๐ŸŽƒ HALLOWEEN RALLY IGNITES: MEGA-CAP TECH EARNINGS FUEL FUTURES SURGE AS BITCOIN BREAKS $110K ๐Ÿš€

DCG COMMAND CENTER - Friday, October 31, 2025 Trading Gameplan

UN-Limited Limit Orders

Why pay gas for limit orders that never execute? With CoW Swap, you can set an unlimited number of limit orders โ€“ more than your wallet balance โ€“ then cancel them all at no cost to you. Try Limit Orders.

๐Ÿ“Š EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - KEY THINGS TO KNOW

BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT:

  • S&P Futures ($ES) trading at 6,903.75 (+0.70%), pushing toward all-time highs after mega-cap tech earnings blowouts

  • Bitcoin surging to $110,000 on Halloween - up from $72,250 one year ago, representing 52% YoY gain

  • Amazon rockets +12.3% after-hours to $250.26 on Q3 earnings beat - biggest post-earnings pop in 18 months

  • Apple hits new ATH at $271.40 (+5% AH) with massive analyst upgrades to $320 from multiple firms

  • Coinbase explodes +13.5% to $348.61 as Q3 crypto trading volume surges 37% QoQ

  • Technology Sector dominates with +6.6% monthly gain while 6 of 11 sectors are RED this month

  • Fed's 25bp cut creates "sell-the-news" pressure, but strong tech earnings override hawkish Powell tone

CRITICAL CATALYST: Trump-Xi trade meeting results + Personal Income/PCE data at 8:30 AM EST will set today's tone

๐Ÿ”ฅ OVERNIGHT MARKET RECAP - WHAT HAPPENED WHILE YOU SLEPT

Futures Snapshot (Pre-Market 6:00 AM EST)

  • $ES (S&P 500): 6,903.75 (+48.25 / +0.70%)

  • $NQ (Nasdaq): 26,007.50 (+43.75 / +0.17%)

  • $YM (Dow): 47,913.00 (+201.00 / +0.42%)

  • $RTY (Russell 2000): 2,526.40 (-5.60 / -0.22%)

Crypto Market (6:00 AM EST)

  • Bitcoin (BTC): $110,000 (+0.5% / 24h) - New Halloween high

  • Ethereum (ETH): $3,852 (-0.8% / 24h)

  • Total Crypto Market Cap: $3.68T (-1.5% / 24h)

  • Fear & Greed Index: 29 (FEAR) - Down 5 points from yesterday

Key Overnight Developments:

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต JAPAN MILESTONE: Nikkei 225 surges past 52,000 for first time ever - up 2.12% overnight

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ CHINA DATA: Manufacturing PMI disappoints at 49.0 (est. 49.6), signaling contraction

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUROZONE INFLATION: CPI at 2.1% YoY (in-line), Core CPI at 2.4% (above 2.3% est.)

๐Ÿ’ฐ FUND FLOWS (BofA):

  • Equities: $17.2B inflow

  • Bonds: $17B inflow

  • Cash: $36.5B inflow

  • Gold: RECORD $7.5B OUTFLOW (largest weekly exit ever)

  • Crypto: $600M inflow

๐Ÿ’Ž EARNINGS EXPLOSIONS - POST-MARKET WINNERS

MEGA-CAP MOVERS (After-Hours Oct 30)

๐ŸŸข $AMZN - Amazon.com Inc.

  • Close Price: $222.86 (Oct 30)

  • After-Hours: $250.26 (+12.3% / +$27.40)

  • Q3 Results: Beat on all metrics

    • EPS: Beat by 12%

    • Revenue: $180.2B (vs $177B est)

    • AWS: Strong cloud growth

  • Analyst Actions: Wave of upgrades

    • Citi: $295 โ†’ $320 PT

    • JPMorgan: $265 โ†’ $305 PT

    • UBS: $279 โ†’ $310 PT

    • BofA: $272 โ†’ $303 PT

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ (5/5) - STRONG BUY

  • Entry Zone: $248-252 on any morning dip

  • Target 1: $265 (+6%)

  • Target 2: $280 (+12%)

๐ŸŸข $AAPL - Apple Inc.

  • Close Price: $269.70 (Oct 30) - ALL-TIME HIGH

  • After-Hours: $271.40 (+0.6% / +$1.70)

  • iPhone 17 Momentum: Strong demand signals

  • Services Revenue: Beat expectations

  • Analyst Actions: Multiple mega-upgrades

    • Citi: $245 โ†’ $315 PT (+$70)

    • Goldman Sachs: Raised to $320 PT

    • Melius: $290 โ†’ $345 PT

    • Wedbush: $310 โ†’ $320 PT

    • JPMorgan: $290 โ†’ $305 PT

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ (5/5) - MOMENTUM PLAY

  • Entry Zone: $270-273 on open

  • Target 1: $285 (+5%)

  • Target 2: $300 (+10%)

๐ŸŸข $COIN - Coinbase Global

  • Close Price: $348.61 (Oct 30)

  • After-Hours: $328.51 (+13.5% / +$47.90 from low)

  • Q3 Highlights:

    • EPS: $1.44 vs $1.11 est (+29% beat)

    • Revenue: $1.86B vs $1.79B est

    • Transaction Revenue: $1B (+37% QoQ)

    • Consumer Trading: $59B volume (+37% QoQ)

    • Institutional Trading: $236B (+22% QoQ)

  • October Guidance: ~$385M transaction revenue

  • Catalyst: Crypto adoption accelerating under Trump admin

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ (5/5) - CRYPTO PROXY

  • Entry Zone: $325-335 on pullback

  • Target 1: $365 (+10%)

  • Target 2: $400 (+20%)

๐ŸŸข $RDDT - Reddit Inc.

  • After-Hours Move: $194.42 (+21% / +$33.75)

  • Catalyst: User growth + engagement metrics beat

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (4/5) - HIGH BETA PLAY

๐ŸŸข $WDC - Western Digital

  • After-Hours Move: $138.13 (+15% / +$18)

  • Catalyst: Data center demand surge

  • UBS Upgrade: PT raised to $145

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (4/5) - AI STORAGE PLAY

๐ŸŸข $MSTR - MicroStrategy

  • After-Hours Move: $254.57 (+16% / +$35)

  • Catalyst: Bitcoin correlation + additional BTC purchases

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ (5/5) - BITCOIN LEVERAGE

๐ŸŸข $NET - Cloudflare

  • After-Hours Move: $122.50 (+18% / +$18.70)

  • Q3 Beat: Revenue +30.7% YoY

  • Mizuho Upgrade: PT to $280

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ (5/5) - CLOUD SECURITY

๐ŸŸข $TWLO - Twilio

  • After-Hours Move: $112.86 (+11% / +$11)

  • Guidance: Q4 EPS above consensus

  • Needham Upgrade: $125 โ†’ $145 PT

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (4/5) - COMMUNICATIONS

๐Ÿ“‰ EARNINGS DISAPPOINTMENTS

๐Ÿ”ด $CMG - Chipotle Mexican Grill

  • Decline: -16% (Biggest laggard)

  • Issue: Price increases too aggressive for consumer

  • Analysis: NOT a sign of economic collapse - company-specific pricing mistake

  • Trade Rating: โญโญ (2/5) - AVOID/SHORT SETUP

๐ŸŽฏ KEY LEVELS & TECHNICAL SETUP

$ES S&P 500 E-mini Futures - Critical Zones

BULLISH ABOVE: 6,880
CURRENT: 6,903.75

Resistance Levels:

  • R3: 6,946 (Immediate ceiling)

  • R2: 6,968 (Next upside target)

  • R1: 7,000 (Psychological barrier)

Support Levels:

  • S1: 6,880 (Overnight low / key pivot)

  • S2: 6,843 (Previous day consolidation)

  • S3: 6,800 (Major support zone)

Trade Plan:

  • IF ES holds above 6,880 โ†’ Look for longs toward 6,946-6,968

  • IF ES breaks below 6,880 โ†’ Wait for 6,843 retest before entries

  • Invalidation: Close below 6,800 = shift to defensive

Key Moving Averages:

  • 50-Day SMA: Rising strongly

  • 200-Day SMA: 6,099 (far below, confirming bull market)

๐Ÿ”ฅ SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS

HOTTEST SECTORS (October Performance)

๐ŸŸข WINNING SECTORS:

  1. Technology (XLK): +6.6% - DOMINANT

  2. Consumer Discretionary (XLY): +3.0% (AMZN-driven)

  3. Financials (XLF): +0.27%

  4. Real Estate (XLRE): +0.57%

๐Ÿ”ด LOSING SECTORS:

  1. Materials (XLB): -1.34%

  2. Industrials (XLI): -0.25%

  3. Consumer Staples (XLP): -0.10%

  4. Energy (XLE): -0.59%

  5. Utilities (XLU): -0.42%

  6. Communication Services (XLC): -1.69%

MONEY ROTATION INSIGHT:

K-SHAPED MARKET ACCELERATING

  • Magnificent 7 profit margins RISING

  • Rest of S&P 500 margins FALLING

  • 84% of S&P companies beating earnings (303 reported)

  • Median beat: +5%

  • 10.9% YoY blended EPS growth rate

TRADE IMPLICATIONS:

  • Stick with mega-cap tech winners

  • Avoid lagging cyclicals and small caps

  • Russell 2000 ($RTY) down -1.3% in October vs SPY +2.8%

๐ŸŒ CRYPTOCURRENCY DEEP DIVE

Bitcoin Halloween Special ๐ŸŽƒ

BTC Historical Halloween Prices:

  • 2010: $0.20

  • 2015: $312

  • 2020: $13,537

  • 2021: $61,837 (prior ATH)

  • 2024: $72,250

  • 2025: $110,000 โฌ…๏ธ NEW RECORD

Key Metrics:

  • Current Price: $110,000

  • 24h Volume: $65.5B

  • Market Cap: $2.185T

  • Bitcoin Dominance: 58.7%

  • Fear & Greed: 29 (Fear) - Potential contrarian buy signal

Critical Support Levels:

  • $109,000 (Immediate)

  • $107,000 (Mid-month correction low)

  • $104,000 (Key retest zone)

Resistance Targets:

  • $117,650 (Mayer Multiple resistance)

  • $125,000 (Recent ATH)

  • $139,800 (MVRV model target)

Ethereum & Alt Market

  • ETH: $3,852 (-0.8%)

  • SOL: $185 (-0.3%)

  • XRP: $2.48 (-1.4%)

  • BNB: $1,082 (-2.97%)

Liquidation Event:

  • $890M in liquidations past 24h

  • $764M from LONG traders (86%)

  • Classic "Fed pivot" sell-the-news event

Institutional Flow:

  • IBIT (BlackRock Bitcoin ETF): +3% yesterday

  • Institutional accumulation continues despite pullback

  • On-chain data shows long-term holder accumulation stable

๐Ÿ›๏ธ WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT

Trump Administration Market Influence

Key Developments (Oct 29-31):

1. Technology Prosperity Deals:

  • U.S. signed tech deals with Japan & South Korea

  • Focus: AI, semiconductors, rare earth minerals

  • Beneficiaries: $NVDA, $TSM, chip sector

2. Nvidia & China Policy:

  • CEO Jensen Huang: "Hopeful governments reach conclusion"

  • No new news on China chip sales

  • Hopes for policy allowing Blackwell chips to China

  • Meeting with Samsung & Hyundai in Seoul - deepening Asia partnerships

3. SpaceX Pentagon Contract:

  • $2B contract for missile tracking satellites

  • Golden Dome Project development

  • $TSLA sympathy play - Elon Musk defense exposure

4. Government Shutdown Impact:

  • October jobs report DELAYED

  • October inflation data MAY NOT be released

  • Creates data vacuum = more market volatility

  • "First time in history" data might be missing

5. Trump-Xi Meeting:

  • Scheduled for Thursday (Oct 30)

  • Markets stabilized after Trump softened tone

  • "Don't worry about China, it will all be fine!"

  • Previous 100% tariff threat walked back

Trump Momentum Trades ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐ŸŸข $TSLA - Tesla

  • Catalyst: SpaceX $2B Pentagon contract + Musk political capital

  • Entry: $XXX (awaiting price verification)

  • Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (4/5)

๐ŸŸข Defense & Aerospace

  • SpaceX win signals more contracts coming

  • $LMT, $RTX, $NOC - watch for sympathy

๐ŸŸข Crypto Regulatory Tailwinds

  • Trump admin easing digital asset regulations

  • GENIUS Act signed July 18, 2025 - stablecoin framework

  • Anti-CBDC stance = bullish for decentralized crypto

๐Ÿ“… ECONOMIC CALENDAR - FRIDAY, OCTOBER 31

HIGH-IMPACT EVENTS

8:30 AM EST - CRITICAL DATA:

  • Personal Income & Outlays (September)

  • Employment Cost Index (Q3)

  • PCE Price Index (Fed's preferred inflation gauge)

    • Expected impact on rate cut expectations

9:30 AM EST:

  • Lorie Logan Speaks (Dallas Fed President)

9:45 AM EST:

  • Chicago PMI (Manufacturing sentiment)

12:00 PM EST:

  • Raphael Bostic Speaks (Atlanta Fed President)

1:00 PM EST:

  • Baker Hughes Rig Count (Energy sector data)

3:00 PM EST:

  • Farm Prices (Agriculture)

Fed Watch:

December Rate Decision Probabilities:

  • Wednesday's 25bp cut may be LAST of 2025

  • Powell's hawkish tone: "Growing chorus feels we should wait"

  • 10-Year Treasury: 4.11% (~3-week high)

Upcoming Fed Speakers (Next Week):

  • Cook (Monday)

  • Bowman (Tuesday)

  • Williams (Thursday & Friday)

  • Musalem (Thursday)

  • Jefferson (Friday)

  • Miran (Friday)

๐ŸŽƒ SEASONALITY & MARKET PATTERNS

October Wrap-Up

  • "Uptober" delivered: BTC +1.14% monthly (modest but green)

  • S&P 500: +2.8% monthly

  • Nasdaq (QQQ): +5.6% monthly - TECH DOMINATION

  • Russell 2000: -1.3% - Small caps struggled

November-December Historical Edge

"Best Six Months" Window Opens:

  • Holiday spending

  • Year-end bonuses

  • Tax considerations

  • Santa Claus Rally potential

Historical Data:

  • When SPX is up >15% by October close โ†’ November-December combined gain 20 of 21 years

  • Average additional gain: +4.7%

  • 2025 Status: SPX up ~16% through Oct 30 โœ…

Big Years Tend to End Bigger:

  • Market already strong โ†’ Momentum typically continues

  • Jefferies 2026 year-end target: SPX 7,500

  • Tom Lee (Fundstrat): Sees 5% upside into year-end โ†’ SPX 7,000

๐Ÿš€ TOP TRADING OPPORTUNITIES - FRIDAY SESSION

BULLISH HIGH-CONVICTION PLAYS

1. ๐Ÿ”ฅ MEGA-CAP TECH MOMENTUM Tickers: $AMZN, $AAPL, $GOOGL, $META Thesis: Earnings beats + analyst upgrades = continuation Strategy: Buy dips in first 30 minutes Risk/Reward: 3:1 Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ

2. ๐Ÿ’ฐ CRYPTO ECOSYSTEM Tickers: $COIN, $MSTR, $MARA, $RIOT Thesis: Bitcoin $110K + regulatory tailwinds Strategy: Scale into weakness on any BTC dip Risk/Reward: 4:1
Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ

3. โ˜๏ธ CLOUD & AI INFRASTRUCTURE Tickers: $NET, $SNOW, $DDOG, $CRWD Thesis: Enterprise cloud spending accelerating Strategy: Wait for consolidation, enter on strength confirmation Risk/Reward: 3:1 Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ

4. ๐ŸŽฎ GAMING/METAVERSE Ticker: $RBLX (Roblox) Catalyst: Goldman Sachs upgrade to BUY, PT $180

  • Well-positioned for interactive entertainment share gains

  • Alphabet & Shopify partnerships = monetization boost

  • Advertising opportunity in 2026 Contrarian Note: Benchmark downgraded to HOLD (conflict!) Strategy: Wait for clarity post-open Rating: โญโญโญโญ (4/5) - VOLATILE

5. ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ ENERGY VALUE PLAYS Tickers: $CVX, $XOM Q3 Earnings Beats:

  • Chevron: EPS $1.85 vs $1.66 est

  • Exxon: EPS $1.88 vs $1.81 est, dividend boost to $1.03 Strategy: Energy lagging tech = value opportunity Rating: โญโญโญ (3/5) - DEFENSIVE

SYMPATHY PLAYS

๐Ÿ“ฑ Apple Ecosystem Suppliers

  • Strong iPhone 17 demand signals

  • Look for: $QCOM, $AVGO, $SWKS

๐Ÿ“ฆ Amazon Logistics Winners

  • $UPS, $FDX benefit from AMZN strength

๐Ÿ’ป Data Center REITs

  • AI infrastructure demand = $DLR, $EQIX opportunity

โš ๏ธ BEARISH SETUPS & SHORT OPPORTUNITIES

๐Ÿ”ด AVOID/SHORT CANDIDATES:

1. $CMG - Chipotle

  • Down -16% on pricing backlash

  • Consumer pushback on price increases

  • NOT a broad economic signal - company-specific

  • Short Setup: Below $XXX (verify price)

  • Target: Further 5-8% decline

  • Rating: โญโญโญ (3/5) SHORT

2. Small-Cap Weakness

  • Russell 2000 underperforming

  • Avoid $IWM exposure

  • Money flowing TO mega-caps, not small-caps

3. Industrial Metals

  • China PMI miss = demand concerns

  • Materials sector lagging

  • Tickers to Avoid: $FCX, $NUE, $X

4. Traditional Retail

  • Consumer shifting to Amazon

  • Watch: $TGT, $WMT for weakness

๐Ÿ“Š OPTIONS FLOW & DARK POOL ACTIVITY

Unusual Options Volume (10/30 Close):

Bullish Flow Detected:

  • $AMZN: Heavy CALL buying in $250-$260 strikes (Nov)

  • $COIN: $350-$400 call spreads accumulating

  • $AAPL: $280-$300 calls for December

  • $MSTR: Aggressive call buying $250-$300 range

Bearish Flow:

  • $SPY: Put/Call ratio elevated (hedging activity)

  • $IWM: Protective puts accumulating

  • $XLE: Energy sector puts

Dark Pool Prints (Into Close 10/30):

  • Large institutional blocks in $AMZN around $223

  • $AAPL accumulation at $269

  • $NVDA: 23.33M shares (mixed sentiment)

๐ŸŽฏ INTRADAY TRADING GAMEPLAN

Market Open Strategy (9:30-10:00 AM EST)

SCENARIO A: Gap Up & Go (Most Likely)

  • If ES opens above 6,900:

    • Watch for early profit-taking

    • Let first 15 minutes establish range

    • BUY dips to 6,880-6,890 support

    • Targets: 6,946 โ†’ 6,968 โ†’ 7,000

SCENARIO B: Gap & Fade

  • If ES gaps up but fails to hold:

    • Wait for pullback to 6,860-6,880

    • Look for VWAP test and bounce

    • Avoid chasing rips

    • Watch PCE data reaction (8:30 AM)

SCENARIO C: Gap Down (Low Probability)

  • If negative PCE surprise:

    • ES support at 6,843 critical

    • Break of 6,800 = defensive mode

    • Favor shorts if morning weakness persists

Power Hour Strategy (3:00-4:00 PM EST)

  • End-of-Month Flows: Friday + month-end = rebalancing

  • Weekend Risk: Traders may reduce exposure

  • Trump-Xi Meeting Overhang: News could break anytime

  • Strategy: Take profits on 50-75% of day trades before close

๐ŸŒ GLOBAL MARKET SENTIMENT

Asia Session Recap

  • Japan Nikkei 225: 52,000+ (NEW ATH) +2.12%

  • China: Weakness on PMI miss

  • Hong Kong Hang Seng: Stable

Europe Session

  • Eurozone Inflation: In-line at 2.1%

  • ECB Survey: 2026 inflation forecast unchanged

  • Market Reaction: Neutral

Emerging Markets

  • $EEM: Up every month in 2025

  • Longest streak since 1993

  • Continued strength despite China concerns

๐Ÿ’ก MASTERMIND INSIGHTS & SOCIAL SENTIMENT

Key Takeaways from Trading Community:

Mike Zaccardi (CFA, CMT) Highlights:

  1. "K-Shaped Economy at Corporate Level"

    • Mag 7 margins expanding

    • Everyone else margins contracting

  2. "Gold Luster Gone?"

    • Record $7.5B outflow after 4-month $59B inflow

    • Potential frothiness reset = healthy

  3. "BofA Clients 66% Allocated to Stocks"

    • Matches record high allocation

    • Contrarian bearish signal? Or new paradigm?

  4. "Tariffs Add 30-50bp to Core PCE"

    • Inflation concerns remain

    • 50-70% of total tariff cost passed to consumers

Jungle Rock Research:

  • ETF Index allocations posting free through Q1 2026

  • Focus on systematic flows into mega-caps

Palmer Trading Insights:

  • $WBD (Warner Bros Discovery): Netflix hire s bank for bid valuation

  • $NFLX: 10-for-1 split Nov 17 (#MakeNetflixTradeableAgain)

ICT (Inner Circle Trader):

  • Liquidity analysis showing support holding

  • Order flow favoring continuation

๐ŸŽƒ SPECIAL HALLOWEEN MARKET THEMES

"Trick or Treat" Trade Setups

๐Ÿฌ TREATS (High Probability Winners):

  1. Mega-cap tech earnings momentum

  2. Bitcoin seasonal strength

  3. Year-end rally setup in place

  4. Defensive positioning after Fed fade

๐Ÿ‘ป TRICKS (Avoid These Traps):

  1. Chasing small-cap weakness

  2. Fighting mega-cap momentum

  3. Over-extrapolating CMG weakness

  4. Ignoring government data vacuum risks

๐Ÿ”ฎ WEEK AHEAD PREVIEW

Key Events (Nov 1-8):

Monday, November 3:

  • Cook (Fed) speaks

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI

Tuesday, November 4:

  • Bowman (Fed) speaks

  • Job openings (if government reopens)

Wednesday, November 5:

  • Awaiting data calendar

Thursday, November 6:

  • Williams, Musalem (Fed) speak

  • Jobless Claims

Friday, November 7:

  • Williams, Jefferson, Miran (Fed) speak

  • November Jobs Report (if available)

Earnings to Watch:

  • Check earnings calendar for next week mega-caps

  • Tech sector continues to report

โšก RISK MANAGEMENT & POSITION SIZING

Current Market Volatility Assessment

  • VIX: 15.81 (+0.13%) - Relatively calm

  • Market Regime: Bull trend with elevated valuations

  • Key Risk: Overconcentration in Mag 7

  1. Maximum Position Size: 25% per trade

  2. Stop Losses: Use 2-3% stops on individual stocks

  3. Profit Targets: Take partial profits at +5%, let winners run to +10-15%

  4. Avoid Overleveraging: Options should be <10% of portfolio

  5. Weekend Risk: Reduce exposure by 30-50% if holding over weekend

๐ŸŽฏ FINAL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS

MUST-WATCH TICKERS TODAY:

TIER 1 - HIGHEST CONVICTION:

  1. $AMZN - Entry: $248-252 | Target: $265-280 | Stop: $242

  2. $COIN - Entry: $325-335 | Target: $365-400 | Stop: $315

  3. $AAPL - Entry: $270-273 | Target: $285-300 | Stop: $265

  4. $MSTR - Entry: $250-258 | Target: $275-290 | Stop: $240

  5. $NET - Entry: $120-124 | Target: $135-145 | Stop: $115

TIER 2 - STRONG PLAYS: 6. $RDDT - Entry: $190-195 | Target: $210-225 | Stop: $182 7. $WDC - Entry: $135-140 | Target: $148-155 | Stop: $130 8. $TWLO - Entry: $110-115 | Target: $125-135 | Stop: $105 9. $RBLX - Entry: $165-170 | Target: $180-190 | Stop: $158 (VOLATILE) 10. $CVX - Entry: $150-153 | Target: $160-165 | Stop: $147

CRYPTO PLAYS:

  • Bitcoin: Watch $109K support, target $117K-125K

  • Ethereum: Support $3,800, target $4,100-4,300

๐Ÿ“ CLOSING THOUGHTS

Market Narrative Summary:

The Halloween trading session sets up with powerful bullish momentum driven by mega-cap tech earnings beats, Bitcoin's surge to $110K, and seasonal tailwinds entering the historically strong November-December period. However, traders must navigate:

  1. Fed Policy Uncertainty: Powell's hawkish tone vs. market's rate cut expectations

  2. Government Shutdown: Data vacuum creates information asymmetry

  3. Valuation Concerns: SPX at ATHs with concentration risk in Mag 7

  4. China Trade Tensions: Trump-Xi meeting outcome pending

BEST STRATEGY TODAY:

  • Trade WITH the momentum (don't fight mega-cap strength)

  • Use pullbacks as buying opportunities in winning names

  • Avoid lagging sectors and small-caps

  • Take partial profits quickly given end-of-month positioning

  • Reduce risk into weekend given geopolitical uncertainties

PROBABILITY ASSESSMENT:

  • Bullish Continuation: 70%

  • Consolidation/Chop: 20%

  • Significant Pullback: 10%

๐ŸŽ“ EDUCATIONAL RESOURCE

Want to Level Up Your Trading?

Join AITradingSkool.com for:

  • Real-time trade alerts

  • Advanced technical analysis training

  • Options strategies masterclass

  • Live trading room access

  • Community of dedicated traders

Special Halloween Offer: Use code SPOOKY2025 for exclusive discount

โš ๏ธ DISCLAIMER

This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

DCG Command Center provides analysis based on current market conditions, technical indicators, and fundamental data. Market conditions can change rapidly. All prices and data are subject to verification and may contain errors. Traders should use appropriate risk management and never risk more than they can afford to lose.

๐Ÿ“ž CONNECT WITH DCG COMMAND CENTER

Stay Updated:

Next Newsletter: Monday, November 3, 2025 - Pre-Market Brief

๐ŸŽƒ HAPPY HALLOWEEN & PROFITABLE TRADING! ๐ŸŽƒ

Remember: Markets reward patience, discipline, and proper risk management. Trade smart, not emotional.

Let's make this a TREAT of a trading day! ๐Ÿš€

DCG Command Center - Friday, October 31, 2025, 7:45 AM EST
"Where Elite Traders Get Their Edge"

๐Ÿ“Š QUICK REFERENCE CHEAT SHEET

BULL CASE: โœ… Mega-cap tech earnings beats
โœ… Bitcoin momentum above $110K
โœ… Seasonal November-December strength
โœ… Fed cut complete (25bp delivered)
โœ… Institutional flows into equities

BEAR CASE: โŒ Fed hawkish on future cuts
โŒ 10Y Treasury rising (4.11%)
โŒ Small-cap weakness
โŒ Valuation concerns at ATH
โŒ Government shutdown data issues

KEY LEVEL: ES 6,880 is THE level today - bulls must defend

WATCH: 8:30 AM PCE data reaction will set the tone

TRADE THE PLAN, PLAN THE TRADE!

Subscribe to our live trading room and take the trades with us.

Become a paying subscriber to get access to our live trading room, and subscriber-only content.

Already a paying subscriber? Sign In.

Reply

or to participate.