๐Ÿš€ Market Wrap-Up: Bulls in Control but Caution Ahead ๐Ÿš€ DCG Weekend Study Guide - February 14th 2025 - Weekend Edition

Stocks, Options, and Crypto: A Rollercoaster Ride with Bullish Undertones - The market remains strongly bullish, breaking above key 6100 gamma levels. The crypto market is bullish with growing institutional interest.

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The stock market wrapped up the week on a mixed note, with major indices trading near key resistance levels. Strong economic data, increased institutional interest, and options flow trends suggest bullish momentum, but upcoming catalysts could introduce volatility.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Key Economic Reports:

  • US Industrial Production (+0.5% vs. +0.3% expected) โ†’ Strong economy = Positive for equities ๐Ÿ“ˆ

  • Retail Sales Decline & Record Credit Card Debt ($1.21T) โ†’ Weak consumer spending = Caution for retail stocks ๐Ÿšจ

  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 (Revised down to 2.3% from 2.9%) โ†’ Slowing growth concerns ๐Ÿ˜•

  • NY Fed GDP Nowcast Q1 (3.02%, slightly lower) โ†’ Still solid but tapering

๐Ÿ“Š Stock Market Status:

  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Dollar Index ($DXY): Down 3 points, favoring equities & commodities ๐ŸŸข

  • ๐Ÿ›ข Oil ($USO): Down for 4 weeks, putting pressure on energy stocks but helping inflation trends ๐Ÿ”ด

  • ๐ŸŸก Gold ($GLD): Up 7 straight weeksโ€”best streak since 2020! Safe-haven demand rising ๐Ÿ†

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ S&P 500 ($SPX): Near all-time highs, consolidation before potential breakout ๐Ÿ“Š

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Russell 2000 ($IWM): Low volatility, small-caps stabilizing after strong January

๐Ÿ”ฅ Stocks & Options: Top Market Movers ๐Ÿ”ฅ

Biggest Winners:
โœ… Meta ($META): 20-day winning streak! Calls targeting $850 (June contracts) ๐Ÿš€
โœ… Tesla ($TSLA): Bullish options activity, buyers targeting $290 Calls (August expiration)
โœ… SoFi ($SOFI): Stealing market share from competitors ๐Ÿ’ฐ
โœ… Airbnb ($ABNB): +14% on strong Q4 earnings & expansion plans

Biggest Losers:
โŒ Amazon ($AMZN): Facing โ‚ฌ1.2B VAT fraud accusation in Italy
โŒ Intel ($INTC): TSMC potentially running Intelโ€™s US factories = Competitiveness risk
โŒ TSMC & US Deal Uncertainty โ†’ Political risks creating headwinds for semiconductor sector
โŒ Retail Stocks ($WMT, $TGT, $COST): Consumer spending concerns = Weakness ahead

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bullish Flow:
โœ” WMT, MRVL, MRK, BABA, TWLO, SOUN โ†’ Heavy call buying!

๐Ÿšจ Bearish Flow:
โœ” TSLA, SMCI, MDB, SUN, NXST, ETSY โ†’ Institutions shorting aggressively

๐Ÿง Unusual Options Activity:

  • META: Multi-million dollar put sellers = Institutions VERY bullish ๐Ÿ“ˆ

  • ROKU: Price target raised from $80 โ†’ $90 ๐Ÿ“Š

  • NVDA, AAPL, QQQ: Strongest weekly option gains

๐Ÿ”ฅ Crypto Market Recap: Institutional Money Flooding In! ๐Ÿ”ฅ

๐Ÿš€ Bitcoin ETF Frenzy Continues:

  • Abu Dhabi Wealth Fund: $436M Bitcoin ETF holdings ๐Ÿ“ˆ

  • Wisconsin Investment Board: $321M BTC ETFs ๐Ÿ’ฐ

  • Millennium Management: $182M Ethereum ETF holdings

๐Ÿš€ Crypto & Wall Street Integration:

  • BNY Mellon & Citigroup expanding crypto custody services

  • Trump Media Approves Bitcoin Investments โ†’ HUGE for political adoption of crypto

  • Ethereum ETF Staking Proposal โ†’ NY Stock Exchange files to allow ETH staking

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bullish Crypto Trends:
๐Ÿ”ธ Bitcoin ($BTC): $97,400, eyeing $100K breakout ๐Ÿš€
๐Ÿ”ธ Ethereum ($ETH): Holding key levels, potential rally to $3,000+ ๐Ÿ’Ž
๐Ÿ”ธ Dogecoin ($DOGE): Speculative hype surging ๐Ÿ“Š

๐Ÿ’€ Crypto Risks to Watch:
โŒ DOGE Under Treasury Investigation โ†’ Regulatory crackdown fears
โŒ Dubai Regulator Warns on Memecoins โ†’ Avoid speculative altcoins
โŒ Security Threats: New malware targeting crypto wallets ๐Ÿ”ด

๐Ÿš€ Weekend Crypto Trading Plan:
๐Ÿ’Ž Bitcoin ($BTC) Trading Strategy:
๐Ÿ”น BUY Dips: $97,500 - $97,800 โ†’ Stop @ $96,500
๐Ÿ”น Breakout Play: Buy above $100K โ†’ Target $102K+ ๐Ÿš€
๐Ÿ”น Short Setup: Break below $96,500 = Short down to $94,500

๐Ÿ”ฅ Ethereum ($ETH) Play:

  • Buy above $2,850 โ†’ Target $3,200+

๐ŸŽฏ Weekend Trade Playbook: High-Probability Moves

๐Ÿ“… Key Events Next Week (High-Impact Catalysts)

๐Ÿ”ฅ Options Expiration (Friday): BIG volatility expected โ€“ Prepare for sharp moves!

๐Ÿ“ข Final Thoughts & Trading Strategy ( Premium Subscribers)

๐Ÿ’ฐ Key Trading Strategy: Buy the dip in strong names, avoid overbought meme stocks, and prepare for volatility with Fed-related events next week!

๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ’ก BONUS TIP: Watch for AI stocks & Bitcoin breakout plays next week!

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