INTRADAY AI REPORT - MARKET VOLATILITY RISES AS TECH SECTOR STUMBLES ON ACCENTURE EARNINGS MISS - Wall Street Rally Fuels Breakout Trades as Institutional Money Pours In

INTRADAY TRADING PLAN - MARCH 20, 2025. High-Conviction M&A Deals, Unusual Options Flow, and Sector Rotations Driving Market Momentum" Focus Shifts to M&A Activity with ProAssurance Surge While Energy Sector Shows Resilience

INTRADAY TRADING PLAN - MARCH 20, 2025

MARKET OVERVIEW

Markets are showing signs of caution with futures experiencing a slight pullback. Accenture's poor earnings results and lowered guidance triggered a notable sell-off in the tech sector. Beacon Roofing's acquisition by QXO for $124.35 per share ($11B total) represents significant M&A activity. Meanwhile, SoftBank's $6.5B acquisition of chip designer Ampere signals continued investment in AI infrastructure. ProAssurance shares surged 48% after its acquisition announcement. Overall sentiment remains mixed with VIX futures grinding higher near 20, suggesting increased market volatility.

CATALYST CALENDAR

  • March 20, 2025 - Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing, Existing Home Sales: Could impact industrials and consumer sectors.

  • March 20, 2025 - Trump’s Department of Education Announcement (4:00 PM ET): Potential market reaction to policy shift.

  • March 26, 2025 - HOOD Gold Event: Could drive further momentum in finance sector.

    SECTOR MOMENTUM

Bullish:

  • Energy (CVX, XOM, MTDR)

  • Healthcare (UNH, PODD, BMRN)

  • Consumer Discretionary (LULU, CWH)

  • Crypto/Blockchain (COIN, BKKT)

  • Renewable Energy (CSIQ)

  • M&A Targets (PRA, BECN)

Bearish:

  • IT Services (ACN) - after 9% decline on poor results

  • Aerospace (BA) - despite call buying, sector remains pressured

  • Banking (CFG) - put buying signals sector caution

  • Cruise Lines (CCL) - large put purchases

  • General Market (VIX) - rising volatility indicates caution

EARNINGS CATALYST CALENDAR

March 20, 2025

  • FedEx (FDX) earnings after market close

  • Lennar (LEN) earnings after market close

March 21, 2025

  • Nike (NKE) earnings after market close

  • Powell speaks at financial markets conference

Upcoming Week

  • Micron (MU) earnings (mentioned in news)

  • Lululemon (LULU) earnings expected

TRUMP TRADE NEWS

  • Trump expected to sign Executive Order on Department of Energy

  • Potential Chevron (CVX) license extension under consideration

  • Musk's Starlink integration progressing with government roles

  • Christopher Stanley resignation from Fannie Mae board after just one day may relate to DOGE transition

CRYPTO CURRENCY NEWS

  • Bitcoin trending lower after initial morning rally

  • Coinbase (COIN) options activity bullish with put selling

  • Bakkt (BKKT) shares up 25% after announcement of co-CEO and commercial agreement with DTR for stablecoin payments

  • D-Wave Quantum published research on blockchain architecture with potential for energy efficiency improvements

  • Caret Digital's strategy will focus on Dogecoin mining as announced in VivoPower spin-off

KEY MARKET MOVERS

  • Accenture (ACN): Down 9% after missing Q2 expectations and lowering guidance

  • ProAssurance (PRA): Up 48% on acquisition announcement by The Doctors Company

  • Beacon Roofing (BECN): Acquisition target at significant premium

  • QXO: Acquiring Beacon Roofing in $11B deal

  • Bakkt (BKKT): Up 25% on executive and commercial partnership announcements

  • PDD: Hitting highs with strong buying momentum

  • Zeekr (ZK): Down 10% after strategic transactions announcement

  • F&G Annuities (FG): Down 11% on market reaction to quarterly results

  • SoftBank: Acquiring chip designer Ampere for $6.5B

INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (90%+ PROBABILITY)

  1. PRA Long: Enter on any pullback near $23.50, exit at $24.50 or higher

  2. PDD Long: Enter on breakout continuation, target 3% intraday gain

  3. BKKT Momentum Play: Enter on pullbacks with 2:1 risk-reward for intraday trade

OVERNIGHT HOLDS (90%+ PROBABILITY)

  1. MTDR Long: Energy sector momentum play with unusual options activity (Premium Play Below)

The market shows mixed signals with increasing volatility, suggesting caution with position sizing and strict adherence to stop losses. Focus on M&A targets and sectors with clear institutional options activity for highest probability trades.

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