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- DCG ALERT INTRADAY TRADE REPORT “May 13 Market Momentum: Ride the Trend or Get Left Behind
DCG ALERT INTRADAY TRADE REPORT “May 13 Market Momentum: Ride the Trend or Get Left Behind
High-Conviction Intraday Breakouts & Overnight Winners Backed by CPI Cooldown and Trump Trade Surge”
Gold hitting record highs
The price of gold keeps heating up. If the record-breaking year of 2024 wasn't enough, gold hit a major historic 2025 milestone by crossing the $3,000/ounce threshold!
Here are 3 Key Reasons:
Looming economic & political uncertainty
Increasing central bank demand
Rising National Debt - over $36 Trillion
So, could gold surge even higher?
According to a recent statement from Jeffrey Gundlach, famed American business man and investor… “Gold continues its bull market that we’ve been talking about for a couple of years, ever since it was down to $1,800.” He expects gold to reach $4,000/oz.
Is it time you learn more about precious metals?
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*Offer valid on qualified orders of Goldco premium products only. Receive up to 10% in free silver based on purchase amount; cannot be combined with other offers. Additional terms apply—see your customer agreement or contact your representative for details.
Market Update & Trade Plan for Remainder of the Session
The S&P 500 has maintained its bullish stance today, continuing yesterday's momentum following the US-China trade truce. This morning's softer-than-expected CPI print (2.3% YoY vs. 2.4% expected) has further fueled risk-on sentiment by increasing Fed rate cut expectations. With JPMorgan cutting US recession risk below 50% and Barclays no longer expecting a recession in H2 2025, the market backdrop remains constructive despite some sector-specific headwinds.
Morning Price Action & Key Developments
Market Indices Performance (as of 9:45 AM PST)
S&P 500: Holding above 5850 support level with continued bullish momentum
Nasdaq: Outperforming with technology leadership
VIX: Remains below 20, indicating sustained risk appetite
Treasuries: Yields moderating after CPI data, supporting growth stocks
Bitcoin: Consolidating near $104,500, maintaining bullish structure
Key Headline Catalysts
CPI Data: Came in at 2.3% YoY (below 2.4% expected), Core CPI at 2.8% (in line)
Fed Rate Cut Expectations: Increased following softer inflation data
Trump Trade Policy: Further tariff reduction announced (de minimis tariff cut)
US-China Relations: Ongoing positive developments following yesterday's truce
Sector Analysis & Actionable Opportunities
Strongest Bullish Sectors
1. Technology:
AAPL: Pushing toward 52-week highs on partnership with Synchron for neural iPhone control technology and new accessibility features announcement
NVDA: Significant institutional option flow with 5000 June 2026 $125/$155 call spreads bought at $10.50, continuing to benefit from AI momentum
CYBR: Beat Q1 expectations with 43.3% revenue increase and strong ARR growth
2. Retail/Consumer Discretionary:
ONON: Surged to 52-week high after beating Q1 expectations with 43% revenue growth
JD: Reported solid Q1 with 15.8% revenue growth and strong user growth, though facing regulatory scrutiny in China
SE: Despite mixed results, showing 19.6% growth in GMV, maintaining positive sector outlook
3. Cryptocurrency-Related:
COIN: Continuing momentum from S&P 500 inclusion announcement
HOOD: Gaining on WonderFi acquisition for $180M, marking expansion into Canada
KDLY: Showing volatility after Nakamoto Holdings merger to establish Bitcoin treasury
4. Energy (Oil/Digital Infrastructure):
LB: Reported significant land expansion from 72,000 to 276,000 acres for digital infrastructure supporting AI and crypto mining
Oil prices showing V-bottom recovery pattern
Bearish/Cautious Sectors
1. Healthcare:
UNH: Dropped 11% after announcing unexpected CEO exit and suspending 2025 guidance
GSK: Terminated development of lung cancer therapy after mid-stage trial failures
Some bright spots exist (CYTK, ILMN) but overall sector sentiment remains negative
2. Solar Energy:
ENPH: Downgraded to Underweight by Barclays due to potential repeal of Section 25D tax credits
3. Consumer Defensive:
Continues to lag in risk-on environment with ongoing overvaluation concerns
CPI Report ✅
CPI YoY: 2.3% (vs. 2.4% est) ✅
Core CPI YoY: 2.8% (in-line)
➡️ This is the lowest headline inflation since Feb 2021.
📉 Rate Cut Odds Repricing → Bond yields down sharply
📈 Equities surged → $SPX up 3.2%, $QQQ & semis lead
Trend Day Confirmed
NYSE TICK: Sustained 1000+ spikes 🔥
Advance/Decline: 5:1 breadth
VIX crushed to 18.39
DXY down → Soft dollar = risk-on fuel
📌 Market Sentiment:
✅ Risk-On | 🔥 Tech, Crypto, Semis, Financials
🚫 Caution | Utilities, Defensive Growth, Consumer Staples
🧭 Strategy Today:
📊 Trend Day play → Long bias into strength
⚠️ Be selective near supply zones (profit-taking may kick in late)
🧩 Key Market Catalyst Recap:
📰 Stock Market News:
$MSFT: 3% layoff (streamlining AI divisions)
$NVDA: 18,000 AI chips going to Saudi Arabia 🚀
$UNH: CEO exit, $380c Jan’26 blocks sold (protective)
$COIN: Joins S&P 500 → +22% 🚀
$AMD: $10B AI deal with Humain
$HOOD: Jan 2027 ITM $50 calls bought → deep conviction
$SHLS: 2027 $12 calls bought (growth bet)
$TSLL: Bullish synthetic structure for 2027
🗞 Trump Trade/Crypto
Trump meets with China/UK → Signals Trade Truce
GOP Tax Bill draft → Pro-growth, market-favorable
Trump says: “Tax bill = Rocket Ship 🚀”
$NVDA/Trump/AI Saudi Pipeline = institutional tailwind
🪙 Crypto
BTC +2.5% (currently near $104.K)
Strong alt momentum: $ETH, $DOGE, $PEPE, $TRUMP
ETF flows supportive → High inflows into $IBIT
Option call sweeps on Bitcoin ETF Sept $65c
Overall Market Strategy for May 13, 2025:
🎯 Intraday:
Ride trend day upside → Favor semis, AI, fintech, crypto proxies
Trade breakouts, don’t fade strength → focus on high-volume leaders
💼 Overnight Setup:
🚀 Hold $COIN, $PLTR, $NVDA, $AMD, $TQQQ into tomorrow
📊 CPI tailwind + Trump Tax Bill momentum likely to extend gains
Afternoon Trading Strategy
Focus on Strongest Sectors: Prioritize technology and consumer discretionary for long positions
Monitor Key Technical Levels: Watch S&P 5850 support and 5900 resistance
Risk Management: Keep position sizes moderate given recent volatility and strong rally
Sector Rotation: Be prepared for potential rotation from technology to defensive sectors if momentum fades
Options Strategy: For swing positions, consider call spreads rather than outright calls to manage volatility
Key Levels to Watch
S&P 500 Futures:
Support: 5850, 5815
Resistance: 5900, 5940
NASDAQ Futures:
Support: 20,250, 20,100
Resistance: 20,400, 20,550
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