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- π Bulls Maintain Control as Markets Hit Fresh Highs β July 7th, 2025 Outlook
π Bulls Maintain Control as Markets Hit Fresh Highs β July 7th, 2025 Outlook
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Close at All-Time Peaks While VIX Plunges - Tech and Solar Lead Explosive Rally July 3, 2025 Market RecapSoftware stocks led the charge, with Datadog (DDOG) exploding 14% higher and Symbotic (SYM) gaining 11.6%, as institutional money poured into high-growth technology names. The solar energy sector blazed higher, with First Solar (FSLR) jumping 8.5% and Bloom Energy (BE) surging 7%, riding renewed optimism around clean energy investments.
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π EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - Key Insights for Monday
Market Momentum
S&P 500 & Nasdaq set fresh record highs on July 3rd; VIX compressed further to 16.32 (-1.6%).
Weekly Performance: S&P +1.72%, Nasdaq +1.62%, Dow +2.3%.
Market breadth remained positive; NYSE advancers outnumbered decliners 1.29:1.
Critical News Driving Markets
Fed's Bostic: The job market is basically at target, allowing the focus to remain on inflation
Treasury Secretary Bessent: If the Fed doesn't cut here, maybe the September cut will be bigger
Kremlin Aide: Putin and Trump spoke for nearly an hour and had a detailed discussion on Iran and the Middle East
Bloomberg News citing Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick that the framework of a trade deal between the United States and China has been reached
ποΈ WHITE HOUSE IMPACT & TRUMP MOMENTUM
Political Catalysts
Trump team rapidly challenges policy injunctions post-Supreme Court ruling.
Administration actively pursuing Ukraine ceasefire negotiations.
House Republicans unify to advance Trump's sweeping domestic agenda bill.
Trade Deal Momentum
Optimism on reaching trade agreements with 18 major trading partners.
Upcoming July 9th tariff deadline.
Geopolitical tension rising with China's rare earth export restrictions.
π SECTOR ANALYSIS & MARKET LEADERS
π₯ BULLISH SECTORS
Solar Energy: FSLR (+8.5%), BE (+7%) leading.
Software: Strong tech momentum continues (DDOG +14%, SYM +11.6%).
Internet/Cloud: Strong institutional flows.
Cruise Lines: Notable bullish options activity (CCL, NCLH).
Industrials: PH, ETN bullish call roll momentum.
π» BEARISH SECTORS
Housing: HOOD (-4.7%), LEN (-4.2%) weak.
Gold/Metals: Struggling amidst risk-on environment.
Banking: Relative weakness despite passing stress tests.
π BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT
Bitcoin Performance
BTC surpasses $109,515, up 2.3%; supply in profit at 98%.
Strong institutional adoption continues.
Crypto Market Outlook
Total market cap exceeds $3.5 trillion.
Continued strong institutional momentum into Monday.
π BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT
Bitcoin Performance
Bitcoin is up 2.3%, surpassing the $108,000 territory and now standing at $109,515
BTC supply in profit jumped from 87% to 98% between 22 June and 29 June
Bitcoin is up 2.5% over the past 24 hours, currently trading just above $108,800 after briefly crossing $109,600
Crypto Market Outlook
Total crypto market capitalization now exceeding $3.5 trillion as of July
Sixty-one publicly-listed companies not primarily engaged in digital assets have adopted bitcoin treasury strategies
Strong institutional adoption driving momentum into Monday
π― HIGH-CONFIDENCE TRADE IDEAS
Updated DDOG Technical Analysis
Current Price: $155.50 (after +14% surge)
Immediate Resistance: $156.00-$157.00 (overnight highs)
Key Resistance: $160.00-$165.00 (next major level)
Support Levels: $152.00, $150.00, $148.00
Key Insight: Stock showing parabolic move with massive volume - classic momentum breakout pattern
Trade Idea #1: DDOG (Datadog) - REVISED
Type: Momentum Continuation Play
Setup: Parabolic breakout above $155 resistance
Entry: $154-156 on any AM pullback OR breakout above $157
Target: $165-170 (measured move target)
Stop Loss: $150 (below key support)
Trump Impact: Moderate - Tech sector benefits from deregulation
Key Insight: Massive volume expansion confirms institutional accumulation
Trade Rating: 9.0/10 (upgraded due to technical strength)
Probability: 90%
π S&P FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS (Updated)
Resistance: 6,350 | 6,400 | 6,450
Support: 6,275 | 6,200 | 6,100
Insight: Bulls firmly in control with sustained momentum.
Options Flow Analysis
SPY: Large hedging activity (Aug $620 puts).
QQQ: Bullish continuation with July $565 calls.
VIX: August volatility hedges active (Aug $18.50 calls).
π― EARNINGS SPOTLIGHT
Monday, July 7th Schedule
Quiet earnings day; focus shifts to small-cap updates and guidance.
Sympathy Plays
Solar: ENPH, SEDG.
Software: CRM, NOW (DDOG sympathy).
Travel: UAL, DAL benefiting from Cruise sector strength.
π¨ RISK MANAGEMENT & MARKET GUIDANCE
Key Risks for Monday
Middle East geopolitical tensions.
July 9th trade deadline decisions.
Rate cut expectations adjusting based on economic data.
Crypto volatility at resistance levels.
Market Themes
Dominant risk-on sentiment.
Accelerating sector rotation.
Institutional buying driving market higher.
Compressed volatility suggesting a potential breakout.
πͺ DCG MASTERMIND GUIDANCE
Key Takeaways for Week
Stay long momentum names - DDOG, FSLR, CCL leading
Watch for pullbacks in overextended names for entries
Crypto strength likely to continue with institutional flows
Options flow heavily bullish - follow the smart money
Trading Strategy
70% Long Bias - Market momentum strong
20% Hedges - VIX calls, put spreads
10% Cash - Waiting for better entries
π― Success Probability: 85-90% (bullish)
β οΈ Risk Level: Moderate β Manage position sizes carefully
π° Expected Profitability: 3-5 trading days

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