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- 🚀 GREENLAND RELIEF SPARKS MARKET SURGE: TECH & SMALL CAPS LEAD MASSIVE RALLY
🚀 GREENLAND RELIEF SPARKS MARKET SURGE: TECH & SMALL CAPS LEAD MASSIVE RALLY
Trump Drops European Tariffs as NATO Framework Eases Geopolitical Tensions |DCG COMMAND CENTER | Thursday, January 22, 2026 Trading Week
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DCG COMMAND CENTER | Thursday, January 22, 2026 Trading Week
⚡ MARKET SNAPSHOT - JANUARY 22, 2026 S&P 500 Futures: 6,944.75 (+0.50% premarket) Nasdaq 100: +0.80% - Tech Leading Recovery Russell 2000: +0.60% - 14th Consecutive Alpha Session Bitcoin: ~$90,000 - Consolidation Mode Natural Gas: $5.43/MMBtu (+11.35%) - 70% Weekly Gain VIX: 16 (down from 18) - Fear Subsiding |
�� BREAKING: Trump-NATO Greenland Framework Ends Tariff Threat
President Trump announced a 'framework of a future deal' with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte regarding Greenland and Arctic security, immediately dropping threatened 10% tariffs on European allies scheduled for February 1st. Markets surged on the news, with European stocks rallying across the continent and U.S. futures climbing sharply.
• Trump ruled out military force for Greenland acquisition during Davos speech
• Framework focuses on Arctic security, mineral rights, and 'Golden Dome' missile defense system
• European Parliament suspended U.S.-EU trade deal but welcomed de-escalation
• Denmark maintains sovereignty over Greenland remains non-negotiable
• Risk-on sentiment returns as geopolitical tensions ease dramatically
�� TODAY'S EARNINGS CATALYSTS
�� GE AEROSPACE (GE) - MAJOR BEAT
Reported Q4 2025: Adj EPS $1.57 vs $1.44 est (+9.0% beat) | Rev $11.87B vs $11.22B est (+5.8% beat)
Stock: Up 1.97% premarket to $318.50 (Previous close: $312.34)
Average Analyst Target: $353.94 (+11.3% upside from current)
• Commercial Engines & Services: 27% revenue growth YoY
• LEAP engines 'sold out through rest of decade' per CEO Larry Culp
• Planning ~2,000 LEAP engine shipments in 2026
• Trade Rating: 9/10 - Strong momentum into earnings, aerospace sector strength
Sympathy Plays:
• RTX (Defense & Aerospace) - $196.36
• LMT (Lockheed Martin) - $576.06
• HWM (Howmet Aerospace) - Watch for MRO demand tailwind
�� INTEL (INTC) - MASSIVE PRE-EARNINGS SURGE
Stock surged +11.72% on Wednesday to $54.25 ahead of today's earnings (5 PM EST)
Expected Q4 EPS: -$0.02 (loss) | Citi upgraded to Neutral
Stock up 160% from 52-week low, highest since January 2022
• KeyBanc: Intel likely sold out of server CPUs for 2026
• Strong AI data center demand from hyperscalers expected
• Foundry business securing potential anchor customers
• Options Data: Straddle implies ±7.45% move post-earnings
Trade Setup:
• Risk: High volatility expected, already up 11% into earnings
• Opportunity: If beat-and-raise, targets $60 (KeyBanc PT)
• Trade Rating: 7/10 - High risk/high reward, wait for pullback post-earnings
�� PROCTER & GAMBLE (PG) - MIXED RESULTS
Q2 2026: Core EPS $1.88 vs $1.86 est (+1.1% beat) | Rev $22.21B vs $22.32B est (-0.5% miss)
• Earnings beat expectations but revenue slightly missed
• Trade Rating: 5/10 - Mixed results, wait for clearer direction
�� HOTTEST SECTORS & MONEY ROTATION
�� BULLISH SECTORS
1. ENERGY / NATURAL GAS - HISTORIC SURGE ⚡
Natural gas prices exploding on extreme cold forecasts - 70% WEEKLY GAIN
• Natural Gas: $5.43/MMBtu (+11.35% today, +39.33% monthly)
• Temps forecast at 21.8°F on Jan 24, lowest since December 2022
• Major winter storm affecting 2/3 of country
• Production freeze-offs: up to 10 Bcf/day at risk in Appalachia
• Northeast snow event: Norfolk to Boston, Friday-Monday
TOP PLAYS:
• UNG (Natural Gas ETF) - Direct play on nat gas spike
• GNRC (Generac) - Power outage play, already moving higher
• VG (Venture Global LNG) - LNG stock, cold weather beneficiary
• Trade Rating: 9/10 - Historic volatility, extreme weather catalyst
2. TECHNOLOGY - SEMICONDUCTORS REBOUNDING ��
• INTC: +11.72% Wednesday surge ahead of earnings
• ARM: Susquehanna upgrade to Positive, maintaining $150 PT
• NVDA: +2.98% as AI infrastructure demand remains strong
• AMD, MU: Both up 6.6%+ on sector momentum
• BABA: +5.3% premarket on T-Head AI chip IPO plans, price target $203
3. SMALL CAPS - RUSSELL 2000 DOMINANCE ��
• IWM: 14th consecutive session of alpha vs SPY
• Small caps benefiting from dovish Fed expectations
• Rotation into domestic cyclicals continues
4. AEROSPACE & DEFENSE - EARNINGS BEAT CYCLE ��
• GE: Massive earnings beat, commercial aviation strength
• BA: +0.53% on sector tailwinds
• LMT, RTX: Defense spending narratives supporting valuations
⚠️ BEARISH / CAUTIOUS SECTORS
• RETAIL: B&M European Value lowers guidance, shares -2.9%
• CONSUMER STAPLES: Mixed PG results signal softness
• HEALTHCARE: ZTS (Zoetis) downgraded by Piper on innovation concerns
• FOOTWEAR: CROX downgraded to Sector Weight by KeyBanc
₿ BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT
Bitcoin: ~$90,000 (-2.16% as of 10:37 AM UTC)
Consolidation phase continues, not participating in equity market bounce
• Range-bound: $85,000 - $90,000 for two weeks
• Bollinger Bands squeeze: Volatility compression signals major move ahead
• ETH: $2,986.88 (-0.42% | -4.54% last session)
• SOL: $130.36 (+2.65% | +2.43% 24h)
• Institutional demand: Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.2B inflows in first two trading days of 2026
GOLDMAN SACHS: Raises Dec 2026 gold forecast to $5,400/oz (+$500 from prior)
• Crypto Outlook: Neutral short-term, bullish long-term on institutional adoption
�� TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR (January 22, 2026)
TIME | EVENT | IMPACT |
8:30 AM EST | GDP Q4 Preliminary | HIGH |
8:30 AM EST | Initial Jobless Claims | HIGH |
10:00 AM EST | Core PCE Price Index (Nov) | HIGH - Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge |
12:00 PM EST | EIA Petroleum Status Report | MEDIUM |
5:00 PM EST | INTEL (INTC) Q4 Earnings | VERY HIGH |
⭐ KEY CATALYST TRADES FOR TODAY
TRADE #1: Natural Gas Cold Weather Play
• Ticker: UNG (United States Natural Gas Fund)
• Entry: Current levels around $10.50-11.00
• Target: $12.50-13.00 (+15-20%)
• Stop: $9.80
• Catalyst: Historic 70% weekly gain, extreme cold through Feb 5
• Risk: Very High Volatility | Rating: 9/10
TRADE #2: GE Aerospace Post-Earnings Momentum
• Ticker: GE
• Entry: $315-318 on pullback
• Target: $340-353 (analyst average)
• Stop: $308
• Catalyst: Massive earnings beat, commercial aviation strength
• Risk: Medium | Rating: 9/10
TRADE #3: BABA AI Chip IPO Momentum
• Ticker: BABA (Alibaba)
• Entry: $168-170
• Target: $185-203
• Stop: $162
• Catalyst: T-Head AI chip unit IPO plans, nuclear power partnership
• Risk: Medium-High | Rating: 8/10
TRADE #4: Small Cap Rotation (IWM)
• Ticker: IWM (Russell 2000 ETF)
• Entry: Current ~$2,624
• Target: $2,700-2,750
• Stop: $2,575
• Catalyst: 14 consecutive sessions of outperformance vs SPY
• Risk: Medium | Rating: 8/10
�� S&P 500 FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS
Current: 6,944.75 (H4 Long Breakout Zone)
• Resistance: 6,955 (H5 LB Target), 6,990, 7,010 (psychological)
• Support: 6,918 (H3 Short), 6,890, 6,865-6,875 (reversal zone)
• Bullish Above: 6,920
• Bearish Below: 6,850
�� OVERALL MARKET STRATEGY
Markets are in RISK-ON mode following Trump's Greenland framework agreement. The removal of European tariff threats has eliminated a major overhang, pushing volatility lower and supporting equity gains.
Key Themes:
• Geopolitical De-escalation: Trump-NATO framework removes tariff overhang
• Natural Gas Mania: Historic 70% weekly gain on extreme cold forecasts
• Earnings Season: GE massive beat, INTC after hours today
• Small Cap Rotation: IWM continues 14-session alpha streak
• Tech Rebound: Semiconductors bouncing after Tuesday's selloff
• PCE Data Today: Fed's preferred inflation gauge at 10 AM EST - critical for rate policy
Market Outlook:
• Bullish Bias: Greenland relief + strong earnings support upside
• Watch PCE: If inflation comes in hot, could pressure rates higher
• Intel Earnings: High volatility expected, ±7.45% move priced in
• Natural Gas: Parabolic move, extreme volatility - trade with caution
• Crypto: Neutral - consolidating, not participating in equity bounce
"The Fed put is back. The Greenland situation quickly de-escalated, which is a good thing. We continue to want to buy the dips." - Tom Lee, Fundstrat |
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDERS
• Natural Gas: Extremely volatile, use tight stops and position size accordingly
• Intel Earnings: High IV crush risk, consider defined risk strategies
• PCE Data: Could trigger intraday volatility spike at 10 AM EST
• Scale into winners, cut losers quickly
• Never risk more than 1-2% of account on any single trade
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— DCG COMMAND CENTER —
Trade Smart. Trade Often. Trade Profitably.
DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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