 26, 2025
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β‘ KEY THINGS TO KNOW HEADING INTO FRIDAY'S SESSION:
β
SILVER MAKES HISTORY - Spot silver hit all-time high of $75.14/oz overnight, up 158% YTD
β
S&P 500 HUNTING 40TH RECORD - Futures at 6,980.75 targeting fresh all-time close
β
PRECIOUS METALS EXPLOSION - Gold $4,530, Platinum $2,430 (new ATH), Copper near ATH
β
TRUMP MILITARY ACTION - U.S. strikes ISIS in Nigeria on Christmas, geopolitical premium active
β
THIN HOLIDAY LIQUIDITY - Markets open but volume expected 50%+ below normal
β
CHIP SECTOR MOMENTUM - MU @ $286.68 (ATH close 12/24), NVDA @ $188.61, AMD @ $215.04
β
BITCOIN CONSOLIDATING - BTC holding $87K-$88K range after options expiry
π MARKET SNAPSHOT - DECEMBER 26, 2025 PRE-MARKET
VERIFIED CLOSING PRICES (December 24, 2025):
SPY: $690.38 (Close: 12/24/25)
S&P 500: 6,908.44 (targeting 7,000 milestone)
NASDAQ: Strong tech leadership intact
VIX: 13.84 (9-day lowest since January 2020)
FUTURES (Early Morning 12/26):
S&P E-mini: 6,980.75 (-1.75, -0.03%)
Sentiment: BULLISH with record-breaking potential
π₯ BREAKING: OVERNIGHT GAME-CHANGERS
1οΈβ£ SILVER'S PARABOLIC BREAKOUT π
Trade Rating: 10/10 - GENERATIONAL MOMENTUM
Spot silver touched $75.14/oz overnight - the highest price in recorded history - driven by:
Fed rate cut expectations (2 cuts priced for 2026)
Weaker U.S. dollar amid policy uncertainty
China physical shortage (local premiums spiking)
Industrial demand (solar, EV, AI data centers)
Geopolitical safe-haven flows
Key Silver Miners Surging Pre-Market:
$CDE (Coeur Mining): Up 3% pre-market, predicted to break $20
$PAAS (Pan American Silver): Riding silver tailwinds
$AG (First Majestic): High-beta play on silver moves
TARGET OUTLOOK: Analysts cite $90/oz potential for H1 2026 if supply deficit persists
2οΈβ£ GOLD NEAR $4,530 - PLATINUM MAKES HISTORY
GOLD: $4,502.75/oz (up 72% YTD)
PLATINUM: $2,429.98/oz (ALL-TIME HIGH, +165% YTD)
PALLADIUM: $1,771.14 (+90% YTD)
Why It Matters: Entire precious metals complex in synchronized rally signaling deep macro hedging demand and inflation protection flows.
3οΈβ£ TRUMP ANNOUNCES MILITARY STRIKES IN NIGERIA πΊπΈ
President Trump confirmed U.S. Africa Command struck ISIS targets in northwest Nigeria on Christmas Day, citing protection of Christians. Nigerian government confirmed coordination.
Market Impact:
Defense stocks potential bid
Geopolitical risk premium supporting precious metals
Energy sector monitoring Nigerian stability
Highlights Trump administration's willingness to use military force
Sectors to Watch: $LMT, $RTX, $NOC, $GD
π» SEMICONDUCTOR & AI INFRASTRUCTURE DOMINANCE
MICRON TECHNOLOGY ($MU) - βββββ
Price (12/24 Close): $286.68
Move: Set ALL-TIME HIGH closing price on 12/24
YTD Performance: +160%
Catalyst Breakdown: β
HBM (High-Bandwidth Memory) SOLD OUT through all of 2026
β
Q1 FY2026 revenue guidance: $13.6B (up 37% QoQ)
β
AI data center demand accelerating
β
Analyst targets: $300-$500 range
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $280-$290 (current consolidation)
Target 1: $300 (+4.6%)
Target 2: $325 (+13.4%)
Stop: $265
Rating: BUY - Memory supercycle in AI era underway
NVIDIA ($NVDA) - ββββ
Price (12/24 Close): $188.61
Key Development: Acquiring Groq for ~$20B (largest crypto acquisition ever)
What It Means:
Eliminates key inference competitor
Expands AI platform dominance beyond training into inference
China H200 exports approved (with 15% U.S. fee)
Trade Setup:
Current: $188.61
Support: $185
Resistance: $195-$200
Targets: $210-$220 zone
Rating: HOLD/BUY dips - Groq deal strategic but stock needs consolidation
AMD ($AMD) - ββββ
Price (12/24 Close): $215.04
Catalyst: Major Alibaba MI308 chip order (40K-50K units)
Bullish Points: β
China-compliant MI308 approved for export
β
Estimated $500M-$800M incremental revenue
β
EPS impact: $0.10-$0.20
β
Consensus PT: $277 (+29% upside)
Trade Setup:
Entry: $210-$218
Target 1: $235 (+9.3%)
Target 2: $260 (+20.9%)
Risk: China approval timing uncertainty
Rating: BUY - China catalyst underappreciated
πͺ BITCOIN & CRYPTO MARKET BREAKDOWN
BITCOIN ($BTC)
Current Price: $88,680 (verified 12/26/25)
24H Range: $87,000 - $89,000
Market Cap: $1.77T
Current State:
Consolidating post-$23.47B options expiry (12/26)
ETF outflows continue ($1.13B mid-December)
Holiday liquidity suppressing volatility
Holding above key $85K support
Technical Levels:
Support: $85,000 (critical), $80,000 (strong)
Resistance: $91,000, $95,000 (max pain)
Breakout Level: $95,000+ triggers momentum
2026 Forecasts:
Citi base case: $143,000
Bull case: $189,000+
Bear case: $78,500
CRYPTO SECTOR PLAYS
$COIN (Coinbase) - βββ Price (12/24 Close): $239.73
Recent Action: Acquiring The Clearing Company (prediction markets)
Strategy Shift: Becoming "Everything Exchange"
Stock trading launch
Prediction markets
Tokenized equities
Derivatives (Deribit acquisition: $2.9B)
Setup:
Entry: $235-$245
Target: $280-$300
Risk: BTC volatility, regulatory uncertainty
Rating: HOLD - Strategic expansion positive but BTC-dependent
$IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF)
Performance: +1.6% in pre-market
Tracking BTC's consolidation with institutional bid
π― TOP TRADING SETUPS FOR FRIDAY 12/26
HIGH-CONVICTION MOMENTUM PLAYS
1. PRECIOUS METALS MINERS - Rating: 9/10
$CDE (Coeur Mining)
Current: ~$18-$19 range
Target: $22 (+15-20%)
Catalyst: Silver $75+
Stop: $16.50
Why Now: Direct leverage to historic silver breakout, tight stop-loss, asymmetric risk/reward
2. $MU (Micron) - Rating: 10/10
Entry: $280-$290
Target: $310-$325 (+8-13%)
Catalyst: AI memory supercycle, HBM sold out 2026
Stop: $272
Trade Thesis: All-time high momentum, fundamental story accelerating, analyst upgrades incoming
3. $AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) - Rating: 8/10
Entry: $210-$218
Target 1: $235 (+8%)
Target 2: $260 (+20%)
Catalyst: Alibaba MI308 order confirmation
Stop: $205
4. PLATINUM MINERS - Rating: 7/10
Plays: Platinum ETF or miners benefiting from +165% YTD move
New all-time highs creating FOMO
Industrial demand + tariff uncertainty
Rotation from gold
π SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS
ADVANCING SECTORS π
Precious Metals - EXTREME BULLISH (Silver, Gold, Platinum ATHs)
Semiconductors - BULLISH (AI infrastructure build-out)
Technology - BULLISH (NASDAQ leadership, mega-cap strength)
Materials - BULLISH (Copper near ATH, metals rally)
DECLINING SECTORS π
Energy - NEUTRAL/WEAK (-0.29% YTD sector performance)
Consumer Discretionary - MIXED (holiday sales data pending)
MONEY ROTATION SIGNAL π°
FROM: Cash/bonds β TO: Hard assets (metals), AI infrastructure stocks
Key Indicator: VIX at multi-year lows (13.84) = complacency OR confidence?
ποΈ WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT
Trump Administration Moves:
Federal Holiday Declaration: Dec 24 & 26 declared federal holidays - thin market volume expected
Nigeria Military Strike: Demonstrates willingness to use force, geopolitical risk premium active
China Policy: H200 chip exports approved to China (with 25% U.S. revenue share) - bullish for NVDA, complex for AMD
Market Sentiment: Trump policies seen as:
Pro-business (corporate optimism)
Unpredictable (geopolitical risks)
Defense-oriented (contractor upside)
π CHINA DEVELOPMENTS
Key News:
China Trade Data: Nov goods/services trade hit 4.42T yuan ($80.5B surplus)
PBOC Policy: Nationwide RMB-FX cash pooling for multinationals (capital flow flexibility)
Countermeasures: China imposed measures on 20 U.S. defense firms
Trade Impact:
Watch semiconductor export rules
AMD/NVDA China sales critical
Alibaba infrastructure spending (AMD MI308 buyer)
π‘ STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: WHAT TO WATCH
IMMEDIATE CATALYSTS (Next 48 Hours):
Santa Claus Rally Continuation: Statistically strongest trading days Dec 24-Jan 5
S&P 500 average gain: +0.50% on day after Christmas
7,000 level in sight
Metal Price Action: Can silver hold $75? Gold sustain $4,500+?
Year-End Positioning: Fund managers final 2025 rebalancing
Crypto Options Settlement: $23.47B BTC options expired - reduced overhang?
NEXT WEEK PRIORITIES:
π Economic Calendar Watch:
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Dec 26, 1:00 PM ET)
Year-end positioning flows
2026 guidance season begins
π Earnings: Light holiday week, focus shifts to early January
π Sector Themes:
AI infrastructure spending (remains strong)
Precious metals momentum (can it sustain?)
Trump policy clarity (tariffs, defense, China)
π― DCG TRADING GAMEPLAN - FRIDAY 12/26/25
BULLISH BIAS SECTORS:
β
Precious metals & miners
β
Semiconductors (AI infrastructure)
β
Technology (NASDAQ-100 leaders)
β
Defense contractors (geopolitical premium)
NEUTRAL/WATCH:
β οΈ Crypto (BTC consolidating, needs breakout)
β οΈ Energy (weak relative performance)
β οΈ Financials (awaiting rate clarity)
RISK FACTORS:
π¨ Thin holiday liquidity (volatility risk)
π¨ Geopolitical escalation (Nigeria, Venezuela, China)
π¨ Precious metals parabolic (pullback risk)
π¨ Year-end tax-loss harvesting
π° OPTIONS FLOW & DARK POOL ACTIVITY
Notable Pre-Market Activity:
Large call buying in $MU (strike $300-$320)
Precious metals miners seeing unusual volume
$SPY call spreads targeting 7,000
Whale Watch: Monitor end-of-day institutional positioning for 2026 setup
π S&P 500 FUTURES KEY LEVELS
Current: 6,980.75
Support Levels:
6,950 (minor)
6,920 (yesterday's range)
6,900 (psychological)
Resistance Levels:
7,000 (MAJOR psychological)
7,015 (Fibonacci extension)
Trading Plan:
Above 6,975: Bulls in control, target 7,000
Below 6,950: Profit-taking, watch 6,920 support
Key Themes from Discord/X/Trading Community:
"Day after Christmas = 2nd most bullish day of year" - Historical edge confirmed (Jesse Cohen)
"Metals are ripping, gold not mooning" - Silver/platinum outperformance notable (Mike Zaccardi)
"Don't trade today if you don't have to. Gonna be thin." - Liquidity warning (Palmer)
"Platinum +149% YTD" - Extreme outperformance vs other assets
"$ASTS prediction to double in 2026" - Space/satellite sector heating up
π SPECULATIVE/MOMENTUM WATCH LIST
High-Volatility Opportunities:
$ASTS (AST SpaceMobile) - Rating: 7/10
Grok AI predicts potential 2x in 2026
Space industry momentum
Analyst targets: $145-$200+
Risk Level: VERY HIGH
Silver Miners Basket:
$CDE, $PAAS, $AG, $HL
Leveraged plays on silver's historic breakout
AI Infrastructure Supply Chain:
Beyond NVDA/AMD: $ANET, $SMCI, optical component makers
β‘ FINAL WORD: POSITIONING FOR 2026
What's Working:
β
AI infrastructure thesis - MU, NVDA, AMD delivering
β
Precious metals - Historic breakouts, macro tailwinds
β
Quality tech - S&P 500 pushing records
β
Risk-on sentiment - VIX at multi-year lows
What To Watch:
β οΈ Thin liquidity can create false moves
β οΈ Metals parabolic = pullback risk
β οΈ Crypto needs catalyst for next leg
β οΈ Geopolitics (Trump military action sets precedent)
Best Trades Today:
$MU - All-time highs, AI memory supercycle
CDE/CDE/ CDE/PAAS - Silver miners leveraged to $75+ silver
$AMD - China catalyst underpriced
$SPY calls - Santa rally continuation to 7,000
π£ CLOSING THOUGHTS
The market is ending 2025 with fireworks - silver making history, S&P hunting record #40, and AI infrastructure stocks proving the skeptics wrong. While holiday liquidity creates execution risk, the underlying trends remain powerfully bullish: Fed easing expected, AI spending accelerating, and hard assets catching massive safe-haven/inflation hedge bids.
For Friday's session: Respect the thin volume, use tight stops, and focus on high-conviction setups in metals/semis. The real trading action resumes next week as we position for 2026.
Trade smart. Trade safe. And Merry Christmas from the DCG COMMAND CENTER team. π π
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DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. All trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research and trade at your own risk. Prices and data verified as of market close December 24, 2025, and pre-market December 26, 2025.
DCG COMMAND CENTER | Trading Intelligence for Serious Traders
December 26, 2025 - Boxing Day Edition
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