🚨 GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN ENDS AS MARKETS SURGE: AI & TECH RALLY POWERS DOW TO NEW RECORD HIGHS 🚀

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📊 MARKET SNAPSHOT - PRE-MARKET NOVEMBER 13, 2025

S&P 500 Futures: $6,863.25 (Last Close: 6,850.92 | +0.18%)
Dow Jones: 48,254.82 (+0.68% | NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ✨)
Nasdaq: 23,406.46 (-0.26% | Tech rotation continues)
Bitcoin: $102,976 (+0.13% | Consolidating near $100K)
VIX: 17.51 (+1.33% | Fear gauge moderate)

🔥 KEY THINGS TO KNOW GOING INTO THURSDAY'S SESSION

✅ GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN ENDS - Trump signs spending bill after 6+ weeks, longest in U.S. history
✅ CPI DATA RELEASE TODAY - 8:30 AM ET inflation report could drive major volatility
✅ CISCO CRUSHES EARNINGS - +$1.3B AI infrastructure orders send stock up 10%+
✅ DISNEY EARNINGS PRE-MARKET - Streaming giant reports amid YouTube TV blackout concerns
✅ MICRON GETS STREET-HIGH TARGET - Morgan Stanley raises to $325, names top pick
✅ NIKE UPGRADED - Wells Fargo moves to Overweight with $75 PT on turnaround visibility

⚠️ CRITICAL MARKET FACTOR:

White House confirms October jobs & CPI data may NEVER be released due to shutdown - Fed flying blind heading into December rate decision (currently 62% probability of cut).

💰 TOP TRADE IDEAS FOR NOVEMBER 13, 2025

🔥 HOT SECTOR: AI INFRASTRUCTURE & NETWORKING

1. CISCO SYSTEMS (CSCO) - STRONG BUY ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Entry Zone: $73.50-$74.50
Current Price: $73.96 (verified close Nov 12)
Target 1: $82.00 (+10.9%)
Target 2: $90.00 (+21.7%)
Stop Loss: $71.00

Trade Rating: 9.5/10 - EXCEPTIONAL SETUP

Catalyst: Q1 FY26 earnings beat with $1.00 EPS vs $0.98 est | Revenue $14.88B vs $14.77B est
Key Driver: $1.3 billion in AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers | Expects $3B AI revenue in FY26
Momentum: 8 analyst upgrades overnight - Wells Fargo $95 PT | BofA $95 PT | JPM $90 PT
Technical: Breaking above $74 resistance with massive volume surge (+7.46% after-hours)

Why This Works:

• One millionth Silicon One chip shipping Q2 (AI networking demand explosion)

• $2B+ pipeline from sovereign, Neocloud, and enterprise customers

• Campus networking refresh cycle underway (all product categories accelerating)

• Product orders +13% YoY with 5th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth

Join our community at aitradingskool.com for real-time CSCO trade alerts!

2. MICRON TECHNOLOGY (MU) - AGGRESSIVE BUY ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Entry Zone: $240-$245
Current Price: $241.11 (verified Nov 12)
Target 1: $280.00 (+16.1%)
Target 2: $325.00 (+34.8%) [Morgan Stanley Street-high target]
Stop Loss: $230.00

Trade Rating: 9.3/10 - HIGH CONVICTION

Catalyst: Morgan Stanley names MU as TOP PICK with street-high $325 price target
Key Driver: DDR5 spot pricing TRIPLED in past month | 2018-style shortage forming but from higher EPS base
Analyst Take: "Double-digit price increases in Q4 and Q1 for DDR5 understate how good the market is" - Joseph Moore, Morgan Stanley
Earnings Power: FY26 EPS forecast $25 vs current $16.22 | New record highs expected

Why This Works:

• Market feels similar to 2018 boom but earnings already at peak levels

• Buyers describing transactions "well above" reported price increases

• HBM4 development risk mitigated by strong DDR5 margins

• Uncharted territory for memory pricing power

3. NIKE (NKE) - TURNAROUND PLAY ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Entry Zone: $63.00-$65.00
Current Price: $64.20 (verified Nov 13 pre-market)
Target 1: $72.00 (+12.1%)
Target 2: $75.00 (+16.8%) [Wells Fargo PT]
Stop Loss: $61.00

Trade Rating: 8.2/10 - VALUE OPPORTUNITY

Catalyst: Wells Fargo upgrade to Overweight from Equal Weight | "Improving visibility" on turnaround
Technical: Stock down 14.7% from recent highs - attractive entry after washout
Risk/Reward: Trading near 52-week lows ($52.28) with 30%+ upside to analyst targets

Why This Works:

• Heavily oversold after extended decline

• New management executing turnaround strategy

• Valuation compelling vs historical multiples

• 24 of 26 analysts rate Buy with average PT $83.27

🚀 CRYPTO SECTOR PLAYS

4. BITCOIN (BTC) - WATCH & WAIT ⭐⭐⭐

Current: $102,976
Support: $100,000 (critical psychological level)
Resistance: $111,900
Bias: NEUTRAL - consolidation phase

Key Developments:

• BEARISH: ETF outflows -$278M (Fidelity -$133M largest withdrawal)

• BEARISH: Corporate BTC buying down 42% in November (375 BTC/day avg)

• BEARISH: 50% of BTC treasury companies trading at discount to NAV

• BULLISH: Solana ETFs +$18.06M inflows (12-day streak continues)

• NEUTRAL: Price action "silently balanced" per BRN analyst Timothy Misir

Strategy: Wait for clear break above $105K or defend $100K support before aggressive positioning

5. CIRCLE INTERNET (CRCL) - STABLECOIN LEADER ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Entry Zone: $87-$92
Target: $100 (JPMorgan PT +16% upside)
Catalyst: JPMorgan DOUBLE UPGRADE from Underweight to Overweight
Momentum: Stock up 178% from $31 IPO but still 67% below June highs

Why This Works:

• Stablecoins moving into mainstream finance

• USDC leading adoption trend

• Strong Q3 fundamentals cited by JPM

• Buying opportunity per analyst Kenneth Worthington

📰 WHITE HOUSE & POLICY IMPACT ANALYSIS

GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN RESOLUTION - MARKET IMPLICATIONS

POSITIVE IMPACTS:
✅ Removes major uncertainty overhang
✅ Federal workers return = consumer spending restoration
✅ Government contractors can resume operations
✅ Stock market rallied to new highs on resolution news

NEGATIVE IMPACTS:
❌ October CPI & Jobs data may NEVER be released per White House
❌ Federal Reserve "flying blind" into December rate decision
❌ Statistical system potentially "permanently damaged"
❌ Q4 GDP could be reduced by 0.8-2.0 percentage points

TRUMP APPROVAL & 2026 IMPLICATIONS:

• Approval rating remains 40% | Disapproval climbs to 58%

• 44% of Democrats "very enthusiastic" about 2026 vote vs 26% Republicans

• Political headwinds could impact policy agenda execution

MARKET TAKEAWAY:
Shutdown end is bullish for risk assets short-term, but lack of economic data creates uncertainty for Fed policy into year-end. Traders should prepare for heightened volatility around data releases once resumed.

📈 SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS

BULLISH SECTORS (MONEY FLOWING IN) 💹

1. AI INFRASTRUCTURE & NETWORKING - 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

• CSCO leading with massive AI orders

• Enterprise AI adoption accelerating

• Campus networking refresh cycle underway

2. SEMICONDUCTORS & MEMORY - 🔥🔥🔥🔥

• MU getting record Street-high targets

• DRAM pricing power unprecedented

• AI datacenter demand insatiable

3. FINANCIALS - 🔥🔥🔥🔥

• Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo hitting 52-week highs

• Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) +1% | YTD +11%

• Bank stocks benefiting from yield curve dynamics

4. INDUSTRIALS & BLUE CHIPS - 🔥🔥🔥

• Dow Jones NEW ALL-TIME HIGH

• Healthcare giants strong: Merck, Amgen, J&J

• Value rotation from tech into cyclicals

BEARISH SECTORS (MONEY ROTATING OUT) 📉

1. MEGA-CAP TECH - ⚠️⚠️⚠️

• Nasdaq underperforming | 4 declines in last 5 sessions

• Information Technology sector -0.5% (only red sector)

• Applied Materials -3%, Nvidia -2%+

• Rotation trade accelerating

2. STREAMING/MEDIA - ⚠️⚠️

• DIS down -3% after mixed earnings (missed revenue)

• YouTube TV carriage dispute pressure

• Netflix dominating profitability but sector pressure

3. E-COMMERCE (CHINA) - ⚠️⚠️

• Chinese tax officials ordering sales data from BABA, JD

• Regulatory pressure increasing

• JD.com beat but faces scrutiny

🎯 S&P 500 FUTURES KEY LEVELS - DAY TRADING PLAN

CURRENT LEVEL: 6,863.25

BULL CASE - Above 6,877:

• Immediate Target: 6,888 (range resistance)

• Breakout Target: 6,900-6,920 (selling pressure zone)

• Maximum Extension: 6,953 (recent high)

• Strategy: Long above 6,877 with targets at 6,888 and 6,905

BEAR CASE - Below 6,865:

• Support 1: 6,847 (intraday demand)

• Support 2: 6,830 (recent pullback low)

• Major Support: 6,800 (psychological)

• Strategy: Short below 6,860 with targets at 6,845 and 6,830

RANGE-BOUND SCENARIO:
Market basing in 6,865-6,888 range for Day 2. CPI data at 8:30 AM will likely determine direction. Expect volatility spike on release.

Per Adam Mancini (@AdamMancini4): "Bulls must reclaim 6,877 to see 6,882, 6,888+. 6,847 next support. 6,865 used up for quick trade."

📊 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS & SYMPATHY PLAYS

AFTER-HOURS MOVERS (Nov 12)

CISCO (CSCO) +7.46% ⬆️⬆️⬆️
Sympathy Plays:

• Arista Networks (ANET) - Datacenter networking peer

• Juniper Networks (JNPR) - Enterprise networking

• Palo Alto Networks (PANW) - Cybersecurity/networking convergence

DISNEY (DIS) -3% (pre-market Nov 13) ⬇️
Q4 FY25: EPS $1.11 vs $1.05 est ✅ | Revenue $22.46B vs $22.84B est ❌
Key Points:

• Doubling FY26 share repurchases to $7B

• Guides double-digit EPS growth FY26 and FY27

• YouTube TV dispute costing $30M/week

Sympathy Plays:

• Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) - Streaming competition

• Paramount (PSKY) - Media peer

• CONTRARIAN: Netflix (NFLX) could benefit from DIS struggles

PRE-MARKET EARNINGS (Nov 13)

JD.COM (JD) - Beat on revenue (+14.9% YoY to RMB 299.1B)

• Active customers surpassed 700M in October

• Q4 expects marketplace & marketing revenue growth continuation

• BUT: Chinese tax scrutiny creating overhang

🌐 INTERNATIONAL & MACRO FACTORS

EUROZONE:

• Industrial Production disappoints: 0.2% MoM vs 0.7% exp | 1.2% YoY vs 2% exp

• Economic slowdown concerns for EU markets

UK:

• GDP growth slows: 0.1% 3M/3M vs 0.3% prior | 1.1% YoY vs 1.3% prior

• Economic softness but US nuclear partnership announced

CHINA:

• Completes Phase One of 6G technology trials (tech leadership race)

• Apple-Tencent 15% fee agreement on WeChat mini games

• Moore Threads (GPU maker) plans Nov 24 Shanghai listing

RUSSIA-UKRAINE:

• Ukraine hits Russian oil terminal in Crimea

• Oil depot in Zaporizhzhia region struck

• Energy supply disruptions could impact markets

🔮 ECONOMIC CALENDAR - THURSDAY NOVEMBER 13, 2025

CRITICAL RELEASES:

8:30 AM ET - CPI INFLATION DATA 🚨🚨🚨

• MOST IMPORTANT DATA POINT OF THE WEEK

• Expected: Core CPI +0.3% MoM | Headline +0.2% MoM

• Market Impact: HIGH - Could determine Fed December rate cut probability

• Current Fed Funds Rate: 3.98% (SOFR Nov 12)

• December Cut Probability: 62% per Kalshi markets

8:30 AM ET - Jobless Claims

• Expected to show labor market stability

• Critical given missing October data

12:00 PM ET - EIA Petroleum Status Report

• Oil inventory levels

• Demand indicators

12:15 PM ET - Fed's Alberto Musalem Speaks
12:20 PM ET - Fed's Beth Hammack Speaks

• Any hints on December policy path crucial

1:00 PM ET - 30-Year Bond Auction

• Demand for long-duration debt

• Inflation expectations signal

4:30 PM ET - Fed Balance Sheet

• QT (Quantitative Tightening) pace

💡 TRADING STRATEGIES BY ASSET CLASS

STOCKS:

Offensive Strategy:

• Buy AI infrastructure dip (CSCO, MU, NVDA)

• Financials on continued strength (GS, MS, WFC)

• Turnaround value plays (NKE)

Defensive Strategy:

• Trim mega-cap tech into strength

• Avoid Chinese e-commerce near-term

• Wait for media sector clarity post-Disney

OPTIONS:

High IV Plays:

• CSCO calls (Jan 2026 $80-$85 strikes) for AI momentum

• MU calls (Dec/Jan $250-$270 strikes) on upgrade cycle

• SPY iron condors around CPI (expect big move)

Hedges:

• VIX calls for CPI protection

• Put spreads on weak tech names

FUTURES:

ES (S&P 500):

• Trade the 6,865-6,888 range until CPI

• Breakout above 6,900 = continuation to 6,920-6,950

• Breakdown below 6,845 = retest of 6,800

CRYPTO:

BTC:

• Accumulate on dips toward $100K support

• Reduce exposure if breaks below $98K

• Target $108K-$111K on recovery

ALTS:

• SOL continues strength (12-day inflow streak)

• Watch CRCL on JPM upgrade momentum

• Avoid overleveraged positions given consolidation

🔴 RISK FACTORS & MARKET HEADWINDS

⚠️ Missing Economic Data: Fed policy uncertainty into year-end
⚠️ Political Uncertainty: Trump approval at 40%, 2026 election concerns
⚠️ Geopolitical Risks: Russia-Ukraine energy supply disruptions
⚠️ Valuation Concerns: Tech sector still expensive despite rotation
⚠️ China Tensions: Tax crackdown on e-commerce could escalate
⚠️ Hedge Fund Caution: Equity exposure at 1-year+ lows per JPMorgan

🚀 MOMENTUM TRADES & BREAKOUT OPPORTUNITIES

CONFIRMED BREAKOUTS:

1. CSCO - Breaking $74 after 5-year consolidation

2. Goldman Sachs (GS) - New 52-week high, financials leading

3. Dow Jones - New all-time high above 48,000

POTENTIAL BREAKOUTS:

1. MU - Testing $245, break targets $260-$270

2. NKE - Basing near lows, upgrade catalyst

3. Silver - Near all-time highs from last month

FAILED BREAKOUTS (AVOID):

1. NVDA - SoftBank sale pressure, down from highs

2. Applied Materials (AMAT) - Tech rotation victim

3. Disney (DIS) - Earnings disappointment

📱 SOCIAL SENTIMENT & WHALE ACTIVITY

NOTABLE WHALE MOVES:

• Bitcoin: Owen Gunden deposits 2,401 BTC ($244.96M) to Kraken

• Michael Burry: Shuts down Scion hedge fund (managed $155M) - "On to much better things Nov 25th"

• SoftBank: Sold entire NVDA stake for $5.83 billion

RETAIL SENTIMENT:

• Bullish: 82% for Bitcoin despite consolidation

• Mixed: Tech sector rotation causing uncertainty

• Positive: Shutdown end relief rally expectations

MASTERMIND INSIGHTS:

• Tom Lee (Fundstrat) expects year-end rally despite skepticism

• JPMorgan: Hedge fund caution may spark rally (low exposure = upside room)

• BofA: "It's not time to sell AI ecosystem, right time for global value"

🎓 TRADER EDUCATION TIP

Managing CPI Volatility:
Major economic releases like today's CPI can cause violent swings. Here's how to protect yourself:

1. Reduce Position Size: Cut risk by 30-50% before major data

2. Use Wider Stops: Account for gap moves and volatility spikes

3. Consider Hedges: VIX calls or put spreads for protection

4. Wait for Confirmation: Let initial volatility settle before entering

5. Trade the Reaction: Often the best trades come 30-60 minutes after release

Learn advanced strategies like this at aitradingskool.com!

📌 BOTTOM LINE - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

THE BULL CASE: 🐂

• Government shutdown ended removes major overhang

• AI infrastructure boom confirmed by CSCO earnings

• Memory chip super-cycle forming (MU)

• Financials breaking out to new highs

• Sentiment improving with policy clarity

• JPM notes hedge fund low exposure = upside potential

THE BEAR CASE: 🐻

• Missing economic data creates Fed uncertainty

• Tech sector rotation accelerating

• Valuation concerns at market highs

• Political headwinds (Trump 40% approval)

• Geopolitical risks (Ukraine-Russia)

• Crypto showing consolidation fatigue

DCG COMMAND CENTER VERDICT:

MARKET BIAS: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH 📈

The shutdown resolution is a major positive, but today's CPI data at 8:30 AM ET will be THE decisive factor for near-term direction. We're in a "show me" market where AI infrastructure and financials are working, but mega-cap tech is struggling.

GAME PLAN FOR THURSDAY:

1. Pre-CPI (until 8:30 AM): Range-bound, small positions only

2. CPI Release (8:30 AM): Stand aside, let volatility settle

3. Post-CPI (9:00 AM onward): Trade the reaction with defined risk

4. Best Setups: CSCO, MU, financial longs | Tech shorts as hedges

The market is climbing a wall of worry, which is historically bullish. But don't fight the rotation - follow the money into AI infrastructure, semiconductors, and financials while being selective in tech.

🎯 TOMORROW'S FOCUS

Watch List:

• CPI data reaction (8:30 AM)

• CSCO momentum continuation

• MU breakout confirmation above $245

• Financial sector follow-through

• Bitcoin $100K defense

Avoid:

• Chasing mega-cap tech weakness

• Chinese e-commerce until clarity

• Overleveraged crypto positions

📢 COMMUNITY REMINDER

This is your DCG Command Center, where real traders analyze real markets every single day. We don't fabricate results or chase hype - we provide clarity, actionable trade ideas, and the technical and fundamental analysis you need to make informed decisions.

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DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. All trade ideas include verified prices and realistic targets based on current market conditions as of November 13, 2025. Trading involves risk of loss. Always use proper position sizing and risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

DCG COMMAND CENTER | EST. 2021 | YOUR EDGE IN THE MARKETS

"Where Daily Traders Get Daily Edge"

Newsletter compiled: November 13, 2025, 7:15 AM CST
Market data sources: CNBC, Bloomberg, Reuters, company filings
Price verification: Multiple financial data sources cross-referenced

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