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- DCG Weekly A.I. Trading Plan: March 9-14, 2025 - A Winning Week Awaits Traders Inside The Mastermind - GET READY FOR ANOTHER CRAZY WEEK IN THE STOCK MARKET
DCG Weekly A.I. Trading Plan: March 9-14, 2025 - A Winning Week Awaits Traders Inside The Mastermind - GET READY FOR ANOTHER CRAZY WEEK IN THE STOCK MARKET
Capitalize on CPI Catalysts and OPEX Strength for Big Gains - CPI Week & Getting Ready For Triple Witching Prep: Navigating the 200-Day Bounce with PrecisionMarket Tests Critical Support Amid Extreme Fear — Masterful Traders Will Capitalize on Pre-OPEX Seasonality, CPI Binary Event & Oracle's AI Moment
DCG Weekly Trading Plan: March 9-14, 2025
Market Overview

March 14th 2025 Total Eclipse Coming
DCG Mastermind AI SCOUT - Previous Week Recap
Monday: Trade war fears slammed stocks; Singapore investigated Nvidia chip sanctions; Atlanta Fed's GDP estimate turned negative, sparking recession fears
Tuesday: Selloff broadened beyond tech, erasing post-election gains; CrowdStrike and AeroVironment sold off post-earnings
Wednesday: Bulls rallied after weak ADP report; delayed car tariffs boosted automakers; Novo Nordisk targeted consumers directly
Thursday: Trump paused Canada/Mexico tariffs; Chinese stocks surged on stimulus hopes; private equity sought bargains
Friday: Markets jumped on lukewarm jobs report despite Powell's no-rush stance on rate cuts; Crypto Summit disappointed
Current Technical View
SPX closed -3% for the week but rallied strongly Friday, holding the critical 200-day MA support at 5710
This support zone coincides with AVWAP from April lows and 50% retracement from August low to 2025 high
VIX showing contraction (inverted VIX/VXV ratio at 1.03), often signaling a market bottom
Triple Witching OPEX approaching (March 21) - historically bullish pre-OPEX
Sentiment Indicators
AAII sentiment shows extreme bearishness: 19.3% bullish (among lowest 66 readings ever), 57.1% bearish
$14.2B in equity fund outflows last week
CNN Fear & Greed Index: 20 (Extreme Fear)
NYSE stocks above 50-MA: 47.2%, above 200-MA: 52.4%
Market environment: "Risk Off" with fund outflows and defensive sector rotation
Key Weekly Events & Catalysts
Economic Releases (Chronological)
Monday (11:00 AM): NY Fed Consumer Expectations
Tuesday (10:00 AM): JOLTS Job Openings (Est: 7.5M, Prev: 7.6M)
Wednesday (8:30 AM): CPI Inflation Report (Prev MoM: 0.3%, YoY: 2.9%) - MAJOR CATALYST
Thursday (8:30 AM): PPI Inflation Data (Prev MoM: 0.3%, YoY: 3.2%)
Thursday (8:30 AM): Initial Jobless Claims (Est: 230K, Prev: 221K)
Friday (10:00 AM): Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Est: 63.2, Prev: 64.7)
Market Catalysts
Tariff Implementation: 25% steel/aluminum tariffs on EU (Wednesday)
Trump Meeting: Tech CEOs gathering (HP, Intel, IBM, Qualcomm) - Monday
Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Impact on crypto markets
Triple Witching OPEX: Approaching next week (historically bullish pre-OPEX)
Fed in Blackout Period: No Fed speakers ahead of March 18-19 FOMC meeting
Notable Conferences & Events
S&P Global CERAWeek (All week): Energy sector leaders in Houston
SXSW Festival (All week): Tech companies showcase (MSFT, AUUD, LLY, IBM, RIVN)
HumanX AI Conference (Monday): Focus on AI developments (SNOW, META)
Solana ETF Decision Deadline (Tuesday): Potential crypto catalyst
Multiple Investor Days: Cloudflare (NET - Wednesday), CHEF, NCMI, NVMI, BECN, NABL (Thursday)
Daily Trading Strategy
Monday, March 10 - Seasonality: Weak (39.7% historically up)
Key Events:
11:00 AM: NY Fed Consumer Expectations
All Day: S&P Global CERAWeek begins
All Day: Trump meets tech CEOs
All Day: SXSW media festival participants
Earnings Focus:
After Close: Oracle (ORCL), BioNTech (BNTX), Vail Resorts (MTN), Asana (ASAN)
ORCL Analysis: Expected 8% Y/Y revenue growth, 6% profit rise; Stargate AI project catalyst
Trading Approach:
Cautious positioning due to weak Monday seasonality
Watch 5763 level in ES (major resistance/support zone now "mush" due to repeated tests)
Hold existing long positions (if any) from Friday's rally but avoid adding significant exposure
Beastmode Plays: ( PREMIUM PLAY FOR MEMBERS)
Risk Management: Take profits at first level hit, leave runners for potential trend
Volatility Watch:
High IV Movers: GRRR, MSTR
High Short Interest: BMEA, LAZR
IPO Watch: Redcloud Holdings (RCT) starts trading; Klarna seeking $1B IPO
Tuesday, March 11 - Seasonality: Strong (60.3% historically up)
Key Events:
10:00 AM: JOLTS Job Openings (Est: 7.5M)
All Day: Solana ETF approval deadline
Investor Days: ETN, GLBE, SLAB, TER
Earnings Focus:
Pre-Market: Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Kohl's (KSS), Casey's (CASY), Ciena (CIEN)
DKS Analysis: Options imply double-digit swing; Top sell candidate due to expected earnings miss
FuelCell (FCEL) Analysis: Revenue expected to double, but EPS down 2%; high dilution risk
Trading Approach:
Stronger bullish bias historically - look for continuation if Monday holds gains
Long entries preferred on morning dips
Monitor JOLTS for labor market clues (strong number supports bull case)
Consider DKS short play post-earnings (bearish outlook)
(PREMIUM PLAY)
Crypto Catalyst: Solana ETF approval could trigger SOL breakout
Wednesday, March 12 - Seasonality: Mixed (49.2% historically up)
Key Events:
8:30 AM: CPI Inflation Report (MAJOR MARKET MOVER)
All Day: EU 25% Steel/Aluminum Tariffs take effect
Cloudflare (NET) Investor Day
Starbucks (SBUX) Annual Meeting
Earnings Focus:
After Close: Adobe (ADBE), American Eagle (AEO), UiPath (PATH), iRobot (IRBT), ZIM
ADBE Analysis: Expected Y/Y EPS and revenue growth; new Photoshop AI app catalyst
AEO Analysis: Deteriorating earnings expectations; top sell candidate
Trading Approach:
Neutral pre-CPI, binary post-CPI approach
REDUCE EXPOSURE PRE-CPI - key inflection point for markets
Post-CPI Bullish Setup: If CPI cooler than expected → Long SPX targeting 5840+ (stop below pre-CPI low)
Post-CPI Bearish Setup: If CPI hotter than expected → Short SPX targeting 5650 (stop above pre-CPI high)
Watch NET (breakout potential on Investor Day), ADBE (earnings short opportunity)
Avoid overnight positions due to PPI Thursday morning
Thursday, March 13 - Seasonality: Strong (60.3% historically up)
Key Events:
8:30 AM: PPI Inflation Data
8:30 AM: Initial Jobless Claims (Est: 230K)
Multiple Investor Days (CHEF, NCMI, NVMI, BECN, NABL)
Earnings Focus:
After Close: Dollar General (DG), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), DocuSign (DOCU), Semtech (SMTC), Weibo (WB)
(PREMIUM MEMBERS SUBSCRIBERS)
ULTA Analysis: Top sell candidate due to expected earnings miss
Trading Approach:
Follow-through on Wednesday's CPI reaction
Position for Friday's Michigan Sentiment data
Consider volatility plays around DOCU earnings (options imply large move)
Watch ULTA for potential short opportunity
Beastmode Play:(PREMIUM SUBSCRIBERS)
Friday, March 14 - Seasonality: Moderately bullish (55.5% historically up)
Key Events:
10:00 AM: Michigan Consumer Sentiment (March)
O-I Glass Investor Day, Pilgrim's Pride Investor Day
Earnings Focus:
Pre-Market: Li Auto (LI)
LI Analysis: February deliveries up 29.7% Y/Y; strong BEV strategy; potential buy candidate
Trading Approach:
Sector Focus & Trade Ideas
Bullish Sectors
Energy (XLE) & Oil Stocks
Catalyst: SPR refill plan & OPEC supply cuts
Best plays: XOM, CVX, COP, SLB
Dividend & Defensive Plays (XLU, XLP, XLV)
Catalyst: Stable earnings and risk aversion
Best plays: PG, JNJ, ABBV, VZ
AI & Tech (Selective)
Catalyst: Strong earnings, relative strength
Best plays: GOOGL, NET, BIDU, ORCL
Bearish Sectors
Technology (XLK) & AI (Broad)
Headwinds: AI investment slowdowns, regulatory risks
Risky stocks: NVDA, MRVL, AMD, META
Consumer Discretionary (XLY)
Headwinds: Tariffs increasing product costs
Risky stocks: TGT, HD, LOW, TSLA
Chinese Equities (Broad)
Headwinds: Hedge fund outflows, retaliatory tariffs
Risky stocks: BABA, JD, KWEB, FXI
GOOGL Weekly Call Strategy
Trigger: Above 176
Strike: 177.50 calls
Target: 185
Stop: 170
Rationale: Relative strength during market selloff; clear path to 180-185 on market bounce

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