🚀 Markets Defy Tariff Turmoil as Crypto & AI Power a Historic Melt-Up – S&P 500 and Bitcoin Hit All-Time Highs!

White House Tariff Shockwaves Fail to Shake Risk Appetite: AI/Tech and Crypto Break Out, Airlines and Consumer Leaders Surge, Global Macro Faces New Era of Policy VolatilityStocks soared to fresh record highs Thursday as traders shrugged off the White House’s sweeping new tariffs—35% on Canada, 15–20% on most major trade partners—while piling into red-hot sectors like AI, semiconductors, airlines, and crypto. Nvidia made history by closing above a $4 trillion market cap, while Bitcoin staged a vertical move past $116,000, fueled by massive short liquidations and global fiat concerns.

Author

Jamar James
July 10, 2025

I. Real-Time News & White House Impact

  • White House/Trump Headlines:

    • Trump officially announces 35% tariffs on all Canadian imports (Aug 1), 15–20% blanket tariffs on most remaining trade partners.

    • NATO/EU, China, and Canada trade responses are pending; the dollar firmed, and USDCAD spiked on this news.

    • No new anti-market regulatory moves from the White House on tech or AI.

    • Trump comments and new tariffs are now the primary macro headline. Market is increasingly macro-sensitive to trade policy overnight.

  • Fed:

    • Multiple Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Daly) suggest “rate cuts are NOT on the table until fall,” but also downplay tariff-inflation risk.

    • July cut odds remain low, but September odds are rising (Polymarket: 49%).

II. TOP SECTOR MOMENTUM RATINGS (8.4+)

BULLISH SECTORS:

  1. Crypto/Blockchain:

    • BTC hits new ATH: $116,000+, ETH at $2,900, explosive upside.

    • $415M+ of BTC shorts liquidated in the past hour; IBIT, COIN, SOL, HOOD, ETHA, and related stocks are hot.

    • 🏆 Momentum: 10/10

  2. AI/Semiconductors:

    • NVDA closes above $4T market cap for first time; large-scale option call flows and sector-wide follow-through in AMD, AVGO, GOOG, SNX.

    • AI headlines (NVDA CEO meets with Trump) keep sector top of mind.

    • AVGO, SNX, AMD, META, AAPL also see bullish flow.

    • 🏆 Momentum: 9.5/10

  3. Airlines/Transports:

    • DAL, UAL, NCLH, CCL: sector-wide upgrades, post-earnings momentum (DAL $67 PT at GS).

    • Volume in UAL/DAL/AAL remains >3x average.

    • 🏆 Momentum: 8.8/10

  4. Consumer Discretionary (TSLA, HOOD, RIVN):

    • TSLA bull flag, up 5%, momentum above all MAs. HOOD launches ETH/SOL staking in US, surges above $100.

    • 🏆 Momentum: 8.7/10

BEARISH SECTORS:

  1. Streaming/Software: NFLX, PANW, CRWD, ZS, SNOW, APP — all seeing significant put flow and downside gamma action.

    • 🏆 Momentum: 8.5/10 (Bearish)

  2. Consumer Staples: CAG notes ongoing margin compression. Weakness in WMT, KO.

    • 🏆 Momentum: 8.4/10 (Bearish/Defensive)

III. VOLUME, ADV/DEC RATIOS, & PRICE ACTION

  • S&P 500: Closes at new ATH (6,280); breadth broadens out.

  • Nasdaq: Flat to up slightly, with mega-cap tech drifting but AI semis holding sector.

  • Russell 2000: Outperforms, hitting fresh 3-month highs; small caps in rotation.

  • Rel Volume:

    • Crypto/Blockchain stocks: 4–7x average.

    • Semis/AI: 2–4x.

    • Transports: 3–6x.

    • Put/Call Ratios: Higher in streaming/software names (PANW, CRWD, NFLX).

  • Trump Tariffs:

    • 35% on Canada, 15–20% global. Immediate FX moves (CAD weaker, DXY up), but risk markets largely shrugged for now, focus on AI, crypto, and tech flows.

  • Fed/Interest Rates:

    • No July cut, but September in play.

  • BTC ATH: $116,000, 55% rally since April low; macro/fiat devaluation themes fueling FOMO.

  • AI/Tech:

    • NVDA $4T, TSLA robotaxi news, NVDA/Trump/China meeting.

V. HIGHEST PROBABILITY MARKETS & SETUPS

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