DCG AI STOCKS, OPTIONS, CRYPTO Weekly Trading Plan: June 2-7, 2025

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The week of June 2-7 presents a critical juncture for markets as we enter a data-heavy period featuring major earnings releases, key economic indicators, and potential policy catalysts. With the S&P 500 coming off its best May performance since 1953 (+6.2%), traders face the classic "sell-in-May" seasonal headwind while contending with mixed technical signals and evolving economic narratives.

🎯 Key Market Themes

Technical Setup: The S&P 500 is coming off the best May since 1990 but remains essentially flat for 2025 Where the Stock Market Stands Now After a Wild Start to the Year - Bloomberg, creating a fascinating technical divergence. The index sits at critical resistance around 6,000 with support at 5,900-5,850.

Seasonality: Early June historically favors upside momentum, with the first trading day up 28 of the last 36 years. However, post-election June performance has been weaker than normal.

Volatility Outlook: Expect heightened volatility from multiple catalysts converging simultaneously.

📊 Daily Trading Roadmap

Monday, June 2: Foundation Day

Market Movers: Campbell Soup (CPB) earnings, SAIC before open; Circle IPO pricing Economic Data: ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM), Fed speakers Key Event: Fed Chair Powell speech at 1:00 PM ET

Trading Strategy:

• Long Setup: Circle (CRCL) IPO play - expecting $624M raise at ~$6B valuation with BlackRock backing

• Sector Focus: AI infrastructure stocks on continued momentum

• Risk Management: Light positioning ahead of Powell speech

Tuesday, June 3: Earnings Intensity

Earnings: CrowdStrike (CRWD), Dollar General (DG), NIO (NIO), HPE Economic Data: JOLTS Job Openings, Fed speakers continue

Trading Strategy:

• CRWD: Sell iron condors around earnings given high IV

• DG: Cautious approach - retail under pressure from economic headwinds

• HPE: AI tailwinds may support upside despite broader tech consolidation

Wednesday, June 4: Mid-Week Pivot

Earnings: Dollar Tree (DLTR), MongoDB (MDB), Five Below (FIVE) Economic Data: ADP Employment (High Impact), Fed Beige Book (2:00 PM)

Trading Strategy:

• MDB: Cloud infrastructure beneficiary - consider call spreads

• Market Response: ADP numbers crucial for Friday's NFP expectations

• Defensive Positioning: Beige Book could signal Fed dovishness

Thursday, June 5: Mega-Cap Earnings

Earnings: Broadcom (AVGO), Lululemon (LULU), DocuSign (DOCU) Economic Data: ECB Rate Decision (8:15 AM), Initial Claims

Trading Strategy:

• AVGO: The week's marquee event - expecting AI revenue of $4.42B (+42% YoY)

• Iron Condor Strategy: Sell AVGO $200/$210/$250/$260 spreads for $4.30 credit

• LULU: Athletic wear beneficiary from consumer discretionary rotation

Friday, June 6: Jobs Day Finale

Economic Data: May Jobs Report (8:30 AM) - expecting +130K vs +150K prior Earnings: Limited schedule allows focus on economic data

Trading Strategy:

• Pre-Market: Position for jobs number deviation plays

• USD Impact: Strong/weak jobs data affects currency and bond markets

• Week-End Positioning: Trim risk ahead of weekend

Volatility Management

• VIX Watch: Current level ~16; prepare for expansion above 20

• Earnings Trades: Use defined-risk strategies only

• Hedge Consideration: SPY puts if market breaks 5,850 support

Economic Sensitivity

• Rate-Sensitive Names: Monitor duration exposure

• Dollar Impact: International exposure hedging

• Inflation Data: Core PCE implications for Fed policy

🔮 Week-Ahead Outlook

Bull Case: Strong jobs data, positive AVGO guidance, successful Circle IPO create momentum toward 6,100 resistance.

Bear Case: Disappointing employment numbers, AVGO earnings miss, or geopolitical tensions trigger break below 5,850 support.

Base Case: Choppy consolidation between 5,900-6,000 as markets digest mixed economic signals and position for June OPEX (June 20).

Probability Assessment:

• Bullish Week: 40%

• Neutral/Choppy: 45%

• Bearish Week: 15%

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