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- ๐ฐ Bitcoin Surges Above $93K as Vanguard Opens ETF Floodgates | Markets Rally into Fed Decision Week
๐ฐ Bitcoin Surges Above $93K as Vanguard Opens ETF Floodgates | Markets Rally into Fed Decision Week
December 3, 2025 | Wednesday Market Gameplan----Your edge in identifying high-probability momentum trades before the crowd
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โก KEY THINGS TO KNOW BEFORE THE BELL
๐ฅ BITCOIN ROCKETS 7%+ - BTC reclaims $93,000 after Vanguard reverses ETF ban for 50M+ clients
๐ S&P FUTURES +0.2% - Market extends rebound to 6th winning session in 7 days at 6,850
๐ฏ MARVELL EXPLODES 10% - Semiconductor giant crushes earnings, multiple analyst upgrades to $135 PT
๐ CRYPTO MARKET +7.4% - Total market cap surges to $3.24T on institutional buying wave
๐ฆ FED RATE CUT 87% PRICED - ADP jobs data and ISM Services PMI key catalysts today
Market Sentiment: BULLISH
Volatility (VIX): 10.48 - Lowest in a month
Fear & Greed: Exiting extreme fear zone
๐ OVERNIGHT MARKET RECAP
Futures Status (Pre-Market 7:00 AM ET)
S&P 500 Futures (ES): 6,850 (+0.2%) - Trading near key resistance
Nasdaq 100: +0.3% - Tech leading the charge
Dow Futures: 47,600 (+0.2%) - Steady gains
Russell 2000: +0.3% - Small caps outperforming
Crypto Explosion Overnight
Bitcoin (BTC): $93,001 (+7.0%) - Massive recovery from Monday's $84K lows
Ethereum (ETH): $3,055 (+9.1%) - Breaking back above $3K psychological level
XRP: $2.18 (+9.2%) - Altcoin season heating up
Solana (SOL): $141.94 (+10.2%) - Layer 1 momentum building
Critical Development: Vanguard reopened access to Bitcoin ETFs for its more than 50 million clients, while Bank of America allowed over 15,000 wealth advisers to recommend Bitcoin ETFs to clients for the first time. This represents a seismic shift in institutional adoption.
๐ฏ TOP CATALYST TRADES FOR TODAY
๐ TIER 1: HIGH-CONVICTION PLAYS
1. MARVELL TECHNOLOGY (MRVL) โญโญโญโญโญ
Current Price: $102.16 (Pre-market, +9.98%)
Previous Close: $92.89
Trade Rating: 9.5/10
Catalyst: Earnings crush + Celestial AI acquisition announcement
The Setup:
Beat EPS by $0.02 ($0.76 vs $0.74 est)
Revenue: $2.07B (in-line, +36.8% YoY)
Q4 guidance: EPS $0.79 vs $0.77 consensus
ACQUIRING CELESTIAL AI for $3.25-5.5B to dominate AI networking space
Analyst Upgrades (All happened overnight):
Susquehanna: PT raised to $120 from $100
Oppenheimer: PT raised to $150 from $115
KeyBanc: PT raised to $130 from $90
Wells Fargo: PT raised to $135 from $90
Piper Sandler: PT raised to $135 from $85
Entry Strategy:
Primary Zone: $100-102 (current pre-market)
Dip Buy Zone: $97-99 if profit-taking occurs
Stop Loss: Below $94
Targets:
T1: $108 (+5.8%) - Near-term resistance
T2: $115 (+12.7%) - Gap fill target
T3: $125 (+22.4%) - Analyst consensus zone
Why It Works: AI infrastructure play with massive Microsoft/hyperscaler exposure. The Celestial AI acquisition positions MRVL as the leader in optical AI networking - the next frontier after GPUs.
2. IRIS ENERGY (IREN) โญโญโญโญโญ
Current Price: $41.12 (After offering pricing)
Previous Close: $48.49
Trade Rating: 9/10
Catalyst: $2B convertible notes offering + $9.7B Microsoft AI deal
The Setup:
Just priced 39.7M shares at $41.12 in registered offering
Microsoft signed a five-year, $9.7 billion contract with IREN to secure access to Nvidia's advanced AI chips and data center capacity
Target: $3.4B AI Cloud ARR by 2026
Citizens reiterated Outperform, $80 PT
Entry Strategy:
IMMEDIATE BUY at offering price $41.12
Add on Dips: $39-40 zone
Stop Loss: $37.50
Targets:
T1: $48 (+16.8%) - Return to pre-offering levels
T2: $55 (+33.7%) - Technical breakout
T3: $65-70 (+58-70%) - Path to analyst PT of $80
Risk/Reward: Outstanding. Dilution already priced in, Microsoft deal provides multi-year revenue visibility. Bitcoin mining pivot to AI compute is the hottest trade in 2025.
Join aitradingskool.com to get real-time alerts on explosive setups like this before they move!
3. MICROSTRATEGY (MSTR) โญโญโญโญ
Current Price: $181.33 (+6% pre-market)
Previous Close: $171.80
Trade Rating: 8/10
Catalyst: Bitcoin recovery + Mizuho Outperform reiteration at $484 PT
The Setup:
MSTR raised $1.44B to strengthen USD reserves and secure 21 months of preferred dividend coverage without selling Bitcoin
Company can operate 3+ years at current BTC prices
MSCI index inclusion decision by January 15, 2026
Bitcoin proxy with 2x leverage to BTC moves
Entry Strategy:
Buy Zone: $178-183
Add Strength: Break above $190
Stop Loss: $170
Targets:
T1: $200 (+10.3%) - Psychological level
T2: $230 (+26.9%) - Key resistance
T3: $275-300 (+51-65%) - Intermediate target toward $484 PT
Key Risk: MSCI may remove from indices, but Saylor's Bitcoin strategy remains intact. This is a volatility play that rewards conviction.
๐ฐ TIER 2: MOMENTUM SETUPS
4. DOLLAR TREE (DLTR) โญโญโญโญ
Current Price: Check at open (reported after-hours)
Catalyst: Raised FY25 EPS guidance to $5.60-5.80 from $5.32-5.72
Trade Rating: 7.5/10
The Setup:
Beat Q4 expectations
Raised annual profit forecast
Retail sector showing resilience
Strategy: Watch for opening range. Buy strength above VWAP with tight stops.
5. UBER (UBER) โญโญโญโญ
Current Price: $88.25 (+2% estimated)
Previous Close: $86.57
Trade Rating: 8/10
Catalyst:
Arete upgraded to BUY from Neutral, $125 PT (from $82)
Uber and Avride launched robotaxi rides in Dallas
CEO visiting Taiwan and Hong Kong for first time
Entry Strategy:
Buy Zone: $87-89
Target: $95-100 (+10-13%)
Stop: $84
Why It Works: Autonomous vehicle expansion + international growth. The robotaxi narrative is accelerating faster than expected.
6. AMERICAN EAGLE (AEO) โญโญโญโญ
Current Price: $20.83 (+3% pre-market)
Catalyst: Beat Q3 by $0.09, raised Q4 comp sales guidance
**JPMorgan upgraded to Neutral from Underweight
Trade Rating: 7/10
Strategy: Retail surprise play. Buy dips toward $20, target $22-23.
๐ฌ TIER 3: BIOTECH BREAKOUTS
7. CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS (CAPR) โญโญโญโญโญ
HALTED - Will Resume Trading
Catalyst: Pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 study of Deramiocel in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy met primary endpoint and key secondary cardiac endpoint, both achieving statistical significance
Trade Rating: 9.5/10 (HIGH VOLATILITY EXPECTED)
Why This Matters:
First-in-class therapy for Duchenne cardiomyopathy
Primary and ALL key secondary endpoints hit
Statistical significance achieved (p=0.03 and p=0.04)
Company plans FDA Complete Response Letter submission
Strategy:
WATCH for opening pop - likely 50-100%+ move
DO NOT CHASE initial spike
Look for consolidation/pullback to 20-30% gains for entry
This will have multi-day momentum
This is the type of biotech catalyst that can turn $5K into $25K+ in days.
8. PHARVARIS (PHVS) โญโญโญโญ
Current Price: $24.12 (+23.7% pre-market)
Catalyst: Phase 3 RAPIDe-3 primary endpoint met for HAE treatment
Trade Rating: 8/10
Strategy: Strong biotech momentum. Buy strength, target $28-30. Marketing authorization applications planned H1 2026.
๐ฆ SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS
๐ฅ HOTTEST SECTORS RIGHT NOW
1. SEMICONDUCTORS ๐๐๐
MRVL leading the charge (+10% pre-market)
NVDA up 0.86%, holding strong above $185
AI infrastructure spending accelerating
Play: MRVL, NVDA, AVGO, AMD
2. CRYPTO/BLOCKCHAIN ๐๐๐
Bitcoin +7%, Ethereum +9%
UK passed law officially recognizing crypto as property - Major regulatory milestone
Vanguard + BofA = 50M+ new potential crypto investors
Play: MSTR, COIN, MARA, RIOT, IREN
3. AI INFRASTRUCTURE ๐๐๐
Data center REITs gaining
Power/cooling solutions in demand
Play: IREN, DLR, EQIX
4. RETAIL (SELECT NAMES) ๐
Holiday season showing resilience
Play: DLTR, M (Macy's beat), AEO
โ๏ธ COOLING SECTORS
Healthcare (Defensive Rotation)
REGN downgraded by Morgan Stanley to Equal Weight
Sector underperforming as risk-on sentiment returns
Utilities
Down as growth trades outperform
๐ KEY ECONOMIC DATA TODAY
7:00 AM ET: MBA Mortgage Applications (-1.4%)
8:15 AM ET: ADP Employment Report ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
8:30 AM ET: Import/Export Prices
9:15 AM ET: Industrial Production
9:45 AM ET: PMI Composite Final
10:00 AM ET: ISM Services Index ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ (Major market mover)
10:30 AM ET: EIA Petroleum Status Report
What to Watch: Traders are balancing renewed optimism about Federal Reserve rate cuts with lingering jitters from a global bond selloff. ADP jobs and ISM Services are critical for confirming the Fed's December 18 rate cut path (currently 87% priced in).
๐ฒ S&P 500 FUTURES KEY LEVELS
Current: 6,850
Overnight Range: 6,812 - 6,863
Bull Case Levels:
6,862 - Immediate resistance
6,868 - Next target
6,877 - Strong breakout level
6,889+ - Runway to new ATHs
Bear Case Levels:
6,843 - First support
6,834 - Critical reclaim level (was trigger yesterday)
6,825-6,830 - Strong support zone
6,812 - Must hold or risk deeper pullback
Trading Plan: Market is building a flag formation for next trend leg higher. 6,834 reclaim yesterday triggered the move to 6,850+. Watch for continuation above 6,862.
๐ก TRUMP MOMENTUM TRADES & POLITICAL EDGE
๐บ๐ธ White House Impact
Trump scheduled to make statement December 3 at 14:30 ET from Oval Office - topic undisclosed
Trump administration considering order on robotics next year
Putin meeting with Trump envoy Stephen Witkoff in Moscow - Ukraine peace talks ongoing
Market Impact: Any positive geopolitical developments or pro-business announcements could spark additional rally fuel. Robotics order could ignite automation stocks.
Robotics Play: Watch TSLA, UBER (autonomous), F, GM for any Trump robotics policy announcements.
๐ GLOBAL MARKET SNAPSHOT
Asia:
Nikkei 225: +1.14% to 49,864 - Tech led recovery
China concerns over Bank of Japan rate hike easing
Europe:
DAX: +0.3% - Extending Tuesday's rebound
FTSE 100: Mixed - Pound strength weighing
Commodities:
Copper: $5.37/lb - Highest since July 30 ๐ฅ
Natural Gas: Near $5.00 - First time in ~3 years ๐ฅ
Gold: -0.3% - Risk-on rotation
Silver: $58/oz - NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ๐
๐ฎ CRYPTO DEEP DIVE
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Current: $93,001
24H Range: $86,785 - $93,938
Key Level: $93,000
Glassnode reports that if Bitcoin climbs past the $93,000 level, it could set off significant liquidations of short positions. We're AT that level now - a short squeeze could propel BTC to $95K-$98K rapidly.
December Outlook:
Historical December returns show an average of 8.42% but a median of just 1.69%
Fed decision December 18 is the major catalyst
Rate cut largely priced in, all eyes are now on 2026 monetary policy expectations
Altcoin Watch:
ETH: Breaking $3K is bullish continuation signal
SOL: Ecosystem growth accelerating, DeFi momentum
XRP: Regulatory clarity driving institutional interest
Total Crypto Market Cap: $3.24T (+7.4%)
Market Dominance: BTC 58.2%, ETH 11.6%
๐ฐ BREAKING NEWS HIGHLIGHTS (Last 12 Hours)
Stock News:
โ
GOOGL: YouTube to comply with Australia's social media ban for under 16
โ
AMZN: Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirms Overweight, $315 PT on AWS AI momentum
โ
ORCL: Initiated Overweight at Wells Fargo, $280 PT
โ
OKTA: Beat Q3, raised FY26 guidance - CEO says "AI won't eat software"
โ
M (Macy's): Q3 revenue beat at $4.71B vs $4.55B est, guidance raised
โ
RIVN: Recalling 34,824 vehicles over seatbelt issue
โ
TSLA: German sales down 20.2% YoY in November
Crypto News:
โ
UK officially recognizes crypto as property - Massive legal precedent
โ
Vanguard ETF ban reversal = 50M+ potential new investors
โ
BofA wealth advisers now recommending BTC ETFs
โ
$58.5M net inflows into BTC spot ETFs Tuesday
๐ฏ DCG MASTER TRADE PLAN: DECEMBER 3, 2025
Market Structure: BULL FLAG CONSOLIDATION โ BREAKOUT IMMINENT
Conviction Level: 8.5/10 BULLISH
MRVL - 25% allocation
Entry: $100-102
Target: $115-125
Stop: $94
Expected Move: +12-22%
IREN - 20% allocation
Entry: $41.12 (offering price)
Target: $55-65
Stop: $37.50
Expected Move: +33-58%
MSTR - 15% allocation
Entry: $178-183
Target: $200-230
Stop: $170
Expected Move: +10-27%
Swing Trades (Allocate 25% of capital):
UBER - 10% allocation
Entry: $87-89
Target: $95-100
Stop: $84
AEO - 8% allocation
Entry: $20-20.50
Target: $22-23
Stop: $19.50
DLTR - 7% allocation
Entry: Watch opening range
Target: +5-8% move
Stop: Below VWAP
Biotech Lottery Tickets (Allocate 10% of risk capital):
CAPR - 5% allocation
Entry: Wait for opening volatility to settle
Target: Multi-day momentum play
Stop: Time-based (3 days max)
PHVS - 5% allocation
Entry: $24-25
Target: $28-30
Stop: $22
Crypto Allocation (5% speculative):
BTC: If breaks $93K cleanly, add exposure
ETH: Strong above $3,050
High-conviction alts: SOL, XRP on dips
โ ๏ธ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
Maximum position size: 25% in any single stock
Total risk exposure: No more than 3% of portfolio per trade
Stop losses are MANDATORY - No exceptions
Scale in: Don't deploy full position immediately
Take profits: 50% off at T1, let rest run with trailing stops
๐ฅ MASTERMIND COMMUNITY INSIGHTS
Top traders in our community are watching:
Greg McGauley called RUBI at $2.90 - "lotto play post-RS, tight stops under $2.70"
Palmer highlighted PLRZ - "low float can get $20"
Copper breakout to July highs catching momentum trader attention
Natural gas near $5 = watch UNG, energy stocks
Community Consensus: Risk-on environment accelerating. Semiconductors + crypto leading. Stay nimble, respect stops, let winners run.
๐ SEASONALITY & MARKET PATTERNS
The S&P 500 capped its sixth advance in seven trading days on Tuesday. December historically strong for equities:
Since 1945, whenever the S&P 500 was up more than 5% YTD by November's end in the first year of a presidential cycle, December has never missed and kept the rally going with an average 2.1% gain
Current Setup:
S&P 500 YTD: +16%+ (well above 5% threshold)
First year of Trump second term
Fed cutting cycle
AI infrastructure boom accelerating
Historical Edge: This setup has 100% historical success rate for positive December returns.
๐ผ SECTOR SENTIMENT SCORECARD
BULLISH ๐ข:
Technology (AI, Semiconductors)
Crypto/Blockchain
Retail (selective)
Industrials (data center infra)
Commodities (Copper, Natural Gas)
NEUTRAL ๐ก:
Financials
Consumer Discretionary
Energy (mixed signals)
BEARISH ๐ด:
Healthcare (defensive rotation)
Utilities
REITs (rate-sensitive)
Consumer Staples
๐ TRADING PSYCHOLOGY TIP OF THE DAY
"The best trades often feel uncomfortable at the entry."
When MRVL opens up 10% pre-market, your brain says "too expensive, I missed it." But smart money knows the story is just beginning. The Celestial AI acquisition, analyst upgrades, and AI infrastructure theme could drive this to $135+.
Action: Size appropriately, use stops, and don't let FOMO or fear dictate your positions. Trust your system.
๐ฑ FOLLOW THE MONEY: INSTITUTIONAL FLOW
Tuesday's Notable Moves:
Barclays remains upbeat on global and European stocks, expecting markets to keep rising despite policy uncertainty, setting a Stoxx 600 target of 620
JPMorgan sees S&P 500 reaching 7,500 by end of 2026 (+10% from here)
Citizens reiterated Market Outperform on IREN, $80 price target
What It Means: Major institutions are positioning for continued rally. Don't fight the tape.
๐จ WHAT COULD GO WRONG?
Risks to Watch:
ADP Jobs Data Surprise - If too hot, could spook rate cut bets
ISM Services Miss - Would signal economic weakening
Japan BOJ Hawkishness - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled that a rate hike would be considered at the December 18-19 policy meeting
Bitcoin Rejection at $93K - Could trigger another leg down
Profit-taking into Fed Decision - Market may consolidate before December 18
Plan: Have cash ready to buy dips. This bull market is not over, but volatility remains elevated.
๐ฏ SUMMARY: YOUR TRADING EDGE FOR DECEMBER 3, 2025
What's Working:
โ
AI infrastructure stocks (MRVL, NVDA, IREN)
โ
Crypto/Bitcoin exposure (MSTR, COIN, BTC/ETH)
โ
Biotech catalysts (CAPR, PHVS)
โ
Select retail earnings winners (DLTR, AEO, M)
What to Avoid:
โ Chasing extended moves without confirmation
โ Healthcare defensive names in risk-on environment
โ Utilities and rate-sensitive sectors
โ Low-volume pumps without catalysts
The Big Picture:
The December rally is gaining steam. With a rate cut on December 10th largely priced in (actually December 18), all eyes are now on 2026 monetary policy expectations. The Vanguard/BofA crypto catalyst is MASSIVE - this could be the institutional FOMO wave that drives BTC to $100K+ by year-end.
Semiconductors remain the backbone of the AI infrastructure build-out. MRVL's Celestial AI acquisition is a game-changer that positions them as the optical networking leader for AI data centers.
Risk management is paramount - use stops, size positions appropriately, and don't let one trade blow up your account.
๐ WANT TO LEVEL UP YOUR TRADING?
Join aitradingskool.com - Our community of 5,000+ active traders who:
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Learn from traders who have turned $10K into $100K+
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Exclusive access to DCG Command Center premium analysis
This newsletter is just the beginning. Imagine getting CAPR halted before it moves 100%+.
๐ FINAL WORDS
December 3, 2025 is shaping up to be a HIGH-PROBABILITY trading day. The confluence of:
Bitcoin institutional adoption catalyst
MRVL earnings + acquisition blowout
Continued Fed rate cut expectations
Seasonal bullishness (100% hit rate in this setup)
Sector rotation into growth/tech
Creates a rare trading environment where multiple sectors offer asymmetric risk/reward.
The market is telling you what it wants - AI infrastructure, crypto, and select growth. Listen to the tape, manage your risk, and let your winners run.
Trade smart. Trade safe. Make it a great trading day.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. DCG Command Center and its authors are not financial advisors. All trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. The stocks and cryptocurrencies mentioned in this newsletter are not recommendations to buy or sell. Trade execution, position sizing, and risk management are the sole responsibility of the trader.
Market Data Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters, Yahoo Finance, TradingView, CoinMarketCap, SoSoValue, Investing.com, White House Official Statements, multiple financial news services (as of December 3, 2025, 6:00 AM ET)
Price Verification: All prices verified across multiple sources including Yahoo Finance, Investing.com, and official exchange data as of December 3, 2025 pre-market session.
ยฉ 2025 DCG Command Center. All rights reserved. Built by traders, for traders.
#Trading #Bitcoin #Stocks #Crypto #AI #Semiconductors #FedRateCut #MRVL #IREN #MSTR #TradingNewsletter

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