🚀 NVIDIA Rockets, Fed Cuts Loom, Trump-Xi Summit Set to Reshape Markets

A Private Circle for High-Net-Worth Peers

Long Angle is a private, vetted community for HNW entrepreneurs and executives ($5M-$100M net worth). No membership fees.

Connect with self-made peers in confidential discussions and live meetups.

With $100M+ invested annually, secure preferential terms unavailable to individual investors.

Apply to Join

Wednesday, October 29, 2025 Trading Week Preview

⚡ KEY THINGS TO KNOW HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY'S SESSION

CRITICAL OVERNIGHT DEVELOPMENTS:

1. 🔥 NVIDIA on FIRE - NVDA closed at $201.03 (+4.98%) on Tuesday, trading up to $204.42 after-hours (+1.69%). Multiple analyst upgrades: BofA raises PT to $275, DA Davidson to $250. Market cap approaching $5 trillion.

2. 📊 FOMC RATE DECISION TODAY (2:00 PM ET) - 98.3% probability of 0.25% rate cut to 3.75%-4.0% range. Powell press conference at 2:30 PM ET will be critical for market direction.

3. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 TRUMP-XI MEETING TOMORROW - Historic summit in South Korea on October 30th. Framework trade deal already announced - expect major market-moving headlines.

4. 💰 CATERPILLAR CRUSHES - CAT beat earnings: $4.95 EPS vs $4.51 est, Revenue $17.64B vs $16.71B est. Stock trading at $527.07.

5. 📈 S&P 500 AT ALL-TIME HIGHS - SPY closed at $687.06 (+0.27%), hitting record highs above 6,800 level.

6. ₿ BITCOIN STEADY - BTC trading around $113,000-$115,000, holding above psychological support as institutional demand remains strong.

🎯 S&P FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS FOR WEDNESDAY

Current Level: 6,943.00 (Pre-market)

CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS:

• TP1: 6,822.00 (Immediate support)

• TP2: 6,805.00 (Strong volume cluster)

• TP3: 6,783.00 (Break Event level)

RESISTANCE TARGETS:

• Resistance 1: 6,960.00

• Resistance 2: 6,985.00

• Resistance 3: 7,020.00 (Psychological barrier)

MARKET STRUCTURE: Bullish continuation pattern. Fed decision will determine if we challenge 7,000 or consolidate.

🔥 HOT TRADES & BREAKING CATALYSTS FOR TODAY

💎 TIER 1 TRADES - HIGHEST CONVICTION

1. NVIDIA ($NVDA) - Rating: 10/10 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

• Entry Zone: $200-$203

• Target 1: $210 (+4%)

• Target 2: $220 (+9%)

• Catalyst: BofA raised PT to $275. 17 quantum computing companies supporting NVQ platform. Trump may discuss Blackwell chips with Xi tomorrow.

• Position: BULLISH - Momentum trade of the week

• Risk: Fed disappointment or Trump-Xi tensions

2. CATERPILLAR ($CAT) - Rating: 9/10 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

• Current: $527.07

• Entry: $520-$530 (on any pullback)

• Target: $550-$560 (+5-6%)

• Catalyst: Blew out Q3 earnings. Revenue beat by nearly $1B. Industrial strength despite tariff concerns.

• Sympathy Plays: $DE, $CMI, $URI

3. TESLA ($TSLA) - Rating: 8.5/10 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

• Current: $460.55 (closed Tuesday)

• Entry Zone: $455-$465

• Target: $485-$500 (+6-8%)

• Catalyst: BofA raised PT from $341 to $471 (+38%). Trade deal optimism with China. Cantor Fitzgerald PT $510.

• Risk Management: Watch $450 support

💰 TIER 2 - SOLID SETUPS

4. MICRON ($MU) - Rating: 8/10

• Current: $221.91 (+3.2%)

• Catalyst: SK Hynix (competitor) forecasts AI "supercycle." Sold out chip production for 2026.

• Target: $230-$235

• Play: Sympathy momentum from AI chip demand

5. SEAGATE ($STX) - Rating: 7.5/10

• Current: $223.00 (+6.7%)

• Catalyst: Beat Q1 earnings - $2.61 EPS vs $2.40 est

• Entry: $220-$225

• Target: $235-$240

6. APPLE ($AAPL) - Rating: 8/10

• Catalyst: BofA raised PT from $270 to $320 (+18.5%)

• Earnings: Thursday after close

• Setup: Coiling before earnings, Trump-Xi deal could boost iPhone demand

🌍 TRUMP-XI SUMMIT: THE $23 TRILLION QUESTION

What We Know:

• Meeting: Thursday, October 30, 2025 in Busan, South Korea (APEC Summit)

• Framework Deal Announced: Substantial trade agreement structure in place

• Key Components:

  • China to make "substantial" soybean purchases

  • Potential tariff reductions from 100% threatened levels

  • Fentanyl cooperation in exchange for trade concessions

  • TikTok deal expected to be finalized

  • Discussion of NVIDIA Blackwell chips and China market access

Market Impact Scenarios:

🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO (70% probability):

• Deal announced → Markets rally 2-3%

• Semis lead ($NVDA, $AMD, $AVGO, $MU)

• China-exposed names moon: $AAPL, $TSLA, $NKE

• Defensive sectors fade, growth accelerates

🟡 NEUTRAL SCENARIO (20% probability):

• "Framework" with no specific details

• Markets trade sideways, wait for implementation

• Volatility compression

🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO (10% probability):

• Talks break down over rare earth minerals

• Additional tariff threats

• Risk-off rotation into bonds/defensives

🎯 BEST TRADES FOR TRUMP-XI OUTCOME:

• Pre-Deal: $NVDA calls, $AAPL shares

• Post-Deal: Aggressive China exposure stocks

• Hedge: Small $VIX calls if deal fails

📊 FEDERAL RESERVE FOMC DECISION - 2:00 PM ET

What to Expect:

RATE CUT: 98.3% probability of 0.25% cut to 3.75%-4.0%

• This would be the SECOND rate cut of 2025

• Fed last cut in September by 0.25%

KEY FACTORS: ✅ Inflation cooling (CPI at 2.9%) ✅ Labor market softening ⚠️ Government shutdown blocking September jobs data ✅ Powell signaled downside risks to employment

POWELL PRESS CONFERENCE (2:30 PM) - WATCH FOR:

1. Forward guidance on December meeting

2. Comments on government shutdown impact

3. View on inflation trajectory

4. Labor market assessment

5. Any mention of Trump-Xi trade developments

TRADING THE FED DECISION:

EXPECTED REACTION:

• 0.25% cut (expected): Mild positive → Markets may have priced in

• No cut (shocker): SELL EVERYTHING → -2% market drop

• 0.50% cut (dovish surprise): MOON MISSION → +2-3% rally

SECTORS TO WATCH:

• Rate Cut Winners: Growth tech, small caps (IWM),housing(IWM), housing ( IWM),housing(XHB)

• Rate Cut Losers: Financials (XLF),dollar(XLF), dollar ( XLF),dollar(UUP)

💼 SECTOR ANALYSIS & MONEY ROTATION

🟢 BULLISH SECTORS (Leaders)

1. TECHNOLOGY (+0.99%) 📱

• Top Performers: $NVDA, $MSFT, $AAPL, $GOOGL

• Catalyst: AI momentum, earnings beats, Fed cuts

• Key Names: NVDA (+4.98%), Apple earnings Thu, MSFT earnings today

2. SEMICONDUCTORS 💎

• Why: AI chip supercycle, China deal optimism

• Leaders: $NVDA, $AVGO, $AMD, $MU, $STX

• Target: $SMH ETF breakout to new highs

3. MATERIALS (+0.13%) ⛏️

• Leader: Caterpillar's blowout earnings

• Theme: Infrastructure spending, industrial strength

• Watch: $NUE, $FCX, $AA

🔴 BEARISH/LAGGING SECTORS

1. CONSUMER STAPLES (-1.00%) 🛒

• Money rotating OUT to growth

• Weak: $KHC (Kraft Heinz) near 5-year lows

• Avoid: Defensive plays in risk-on environment

2. UTILITIES (-1.65%) ⚡

• Classic defensive fade in rallies

• Lower yields making utilities less attractive

3. REAL ESTATE (-2.22%) 🏠

• Despite rate cuts, money choosing tech over REITs

• Reason: Growth > income in this market

💰 MONEY ROTATION PATTERN:

DEFENSIVES → GROWTH → SEMICONDUCTORS

This is a RISK-ON rotation. Capital flowing from safe havens into high-beta tech.

🪙 BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT BREAKDOWN

BITCOIN ($BTC): $113,000-$115,000 range

• 24H Change: -0.3% (consolidation)

• 7-Day: +6.34%

• 30-Day: +4.42%

MARKET STRUCTURE:

• ATH: $126,210 (October 6, 2025)

• Currently -9% from ATH

• Strong support at $108K-$110K

• RSI: 53.50 (Neutral)

CATALYSTS AHEAD: ✅ Fed rate cut today = bullish for crypto ✅ Institutional ETF inflows continuing ✅ Bitcoin approaching 21M supply cap (scarcity premium) ⚠️ Government shutdown creating data blackout

ETHEREUM ($ETH): $4,003 (-2.81% on day) SOLANA ($SOL): $197.80 (+1.80%)

TRADING STRATEGY:

• Bull Case: Break above $118K → Target $125K-$130K

• Bear Case: Break below $108K → Retest $100K

• Base Case: Consolidation until Trump-Xi clarity

🎯 CRYPTO TRADE OF THE DAY:

• Setup: BTC breakout above $116K

• Target: $120K (+4-5%)

• Stop: $111K

• Size: 2-3% of portfolio in spot or futures

📰 EARNINGS AFTER HOURS & PRE-MARKET MOVERS

TUESDAY AFTER-HOURS WINNERS:

🚀 BLOOM ENERGY ($BE): +18%

• Q3 EPS $0.15 vs $0.10 est (+50% beat!)

• Revenue $519M vs $427M est (+21% beat)

• Trade: Momentum continuation to $120+

📈 TERADYNE ($TER): +19%

• Q3 EPS $0.85 vs $0.79 est

• Revenue $769M vs $744M est

• Sympathy: $KLAC, $AMAT (chip equipment)

TUESDAY AFTER-HOURS LOSERS:

📉 GENERAC ($GNRC): -15%

• Lowered FY25 revenue guidance

• Q3 Revenue $1.11B vs $1.19B est (big miss)

• Avoid: Industrial names with weak guidance

⚠️ VARONIS ($VRNS): -24%

• Guided Q4 and FY25 revenue below consensus

• Cybersecurity sector under pressure

WEDNESDAY KEY EARNINGS (Before Open):

• CATERPILLAR ($CAT) - ✅ BEAT (already reported)

• VERIZON ($VZ) - EPS $1.21 vs $1.19 est (BEAT)

• CVS HEALTH ($CVS) - Beat on revenue, raised guidance

WEDNESDAY KEY EARNINGS (After Close):

• ALPHABET ($GOOGL) - 📊 Huge. Cloud growth key.

• MICROSOFT ($MSFT) - 📊 AI segment critical

• VISA ($V) - Strong consumer spending continues

THURSDAY KEY EARNINGS (After Close):

• APPLE ($AAPL) - 🍎 iPhone sales, China exposure crucial with Trump-Xi deal

• AMAZON ($AMZN) - 📦 Cloud and retail strength

• META ($META) - Ad revenue momentum

🎯 SYMPATHY TRADE OPPORTUNITIES:

• If $GOOGL beats → Buy $META, $SNAP

• If $MSFT AI strong → Buy $NVDA, $PLTR

• If $AAPL beats + China deal → Buy $QCOM, $AAPL calls

🏛️ WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT

Trump Administration Market Catalysts:

IMMEDIATE IMPACT (Oct 29):

1. Trump confirms Xi meeting optimism - "Going to work out very well for everybody"

2. South Korea trade deal "finalized" - Auto tariffs down to 15%, $200B investment

3. Soybean deal framework - US Commerce Secretary: "China buying soybeans wonderful sign"

4. Three-hour Xi meeting planned - Substantial framework in place

MARKET-MOVING QUOTES FROM TRUMP:

POLICY IMPACTS FOR TRADERS:

✅ BULLISH IMPLICATIONS:

• Trade war de-escalation = earnings relief

• China reopening = multinational upside

• Lower tariffs = supply chain improvement

• Ag sector revival = rural economy boost

⚠️ WATCH FOR:

• Rare earth mineral agreements

• Tech export control changes

• Semiconductor access to China market

• TikTok deal finalization

🎯 TRUMP MOMENTUM TRADES:

• Infrastructure: $CAT, $URI, $VMC

• Defense: $LMT (partnering with Google on AI)

• Energy: $XLE (if deals include LNG)

• Ag/Materials: $DE, $ADM, $MOS

📈 TECHNICAL MARKET OVERVIEW

MAJOR INDICES (Tuesday Close):

S&P 500: 6,894.60 (+0.28%) - NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ✅ NASDAQ: 23,780.28 (+0.60%) DOW JONES: 47,706.37 (+0.34%) RUSSELL 2000: 2,496.40 (-0.22%)

MARKET INTERNALS:

• Advance/Decline: Positive breadth

• New Highs/New Lows: 318 new highs vs 42 new lows

• VIX: 15.81 (complacency - potential risk)

SECTOR PERFORMANCE (Tuesday):

1. 🥇 Technology: +0.99%

2. 🥈 Consumer Discretionary: +0.02%

3. 🥉 Materials: +0.13%

LAGGARDS:

• Consumer Staples: -1.00%

• Health Care: -0.63%

• Utilities: -1.65%

• Real Estate: -2.22%

🎲 KEY CATALYST TRADES FOR UPCOMING WEEK

WEDNESDAY (TODAY) 📅

Morning:

• 7:00 AM: MBA Mortgage Applications (up 7.1%)

• 8:30 AM: Trade Balance, Retail/Wholesale Inventories

Critical:

• 2:00 PM: FOMC RATE DECISION 🚨

• 2:30 PM: POWELL PRESS CONFERENCE 🎙️

After Hours:

• $GOOGL, $MSFT, $V earnings

THURSDAY (OCT 30) 📅

Major Events:

• Trump-Xi Summit in South Korea 🇺🇸🇨🇳 (Morning ET)

• GDP Q3 data release

• $AAPL, $AMZN earnings after close

WEEK AHEAD CATALYSTS:

📊 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS:

• Over $11 trillion in market cap reporting this week

• Mag 7 stocks dominating: $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AAPL, $AMZN, $META

• Semiconductor names on deck: Watch for AI commentary

🌍 GEOPOLITICAL:

• Trump-Xi deal could reshape Q4 trading

• Bank of Canada rate decision (Oct 29)

• Bank of Japan meeting (Oct 30)

• ECB meeting (Oct 31)

💡 OVERALL MARKET STRATEGY & GAMEPLAN

BULLISH MARKET SENTIMENT: 85% 📈

Why We're Bullish:

1. ✅ Fed cutting rates (dovish pivot confirmed)

2. ✅ S&P 500 at all-time highs (momentum)

3. ✅ Trump-Xi trade deal framework in place

4. ✅ Tech earnings beating (NVDA, CAT crushing)

5. ✅ AI supercycle continuing (chip demand sold out)

6. ✅ Volatility low (VIX under 16)

Risks to Monitor:

1. ⚠️ Fed disappointment in guidance

2. ⚠️ Trump-Xi talks fail (10% odds)

3. ⚠️ Tech earnings miss (GOOGL, MSFT)

4. ⚠️ Government shutdown extends

🎯 RECOMMENDED TRADING STRATEGY:

FOR DAY TRADERS:

1. Pre-FOMC (9:30 AM - 2:00 PM):

   • Light positioning, scalp bounces

   • Watch $NVDA, $TSLA momentum

   • Avoid heavy size before 2:00 PM

2. FOMC Decision (2:00 PM):

   • Instant reaction trade (1-2 min window)

   • Follow momentum, don't fight the tape

   • Target 1-2% moves in indices

3. Post-Powell (2:30 PM - 4:00 PM):

   • This is where the BIG moves happen

   • Powell's tone > the actual decision

   • Watch for "dovish cut" vs "hawkish cut"

FOR SWING TRADERS:

• Core Longs: $NVDA, $TSLA, $AAPL (hold through Xi meeting)

• Sympathy Plays: $AMD, $AVGO, $MU (semiconductor basket)

• Defensive Hedge: Small $VIX position (5% of portfolio)

FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:

• High IV Pre-Event: Sell premium on $SPY, $QQQ

• Earnings Plays: $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AAPL calls (if bullish)

• Event Trade: $NVDA 0DTE calls on Fed dovish surprise

🔥 FINAL TAKE & TRADE PRIORITIES

🚨 THE BOTTOM LINE:

This is a HISTORIC week. Fed rate cut + Trump-Xi summit + Mag 7 earnings = perfect storm for explosive moves.

HIGHEST PROBABILITY SCENARIO (70%):

• Fed cuts 0.25% ✅

• Powell sounds dovish ✅

• Trump-Xi announce framework deal ✅

• Markets rally 2-3% by Friday ✅

YOUR FOCUS TODAY:

Before 2:00 PM:

• Watch $NVDA momentum (can it hold $200?)

• Monitor pre-FOMC positioning

• Stay light, be ready to react

At 2:00 PM:

• Fed decision = instant reaction

• Be quick, don't overthink

At 2:30 PM:

• Powell's tone is EVERYTHING

• Dovish = BUY EVERYTHING

• Hawkish = ROTATE DEFENSIVE

Thursday:

• Trump-Xi outcome determines November direction

• Deal = Risk-on explosion in tech/China names

• No deal = Defensive rotation

🎓 WANT TO LEVEL UP YOUR TRADING?

The DCG Command Center community trades live every single day, sharing real-time alerts, technical setups, and market intelligence.

Join us at aitradingskool.com to access:

• 📱 Live trading alerts and analysis

• 📚 Comprehensive trading education

• 🤝 Community of active traders

• 🎯 High-probability setups daily

• 🔥 Options flow and dark pool data

Our traders focus on real results, not hype. We trade every day the market is open.

⚡ WEDNESDAY TRADING CHECKLIST

✅ Watch NVDA momentum continuation
✅ Monitor Fed decision at 2:00 PM
✅ Attend Powell press conference 2:30 PM
✅ Check $GOOGL, $MSFT, $V earnings after close
✅ Position for Trump-Xi summit Thursday
✅ Watch for trade deal headlines overnight
✅ Keep stops tight on all positions
✅ Don't fight the Fed reaction

📊 MARKET SUMMARY

SENTIMENT: Overwhelmingly Bullish
VIX: 15.81 (Low Fear)
TREND: Uptrend confirmed, ATH
ROTATION: Into Tech/Growth, Out of Defensives
CATALYST: Fed + Trump-Xi = Binary Events

TRADE SMART. MANAGE RISK. LET'S GET IT. 💪

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and trade responsibly. Price data verified as of October 28-29, 2025 market close and pre-market data.

DCG Command Center | Wednesday, October 29, 2025 | Market Opens in 3 Hours

Subscribe to our live trading room and take the trades with us.