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- 🚨 CANNABIS REVOLUTION IGNITES: Trump Marijuana Reclassification Sends Sector Soaring 30%+ | DCG Friday Trading Gameplan
🚨 CANNABIS REVOLUTION IGNITES: Trump Marijuana Reclassification Sends Sector Soaring 30%+ | DCG Friday Trading Gameplan
🔥 Breaking: Federal Cannabis Policy Shift Creates Historic Trading Opportunity as Markets Hit New Records
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KEY THINGS TO KNOW BEFORE FRIDAY'S OPEN
⚡ CANNABIS EXPLOSION: Trump marijuana rescheduling news sends MSOS ETF up 30% after hours, TLRY surges
📊 MARKETS AT RECORDS: S&P 500 closes at 6,901 (new all-time high), Dow gains 1.34% to 48,704
💻 TECH ROTATION: Broadcom plunges 5.4% after earnings despite beat, money flows into small caps (IWM +0.2%)
🏃 ATHLEISURE COMEBACK: Lululemon rockets 10% after hours on CEO transition and $1B buyback boost
⚖️ FED IMPACT: Post-rate cut volatility creates sector rotation opportunities
💰 GOLD & SILVER SURGE: Precious metals hit all-time highs as dollar weakens
📈 MARKET RECAP: December 11, 2025
Futures Overview - Pre-Market December 12
S&P 500 Futures ($ES): 6,896.75 (-0.15%)
Support: 6,850 | Resistance: 6,920 (ATH zone)
Key Levels to Watch: 6,880 must hold for bulls
Thursday's Closing Bell
S&P 500 (SPX): 6,901.00 (+0.21%) ✅ NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
Dow Jones (DJI): 48,704.01 (+1.34%) ✅ NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
Nasdaq (QQQ): 23,593.86 (-0.26%) ⚠️ Tech pullback
Russell 2000 (IWM): 2,590.61 (+1.21%) ✅ NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
VIX: 14.85 (-5.83%) 📉 Fear cooling off
Cryptocurrency Markets
Bitcoin (BTC): $92,005 (+0.5% from lows, down from $94K intraday spike)
Ethereum (ETH): $3,238 (-3.37% on the day)
Trading Range: BTC stuck in $88K-$94K channel for December
Sentiment: Mixed; ETF inflows strong but price action choppy
🌿 TRUMP MARIJUANA BOMBSHELL: THE CATALYST THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING
BREAKING NEWS (Released Dec 11, 2025 After 6 PM EST)
<parameter>President Donald Trump is planning to direct federal agencies to reclassify marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III drug, according to multiple reports from Washington Post, Bloomberg, and Axios.
What This Means:
Marijuana would move from same category as heroin to same category as prescription painkillers
Massive tax relief for cannabis companies (eliminates 280E tax burden)
Easier interstate commerce and banking access
Opens door for medical research and Medicare/Medicaid coverage
Does NOT make marijuana federally legal for recreational use
Biggest shift in US cannabis policy in over 50 years
Timeline & Process:
Trump discussed plan with House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) on Wednesday
Meeting included marijuana industry executives, HHS Secretary RFK Jr., and CMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz
Expected executive order could come within weeks
Trump cannot unilaterally reschedule but can direct DOJ to expedite existing process
Market Impact - After Hours EXPLOSION:
MSOS ETF: Closed $3.76, spiked to $5.77 in after hours (+53% spike from close!)
TLRY (Tilray): Closed $8.42, traded up to $10.75 after hours (+27.7%)
CGC (Canopy Growth): Massive after-hours surge
SNDL, OGI, CRON: All cannabis names catching fire
💊 CANNABIS SECTOR TRADING PLAYBOOK - FRIDAY DECEMBER 12
HIGH-CONVICTION CANNABIS TRADES
Ticker: MSOS (NYSE Arca)
Thursday Close: $3.76
After-Hours High: $5.77 (+53%)
Current After-Hours: ~$4.88-$5.06 range
Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (9.5/10 - Explosive Catalyst)
Strategy:
Entry Zone: $4.50-$5.20 on any pre-market dip
Stop Loss: $3.90 (below prior close support)
Target 1: $6.00 (+20% from $5.00 entry)
Target 2: $7.50 (+50% from $5.00 entry)
Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio (high volatility expected)
Rationale: MSOS is the pure-play US cannabis ETF with direct exposure to multi-state operators (MSOs) who benefit most from Schedule III rescheduling. Holdings include Green Thumb Industries (14.5%), Curaleaf Holdings (14.3%), and Trulieve Cannabis (7.2%).
Risk: High volatility, regulatory uncertainty if Trump changes mind, profit-taking after 30%+ overnight move
🌿 TRADE #2: TLRY - Tilray Brands
Ticker: TLRY (NASDAQ)
Thursday Close: $8.42
After-Hours Range: $8.08-$10.75
Current After-Hours: ~$10.70
Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10 - Strong momentum)
Strategy:
Entry Zone: $9.50-$10.50 (wait for consolidation)
Stop Loss: $8.50
Target 1: $12.00 (+20%)
Target 2: $15.00 (+50%)
Hold Period: 2-4 weeks for full upside
Rationale: Tilray is diversified (cannabis, beverages, wellness) with strong international footprint. Recent Q1 results showed 5% revenue growth and path to profitability. Rescheduling opens US medical market opportunities.
Catalyst Watch:
Company seeing expansion in EU markets
Could be acquisition target if US market opens up
Revenue guidance of $62-72M adjusted EBITDA for FY2026
🚀 TRADE #3: Individual MSO Sympathy Plays
These trade OTC but will see massive volume Friday:
Green Thumb Industries (GTBIF - OTC)
Top MSO by revenue
Strong balance sheet
80+ retail locations across US states
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8.5/10)
Curaleaf Holdings (CURLF - OTC)
Largest MSO by store count (150+ locations)
Direct beneficiary of Schedule III tax relief
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10)
Trulieve Cannabis (TCNNF - OTC)
Florida-dominant MSO
Strong cash flow profile
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10)
Entry Strategy for OTC Plays: Wait for first 30 minutes of trading to assess liquidity and spreads. These stocks can have wide bid-ask spreads, so use limit orders only.
⚠️ CANNABIS TRADE WARNINGS & RISK MANAGEMENT
Political Risk: Trump "could still change his mind" per Washington Post sources. No final decision made yet.
Profit-Taking Risk: Stocks up 30-50% after hours will see sellers at market open. Expect pullback in first hour.
Position Sizing: Don't go all-in. Cannabis stocks are volatile. Max 10% of portfolio across all cannabis positions.
Timeline Risk: Executive order could take weeks/months. This is not overnight legalization.
Sector History: Cannabis has rallied on policy hopes before, then crashed. Manage expectations.
💻 TECH SECTOR ROTATION: BROADCOM BREAKDOWN ANALYSIS
AVGO - Broadcom Inc. Post-Earnings Collapse
What Happened:
Earnings Beat: Q4 EPS $1.95 vs $1.86 est; Revenue $18.02B vs $17.49B est
Strong Guidance: Q1 revenue forecast $19.1B (28% YoY growth) vs $18.3B est
AI Chip Boom: CEO says AI chip sales will double to $8.2B next quarter
BUT: Stock sold off -5.4% as investors took profits after 75% YTD gain
Thursday Trading:
Close: $412.97 (pre-earnings)
After-Hours Low: $391 zone
After-Hours Close: ~$398-406 range (-3.5% to -4.5%)
What Analysts Are Saying:
Management warned of margin pressures in Q1 (100 bps headwind)
Not expecting "much revenue from OpenAI in FY26" (disappointing)
Custom AI chip backlog sits at $73 billion over next 18 months
Anthropic revealed as the $10B mystery customer for Google TPUs
Trading Strategy - Friday:
DO NOT CHASE DOWN: Broadcom still expensive at 75+ PE ratio
Watch Level: $390-400 could be support if tech stabilizes
Better Play: Rotation into small caps (IWM) or defensives
Rating: ⭐⭐ (5/10 - Wait for better entry, too much profit-taking)
Key Takeaway: Even great earnings can't stop profit-taking when stocks are up 75% YTD. This is healthy rotation, not a sector collapse.
👟 LULULEMON COMEBACK STORY: BEAT, BUYBACK, CEO CHANGE
LULU - Lululemon Athletica Post-Earnings Pop
Thursday's Action:
Close: $187.01 (-0.33%)
After-Hours Surge: $205.50-209.92 (+10% to +12%)
Current AH: ~$206 (+10%)
What Drove the Rally:
✅ Q3 Earnings Beat: EPS $2.59 vs $2.21 consensus (+17% beat!)
✅ Revenue Beat: $2.57B vs $2.48B est (+7.1% YoY)
✅ $1 Billion Buyback Boost: Expanded share repurchase program
✅ CEO Transition Plan: Calvin McDonald stepping down January 2026 (orderly succession)
⚠️ Guidance Light: Q4 EPS forecast below consensus (expected due to tariffs)
Why This Matters:
Stock down 55% from 52-week high of $423
Trading at just 12.8x PE ratio (cheapest valuation in company history)
International growth strong (+33% in Q3, especially China +17%)
Americas weakness (-2% comps) well-known and priced in
Friday Trading Strategy:
Entry Zone: $200-210 on any pre-market pullback
Stop: $190 (below pre-earnings close)
Target 1: $225 (+12%)
Target 2: $250 (+25% over 4-6 weeks)
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7.5/10 - Value play with catalyst)
Risks: Tariff headwinds ($240M gross profit hit in FY25), CEO transition uncertainty, US consumer weakness
📊 SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS
BULLISH SECTORS (Advancing) 📈
1. Materials (+1.99%)
Gold miners leading (GDX +2.6%, all-time high)
Silver surge to $64/oz (5% gain, ATH)
Base metals benefiting from infrastructure optimism
2. Financials (+1.82%)
XLF hitting all-time highs
Bank stocks rallying on steepening yield curve (2Y/10Y spread at 63 bps)
Visa upgraded at Bank of America
3. Industrials (+1.07%)
XLI at all-time highs
Caterpillar (CAT) +72% YTD, leading Dow 30
Infrastructure and defense plays strong
4. Small Caps (IWM) (+1.21%)
Russell 2000 at all-time highs
Outperforming mega-cap tech
Broadening market participation = healthy
BEARISH SECTORS (Declining) 📉
1. Technology (-0.51%)
QQQ down despite AI enthusiasm
Broadcom (AVGO -5.4%), Oracle (ORCL -11%) weighed on sector
Mega-cap tech taking profits after huge run
2. Communication Services (-0.22%)
Mega-cap rotation out of Meta, Google
Still elevated valuations
3. Consumer Cyclical (Mixed)
Discretionary spending concerns
Lululemon showing weakness in Americas
Holiday shopping season key test
MONEY ROTATION KEY INSIGHTS
🔄 FROM: Mega-cap tech (Mag 7) → TO: Small caps, financials, materials
🔄 FROM: Growth stocks → TO: Value stocks (RSP equal-weight S&P outperforming)
🔄 FROM: AI chips → TO: Industrial/defense plays
What This Means: Market breadth improving. More stocks participating in rally = healthier bull market.
🏅 GOLD & SILVER: PRECIOUS METALS BREAKOUT
Thursday's Metals Action:
Gold Futures: $4,300+ (+1.3%) approaching all-time highs
Silver Futures: $64/oz (+5%) NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
Silver > Oil: Silver now more expensive than crude oil for first time ever
Dollar Weakness: DXY falls to lowest since mid-October (98.00)
Why Metals Are Surging:
Fed rate cuts = dollar weakness = gold strength
Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Ukraine)
Central bank buying (China, Russia continue accumulating)
Safe-haven bid during tech volatility
Inflation hedge positioning
Trading Strategy:
GDX (Gold Miners ETF): At all-time highs, breakout confirmed
SLV (Silver ETF): Historic breakout above $64
Trade Idea: On any $1-2 pullback in silver, buyers likely step in
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10 - Trend is your friend)
🌐 CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKET BREAKDOWN
Bitcoin & Crypto Sentiment Analysis
Bitcoin (BTC) - Current State:
Price: $92,005 (Dec 11 close)
24H Range: $89,400 - $94,200
Monthly Range: $85,000 - $95,000 (consolidation zone)
ATH: $126,000 (October 2025) - now -27% from highs
What's Happening:
Fed rate cut Wednesday did NOT boost BTC significantly
Bitcoin trading more like "high-beta tech" than digital gold
ETF inflows remain positive (+$271.7M on Dec 11) but price lagging
Corporate treasury buying has cooled significantly
Standard Chartered cuts 2025 target from $200K to $100K
Crypto Market Cap:
Total: $3.23 trillion (+2.11% on day)
BTC Dominance: 58.7%
ETH struggling (-5.17% on day to $390B mcap)
Friday Trading Outlook:
Support: $90,000 critical level
Resistance: $95,000 ceiling needs to break
Catalyst Needed: Clear breakout requires new narrative (not Fed cuts alone)
Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐ (6/10 - Range-bound, wait for breakout)
Alt-Coin Watch:
Solana (SOL): $138.56 (+0.39%) - holding better than ETH
XRP: $2.04 (+0.13%) - regulatory optimism
BNB: $886.01 (+0.13%) - Binance ecosystem stable
🗓️ FRIDAY DECEMBER 12 ECONOMIC CALENDAR
Key Events & Releases:
8:00 AM ET - Fed's Anna Paulson Speech
8:30 AM ET - Fed's Beth Hammack Speech
10:35 AM ET - Fed's Austan Goolsbee Speech
⚠️ Fed Speaker Alert: Three Fed officials on tape today could provide hawkish commentary that moves rates. Watch for inflation/rate cut guidance for 2026.
1:00 PM ET - Baker Hughes Rig Count (weekly oil/gas data)
Next Week Critical Data:
Tuesday: NFP Jobs Report (major market mover)
Tuesday: Retail Sales (consumer spending health check)
📉 EARNINGS AFTER-HOURS RECAP & SYMPATHY PLAYS
Thursday AH Earnings Results:
🏃 Lululemon (LULU) - ✅ BEAT
As covered above, strong sympathy plays:
PTON (Peloton): Watch for bounce on athleisure optimism
LQDT (Liquidity Services): Retail tech beneficiary
UA (Under Armour): Athletic wear peer
💻 Broadcom (AVGO) - ✅ BEAT (but sold off)
Sympathy plays (negative):
NVDA (Nvidia): Down in sympathy, but fundamentals strong
AMD (AMD): Custom chip competition narrative
ANET (Arista Networks): Data center networking peer
🔴 Oracle (ORCL) - ❌ MISS (down 11-13%)
Cloud infrastructure concerns rippled through sector Wednesday
Already priced in by Thursday close
Sympathy Stock Winners from Cannabis News:
Agricultural/Industrial:
SMG (Scotts Miracle-Gro): Hydroponic systems provider
GRWG (GrowGeneration): Cannabis cultivation supplies
Real Estate:
IIPR (Innovative Industrial Properties): Cannabis REIT
Expected to benefit from MSO expansion
Biotech/Pharma:
GWPH analogs: CBD/medical cannabis research companies
🎯 HIGH-CONVICTION TRADES FOR FRIDAY OPEN
#1 - Cannabis Sector Momentum Play
Position: MSOS ETF
Entry: $4.50-$5.20
Stop: $3.90
Target: $6.00-$7.50
Size: 5% max
Duration: 1-3 day swing
Confidence: 85%
#2 - Lululemon Value & Momentum
Position: LULU
Entry: $200-210
Stop: $190
Target: $225-$250
Size: 3-4%
Duration: 2-6 weeks
Confidence: 75%
#3 - Small Cap Rotation
Position: IWM (Russell 2000 ETF)
Entry: Current levels $258-260
Stop: $252
Target: $270-275
Size: 4-5%
Duration: 2-4 weeks
Confidence: 70%
#4 - Gold Miners Breakout
Position: GDX (Gold Miners ETF)
Entry: Any dip to $41-42
Stop: $39.50
Target: $46-48
Size: 3-4%
Duration: 3-6 weeks
Confidence: 70%
#5 - Tech Dip Buy (Selective)
Position: QQQ or individual names on -2% or more dips
Entry: Wait for 6,850 S&P support test
Stop: -3% from entry
Target: +5-8%
Size: 3-5%
Duration: 1-2 weeks
Confidence: 60%
⚠️ BEARISH POSITIONS TO AVOID FRIDAY
🚫 DO NOT CHASE:
1. Broadcom (AVGO) - Too much profit-taking, need $390-400 to stabilize
2. Oracle (ORCL) - Already crashed 11%, wait for dust to settle
3. Tesla (TSLA) - No clear catalyst, high valuation multiple
4. Bitcoin (BTC) - Range-bound, wait for $95K breakout or $88K breakdown
5. Cannabis Parabolic Moves - If MSOS gaps up 40%+ at open, fade it, don't chase it
🌐 TRUMP ADMINISTRATION MARKET IMPACT SUMMARY
Key Policy Developments This Week:
✅ Cannabis Rescheduling (Dec 11)
Most significant development
Bipartisan political support building
Market impact: Sector +30-50% after hours
Trade/Tariffs
Ongoing negotiations with China
Trump mentions "speaking with Xi about AI"
Market watching for trade deal progress
AI & Tech Policy
Discussion of AI safety with China/Russia
OpenAI expanding partnerships (Broadcom, Disney)
Regulatory framework still developing
Infrastructure & Defense
Caterpillar rallying on infrastructure optimism
Defense stocks strong (Trump mentions "denuclearization talks")
📊 OPTIONS FLOW & DARK POOL ACTIVITY
Notable Options Activity Thursday:
Unusual Call Buying:
MSOS: Massive call volume spike in after hours (duh)
LULU: Heavy $200 strike calls for Jan 2026
GDX: $45 calls seeing accumulation
IWM: Bullish flow continues into small caps
Put Protection:
AVGO: Hedging activity increased
NVDA: Some profit protection
QQQ: Light put buying vs S&P strength
Dark Pool Prints:
Large block trades in financials (XLF)
Rotation into cyclicals confirmed by block activity
Cannabis stocks will see massive dark pool volume Friday
🔮 WEEK AHEAD: DECEMBER 16-20 OUTLOOK
Major Events Coming:
Monday Dec 16 - Retail Sales Data
Tuesday Dec 17 - Fed's Final Meeting Communications
Wednesday Dec 18 - Housing Starts, Building Permits
Thursday Dec 19 - Jobless Claims, Philly Fed
Friday Dec 20 - Quadruple Witching (options expiration)
Earnings Next Week:
FedEx (FDX) - Economic bellwether
Nike (NKE) - Consumer spending indicator
Jabil (JBL) - Supply chain insights
Micron (MU) - Memory chip demand
🎓 DCG COMMAND CENTER GUIDANCE
Overall Market Strategy:
Bull Case (60% probability):
S&P holds 6,850-6,900 range
Small cap leadership continues
Cannabis catalyst provides fresh momentum
Seasonal December strength kicks in
Fed dovish path remains intact
Target: S&P 7,000 by year-end
Bear Case (30% probability):
Tech profit-taking accelerates
Fed turns hawkish on 2026 outlook
Cannabis rally fades quickly on political uncertainty
Holiday retail disappoints
Watch: S&P 6,800 breakdown would signal trouble
Base Case (most likely):
Choppy consolidation at these levels
Sector rotation continues
Individual stock selection critical
End year 6,900-6,950 range
💡 MASTERMIND INSIGHTS & COMMUNITY SENTIMENT
What Traders Are Saying:
From Discord/X Community:
Cannabis = highest conviction trade in months
"Don't fight the Fed AND Trump on same side"
Lululemon = value opportunity at 12x PE
Gold/silver "this is just the beginning"
BTC = "wait and see" mode
Sentiment Score: 75/100 (Bullish but cautious)
Fear & Greed Index: 39 (Fear) - contrarian bullish signal
Put/Call Ratio: Elevated on QQQ, low on IWM = rotation confirmed
🎯 RISK MANAGEMENT RULES FOR FRIDAY
Position Sizing:
No single position over 5% of portfolio
Cannabis total exposure max 10%
Keep 20% cash for opportunities
Use stop losses on ALL positions
Take profits on 20%+ gains (esp. cannabis)
Trading Discipline:
First 30 minutes = watch only, no chasing
Best entries often come 10:00-10:30 AM after initial volatility
Set profit targets before entering
Don't average down on losing positions
Cut losses at -7% max
Emotional Control:
FOMO is real - don't chase parabolic moves
Cannabis could pull back 20% as fast as it went up
Stick to your plan
Journal your trades (learn from wins AND losses)
It's a marathon, not a sprint
📝 FINAL THOUGHTS & ACTIONABLE GAME PLAN
For Day Traders (0-2 day holds):
Primary Play: MSOS on any $4.50-5.00 dip, tight stops
Secondary: LULU momentum if it holds $200+
Scalp: IWM on S&P weakness
Avoid: AVGO, ORCL (too much chaos)
For Swing Traders (2-10 day holds):
Build positions: MSOS, LULU, GDX
Rotation play: IWM as hedge to QQQ
Wait for entry: Quality tech on -3% days
Watch catalyst: Fed speakers for rate guidance
For Position Traders (weeks-months):
Accumulate dips: Quality names on sector rotation
Cannabis allocation: 5-10% if risk-tolerant
Defensive adds: Gold, healthcare, utilities
Stay patient: Don't chase extended moves
🔔 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH FRIDAY
S&P 500 ($ES):
✅ Bull zone: Above 6,880
⚠️ Danger zone: Below 6,850
🚨 Breakdown: Below 6,800
MSOS (Cannabis):
✅ Bullish: Holds $4.50+
⚠️ Watch: $4.00-4.50 consolidation
🚨 Bearish: Back below $3.80
Bitcoin (BTC):
✅ Bullish: Break above $95,000
⚠️ Neutral: $88K-95K range
🚨 Bearish: Below $88,000
Gold (GC):
✅ Bullish: Above $4,250
⚠️ Support: $4,200
🚨 Breakdown: Below $4,150
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⚡ CLOSING SUMMARY
The Big Picture:
Friday December 12 presents extraordinary trading opportunities driven by:
Historic cannabis policy shift - potential 50-year regulatory change
Market at all-time highs with healthy breadth (small caps, financials, materials all strong)
Sector rotation in full force - money flowing from mega-cap tech into value/cyclicals
Precious metals breakout - gold and silver confirming safe-haven demand
Fed in easing cycle - supportive monetary backdrop despite rate cut uncertainty
The cannabis catalyst is real. Trump administration signaling major policy shift with bipartisan support. This isn't speculation - major news outlets confirmed the story with White House sources.
But remember: Markets can be irrational. Cannabis stocks could gap up 40% and immediately sell off 20%. Trade smart, not emotional.
Our Conviction:
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Cannabis (9/10) - Historic catalyst, clear direction
⭐⭐⭐⭐ Small Caps (IWM) (8/10) - Rotation trend confirmed
⭐⭐⭐⭐ Gold/Silver (8/10) - Breakout pattern strong
⭐⭐⭐⭐ LULU (7.5/10) - Value + catalyst
⭐⭐⭐ Bitcoin (6/10) - Range-bound, need breakout
⭐⭐ Mega-cap tech (5/10) - Profit-taking mode
🚀 TOMORROW'S PREP CHECKLIST
✅ Review cannabis news overnight (Trump could tweet/post)
✅ Check pre-market prices on MSOS, TLRY (expect volatility)
✅ Set limit orders (do NOT use market orders on cannabis)
✅ Review your risk management rules
✅ Stay hydrated, get sleep - big trading day ahead
✅ Have stop losses ready BEFORE market open
✅ Don't bet the farm - size appropriately
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