๐Ÿšจ INTEL'S $5B NVIDIA LIFELINE SHAKES MARKETS AS BITCOIN BREAKS $90K: MONDAY'S MEGA CATALYST TRADING GAMEPLAN

Year-End Fireworks: SoftBank's Data Center Play, Gold Crashes 4%, and Santa Rally Momentum Continues into Final Trading Days of 2025

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โšก KEY MARKET SNAPSHOT - MONDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2025

MARKET OPEN IN: Final 3 Trading Days of 2025
S&P 500 FUTURES: 6,960-6,980 (Down 0.2% pre-market)
BITCOIN: $87,273-$90,230 (Trading above $90K breakthrough zone)
VIX: 13.60 (+0.97%) - Extremely Low Volatility

๐ŸŽฏ TOP 3 THINGS TO KNOW BEFORE THE BELL:

  1. MEGA M&A ACTION: Intel raises $5B from Nvidia at $23.28/share; SoftBank eyes DigitalBridge acquisition sending DBRG up 50% pre-market

  2. PRECIOUS METALS CRATER: Gold falls 1.5% to $4,466, Silver crashes 4% to $74.31 as capital rotates to Bitcoin

  3. YEAR-END POSITIONING: Santa Rally intact with S&P 500 up 18% YTD, markets closed Thursday for New Year's Day

๐Ÿ“Š OVERNIGHT MARKET MOVERS & BREAKING CATALYSTS

๐Ÿ”ฅ HOT SECTORS PRE-MARKET:

BULLISH:

  • โœ… Data Centers & AI Infrastructure - DBRG +50%, SoftBank acquisition talks

  • โœ… Semiconductors - NVDA +1.0% on Groq deal momentum, Intel capital raise positive

  • โœ… Cryptocurrency - BTC breaking $90K resistance, $102M in short liquidations

  • โœ… Energy/Uranium - UUUU up 5% pre-market on exceeding FY2025 guidance

  • โœ… Asian Chipmakers - South Korea KOSPI +2.2% on chipmaker strength

BEARISH:

  • โŒ Precious Metals - Gold/Silver cratering on capital rotation

  • โŒ Big Tech - Slight weakness in mega-caps, TSLA/NVDA down 1%+ pre-market

  • โŒ Consumer Discretionary - LULU proxy fight brewing

๐ŸŽฐ BREAKING NEWS & CATALYST ANALYSIS

๐Ÿš€ TRADE RATING: 9.5/10 - DIGITALBRIDGE ($DBRG)

Current Price: $20.10 pre-market (Last close: $13.62)
Move: +47.8% (Up $6.48)
Catalyst: SoftBank in advanced acquisition talks, deal could be announced TODAY

Analysis: Bloomberg reports SoftBank eyeing $25-35/share takeout price. DBRG manages $108B in AUM focused on data centers - critical AI infrastructure play. Previous spike in early December saw 45% single-day gain on first acquisition rumors.

The Setup:

  • Entry Zone: $18.50-$20.50 (current pre-market range)

  • Target 1: $25.00 (+24% from $20.10) - Bloomberg low-end estimate

  • Target 2: $30.00 (+49%) - Mid-range acquisition price

  • Stop Loss: $16.50 (below pre-spike levels)

Risk/Reward: Excellent on M&A speculation. If deal announced, gap to $25-30 range likely. If talks fall through, gap down to $14-15 support.

Trade Rating Justification: Multiple credible sources confirm advanced talks. SoftBank's $500B Stargate AI data center project creates strategic fit. RBC Capital $23 price target. This is peak M&A speculation setup.

โšก TRADE RATING: 8.5/10 - INTEL ($INTC)

Friday Close: $36.20
After-Hours: $36.09
Catalyst: Sells 214.8M shares to Nvidia for $5B at $23.28/share - Massive dilution but critical capital raise

Analysis: Intel's move shows both desperation and strategic partnership. $5B injection provides runway for turnaround efforts under CEO Lip-Bu Tan. Stock up 80% YTD despite foundry setbacks. Nvidia deal at $23.28 represents 36% discount to current price - dilutive but necessary.

The Setup:

  • Current: $36.09

  • Support: $34.50-$35.00 (50-day MA)

  • Resistance: $37.50-$38.00

  • Bear Target: $32.00 if dilution concerns dominate

Trade Strategy: WAIT for Monday open reaction. If holds $35 support with volume <50M shares, potential bounce to $38. If breaks $35, avoid - dilution narrative will pressure stock to $32-33 range.

Trade Rating Justification: Mixed catalyst. $5B capital positive long-term but 215M new shares = significant dilution at steep discount. Nvidia relationship valuable but hints at Intel's desperation. Wait-and-see approach optimal.

๐Ÿ’Ž TRADE RATING: 9/10 - BITCOIN ($BTC)

Current: $87,273-$90,230 range
24H Range: $87,418-$90,230
Catalyst: Breaks $90K resistance; $102M short liquidations; gold/silver collapse driving capital rotation

Analysis: Bitcoin showing remarkable strength as precious metals crater. $90K level was major psychological resistance - now support. Dragonfly doji candle forming on monthly chart = strong bullish reversal signal. 120,000 blocks until next halving (mid-2026).

The Setup:

  • Current Support: $88,000-$88,500 (21-month EMA)

  • Immediate Resistance: $90,500-$91,000

  • Target 1: $92,400 (0.786 Fib level)

  • Target 2: $95,000-$100,000 (psychological levels)

  • Stop: $85,000

Trade Strategy: BTC holding above key support while equity markets show weakness = bullish divergence. $19.44M in short liquidations vs only $1.82M longs liquidated in 12H window shows bears getting crushed.

Trade Rating Justification: Technical setup strong, capital rotation from metals positive, year-end positioning could drive final push to $95K+. Risk/reward favorable with tight $85K stop.

๐Ÿญ TRADE RATING: 7.5/10 - ENERGY FUELS ($UUUU)

Friday Close: $14.64
Pre-Market: $15.35 (+4.9%)
Catalyst: Exceeds FY2025 uranium production and sales guidance

Press Release Highlights:

  • White Mesa Mill produced >1M lbs U3O8 in 2025

  • Pinyon Plain/La Sal mines extracted >1.6M lbs uranium (11% above guidance)

  • Q4 2025 uranium sales: 360,000 lbs at record $74.93/lb = $27M revenue

  • 2026 contract deliveries: 780,000-880,000 lbs secured

Analysis: Small-cap uranium play ($3.48B market cap) with strong fundamentals. Nuclear energy renaissance thesis intact. Beat guidance across production, mining, and sales metrics.

The Setup:

  • Entry: $15.00-$15.50 (pre-market/open)

  • Target 1: $17.50 (+16%)

  • Target 2: $19.00 (+26%)

  • Stop: $14.00 (below recent support)

Risks: Uranium sector weakness on Friday (-2-3.6% across DNN, NXE, LEU, UEC). Lighter volume (4.1M vs 8M avg). Small-cap volatility.

Trade Rating Justification: Solid operational beat, growing revenue, strategic rare earth expansion. However, sector weakness and light volume concerning. Best as swing trade on pullback to $14.50 or momentum break above $16.

๐Ÿค– TRADE RATING: 8/10 - NVIDIA ($NVDA)

Friday Close: $190.53
Pre-Market: $188.40 (Down 1.1%)
Catalyst: $20B Groq AI inference deal; Analyst targets $250-$300

Analysis: Groq deal strengthens NVDA's position in AI inference (vs training). Key Groq executives joining NVDA while Groq remains independent. Bernstein maintains Outperform, $275 target. Cantor Fitzgerald calls NVDA top pick with $300 target.

Recent News:

  • Bernstein: "Strategic move strengthening AI inference leadership"

  • Citi: Deal is "clear positive"

  • NVDA ended Friday +1.02% at $190.53 despite tech weakness

The Setup:

  • Current: $188.40 (slight pre-market weakness)

  • Support: $185-$187 zone

  • Target 1: $195-$200 (near-term resistance)

  • Target 2: $210-$220 (analyst targets pathway)

  • Stop: $182

Trade Strategy: Pre-market weakness likely profit-taking after Friday's gain. Watch for $185 support hold. Any dip to $185-187 is buyable with $195-200 first target.

Trade Rating Justification: Groq deal validates AI inference strategy. Multiple bullish analyst notes. Year-end positioning could drive strength. Slight pre-market weakness offers better entry than Friday's close.

๐ŸŒ GLOBAL MARKET THEMES & MACRO CATALYSTS

Trump & Geopolitical Developments:

Ukraine Peace Talks Progress:

  • Trump meets with Zelenskyy at Mar-a-Lago (December 28)

  • "Getting a lot closer, maybe very close" - Trump

  • Security guarantees "100% agreed upon" - Zelenskyy

  • Proposal includes Ukrainian vote on territory, demilitarized Donetsk zone

  • Market Impact: Risk-on sentiment if peace deal materializes; energy markets watching sanctions

Israel-Gaza Ceasefire:

  • Netanyahu meets Trump as ceasefire approaches crossroads

  • Potential resolution could boost Middle East stability, lower oil risk premium

Germany Welcomes Trump Peace Efforts:

  • German government spokesperson: "We welcome President Trump's efforts towards lasting and just peace in Ukraine"

  • European markets responding positively to diplomatic progress

๐Ÿ’ต TRUMP MOMENTUM TRADES:

Companies Best Positioned for "Robots & Artificial Systems" Economy:

  • $NVDA - Powering robotic intelligence (Current: $188.40)

  • $TSLA - Building humanoid AI/autonomous systems

  • $AMZN - Automating logistics at massive scale

  • $PLTR - Real-time intelligence coordination for autonomous systems

๐Ÿ“ˆ FUTURES & KEY LEVELS

S&P 500 E-MINI FUTURES ($ES):

Current: 6,960.50 (Down 18.75 points, -0.27%)
Friday Close: 6,979.25

Key Technical Levels:

  • H4 Long Breakout: 7,010

  • H5 LB Target: 7,015

  • Resistance: 6,975-6,989 (chop zone from Friday)

  • Support: 6,961 (well-tested), 6,954, 6,935-6,938

Strategy: Bulls must reclaim 6,975 fast to see 6,989 and push toward 7,010 breakout. Below 6,954 opens 6,935 support test. Range-bound expected in holiday-shortened week.

NASDAQ 100 FUTURES ($NQ):

Current: Down 0.4%
Catalyst: Tech weakness led by TSLA, NVDA slight pre-market declines

DOW FUTURES:

Current: Flat (unchanged)

VIX (Fear Index): 13.60 (+0.97%)
Extremely low volatility = complacency or calm before storm

๐Ÿช™ CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKET BREAKDOWN

BITCOIN ($BTC): $87,273-$90,230

Bullish Signals:

  • โœ… Broke $90K psychological resistance (now support)

  • โœ… $102M in SHORT liquidations over 4 hours

  • โœ… $41.86M shorts liquidated vs $1.82M longs in 12H window

  • โœ… Dragonfly doji forming on monthly candle (bullish reversal)

  • โœ… Trading above 21-month EMA support

  • โœ… Capital rotation from precious metals accelerating

Key Levels:

  • Immediate Support: $88,000-$88,500

  • Resistance: $90,500-$91,000

  • Targets: $92,400 (0.786 Fib), $95K, $100K retest

Sentiment: Bullish. Year-end positioning + precious metals collapse + short squeeze = explosive setup.

120,000 Blocks Until Next Bitcoin Halving - Expected mid-2026

ETHEREUM ($ETH): $2,928-$3,000+

Move: Up 3-4% following Bitcoin breakout
Key Level: $3,000 psychological resistance broken

ALTCOINS:

  • XRP: +3%+

  • SOLANA (SOL): +3%+

  • Market Trend: Broad-based crypto strength, risk-on sentiment

CRYPTO FEAR & GREED INDEX: 30/100 (Fear) - Contrarian bullish

๐Ÿ“ฐ WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT

Recent White House Communications:

  • December 28: Presidential Message on National Pledge of Allegiance Day

  • December 26: America 250 Anniversary of Battle of Trenton

  • December 25: Christmas messaging

No Major Market-Moving Policy Announcements December 29

Trump Administration Market Themes:

  1. AI & Robotics infrastructure focus

  2. Ukraine peace efforts (risk-on if successful)

  3. Strategic approach to China tech/rare earths

Investor Takeaway: Policy focus on AI infrastructure, autonomous systems, and geopolitical stability supports tech, defense, data center sectors. Peace deals would boost markets broadly.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ECONOMIC CALENDAR - WEEK OF DECEMBER 29

MONDAY, DECEMBER 29:

  • 8:30 AM ET: International Trade in Goods

  • 8:30 AM ET: Retail Inventories

  • 8:30 AM ET: Wholesale Inventories

  • 10:00 AM ET: Pending Home Sales Index (Key housing data)

  • 10:30 AM ET: EIA Petroleum Status Report

  • 10:30 AM ET: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey

  • 12:00 PM ET: EIA Natural Gas Report

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 30:

  • 9:00 AM ET: House Price Index

  • 9:00 AM ET: S&P Case-Shiller Home Prices

  • 9:45 AM ET: Chicago PMI

  • 2:00 PM ET: FOMC Meeting Minutes (MAJOR CATALYST - December meeting insights)

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 31:

  • 8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims

  • 10:00 AM ET: Year-End Positioning & Window Dressing

THURSDAY, JANUARY 1, 2026:

  • ๐Ÿšซ NEW YEAR'S DAY - U.S. MARKETS CLOSED

FRIDAY, JANUARY 2:

  • After Hours: $TSLA Q4 2025 Delivery Numbers (Major Tesla catalyst)

Key Focus: Wednesday's FOMC minutes will provide insight into Fed's hawkish stance for 2026. Expect volatility around 2 PM ET release.

๐ŸŽฏ TOP TRADING SETUPS FOR MONDAY

HIGH CONVICTION BULLISH PLAYS:

1. DIGITALBRIDGE ($DBRG) - Rating: 9.5/10

  • Setup: M&A speculation on SoftBank acquisition

  • Entry: $18.50-$20.50

  • Targets: $25 (+24%), $30 (+49%)

  • Stop: $16.50

  • Risk/Reward: 4:1 to first target

2. BITCOIN ($BTC) - Rating: 9/10

  • Setup: Breakout above $90K, short squeeze ongoing

  • Entry: $88,000-$89,500 on any pullback

  • Targets: $92,400, $95,000, $100K retest

  • Stop: $85,000

  • Risk/Reward: 2.5:1 to first target

3. NVIDIA ($NVDA) - Rating: 8/10

  • Setup: Dip buying opportunity post-Groq deal

  • Entry: $185-$188 zone

  • Targets: $195-$200, $210-$220

  • Stop: $182

  • Risk/Reward: 2:1 to first target

4. ENERGY FUELS ($UUUU) - Rating: 7.5/10

  • Setup: Production beat, uranium momentum

  • Entry: $15.00-$15.50 (pre-market/open) OR $14.50 pullback

  • Targets: $17.50 (+16%), $19.00 (+26%)

  • Stop: $14.00

  • Risk/Reward: 2.5:1 to first target

SWING TRADE / MOMENTUM WATCHES:

$LUNR - Intuitive Machines

  • Price Target Raised: $17 โ†’ $25 by Clear Street

  • Catalyst: Space infrastructure momentum

  • Watch for entry on pullback to $20-21

$PL - Planet Labs

  • Price Target Raised: $16 โ†’ $22 by Clear Street

  • Catalyst: Satellite/imaging demand

  • Current: ~$18-19 range

$PRAX - Praxis Precision

  • Price Target Raised: $507 โ†’ $843 by BTIG

  • Catalyst: Strong growth trajectory

  • High-priced, momentum-based

BEARISH/SHORT SETUPS:

1. INTEL ($INTC) - Conditional Short

  • Setup: IF breaks $35 support on dilution concerns

  • Entry: Break and retest of $34.80-$35.00

  • Target: $32.00-$33.00

  • Stop: $36.50

  • Note: WAIT for confirmation. Don't short blindly.

2. PRECIOUS METALS - Active Reversal

  • $GLD (Gold ETF): Down 1.5%, capital fleeing to crypto

  • $SLV (Silver ETF): Down 4%, major breakdown

  • Strategy: Fade any bounce attempts. Trend is DOWN until dust settles.

3. LULU - Lululemon

  • Catalyst: Founder Chip Wilson launches proxy fight per WSJ

  • Risk: Leadership uncertainty, board battles = volatility

  • Strategy: Avoid or short rallies until clarity emerges

๐Ÿ’ก SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS

HOT MONEY ROTATION:

FLOWING INTO:

  1. Data Centers & AI Infrastructure - DBRG leading, cloud/server names following

  2. Cryptocurrency - Bitcoin, Ethereum, major alts all rallying

  3. Semiconductors - NVDA Groq deal positive, sector resilience

  4. Uranium/Nuclear - UUUU leading, clean energy demand growing

  5. Asian Tech - South Korea chipmakers +2.2%, regional strength

FLOWING OUT OF:

  1. Precious Metals - Gold/Silver collapsing, capital rotation severe

  2. Consumer Discretionary - LULU issues, holiday season ending

  3. Some Big Tech - Profit-taking in mega-caps after year-end rally

SECTOR PERFORMANCE SNAPSHOT:

Year-to-Date (2025):

  • S&P 500: +18%

  • Nasdaq Composite: +22%

  • Dow Jones: +14.5%

Recent Week:

  • S&P 500: +1.4% (week ending Dec 27)

  • Nasdaq 100: +1.2%

Monday Pre-Market Sentiment: Slightly Risk-Off (futures down 0.2-0.4%), but crypto strength offsets equity weakness.

๐Ÿ”ฎ WEEK-AHEAD OUTLOOK & STRATEGY

MARKET THEMES TO WATCH:

1. Year-End Window Dressing

  • Portfolio managers finalizing 2025 performance

  • Expect unusual flows, possible volatility into Dec 31 close

  • January effect positioning beginning

2. FOMC Minutes (Tuesday 2 PM ET)

  • Critical insight into Fed's December hawkish pivot

  • 2026 rate cut expectations: market pricing 1-2 cuts vs Fed's 2 projected

  • Any dovish language = bond/stock rally; hawkish confirmation = pressure

3. Holiday-Shortened Week Dynamics

  • Wednesday half-day trading

  • Thursday CLOSED for New Year's

  • Friday likely quiet ahead of 3-day weekend

  • Low liquidity = exaggerated moves possible

4. Tesla Q4 Deliveries (Friday After-Hours)

  • Market expecting strong numbers given Q4 2024 record

  • Any miss could pressure EV sector into 2026

  • Guidance for 2026 will set tone for TSLA year

5. Cryptocurrency Year-End Positioning

  • Bitcoin breaking $90K major psychological level

  • Institutional flows into crypto increasing

  • Watch for potential tax-loss harvesting offset by new positioning

TRADING RULES FOR THIS WEEK:

โœ… DO:

  • Trade with defined risk (stops)

  • Focus on high-conviction catalysts (M&A, earnings beats, breakouts)

  • Expect low liquidity - use limit orders

  • Book profits into strength given year-end positioning

  • Watch for gap-and-fade setups on overnight movers

โŒ DON'T:

  • Overtrade in low-volume conditions

  • Chase massive pre-market gaps without confirmation

  • Hold large overnight positions unless catalyst-driven

  • Ignore FOMC minutes impact Tuesday afternoon

  • Fight clear trends (Bitcoin UP, Precious Metals DOWN)

๐Ÿ“Š OPTIONS FLOW & DARK POOL ACTIVITY

Notable Options Activity (Friday/Weekend):

  • $DBRG: Massive call volume expected Monday on acquisition news

  • $INTC: Put flow likely on dilution concerns

  • $NVDA: Bullish call flow on Groq deal momentum

  • $BTC ETFs (IBIT, GBTC): Heavy call buying on $90K breakout

Dark Pool Prints:

  • Data centers / AI infrastructure seeing large block trades

  • Semiconductor names accumulation continues

  • Some profit-taking in mega-cap tech

๐ŸŽ“ MASTERMIND INSIGHTS & SOCIAL SENTIMENT

From Discord/Twitter Trading Community:

@WallStJesus: Highlighting $DBRG chart setup pre-news - technical breakout ahead of fundamental catalyst

@MikeZaccardi (CFA, CMT):

  • Notes big-tech weakness, precious metals pulling back, energy up

  • Palladium down 10% on supply concerns

  • $MOVE rate volatility at multi-year lows = bond market stability

@pharris667 (Harris Market Trends):

  • $DHT Holdings vessel sale for $101.6M with $60M gains expected

  • $LULU proxy fight brewing (Chip Wilson vs current board)

  • $WMT Sam's Club model working in China

@BankTheTrade (Palmer):

  • "Chillin' with news so far"

  • Watching $MSTR January 15 date - MSCI index decision critical

  • Could force index-tracking fund sell-offs if MSCI excludes crypto-heavy companies

@JesseCohenInv:

  • Week Ahead Watchlist: Pending Home Sales (Mon), FOMC Minutes (Tues), Jobless Claims (Wed), TSLA Deliveries (Fri)

  • Stock Picks: BUY - $TGT, $DECK, $ELV, $TTWO, $DG | SELL - $MRNA, $RCL, $CCL, $COIN

@AdamMancini4 (Futures Trader):

  • ES futures: 6961 key support level; bulls need fast push to 6967, 6973-75 resistance

  • 6954 and 6935-38 downside levels if support breaks

Key Takeaway: Community watching M&A closely (DBRG), concerned about year-end liquidity, positioning for FOMC minutes volatility, and tracking Bitcoin $90K breakout momentum.

๐Ÿ† TRADE HIGHLIGHTS - BEST SETUPS BY ASSET CLASS

STOCKS:

๐Ÿฅ‡ Best Setup: $DBRG (9.5/10) - M&A acquisition speculation with clear risk/reward
๐Ÿฅˆ Second Best: $NVDA (8/10) - Dip buying opportunity post-Groq deal with analyst support

OPTIONS:

๐Ÿฅ‡ Best Setup: $DBRG January $20-25 Call Spreads - cheap, defined risk, huge upside if deal announced
๐Ÿฅˆ Second Best: $BTC ETF (IBIT) weekly calls - momentum play on $90K breakout

FUTURES:

๐Ÿฅ‡ Best Setup: ES Long from 6,961 support with 6,975-6,989 targets
๐Ÿฅˆ Second Best: Gold/Silver shorts - trend following capital rotation

CRYPTO:

๐Ÿฅ‡ Best Setup: Bitcoin long $88K-89.5K with $95K+ targets
๐Ÿฅˆ Second Best: Ethereum long on $3K breakout with $3,200 target

๐ŸŽฏ FINAL GAMEPLAN - MONDAY DECEMBER 29, 2025

PRE-MARKET (6:00-9:30 AM ET):

  • โœ… Watch DBRG for SoftBank acquisition announcement

  • โœ… Monitor Bitcoin for hold above $88K support

  • โœ… Check futures reaction to overnight news (currently down 0.2%)

  • โœ… Scan for any late-breaking geopolitical developments

MARKET OPEN (9:30-10:00 AM ET):

  • โœ… DBRG: Enter IF consolidates above $18.50, target $25+

  • โœ… INTC: WAIT for price action - enter longs only IF holds $35, shorts IF breaks

  • โœ… NVDA: Buy dips to $185-187 zone with $195 target

  • โœ… Watch economic data: Pending Home Sales (10 AM) could move housing stocks

MID-DAY (10:00 AM - 2:00 PM ET):

  • โœ… Manage DBRG position - book partials at $22-23 if no official announcement

  • โœ… Watch for lunchtime fade on overnight gap movers

  • โœ… Monitor Bitcoin - if breaks $91K, could run to $92.5K quickly

AFTERNOON (2:00 PM - 4:00 PM ET):

  • โœ… Close any day trades before 3:30 PM due to low liquidity

  • โœ… Book profits into strength - year-end window dressing active

  • โœ… Scout after-hours for any Tesla/big tech news

AFTER HOURS:

  • โœ… Review DBRG if acquisition announcement hits

  • โœ… Check Asian markets for overnight positioning

  • โœ… Prepare for Tuesday's FOMC Minutes (2 PM ET release)

๐Ÿง  RISK MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST

Position Sizing This Week:

  • ๐Ÿ”ด REDUCE size by 30-50% due to holiday liquidity

  • ๐Ÿ”ด Use wider stops to avoid low-volume shakeouts

  • ๐Ÿ”ด Book profits faster than normal - year-end volatility

Key Risk Events:

  • Tuesday 2 PM ET - FOMC Minutes (High Vol)

  • Wednesday - Half day trading, year-end close

  • Friday - Tesla deliveries after-hours

Stop Loss Discipline:

  • Every trade MUST have predetermined stop

  • Trail stops on winners as year-end approaches

  • Don't hold losers hoping for New Year bounce

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๐Ÿ“ SUMMARY & KEY TAKEAWAYS

Monday's Mega Themes:

  1. ๐Ÿ”ฅ DBRG - SoftBank acquisition talks = massive M&A speculation play

  2. ๐Ÿ’ป INTC/NVDA - Semiconductor dynamics shifting; $5B Intel lifeline from Nvidia

  3. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin - $90K breakout confirmed; shorts liquidating; metals collapsing

  4. โ˜ข๏ธ UUUU - Uranium sector beat on production; clean energy momentum

  5. ๐ŸŒ Geopolitics - Trump peace efforts (Ukraine/Gaza) = risk-on sentiment

Market Structure:

  • Santa Rally intact but showing fatigue

  • VIX at 13.60 = extremely low vol (complacency?)

  • Year-end positioning creates unusual flows

  • Wednesday close = critical for 2025 final print

Best Risk/Reward Trades:

  1. DBRG - M&A spec with defined levels

  2. BTC - Momentum breakout with trend support

  3. NVDA - Quality dip buy post-catalyst

  4. ES Futures - Range-bound scalping opportunities

Avoid:

  • Chasing pre-market gaps without confirmation

  • Overtrading in low liquidity

  • Holding through FOMC minutes without hedge

  • Fighting clear trends (BTC up, metals down)

๐ŸŽฏ TRADER'S CHECKLIST - BEFORE YOU TRADE

โœ… Position sizing appropriate for holiday week?
โœ… Stop losses set for every position?
โœ… Economic calendar events noted (FOMC Minutes Tues 2PM)?
โœ… Bitcoin support/resistance levels marked?
โœ… DBRG levels identified if playing M&A?
โœ… Risk per trade โ‰ค2% of account?
โœ… Exit plan defined BEFORE entry?
โœ… Prepared for low liquidity gaps/slippage?

Remember: The best traders preserve capital in unclear conditions and attack when probability is high. This week offers DBRG, BTC, and NVDA as high-probability setups. Everything else is noise.

๐Ÿ’ฌ CLOSING THOUGHTS

The final three trading days of 2025 are setting up for fireworks. Intel's desperation move selling $5B in stock to Nvidia at a massive discount shows the semiconductor reshuffling underway. Meanwhile, SoftBank's aggressive pursuit of DigitalBridge underscores the AI infrastructure gold rush that will define 2026.

Bitcoin's breakout above $90K while gold and silver collapse represents a historic capital rotation. The younger generation's "digital gold" narrative is winning vs the old guard's physical metals. With $102M in shorts liquidated, momentum favors further upside toward $95K-100K retest.

This week is about SELECTIVE aggression. Attack the high-probability setups (DBRG M&A, BTC breakout, NVDA dip), manage risk tightly, and prepare for 2026's trends already emerging: AI infrastructure, nuclear/uranium, and cryptocurrency dominance.

The market is giving gifts to prepared traders. Are you ready?

Trade safe. Trade smart. See you at the bell. ๐Ÿ””

๐Ÿ“ Sources & Price Verification:

  • S&P 500 Futures: Bloomberg, Investing.com (6,960-6,980 range verified 12/29/2025 6:00 AM ET)

  • Bitcoin: CoinDesk, Bloomberg ($87,273-$90,230 verified 12/29/2025)

  • Intel: Yahoo Finance, SEC Filings ($36.20 close, $36.09 AH verified 12/27/2025)

  • Nvidia: Yahoo Finance, Robinhood ($190.53 close, $188.40 pre-market verified 12/29/2025)

  • DigitalBridge: Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC ($13.62 close, $20.10 pre-market verified 12/29/2025)

  • Energy Fuels: Company Press Release, Robinhood ($14.64 close, $15.35 pre-market verified 12/29/2025)

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All trading involves risk of loss. Verify all prices and information independently before trading.

DCG COMMAND CENTER | Precision Trading Intelligence | December 29, 2025

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