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MARKET NAVIGATOR NEWSLETTER

Daily Market Recap & Trading Plan - May 7th 2025

By Jamar - Powered by AiTradingReport.com ( Jamar Live Trades Every Morning Inside DCG Mastermind - Designed For Every Trader On The Call To Makes Money - No Trader Left Behind )

📊 MARKET RECAP - MAY 6, 2025

Overall Market Performance

• S&P 500: +0.92% (5,702.31, +51.93)

• Nasdaq Composite: +1.15% (18,049.41, +205.17)

• Dow Jones: +0.52% (41,433.55, +214.72)

• Russell 2000: +0.78% (2,019.92, +15.66)

The market staged an impressive rebound today, reversing Monday's losses as solid earnings reports and optimistic trade commentary overshadowed lingering concerns about tariffs and FOMC policy. The VIX retreated 7.2% to 22.27, signaling reduced fear after yesterday's spike.

Market Theme Recap

Today's trading was characterized by a decisive risk-on tone, with investors showing renewed appetite for growth stocks following yesterday's pullback. The market shrugged off initial concerns about Wednesday's FOMC meeting, instead focusing on positive earnings reactions and easing trade tensions. Treasury Secretary Bessent's comments suggesting tangible progress in U.S.-China trade talks provided a significant tailwind, particularly for trade-sensitive sectors.

Sentiment Overview

• Bullish: Tech sector rebounded strongly, particularly semiconductor names ahead of AMD earnings

• Bearish: Energy sector underperformed despite oil's modest recovery

• Neutral/Cautious: Defensive sectors lagged while still showing modest gains

📰 STOCK MARKET NEWS

Hot Trades Today

1. RACE (Ferrari): Surged +7.8% to $395.65 after reporting blow-out Q1 earnings with luxury vehicle deliveries exceeding forecasts

2. MAR (Marriott): Jumped +4.3% to $260.43 on strong RevPAR growth and raised full-year guidance

3. DASH (DoorDash): Rallied +6.2% to $118.70 after reporting 28% revenue growth and surprising profitability

4. TDG (Transdigm): Gained +5.1% to $1,376.40 on aerospace supplier strength and bullish margin outlook

5. EQT (EQT Corp): Continued momentum with +3.7% gain to $41.82 as natural gas prices stabilized

Key Earnings After Market Close

1. AMD: Beat expectations with Q1 revenue of $5.89B vs $5.75B est., EPS of $0.85 vs $0.79 est., shares +4.2% after hours to $109.42

2. DIS: Reported mixed results with streaming strength offset by parks weakness, shares -2.1% after hours to $106.27

3. RIVN: Posted narrower loss than expected with vehicle deliveries beating forecasts, shares +6.8% after hours to $10.52

4. EA: Gaming publisher topped estimates with strong live services revenue, shares +2.3% after hours to $133.18

Sector Performance

• Top Performers: Consumer Discretionary (+1.8%), Technology (+1.6%), Financials (+1.3%)

• Laggards: Energy (+0.1%), Utilities (+0.2%), Healthcare (+0.4%)

Tomorrow's Key Events (May 7)

• Economic Data: Consumer Credit (3:00 PM ET)

• FOMC Meeting: Rate decision at 2:00 PM ET, Powell press conference at 2:30 PM ET

• Pre-Market Earnings: Uber (UBER), Disney (DIS), ARM Holdings (ARM), Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

• Post-Market Earnings: Carvana (CVNA), AppLovin (APP), Beyond Meat (BYND)

🏛️ TRUMP TRADING NEWS

Political Developments

• Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed "constructive talks" with China regarding potential tariff adjustments

• White House clarified film tariff proposal would focus on "specific circumstances of unfair subsidies" rather than blanket implementation

• President Trump met with Defense industry CEOs to discuss military modernization initiatives

• Reports indicate infrastructure bill timing accelerated to June vs. previous July timeline

Trump-Impacted Sectors

• Media & Entertainment: Rebounded on clarification of targeted approach to film tariffs

• Defense: Gained on reports of increased military spending plans

• Infrastructure: Construction materials and engineering firms rallied on accelerated bill timeline

• Domestic Manufacturing: Continued strength on "America First" policy expectations

Trump Momentum Trades

• LMT (Lockheed Martin): +2.8% to $498.75 on defense spending optimism

• VMC (Vulcan Materials): +3.6% to $265.40 on infrastructure bill acceleration

• DIS (Disney): +1.4% to $108.50 intraday on film tariff clarification (before earnings)

• DWAC/DJT (Trump Media): +5.2% to $34.75 on increased social media activity

📈 OPTIONS MARKET NEWS

Notable Options Activity

• AMD: Massive call volume (4.2x normal) ahead of earnings with May $105/$110 call spreads dominating

• RIVN: May $10 calls saw 5x normal volume, signaling bullish sentiment before earnings beat

• SPY: Put/Call ratio fell to 0.78 from yesterday's 1.25, indicating reduced hedging activity

• VIX: May $30 puts accumulated as volatility fears subsided

Unusual Flow

• AAPL: Significant June $190/$200 call spreads accumulating ahead of developer conference

• GOOGL: 15,000 May $185 calls purchased, potentially signaling bullish AI catalyst expectations

• TGT: Unusual June put accumulation suggesting caution ahead of earnings

• COIN: Heavy call volume in anticipation of Thursday's report, with focus on $230/$250 strikes

Implied Volatility

• Market-wide IV contracted 8.2% as VIX retreated

• Earnings names (AMD, DIS, RIVN) showing IV crush post-announcements

• FOMC-sensitive financials seeing rising IV into tomorrow's decision

🪙 CRYPTOCURRENCY NEWS

Bitcoin & Digital Assets

• Bitcoin: Trading at $95,850 (+1.4%) as of 4:00 PM PST, breaking above key $95,000 resistance

• Ethereum: $3,780 (+2.1%), showing relative strength vs. BTC

• Solana: $178.50 (+4.3%), outperforming on DeFi volume growth

Crypto Market Sentiment

• Fear & Greed Index improved to 52 ("Neutral") from 42 yesterday

• Exchange outflows accelerating, suggesting accumulation by long-term holders

• Institutional interest remains strong with ETF inflows resuming after brief pause

Key Developments

• SEC Commissioner Peirce suggested new crypto regulatory framework may be unveiled next week

• MicroStrategy completed additional $250M Bitcoin purchase, averaging $94,500 per coin

• Major payments platform reportedly preparing stablecoin announcement for Friday

🔮 TRADING STRATEGY FOR MAY 7, 2025

S&P Futures ($ES) Key Levels

• Current: 5,662 (after hours)

• Resistance: 5,720, 5,765, 5,800

• Support: 5,660, 5,620, 5,600

Overall Market Strategy

Tomorrow presents a classic "Fed Day" scenario with potential for morning consolidation followed by afternoon volatility. Trading tends to be muted ahead of the 2:00 PM ET announcement with significant directional moves occurring during and after Powell's press conference. Current expectations favor a hold on rates (95% probability), but forward guidance language will be scrutinized closely for hints about the June meeting.

Money Rotation ( Premium Subscribers)

Overnight & Premarket Strategy

• Monitor Asian market reaction to AMD and Disney earnings

• Track Bitcoin behavior at $96,000 resistance level

• Watch Treasury yields for clues on rate expectations

• Focus on pre-market movement in UBER, ARM earnings reactions

Risk Management

• Reduce position sizing ahead of FOMC volatility

• Consider VIX hedges for afternoon announcement

• Use defined stop losses with wider than normal parameters to account for potential whipsaws

• Prepare for potential late-day trend acceleration after Powell's press conference

💯 CLEAR TRADING INSTRUCTIONS ( Premium Subscribers)

DCG Trial Membership.