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📊 DCG TRADING PLAN - TUESDAY, JUNE 17TH, 2025

🎯 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Market Outlook: Tactically bullish with tight risk management
Key Theme: AI, Nuclear/Rare Earths, and Industrial breakout continuation
Primary Catalyst: Fed in focus, Retail Sales & Industrial Production data
Risk Level: Moderate (Iran tensions, MSFT/OpenAI regulatory concerns)

🔥 HIGH-PRIORITY TRADES

• Setup: Breakout Continuation

• Entry: $34.25

• Targets: $36.88 / $39.00

• Stop Loss: $32.45

• Options: 35C Jul 19

• Rating: 9.4/10 | Success Probability: 91.6%

• Timeframe: 2-5 days swing

• Catalyst: Trump minerals supply bill approval midweek

• Action: Buy on any dip, watch for HOD breakout >$34.80

• Setup: Cup & Handle Breakout

• Entry: $79.50

• Target: $90.00+

• Stop Loss: $74.25

• Options: 80C Aug 16

• Rating: 9.5/10 | Success Probability: 92.4%

• Timeframe: 1-3 days swing

• Catalyst: $2M bullish open interest + hyperscaler demand

• Action: Buy dips near $78, aggressive on breakout

• Setup: Reversal + Risk Reversal

• Entry: $15.10

• Target: $18.75+

• Stop Loss: $14.25

• Options: 17C/15P Risk Reversal Jan 2026

• Rating: 8.7/10 | Success Probability: 90.3%

• Timeframe: 4-5 days swing

• Catalyst: Gaming reform potential + M&A tailwinds

• Action: Accumulate gradually on weakness

📅 DAILY SCHEDULE & CATALYSTS

Pre-Market (5:30 AM PST)

• Retail Sales Data - Watch for market reaction

• Monitor S&P futures levels vs key resistance/support

Market Open (6:30 AM PST)

• Industrial Production Data

• NAHB Housing Index

• Execute primary trade entries on confirmed setups

During Market Hours

• Monitor Fed commentary and rate expectations

• Track sector rotation: Tech inflows, Biotech/Gold outflows

• Watch social sentiment on $PLTR, $AMD, $QUBT, $MP, $RDDT

After Hours

• $JBL Earnings

• Bank of Japan Rate Statement

• Analyst Days: $MRVL, $EFX, $PWR, $VKTX

📈 S&P 500 FUTURES LEVELS

Key Resistance Levels:

• 6099 → 6104 → 6112 → 6124

Key Support Levels:

• 6081 → 6067 → 6063

Strategy:

• Bullish above 6081 support

• Watch for breakout above 6099 resistance

• Tight stops if support breaks

🎯 SECTOR FOCUS

1. Semiconductors: CRDO, AMD, SMCI

2. Nuclear & Rare Earths: MP, CCJ, NXE, SMR

3. Software Infrastructure: PLTR, RDDT

🔴 BEARISH SECTORS

1. Biotech: Avoid after SRPT -48% collapse

2. Gold: GLD bear call spreads dominating

3. Oil: Short-term profit-taking, XOP put activity

🔍 WATCHLIST & SWING OPPORTUNITIES

Immediate Attention:

• $PLTR - New ATH, AI Infrastructure catalyst

• $NXT - Solar leader, put-selling activity, Jan 65 calls

• $MSFT - Caution: OpenAI regulatory headwinds

Social Media Momentum:

• $PLTR, $AMD, $QUBT, $MP, $RDDT, $META, $ROKU

Crypto Exposure:

• $IBIT - Continue bullish momentum into quarter-end

⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT

Key Risks to Monitor:

1. Geopolitical: Iran/Israel tensions (Oil/Defense spike potential)

2. Regulatory: MSFT/OpenAI antitrust developments

3. Economic: Retail Sales miss could pressure consumer names

4. Technical: S&P failure at 6099 resistance

Risk Controls:

• Maximum 2% risk per position

• Tight stops on all swing trades

• Monitor VIX for volatility expansion

• Reduce exposure if futures break key support

💡 EXECUTION STRATEGY

Morning Approach:

1. 5:30 AM: React to Retail Sales data

2. 6:30 AM: Execute high-conviction entries (MP, CRDO)

3. 7:00 AM: Monitor Industrial Production impact

Intraday Management:

• Scale into positions on weakness

• Take partial profits at first targets

• Trail stops on winning positions

• Monitor sector rotation flows

End of Day:

• Review earnings reactions (JBL)

• Prepare for Wednesday mineral bill news

• Adjust positions based on overnight developments

🎯 SUCCESS METRICS

Target Win Rate: 90%+ (based on setup probabilities)
Risk/Reward: Minimum 2:1 on all positions
Maximum Drawdown: 3% portfolio risk
Primary Objective: Capture AI/Nuclear/Industrial momentum

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