DCG AI TRADING - Weekly Trading Report & Oracle Forecast: June 9-13, 2025

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MONDAY, JUNE 9: Trade Talks Commence 📈

Market Sentiment: Bearish-Neutral | Bitcoin: $105,500 (Neutral-Bullish)

Key Events:

• 🇺🇸🇨🇳 US-China Trade Negotiations Begin (London) - HIGH IMPACT

• Fed Blackout Period continues (June 7-19) EqualsmoneyAtlantafed

• Economic Calendar: 52 events scheduled Yahoo Finance

• Earnings: 22 companies reporting Yahoo Finance (mostly smaller caps) Yahoo Finance

Catalyst Watch:

• Trade Headlines: Treasury Secretary Bessent, Commerce Secretary Lutnick meeting Chinese representatives Ainvest

• Volume: Expected 15-20% below normal (summer doldrums beginning)

• Sector Focus: Trade-sensitive stocks (tech, industrials) vulnerable to headlines

Trading Strategy:

🎯 Defensive Positioning Play

• Setup: Buy Consumer Staples (XLP) on any Monday weakness

• Target: 2-3% allocation, +1.5% expected move

• Stop: -2% below entry

• Reasoning: Historical Monday weakness InvestopediaInvestopedia + trade uncertainty favors defensive sectors

TUESDAY, JUNE 10: Turnaround Tuesday 🚀

Market Sentiment: Bullish | Bitcoin: Target $107K resistance

Key Events:

• "Turnaround Tuesday" Historical Pattern - Strongest day of week (0.062% avg returns) Investopedia

• Economic Calendar: 60 events scheduled Yahoo Finance

• Earnings: 15 companies Yahoo Finance including GameStop (GME) after hours Yahoo Finance

Catalyst Watch:

• GameStop Earnings: Implied vol +/-9.42% ($2.79 expected move) Unusualwhales

• J.M. Smucker (SJM): Before market open, Uncrustables growth focus Yahoo Finance +2

• Pre-Full Moon Energy: Increasing market sensitivity

Trading Strategy:

🔥 Momentum Continuation Play

• Setup: Bull call spreads on momentum tech leaders

• Entry: Stocks above 50-day MA with RSI 50-70

• Target: 10-15% profit in 2-3 days

• Risk: 25% stop-loss, avoid holding through full moon

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 11: CPI + Full Strawberry Moon 🌕

Market Sentiment: Extreme Volatility | Bitcoin: High volatility expected

Key Events:

• 8:30 AM EST: 🚨 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) - MAXIMUM IMPACT

• Full Strawberry Moon: 3:44 AM EDT (lowest in 18.6 years) Star Walk

• Economic Calendar: 59 events scheduled Yahoo Finance

• Earnings: 19 companies Yahoo Finance including Oracle (ORCL) after hours Yahoo Finance

Catalyst Watch:

• Inflation Data: Key Fed policy driver, tariff impact assessment

• Oracle AI Earnings: Major catalyst for tech sector ($200 UBS target) Kiplinger

• Lunar Volatility: 4-6 basis points negative bias historically

• Options Activity: Massive volatility expected around 8:30 AM

Trading Strategy:

⚓ Volatility Management

• Setup: Reduce position sizes by 30-50%

• Focus: Utilities (XLU) and Consumer Staples for stability

• Options: Avoid new positions, close expiring trades

• Bitcoin: Expect $100K-$110K range testing

THURSDAY, JUNE 12: PPI + Tech Earnings 📊

Market Sentiment: Neutral-Positive | Bitcoin: Potential support test

Key Events:

• 8:30 AM EST: Producer Price Index (PPI) - HIGH IMPACT Bls

• Earnings: Adobe (ADBE) after hours - Major tech catalyst Kiplinger

• Economic Calendar: 80 events (highest of week) Yahoo Finance

• Post-Full Moon: Stabilization effects beginning

Catalyst Watch:

• Adobe Earnings: EPS $4.97 expected, Zacks AI monetization key ($125M ARR) Kiplinger

• PPI Data: Wholesale inflation following CPI

• Oracle Results: AI infrastructure partnership impact

• Sector Rotation: Potential tech sector leadership test

Trading Strategy:

🎯 Earnings Volatility Play

• Setup: ATM straddles on Adobe before 3:30 PM

• Target: 24-hour exit regardless of P&L

• Reasoning: 100% recent beat rate, high AI catalyst potential

• Risk: High IV, use tight stops

FRIDAY, JUNE 13: Consumer Sentiment 😨

Market Sentiment: Defensive | Bitcoin: Seasonal weakness

Key Events:

• 10:00 AM EST: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - MEDIUM IMPACT Umich

• Friday the 13th Psychology: Additional market uncertainty

• Economic Calendar: 62 events scheduled Yahoo Finance

• Earnings: Minimal (1 major report) Yahoo Finance

Catalyst Watch:

• Sentiment Data: Consumer confidence amid trade uncertainty

• Weekly Positioning: Profit-taking and defensive moves

• Pre-Weekend: Position squaring expected

• Bitcoin: Historical Thursday weakness continues Forecaster

Trading Strategy:

🛡️ Defensive Friday

• Setup: Take profits on weekly positions

• Focus: Consumer Staples, Utilities for weekend holding

• Avoid: New aggressive positions

• Bitcoin: Support test at $100K psychological level

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