DCG AI STOCKS, OPTIONS, FUTURES, CRYPTO OVERNIGHT AND PREMARKET TRADING STRATEGY (April 15-16, 2025)

"3 Tariff-Proof " Winners” For Tomorrow

1. Gold ETF (GLD): Massive call buying with 1500 June $297 calls at $10.65 as inflation hedge gains momentum

2. Tempus AI (TEM): Institutional investors collect $2M in premium selling puts, signaling strong support at $35

3. Airlines (JETS): Unusual strength ahead of UAL earnings with 10,000 puts sold, suggesting confidence in sector

📈 STOCK MARKET OVERVIEW

🔹 Major Indices Recap

• S&P 500: Maintaining strength above 8-day EMA for the third consecutive day.

• Nasdaq & Dow Jones: Quiet session but holding above key levels; showing signs of breakout continuation despite soft volatility.

• Volatility Outlook: SPX range compression continues (80 points today); options volume low at <40M.

• S&P 500: Trading in 5408-5485 range with significant protective positioning established after hours

• Key Catalysts: UAL earnings tonight, TSM earnings Thursday, ASML earnings pre-market

• Sentiment: Mixed with defensive positioning in broad indices but selective bullishness in specific sectors

• Options Flow: Heavy hedging activity in SPY/QQQ but targeted bullish positioning in gold, airlines, and select tech names

• Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin staking narrative accelerating; SOL showing technical weakness; ETH, SOL, HYPE seeing short positioning

🔹 Macro Context & Post-Market News

• Trump administration escalates tariffs and critical minerals investigation.

• Executive orders on healthcare reform, procurement, and stock trading ban proposals roil sentiment.

• NVIDIA announces a $5.5B write-down over China export bans (negative tech sentiment).

• Trump seeks global support against China influence — geopolitical volatility building.

• United Airlines, Interactive Brokers, and JB Hunt beat earnings expectations; mixed guidance impacts sentiment.

🧠 DCG MASTERMIND STOCK & OPTIONS TRADING PLAN

🛠️ Sector Watch

• Energy (XLE): Large 2027 call ratio trades → bullish sentiment long-term.

• Financials (XLF): Unusual 2027 $47 straddle selling with stock hedge → expectation of stability.

• Tech: META call ratios + Zuckerberg's Instagram comments = bullish long-term.

• Transportation: UAL earnings strong, but recession risks loom → volatile setup.

• Retail: HD, COST seeing premium selling suggesting resistance.

🔥 Stocks to Watch (90%+ Gain Potential)

• RDDT: Options collar positioning, bullish volatility buildup.

• SOC: Bullish call volume x4 with IV spike → high momentum trade.

• ALB: Long-term put selling → support at lower levels being accumulated.

Revised High-Conviction Overnight Opportunities

1. Gold ETF (GLD)

Setup: Long position based on continued bullish options flow

• Current Price: Current market price

• Entry Zone: Current price to 1% below

• Target: $297-300 range

• Stop Loss: 2% below entry

• Catalyst: Bullish activity with 1500 June $297 calls bought at $10.65; 1500 May $296 puts sold to open at $6.20

• Options Strategy: May 3rd $290/$300 call spread

• Probability: 85%

• Risk/Reward: 1:2

• Contingency: If market experiences broad risk-off move overnight, wait for stabilization before entry

2. Airlines ETF (JETS)

Setup: Long position into UAL earnings

• Current Price: Current market price

• Entry Zone: Current price to 1% below

• Target: 3-4% above entry

• Stop Loss: 2% below entry

• Catalyst: Strong into UAL report with 10,000 Sept $18 puts sold to open at $1.59

• Options Strategy: Consider half-size position given earnings event risk

• Probability: 80%

• Risk/Reward: 1:2

• Contingency: Exit position quickly if UAL earnings disappoint

3. Tempus AI (TEM)

Setup: Long position based on technical setup and institutional options activity

• Current Price: $43.13

• Entry Zone: $42.50-44.00

• Target: $50.00 initially, $55.00 extended

• Stop Loss: $40.00

• Catalyst: Notable opening put sale with 1500 January 2027 $35 puts sold at $12.81 ($2M premium)

• Technical Setup: Filling gap from January near 37; trying to get back over 8 EMA with looming MACD bull cross

• Options Strategy: June $45/$55 call spreads at $3 (as suggested in analyst report)

• Probability: 80%

• Risk/Reward: 1:3

• Contingency: If stock breaks below $41, reassess entry

Bearish/Hedging Opportunities

1. Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

Setup: Short position based on continued weakness and put buying

• Current Price: Current market price

• Entry Zone: On any strength to 1% above current price

• Target: 3-4% below entry

• Stop Loss: 1.5% above entry

• Catalyst: Staying sluggish with buys of 16,000 May $178 puts at $3.33-$3.50

• Options Strategy: May 3rd put spread

• Probability: 80%

• Risk/Reward: 1:2

• Contingency: If market shows broad strength overnight, delay entry

2. Solana (SOL-related ETFs or stocks)

Setup: Short or reduce exposure based on technical weakness

• Current Price: Current market price

• Entry Zone: On any strength to 2% above current price

• Target: 5-6% below entry

• Stop Loss: 3% above entry

• Catalyst: Recent bearish crossover of 5MA below 10MA and 20MA; Hyperliquid traders positioned SHORT

• Technical Setup: Key support around $127, resistance near $135; RSI below 50 suggesting bearish sentiment

• Probability: 75%

• Risk/Reward: 1:2

• Contingency: Monitor memecoin volume closely as potential contrary indicator

3. Tesla (TSLA)

Setup: Short position based on significant put buying

• Current Price: Current market price

• Entry Zone: On any strength to 1.5% above current price

• Target: 4% below entry

• Stop Loss: 2% above entry

• Catalyst: Buyer of 2000 June $225 puts at $15.90

• Options Strategy: May 3rd put spread

• Probability: 70%

• Risk/Reward: 1:2

• Contingency: If stock shows unusual strength, delay entry

Revised Sector-Specific Strategies

Gold and Precious Metals

• Outlook: Strongly bullish based on options flow

• Key ETFs: GLD, GDX

• Strategy: Overweight gold exposure for overnight and premarket

• Catalyst: Multiple bullish options activities in GLD

• Risk Factors: Dollar strength could limit upside

Airline Sector

• Outlook: Bullish into UAL earnings

• Key Stocks: UAL, JETS ETF

• Strategy: Consider airline exposure with tight stops given earnings event risk

• Catalyst: Strong sector performance with bullish options flow

• Risk Factors: UAL earnings disappointment could quickly reverse sentiment

💰 CRYPTO MARKET RECAP

🔹 Major Tokens

• Bitcoin (BTC): Hovering around key support ($82K zone); neutral volume. Watching for breakdown below 80k

• Ethereum (ETH): Lagging slightly, but alt rally possible if BTC dominance drops.

• DOGE & SHIB: Gaining traction from government and social media headlines.

🔹 Positive News Catalysts

• Solana: Kraken partners with Janover on validator infrastructure.

• Token Events: Altcoin unlocks + increasing DeFi activity = bullish undercurrent.

🧩 SENTIMENT & VOLATILITY INDICATORS

• VIX/VXV Spread: Compression suggests short-term calm before potential volatility spike.

• Dark Pool Activity: Heavy in META, TSLA, and PLTR — institutional accumulation.

📅 UPCOMING CATALYSTS (TOMORROW)

🌐 Economic Data

• Crude Oil Inventories

• Industrial Production

• Fed Speakers (Cook commentary expected late)

💼 Earnings Highlights

• Pre-Market: BAC, MS, GS, JNJ

• After-Hours: TSLA, UAL, IBM

Morning Gap Strategy

For Upside Gaps

• Be more selective given increased hedging activity

• Wait for first 15-minute candle to form and confirm direction

• Enter long positions only if gap occurs above key resistance with follow-through

• Use tighter stops than previously recommended

For Downside Gaps

• Consider more aggressive entries on downside gaps given increased hedging activity

• Look for capitulation volume as potential reversal indicator

• Focus on relative strength names that decline less than market

• Use 15-minute high as stop loss for short entries

Revised Risk Management Guidelines

1. Position Sizing: Reduce individual positions to 2-4% of portfolio (more conservative than previous 3-5%)

2. Sector Exposure: Increase diversification across uncorrelated sectors (gold, tech, airlines)

3. Overnight Risk: Reduce overall exposure by 30% compared to day trading (more conservative than previous 25%)

4. Stop Losses: Use even tighter stops given increased hedging activity

5. Profit Taking: Take partial profits more quickly at first resistance levels

🧠 FINAL TAKEAWAY

Markets remain news-sensitive and sector-rotational. Focus on:

• Tech earnings volatility (NFLX, TSLA)

• China/US geopolitical escalation

• Trump fiscal, healthcare, and regulatory agenda (drives sentiment and sector flows)

📌 Stay nimble, manage risk, and prioritize clarity of conviction over trade frequency.

📘 Powered by DCG AiTradingReport.com | Author: Jamar