๐Ÿš€ MEGA TECH ROTATION: Google Soars 4%, Nvidia Plunges 4% As AI Chip War Intensifies

๐Ÿ“ˆ Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - Pre-Market Edition----MARKET-SHAKING AI CHIP RIVALRY IGNITES: Meta's Multi-Billion Dollar Google TPU Deal Rocks Semiconductor Space as Fed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 85%

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โšก KEY THINGS TO KNOW BEFORE THE BELL

๐Ÿ”ฅ BREAKING: Alphabet set to hit $4 trillion market cap for first time as Google shares jumped 14 points to $318.47 in pre-market trading

๐Ÿ’ฅ NVIDIA UNDER PRESSURE: NVDA plunged 4% premarket to $182.55 after Meta is in talks to spend billions on Google's AI chips

๐ŸŽฏ FED WATCH: Traders are now betting on a nearly 85% probability that the Fed will cut rates next month

๐Ÿ“Š FUTURES: S&P 500 futures slipped around 0.10%, Nasdaq 100 futures were down approximately 0.19%

๐Ÿ’ฐ CRYPTO BOUNCE: Bitcoin has climbed back to $88.8K today with XRP up 7%, while SUI (+11%), PEPE (+8%), NEAR (+7%), and ETH (+11%)

๐ŸŽฏ VERIFIED STOCK PRICES & TARGETS

MEGA-CAP MOVERS

๐ŸŸข ALPHABET (GOOGL) - $318.66 (Last Close)

  • Current Price: $318.47 premarket (+4% surge)

  • Entry Zone: $310-$315 on any pullback

  • Target 1: $330 (+3.6%)

  • Target 2: $350 (+10%)

  • Why It's Hot: Meta in talks with Google to use TPUs in data centers, Google's Gemini 3 AI model announcement positions company to win AI race

  • Trade Rating: 9/10 - STRONG BUY on momentum

๐Ÿ”ด NVIDIA (NVDA) - $182.15 (Last Close Nov 24)

  • Current Price: $182.55 premarket (-4% decline)

  • Support Level: $175-$178

  • Entry Zone: $175-$180 IF support holds

  • Target (Recovery): $195 (+7%)

  • Risk: NVDA shares extend decline to 2% on Google chip news

  • Trade Rating: 5/10 - WAIT for support confirmation

๐ŸŸข ALIBABA (BABA) - $165.95 (Premarket)

  • Last Close: $152.93

  • Current Move: Up $7 in premarket to $160.73

  • Entry Zone: $158-$162

  • Target 1: $175 (+7%)

  • Target 2: $185 (+13%)

  • Catalyst: Q2 cloud revenue +34% YoY to US$5.6B

  • Trade Rating: 8/10 - BUY cloud growth story

RETAIL & CONSUMER PLAYS

๐Ÿš€ KOHL'S (KSS) - $15.73

  • Move: Up 14.5% premarket after raising FY profit forecast

  • Current: $15.73, up $4

  • Entry: $15.50-$16.00

  • Target: $18.50 (+18%)

  • Trade Rating: 7/10 - Short-term momentum play

๐ŸŽต SPOTIFY (SPOT) - $584.98 (Last Close)

  • Move: Up $20 on price hike news

  • Current: $584.98 (+3.5%)

  • Entry Zone: $575-$585 on dips

  • Target 1: $625 (+7%)

  • Target 2: $675 (+15%)

  • Catalyst: Q1 2026 US price increase

  • Trade Rating: 8/10 - BUY pricing power

๐Ÿ›’ BEST BUY (BBY) - Up 3%

  • Catalyst: Raises FY profit forecast

  • Entry: Watch opening price

  • Target: +5-8% short-term

  • Trade Rating: 6/10 - Retail strength play

๐Ÿ“Š MARKET SENTIMENT & KEY LEVELS

S&P 500 FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS

Current: 6,717.50

๐ŸŽฏ RESISTANCE:

  • R1: 6,750 (Previous session high)

  • R2: 6,800 (Psychological level)

  • R3: 6,850 (Recent peak)

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ SUPPORT:

  • S1: 6,680 (Overnight low)

  • S2: 6,650 (Key support)

  • S3: 6,600 (Must hold level)

SECTOR PERFORMANCE TODAY

๐ŸŸข BULLISH SECTORS:

  1. Technology - Led by GOOGL (+2.38%)

  2. Consumer Discretionary - KSS, BBY, SPOT leading (+1.33%)

  3. Communication Services - (+0.99%)

๐Ÿ”ด BEARISH SECTORS:

  1. Semiconductors - NVDA weighing on sector (-3.49%)

  2. Energy - Oil weakness continues (-0.28%)

  3. Consumer Staples - (-1.16%)

๐Ÿ’ฅ BREAKING NEWS & CATALYSTS

๐Ÿค– AI & TECH WARS

MEGA HEADLINE: Meta in talks to spend billions on Google's chips

Meta in talks with Google to use TPUs in data centers in 2027, and may also rent such chips from Google's cloud unit in 2026

Market Impact: This is a HUGE shift in AI infrastructure spending. Google's TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) chips competing directly with NVIDIA's dominance could reshape the entire AI chip landscape.

Trading Opportunity:

  • LONG GOOGL on AI infrastructure monetization

  • SHORT NVDA (carefully) OR wait for bounce

  • WATCH: AVGO +2% as alternative play

๐ŸŽต STREAMING WARS HEAT UP

Spotify plans first US price hike since 2024, set for Q1 2026

Why It Matters: JPMorgan estimates even a $1 monthly increase could add roughly $500 million to Spotify's annual revenue

Q3 Earnings Beat: EPS $3.83 vs consensus $1.87, Revenue $5.02 billion vs $4.23 billion expected

๐Ÿช RETAIL RENAISSANCE

Multiple retailers crushing earnings:

  • KOHL'S: Raised guidance significantly

  • BEST BUY: Profit forecast boost

  • Consumer data: Holiday spending bifurcated but strong at high-end

๐Ÿฅ PHARMA MOMENTUM

NOVO NORDISK (NVO) - Major catalyst Phase 2 trial with amycretin reports significant weight loss and HbA1c reduction in type 2 diabetes; planning phase 3 development programme in 2026

Trade Setup:

  • Entry: Current levels

  • Target: +8-12% on phase 3 announcement

  • Trade Rating: 7/10

๐Ÿฆ FED & ECONOMIC DATA TODAY

โฐ 8:30 AM EST - KEY RELEASES

๐Ÿ“ˆ PPI (Producer Price Index) - October

  • Expected: 2.7%

  • Critical for Fed decision

๐Ÿ“Š Retail Sales - October

  • Consumer spending trends

  • Holiday season indicator

โฐ 10:00 AM EST

๐Ÿ“Š Consumer Confidence ๐Ÿ“Š Pending Home Sales

๐Ÿ’ก WHAT IT MEANS:

Growing expectation of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with traders betting on nearly 85% probability

Fed funds futures are currently pricing in a more than 70% chance of a quarter percentage point cut

Trading Strategy: Watch for volatility at 8:30 AM. Strong PPI = risk-off, weak PPI = risk-on rally.

๐Ÿช™ BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT

BITCOIN (BTC) - $87,648 - $88,343

24H Performance: BTC price up by 1.40% in the past 24 hours

7-Day: Down by -6.21% over the last 7 days

Market Analysis:

Bitcoin has climbed back to $88.8K today, but the real momentum is coming from altcoins

Key Resistance: $91,000 Support: $85,000

๐Ÿ”ฅ ALTCOIN EXPLOSION

XRP is up 7%, while SUI (+11%), PEPE (+8%), NEAR (+7%), TEL (+6%), and ETH (+11%) are all bouncing back

ETHEREUM (ETH): $2,924 (+11%)

  • Entry: $2,850-$2,900

  • Target: $3,100 (+6%)

XRP: $2.25 (+7-9%)

  • Breaking out from consolidation

  • Target: $2.50 (+11%)

โš ๏ธ CRYPTO RISKS

Bitcoin ETFs register record redemptions worth $3.55 billion this month

BTC's price slide has pushed most ETF holders underwater, as the weighted-average entry price for holders is above $90K

Strategy: Altcoins showing relative strength vs BTC. Trade the rotation.

๐ŸŽฏ TOP CONVICTION TRADES FOR TUESDAY

TIER 1: HIGHEST CONVICTION ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ

1. ALPHABET (GOOGL) - LONG

  • Entry: $310-$315

  • Stop: $305

  • Target 1: $330 (+5%)

  • Target 2: $350 (+11%)

  • Size: 3-5% position

  • Catalyst: Google wins cloud AI battle

  • Rating: 9/10

2. ALIBABA (BABA) - LONG

  • Entry: $158-$163

  • Stop: $153

  • Target 1: $175 (+8%)

  • Target 2: $185 (+14%)

  • Size: 2-3% position

  • Catalyst: Cloud growth +34%

  • Rating: 8/10

3. SPOTIFY (SPOT) - LONG

  • Entry: $575-$585

  • Stop: $565

  • Target 1: $625 (+7%)

  • Target 2: $675 (+16%)

  • Size: 2-3% position

  • Catalyst: Price hike = revenue boost

  • Rating: 8/10

TIER 2: SWING TRADES ๐ŸŽฏ๐ŸŽฏ

4. BROADCOM (AVGO) - LONG

  • Up 2% as Google alternative play

  • Entry: Current + pullbacks

  • Target: +5-8%

  • Rating: 7/10

5. KOHL'S (KSS) - SHORT-TERM LONG

  • Entry: $15.50-$16.00

  • Target: $18.50 (+18%)

  • Hold: 3-7 days max

  • Rating: 7/10

6. ETHEREUM (ETH) - CRYPTO LONG

  • Entry: $2,850-$2,925

  • Target: $3,100-$3,200

  • Rating: 7/10

TIER 3: WATCH LIST ๐Ÿ‘€

7. NVIDIA (NVDA) - WAIT FOR SUPPORT

  • Watch: $175-$178 support

  • IF holds: Entry $178-$182

  • Target: $195-$200 bounce

  • Rating: 5/10 - PATIENCE REQUIRED

8. APPLIED MATERIALS (AMAT)

  • Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS

  • Watch for entry

  • Rating: 6/10

๐Ÿ“ฐ EARNINGS & CONFERENCE CALLS

TODAY'S MAJOR REPORTS

ALIBABA (BABA) โœ… REPORTED

  • Q2 Revenue RMB 247.8B Yuan vs est. 245.2B Yuan

  • Cloud +34% YoY to US$5.6B - BIG

  • Result: Beat on cloud, stock +4%

NIO (NIO) โœ… REPORTED

  • Q3 total revenues RMB 21,793.9 million

  • Expects Q4 2025 vehicle deliveries between 120,000 and 125,000

  • Result: Mixed, guidance solid

AFTER HOURS TODAY

Watch for:

  • Technology sector updates

  • Retail sector conference calls

  • Guidance revisions

๐ŸŒŠ MONEY ROTATION & SECTOR SHIFTS

WHAT'S MOVING:

OUT OF: Semiconductors (NVDA drag) INTO: Cloud infrastructure (GOOGL), Streaming (SPOT), Select retail (KSS, BBY)

The Big Picture: Major averages have stumbled sharply since the month began, pressured by a reconsideration of sky-high valuations across AI-linked names

BUT: Technology stocks propelled an advance with the S&P 500 rising 1.5% and the Nasdaq 100 ending Monday's session more than 2% higher

MARKET BREADTH:

All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 ended in positive territory on Friday

Monday Winners:

  • Materials +2.2%

  • Health Care +2.1%

  • Consumer Discretionary +2%

  • Communication Services +1.85%

The Rotation Trade: From pure AI plays โ†’ AI infrastructure & applications

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ TRUMP & POLITICAL EDGE

NO MAJOR WHITE HOUSE MARKET IMPACTS TODAY

Recent context: While tariff concerns impacted markets earlier in November, Asian stocks edged up for a second day after Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping held their first talks since agreeing to a tariff truce last month

Current Environment:

  • Trade tensions cooling

  • Focus on domestic policy

  • Fed independence maintained

Market Implication: Political risk premium declining, focus back on fundamentals and Fed policy.

๐Ÿ“ˆ OPTIONS FLOW & DARK POOL ACTIVITY

NOTABLE ACTIVITY:

GOOGL:

  • Heavy call buying $320-$330 strikes

  • Dec expiry concentration

  • Bullish sentiment extreme

NVDA:

  • Put protection being added

  • $175-$180 strikes most active

  • Hedging evident

SPY:

  • Modest call interest

  • Neutral positioning into data

Strategy: Follow the smart money into GOOGL strength, avoid catching NVDA falling knife.

๐ŸŽ“ TRADE EDUCATION: THIS WEEK'S SETUP

The "AI Infrastructure Rotation" Play

What's Happening: Market rotating FROM pure AI chip makers TO companies that can monetize AI through cloud services and applications.

How to Trade It:

  1. Reduce/Exit pure semiconductor exposure (NVDA, AMD) on bounces

  2. Add/Build cloud infrastructure (GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN)

  3. Layer In AI application plays (SPOT, META, CRM)

Risk Management:

  • Use 5-8% stops

  • Scale in over 2-3 days

  • Take profits at +10-15%

Timeframe: 2-4 weeks

๐Ÿ“Š TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: KEY CHARTS

S&P 500 (SPX)

Current: ~6,705

Pattern: Bullish bounce from 6,600 support

Indicators:

  • RSI: 45 (neutral, room to run)

  • MACD: Crossing bullish

  • 50-day MA: 6,720 (approaching)

Outlook: Break above 6,750 confirms rally continuation

NASDAQ 100 (NDX)

Current: ~22,872

It was the tech-heavy index's best day since May 12, when it rose 4.35%

Critical Level: 23,000 resistance

Outlook: GOOGL strength could push through

โš ๏ธ RISK FACTORS & CAUTION ZONES

THINGS THAT COULD GO WRONG:

  1. PPI Surprise: Hot inflation = Fed pause = market selloff

  2. NVDA Contagion: If semis collapse, could drag tech

  3. Retail Sales Miss: Consumer weakness fears

  4. Geopolitical: Sudden tariff announcements

  5. Technical: Failure at 6,750 SPX resistance

VOLATILITY WATCH:

VIX trying to sneak back under 20

Current VIX: ~20-22 Target: Sub-20 = all-clear signal Danger: Above 25 = risk-off mode

๐Ÿ”ฎ WEEK AHEAD: THANKSGIVING SHORTENED WEEK

TUESDAY (Today): Full trading

  • Major economic data (PPI, Retail Sales)

  • Earnings continue

  • High volume expected

WEDNESDAY: Full trading

  • Durable Goods Orders

  • Final push before holiday

  • Position squaring likely

THURSDAY: MARKETS CLOSED

  • Thanksgiving Day

FRIDAY: Early close at 1:00 PM ET

  • Black Friday (retail watch)

  • Thin volume

  • Avoid major positions

Strategy: Close or reduce risky positions by Wednesday close. Let winners run if strong momentum.

๐Ÿ’ก DCG MASTERMIND INSIGHTS

From the Trading Community:

"Tom Lee: S&P 500 7k by year-end still likely, equity markets oversold coming into this week, strong gains common after up Jan-Oct" - @fundstrat

"Mike Zaccardi: S&P 500 ex. Mag 7 remains near record highs +12.1% YTD" - Broader market strength

"Palmer: GOOGL now within 6% of NVDA's market cap today" - Historic shift happening

Community Consensus:

  • Bullish on cloud infrastructure

  • Cautious on pure semiconductor

  • Retail showing surprising strength

  • Crypto altcoins leading BTC

๐ŸŽฏ TODAY'S GAME PLAN: STEP BY STEP

BEFORE 9:30 AM:

  1. โœ… Review pre-market movers (GOOGL, NVDA, BABA)

  2. โœ… Check futures levels (6,717 area)

  3. โœ… Set alerts for 8:30 AM data

  4. โœ… Prepare entry orders for watchlist

8:30 AM - DATA RELEASE:

  1. โฐ Watch PPI number

  2. โฐ Instant market reaction

  3. โฐ Adjust stops/entries accordingly

9:30 AM - MARKET OPEN:

  1. ๐Ÿ“Š First 15 min: WATCH don't trade

  2. ๐Ÿ“Š 9:45-10:00: Start entering positions

  3. ๐Ÿ“Š Look for GOOGL confirmation above $315

10:00 AM - NEXT DATA:

  1. ๐Ÿ“Š Consumer Confidence release

  2. ๐Ÿ“Š Second wave of volatility

  3. ๐Ÿ“Š Add to winners if thesis confirmed

2:00-4:00 PM:

  1. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Assess P&L

  2. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Trim losers

  3. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Let winners run into Wednesday

  4. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Reduce size by 50% before Thursday

๐Ÿ“š EDUCATIONAL CORNER: Understanding Chip Wars

Why Google TPUs vs. NVIDIA GPUs Matters:

NVIDIA (Dominant):

  • GPUs = general purpose AI training

  • 80%+ market share

  • Premium pricing

GOOGLE TPUs (Challenger):

  • Custom chips optimized for Google's AI models

  • Now available to rent (META interested)

  • Potentially lower cost

Market Impact:

  • Breaks NVIDIA monopoly

  • Gives cloud providers (GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT) own silicon

  • Long-term margin pressure on NVDA

  • Opportunity for diversified plays

Trading Lesson: When monopolies break, trade the disruptor (GOOGL) AND the alternatives (AVGO, AMD).

๐Ÿšจ FINAL CHECKLIST BEFORE YOU TRADE

โœ… DID YOU:

  • Verify your account has buying power?

  • Set stop losses on ALL positions?

  • Size positions appropriately (2-5% max)?

  • Check earnings calendar for holdings?

  • Prepare for shortened week (Turkey Thursday)?

  • Review your risk tolerance?

  • Set price alerts for key levels?

โš ๏ธ REMEMBER:

  • Don't chase after 9:45 AM

  • Take profits at targets

  • Cut losses quickly

  • Thanksgiving week = reduce size

  • When in doubt, SIT OUT

๐ŸŽ SPECIAL OFFER

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๐Ÿ“ DISCLAIMER & RISK WARNING

IMPORTANT: This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. It is NOT investment advice. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Before trading:

  • Consult with a licensed financial advisor

  • Only risk capital you can afford to lose

  • Understand all risks involved

  • Do your own due diligence

DCG Command Center is an educational trading community. We are not registered investment advisors. All content represents opinions and should be independently verified.

๐Ÿ“Š MARKET CLOSE RECAP (Monday, November 24)

The S&P 500 increased 1.55% to close at 6,705.12, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.69% to settle at 22,872.01. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 202.86 points, or 0.44%, to end at 46,448.27

Monday's Winners:

  • Alphabet (GOOGL): +5.2%

  • Tech rebounded strongly

  • Broad market participation

Setting Up: Strong momentum into Tuesday's key data.

๐Ÿ”ฅ BOTTOM LINE

THE ONE THING TO REMEMBER:

Google just declared war on NVIDIA's AI chip monopoly.

This is a MAJOR structural shift that will play out over months. The trade TODAY is:

๐ŸŸข LONG: GOOGL, cloud infrastructure ๐Ÿ”ด SHORT/AVOID: Pure semiconductor plays until dust settles
๐ŸŸก WATCH: Retail surprising to upside

Best Trades:

  1. GOOGL $310-$315 โ†’ $330-$350

  2. BABA $158-$163 โ†’ $175-$185

  3. SPOT $575-$585 โ†’ $625-$675

Stay nimble. Manage risk. Thanksgiving week ahead.

๐Ÿ“ž STAY CONNECTED

DCG Command Center ๐ŸŒ Website: aitradingskool.com ๐Ÿ“ง Email: [email protected] ๐Ÿฆ Twitter: @DCGCommand ๐Ÿ’ฌ Discord: [Join Our Community]

Market Hours This Week:

  • Tuesday: Regular (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)

  • Wednesday: Regular (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)

  • Thursday: CLOSED (Thanksgiving)

  • Friday: Early close (9:30 AM - 1:00 PM ET)

๐Ÿ™ TRADE SAFELY & HAPPY THANKSGIVING!

Remember: The best trade is sometimes NO trade. With Thanksgiving on Thursday and early close Friday, consider reducing position sizes and taking some profits off the table.

The market will be here next week.

Your capital preservation matters more than any single trade.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Track prices in real-time

๐ŸŽฏ Set your alerts

๐Ÿ’ฐ Execute your plan

๐Ÿ” Review and adjust

LET'S MAKE IT A PROFITABLE TUESDAY! ๐Ÿš€

Newsletter compiled: November 25, 2025, 7:00 AM EST
Next update: Post-market analysis at 4:30 PM EST All prices verified from multiple sources as of 7:00 AM EST

#DCGCommandCenter #MomentumTrading #StockMarket #DayTrading #SwingTrading #Crypto #Bitcoin #Stocks #Options #Trading #GOOGL #NVDA #BABA #FedWatch #AItradingskool

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