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- ๐ MEGA TECH ROTATION: Google Soars 4%, Nvidia Plunges 4% As AI Chip War Intensifies
๐ MEGA TECH ROTATION: Google Soars 4%, Nvidia Plunges 4% As AI Chip War Intensifies
๐ Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - Pre-Market Edition----MARKET-SHAKING AI CHIP RIVALRY IGNITES: Meta's Multi-Billion Dollar Google TPU Deal Rocks Semiconductor Space as Fed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 85%
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โก KEY THINGS TO KNOW BEFORE THE BELL
๐ฅ BREAKING: Alphabet set to hit $4 trillion market cap for first time as Google shares jumped 14 points to $318.47 in pre-market trading
๐ฅ NVIDIA UNDER PRESSURE: NVDA plunged 4% premarket to $182.55 after Meta is in talks to spend billions on Google's AI chips
๐ฏ FED WATCH: Traders are now betting on a nearly 85% probability that the Fed will cut rates next month
๐ FUTURES: S&P 500 futures slipped around 0.10%, Nasdaq 100 futures were down approximately 0.19%
๐ฐ CRYPTO BOUNCE: Bitcoin has climbed back to $88.8K today with XRP up 7%, while SUI (+11%), PEPE (+8%), NEAR (+7%), and ETH (+11%)
๐ฏ VERIFIED STOCK PRICES & TARGETS
MEGA-CAP MOVERS
๐ข ALPHABET (GOOGL) - $318.66 (Last Close)
Current Price: $318.47 premarket (+4% surge)
Entry Zone: $310-$315 on any pullback
Target 1: $330 (+3.6%)
Target 2: $350 (+10%)
Why It's Hot: Meta in talks with Google to use TPUs in data centers, Google's Gemini 3 AI model announcement positions company to win AI race
Trade Rating: 9/10 - STRONG BUY on momentum
๐ด NVIDIA (NVDA) - $182.15 (Last Close Nov 24)
Current Price: $182.55 premarket (-4% decline)
Support Level: $175-$178
Entry Zone: $175-$180 IF support holds
Target (Recovery): $195 (+7%)
Risk: NVDA shares extend decline to 2% on Google chip news
Trade Rating: 5/10 - WAIT for support confirmation
๐ข ALIBABA (BABA) - $165.95 (Premarket)
Last Close: $152.93
Current Move: Up $7 in premarket to $160.73
Entry Zone: $158-$162
Target 1: $175 (+7%)
Target 2: $185 (+13%)
Catalyst: Q2 cloud revenue +34% YoY to US$5.6B
Trade Rating: 8/10 - BUY cloud growth story
RETAIL & CONSUMER PLAYS
๐ KOHL'S (KSS) - $15.73
Move: Up 14.5% premarket after raising FY profit forecast
Current: $15.73, up $4
Entry: $15.50-$16.00
Target: $18.50 (+18%)
Trade Rating: 7/10 - Short-term momentum play
๐ต SPOTIFY (SPOT) - $584.98 (Last Close)
Move: Up $20 on price hike news
Current: $584.98 (+3.5%)
Entry Zone: $575-$585 on dips
Target 1: $625 (+7%)
Target 2: $675 (+15%)
Catalyst: Q1 2026 US price increase
Trade Rating: 8/10 - BUY pricing power
๐ BEST BUY (BBY) - Up 3%
Catalyst: Raises FY profit forecast
Entry: Watch opening price
Target: +5-8% short-term
Trade Rating: 6/10 - Retail strength play
๐ MARKET SENTIMENT & KEY LEVELS
S&P 500 FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS
Current: 6,717.50
๐ฏ RESISTANCE:
R1: 6,750 (Previous session high)
R2: 6,800 (Psychological level)
R3: 6,850 (Recent peak)
๐ก๏ธ SUPPORT:
S1: 6,680 (Overnight low)
S2: 6,650 (Key support)
S3: 6,600 (Must hold level)
SECTOR PERFORMANCE TODAY
๐ข BULLISH SECTORS:
Technology - Led by GOOGL (+2.38%)
Consumer Discretionary - KSS, BBY, SPOT leading (+1.33%)
Communication Services - (+0.99%)
๐ด BEARISH SECTORS:
Semiconductors - NVDA weighing on sector (-3.49%)
Energy - Oil weakness continues (-0.28%)
Consumer Staples - (-1.16%)
๐ฅ BREAKING NEWS & CATALYSTS
๐ค AI & TECH WARS
MEGA HEADLINE: Meta in talks to spend billions on Google's chips
Meta in talks with Google to use TPUs in data centers in 2027, and may also rent such chips from Google's cloud unit in 2026
Market Impact: This is a HUGE shift in AI infrastructure spending. Google's TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) chips competing directly with NVIDIA's dominance could reshape the entire AI chip landscape.
Trading Opportunity:
LONG GOOGL on AI infrastructure monetization
SHORT NVDA (carefully) OR wait for bounce
WATCH: AVGO +2% as alternative play
๐ต STREAMING WARS HEAT UP
Spotify plans first US price hike since 2024, set for Q1 2026
Why It Matters: JPMorgan estimates even a $1 monthly increase could add roughly $500 million to Spotify's annual revenue
Q3 Earnings Beat: EPS $3.83 vs consensus $1.87, Revenue $5.02 billion vs $4.23 billion expected
๐ช RETAIL RENAISSANCE
Multiple retailers crushing earnings:
KOHL'S: Raised guidance significantly
BEST BUY: Profit forecast boost
Consumer data: Holiday spending bifurcated but strong at high-end
๐ฅ PHARMA MOMENTUM
NOVO NORDISK (NVO) - Major catalyst Phase 2 trial with amycretin reports significant weight loss and HbA1c reduction in type 2 diabetes; planning phase 3 development programme in 2026
Trade Setup:
Entry: Current levels
Target: +8-12% on phase 3 announcement
Trade Rating: 7/10
๐ฆ FED & ECONOMIC DATA TODAY
โฐ 8:30 AM EST - KEY RELEASES
๐ PPI (Producer Price Index) - October
Expected: 2.7%
Critical for Fed decision
๐ Retail Sales - October
Consumer spending trends
Holiday season indicator
โฐ 10:00 AM EST
๐ Consumer Confidence ๐ Pending Home Sales
๐ก WHAT IT MEANS:
Growing expectation of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with traders betting on nearly 85% probability
Fed funds futures are currently pricing in a more than 70% chance of a quarter percentage point cut
Trading Strategy: Watch for volatility at 8:30 AM. Strong PPI = risk-off, weak PPI = risk-on rally.
๐ช BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT
BITCOIN (BTC) - $87,648 - $88,343
24H Performance: BTC price up by 1.40% in the past 24 hours
7-Day: Down by -6.21% over the last 7 days
Market Analysis:
Bitcoin has climbed back to $88.8K today, but the real momentum is coming from altcoins
Key Resistance: $91,000 Support: $85,000
๐ฅ ALTCOIN EXPLOSION
XRP is up 7%, while SUI (+11%), PEPE (+8%), NEAR (+7%), TEL (+6%), and ETH (+11%) are all bouncing back
ETHEREUM (ETH): $2,924 (+11%)
Entry: $2,850-$2,900
Target: $3,100 (+6%)
XRP: $2.25 (+7-9%)
Breaking out from consolidation
Target: $2.50 (+11%)
โ ๏ธ CRYPTO RISKS
Bitcoin ETFs register record redemptions worth $3.55 billion this month
BTC's price slide has pushed most ETF holders underwater, as the weighted-average entry price for holders is above $90K
Strategy: Altcoins showing relative strength vs BTC. Trade the rotation.
๐ฏ TOP CONVICTION TRADES FOR TUESDAY
TIER 1: HIGHEST CONVICTION ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
1. ALPHABET (GOOGL) - LONG
Entry: $310-$315
Stop: $305
Target 1: $330 (+5%)
Target 2: $350 (+11%)
Size: 3-5% position
Catalyst: Google wins cloud AI battle
Rating: 9/10
2. ALIBABA (BABA) - LONG
Entry: $158-$163
Stop: $153
Target 1: $175 (+8%)
Target 2: $185 (+14%)
Size: 2-3% position
Catalyst: Cloud growth +34%
Rating: 8/10
3. SPOTIFY (SPOT) - LONG
Entry: $575-$585
Stop: $565
Target 1: $625 (+7%)
Target 2: $675 (+16%)
Size: 2-3% position
Catalyst: Price hike = revenue boost
Rating: 8/10
TIER 2: SWING TRADES ๐ฏ๐ฏ
4. BROADCOM (AVGO) - LONG
Up 2% as Google alternative play
Entry: Current + pullbacks
Target: +5-8%
Rating: 7/10
5. KOHL'S (KSS) - SHORT-TERM LONG
Entry: $15.50-$16.00
Target: $18.50 (+18%)
Hold: 3-7 days max
Rating: 7/10
6. ETHEREUM (ETH) - CRYPTO LONG
Entry: $2,850-$2,925
Target: $3,100-$3,200
Rating: 7/10
TIER 3: WATCH LIST ๐
7. NVIDIA (NVDA) - WAIT FOR SUPPORT
Watch: $175-$178 support
IF holds: Entry $178-$182
Target: $195-$200 bounce
Rating: 5/10 - PATIENCE REQUIRED
8. APPLIED MATERIALS (AMAT)
Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS
Watch for entry
Rating: 6/10
๐ฐ EARNINGS & CONFERENCE CALLS
TODAY'S MAJOR REPORTS
ALIBABA (BABA) โ REPORTED
Q2 Revenue RMB 247.8B Yuan vs est. 245.2B Yuan
Cloud +34% YoY to US$5.6B - BIG
Result: Beat on cloud, stock +4%
NIO (NIO) โ REPORTED
Q3 total revenues RMB 21,793.9 million
Expects Q4 2025 vehicle deliveries between 120,000 and 125,000
Result: Mixed, guidance solid
AFTER HOURS TODAY
Watch for:
Technology sector updates
Retail sector conference calls
Guidance revisions
๐ MONEY ROTATION & SECTOR SHIFTS
WHAT'S MOVING:
OUT OF: Semiconductors (NVDA drag) INTO: Cloud infrastructure (GOOGL), Streaming (SPOT), Select retail (KSS, BBY)
The Big Picture: Major averages have stumbled sharply since the month began, pressured by a reconsideration of sky-high valuations across AI-linked names
BUT: Technology stocks propelled an advance with the S&P 500 rising 1.5% and the Nasdaq 100 ending Monday's session more than 2% higher
MARKET BREADTH:
All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 ended in positive territory on Friday
Monday Winners:
Materials +2.2%
Health Care +2.1%
Consumer Discretionary +2%
Communication Services +1.85%
The Rotation Trade: From pure AI plays โ AI infrastructure & applications
๐บ๐ธ TRUMP & POLITICAL EDGE
NO MAJOR WHITE HOUSE MARKET IMPACTS TODAY
Recent context: While tariff concerns impacted markets earlier in November, Asian stocks edged up for a second day after Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping held their first talks since agreeing to a tariff truce last month
Current Environment:
Trade tensions cooling
Focus on domestic policy
Fed independence maintained
Market Implication: Political risk premium declining, focus back on fundamentals and Fed policy.
๐ OPTIONS FLOW & DARK POOL ACTIVITY
NOTABLE ACTIVITY:
GOOGL:
Heavy call buying $320-$330 strikes
Dec expiry concentration
Bullish sentiment extreme
NVDA:
Put protection being added
$175-$180 strikes most active
Hedging evident
SPY:
Modest call interest
Neutral positioning into data
Strategy: Follow the smart money into GOOGL strength, avoid catching NVDA falling knife.
๐ TRADE EDUCATION: THIS WEEK'S SETUP
The "AI Infrastructure Rotation" Play
What's Happening: Market rotating FROM pure AI chip makers TO companies that can monetize AI through cloud services and applications.
How to Trade It:
Reduce/Exit pure semiconductor exposure (NVDA, AMD) on bounces
Add/Build cloud infrastructure (GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN)
Layer In AI application plays (SPOT, META, CRM)
Risk Management:
Use 5-8% stops
Scale in over 2-3 days
Take profits at +10-15%
Timeframe: 2-4 weeks
๐ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: KEY CHARTS
S&P 500 (SPX)
Current: ~6,705
Pattern: Bullish bounce from 6,600 support
Indicators:
RSI: 45 (neutral, room to run)
MACD: Crossing bullish
50-day MA: 6,720 (approaching)
Outlook: Break above 6,750 confirms rally continuation
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Current: ~22,872
It was the tech-heavy index's best day since May 12, when it rose 4.35%
Critical Level: 23,000 resistance
Outlook: GOOGL strength could push through
โ ๏ธ RISK FACTORS & CAUTION ZONES
THINGS THAT COULD GO WRONG:
PPI Surprise: Hot inflation = Fed pause = market selloff
NVDA Contagion: If semis collapse, could drag tech
Retail Sales Miss: Consumer weakness fears
Geopolitical: Sudden tariff announcements
Technical: Failure at 6,750 SPX resistance
VOLATILITY WATCH:
VIX trying to sneak back under 20
Current VIX: ~20-22 Target: Sub-20 = all-clear signal Danger: Above 25 = risk-off mode
๐ฎ WEEK AHEAD: THANKSGIVING SHORTENED WEEK
TUESDAY (Today): Full trading
Major economic data (PPI, Retail Sales)
Earnings continue
High volume expected
WEDNESDAY: Full trading
Durable Goods Orders
Final push before holiday
Position squaring likely
THURSDAY: MARKETS CLOSED
Thanksgiving Day
FRIDAY: Early close at 1:00 PM ET
Black Friday (retail watch)
Thin volume
Avoid major positions
Strategy: Close or reduce risky positions by Wednesday close. Let winners run if strong momentum.
๐ก DCG MASTERMIND INSIGHTS
From the Trading Community:
"Tom Lee: S&P 500 7k by year-end still likely, equity markets oversold coming into this week, strong gains common after up Jan-Oct" - @fundstrat
"Mike Zaccardi: S&P 500 ex. Mag 7 remains near record highs +12.1% YTD" - Broader market strength
"Palmer: GOOGL now within 6% of NVDA's market cap today" - Historic shift happening
Community Consensus:
Bullish on cloud infrastructure
Cautious on pure semiconductor
Retail showing surprising strength
Crypto altcoins leading BTC
๐ฏ TODAY'S GAME PLAN: STEP BY STEP
BEFORE 9:30 AM:
โ Review pre-market movers (GOOGL, NVDA, BABA)
โ Check futures levels (6,717 area)
โ Set alerts for 8:30 AM data
โ Prepare entry orders for watchlist
8:30 AM - DATA RELEASE:
โฐ Watch PPI number
โฐ Instant market reaction
โฐ Adjust stops/entries accordingly
9:30 AM - MARKET OPEN:
๐ First 15 min: WATCH don't trade
๐ 9:45-10:00: Start entering positions
๐ Look for GOOGL confirmation above $315
10:00 AM - NEXT DATA:
๐ Consumer Confidence release
๐ Second wave of volatility
๐ Add to winners if thesis confirmed
2:00-4:00 PM:
๐ฐ Assess P&L
๐ฐ Trim losers
๐ฐ Let winners run into Wednesday
๐ฐ Reduce size by 50% before Thursday
๐ EDUCATIONAL CORNER: Understanding Chip Wars
Why Google TPUs vs. NVIDIA GPUs Matters:
NVIDIA (Dominant):
GPUs = general purpose AI training
80%+ market share
Premium pricing
GOOGLE TPUs (Challenger):
Custom chips optimized for Google's AI models
Now available to rent (META interested)
Potentially lower cost
Market Impact:
Breaks NVIDIA monopoly
Gives cloud providers (GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT) own silicon
Long-term margin pressure on NVDA
Opportunity for diversified plays
Trading Lesson: When monopolies break, trade the disruptor (GOOGL) AND the alternatives (AVGO, AMD).
๐จ FINAL CHECKLIST BEFORE YOU TRADE
โ DID YOU:
Verify your account has buying power?
Set stop losses on ALL positions?
Size positions appropriately (2-5% max)?
Check earnings calendar for holdings?
Prepare for shortened week (Turkey Thursday)?
Review your risk tolerance?
Set price alerts for key levels?
โ ๏ธ REMEMBER:
Don't chase after 9:45 AM
Take profits at targets
Cut losses quickly
Thanksgiving week = reduce size
When in doubt, SIT OUT
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Learn advanced trading strategies, get real-time alerts, and trade alongside experienced momentum traders.
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๐ DISCLAIMER & RISK WARNING
IMPORTANT: This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. It is NOT investment advice. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Before trading:
Consult with a licensed financial advisor
Only risk capital you can afford to lose
Understand all risks involved
Do your own due diligence
DCG Command Center is an educational trading community. We are not registered investment advisors. All content represents opinions and should be independently verified.
๐ MARKET CLOSE RECAP (Monday, November 24)
The S&P 500 increased 1.55% to close at 6,705.12, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.69% to settle at 22,872.01. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 202.86 points, or 0.44%, to end at 46,448.27
Monday's Winners:
Alphabet (GOOGL): +5.2%
Tech rebounded strongly
Broad market participation
Setting Up: Strong momentum into Tuesday's key data.
๐ฅ BOTTOM LINE
THE ONE THING TO REMEMBER:
Google just declared war on NVIDIA's AI chip monopoly.
This is a MAJOR structural shift that will play out over months. The trade TODAY is:
๐ข LONG: GOOGL, cloud infrastructure ๐ด SHORT/AVOID: Pure semiconductor plays until dust settles
๐ก WATCH: Retail surprising to upside
Best Trades:
GOOGL $310-$315 โ $330-$350
BABA $158-$163 โ $175-$185
SPOT $575-$585 โ $625-$675
Stay nimble. Manage risk. Thanksgiving week ahead.
๐ STAY CONNECTED
DCG Command Center ๐ Website: aitradingskool.com ๐ง Email: [email protected] ๐ฆ Twitter: @DCGCommand ๐ฌ Discord: [Join Our Community]
Market Hours This Week:
Tuesday: Regular (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)
Wednesday: Regular (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)
Thursday: CLOSED (Thanksgiving)
Friday: Early close (9:30 AM - 1:00 PM ET)
๐ TRADE SAFELY & HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
Remember: The best trade is sometimes NO trade. With Thanksgiving on Thursday and early close Friday, consider reducing position sizes and taking some profits off the table.
The market will be here next week.
Your capital preservation matters more than any single trade.
๐ Track prices in real-time
๐ฏ Set your alerts
๐ฐ Execute your plan
๐ Review and adjust
LET'S MAKE IT A PROFITABLE TUESDAY! ๐
Newsletter compiled: November 25, 2025, 7:00 AM EST
Next update: Post-market analysis at 4:30 PM EST All prices verified from multiple sources as of 7:00 AM EST
#DCGCommandCenter #MomentumTrading #StockMarket #DayTrading #SwingTrading #Crypto #Bitcoin #Stocks #Options #Trading #GOOGL #NVDA #BABA #FedWatch #AItradingskool

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