๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin Surges Above $93K as Vanguard Opens ETF Floodgates | Markets Rally into Fed Decision Week

December 3, 2025 | Wednesday Market Gameplan----Your edge in identifying high-probability momentum trades before the crowd

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โšก KEY THINGS TO KNOW BEFORE THE BELL

๐Ÿ”ฅ BITCOIN ROCKETS 7%+ - BTC reclaims $93,000 after Vanguard reverses ETF ban for 50M+ clients
๐Ÿ“ˆ S&P FUTURES +0.2% - Market extends rebound to 6th winning session in 7 days at 6,850
๐ŸŽฏ MARVELL EXPLODES 10% - Semiconductor giant crushes earnings, multiple analyst upgrades to $135 PT
๐Ÿ’Ž CRYPTO MARKET +7.4% - Total market cap surges to $3.24T on institutional buying wave
๐Ÿฆ FED RATE CUT 87% PRICED - ADP jobs data and ISM Services PMI key catalysts today

Market Sentiment: BULLISH
Volatility (VIX): 10.48 - Lowest in a month
Fear & Greed: Exiting extreme fear zone

๐Ÿ“Š OVERNIGHT MARKET RECAP

Futures Status (Pre-Market 7:00 AM ET)

  • S&P 500 Futures (ES): 6,850 (+0.2%) - Trading near key resistance

  • Nasdaq 100: +0.3% - Tech leading the charge

  • Dow Futures: 47,600 (+0.2%) - Steady gains

  • Russell 2000: +0.3% - Small caps outperforming

Crypto Explosion Overnight

  • Bitcoin (BTC): $93,001 (+7.0%) - Massive recovery from Monday's $84K lows

  • Ethereum (ETH): $3,055 (+9.1%) - Breaking back above $3K psychological level

  • XRP: $2.18 (+9.2%) - Altcoin season heating up

  • Solana (SOL): $141.94 (+10.2%) - Layer 1 momentum building

Critical Development: Vanguard reopened access to Bitcoin ETFs for its more than 50 million clients, while Bank of America allowed over 15,000 wealth advisers to recommend Bitcoin ETFs to clients for the first time. This represents a seismic shift in institutional adoption.

๐ŸŽฏ TOP CATALYST TRADES FOR TODAY

๐Ÿ’Ž TIER 1: HIGH-CONVICTION PLAYS

1. MARVELL TECHNOLOGY (MRVL) โญโญโญโญโญ

Current Price: $102.16 (Pre-market, +9.98%)
Previous Close: $92.89
Trade Rating: 9.5/10

Catalyst: Earnings crush + Celestial AI acquisition announcement

The Setup:

  • Beat EPS by $0.02 ($0.76 vs $0.74 est)

  • Revenue: $2.07B (in-line, +36.8% YoY)

  • Q4 guidance: EPS $0.79 vs $0.77 consensus

  • ACQUIRING CELESTIAL AI for $3.25-5.5B to dominate AI networking space

Analyst Upgrades (All happened overnight):

  • Susquehanna: PT raised to $120 from $100

  • Oppenheimer: PT raised to $150 from $115

  • KeyBanc: PT raised to $130 from $90

  • Wells Fargo: PT raised to $135 from $90

  • Piper Sandler: PT raised to $135 from $85

Entry Strategy:

  • Primary Zone: $100-102 (current pre-market)

  • Dip Buy Zone: $97-99 if profit-taking occurs

  • Stop Loss: Below $94

Targets:

  • T1: $108 (+5.8%) - Near-term resistance

  • T2: $115 (+12.7%) - Gap fill target

  • T3: $125 (+22.4%) - Analyst consensus zone

Why It Works: AI infrastructure play with massive Microsoft/hyperscaler exposure. The Celestial AI acquisition positions MRVL as the leader in optical AI networking - the next frontier after GPUs.

2. IRIS ENERGY (IREN) โญโญโญโญโญ

Current Price: $41.12 (After offering pricing)
Previous Close: $48.49
Trade Rating: 9/10

Catalyst: $2B convertible notes offering + $9.7B Microsoft AI deal

The Setup:

  • Just priced 39.7M shares at $41.12 in registered offering

  • Microsoft signed a five-year, $9.7 billion contract with IREN to secure access to Nvidia's advanced AI chips and data center capacity

  • Target: $3.4B AI Cloud ARR by 2026

  • Citizens reiterated Outperform, $80 PT

Entry Strategy:

  • IMMEDIATE BUY at offering price $41.12

  • Add on Dips: $39-40 zone

  • Stop Loss: $37.50

Targets:

  • T1: $48 (+16.8%) - Return to pre-offering levels

  • T2: $55 (+33.7%) - Technical breakout

  • T3: $65-70 (+58-70%) - Path to analyst PT of $80

Risk/Reward: Outstanding. Dilution already priced in, Microsoft deal provides multi-year revenue visibility. Bitcoin mining pivot to AI compute is the hottest trade in 2025.

Join aitradingskool.com to get real-time alerts on explosive setups like this before they move!

3. MICROSTRATEGY (MSTR) โญโญโญโญ

Current Price: $181.33 (+6% pre-market)
Previous Close: $171.80
Trade Rating: 8/10

Catalyst: Bitcoin recovery + Mizuho Outperform reiteration at $484 PT

The Setup:

  • MSTR raised $1.44B to strengthen USD reserves and secure 21 months of preferred dividend coverage without selling Bitcoin

  • Company can operate 3+ years at current BTC prices

  • MSCI index inclusion decision by January 15, 2026

  • Bitcoin proxy with 2x leverage to BTC moves

Entry Strategy:

  • Buy Zone: $178-183

  • Add Strength: Break above $190

  • Stop Loss: $170

Targets:

  • T1: $200 (+10.3%) - Psychological level

  • T2: $230 (+26.9%) - Key resistance

  • T3: $275-300 (+51-65%) - Intermediate target toward $484 PT

Key Risk: MSCI may remove from indices, but Saylor's Bitcoin strategy remains intact. This is a volatility play that rewards conviction.

๐Ÿ’ฐ TIER 2: MOMENTUM SETUPS

4. DOLLAR TREE (DLTR) โญโญโญโญ

Current Price: Check at open (reported after-hours)
Catalyst: Raised FY25 EPS guidance to $5.60-5.80 from $5.32-5.72
Trade Rating: 7.5/10

The Setup:

  • Beat Q4 expectations

  • Raised annual profit forecast

  • Retail sector showing resilience

Strategy: Watch for opening range. Buy strength above VWAP with tight stops.

5. UBER (UBER) โญโญโญโญ

Current Price: $88.25 (+2% estimated)
Previous Close: $86.57
Trade Rating: 8/10

Catalyst:

  • Arete upgraded to BUY from Neutral, $125 PT (from $82)

  • Uber and Avride launched robotaxi rides in Dallas

  • CEO visiting Taiwan and Hong Kong for first time

Entry Strategy:

  • Buy Zone: $87-89

  • Target: $95-100 (+10-13%)

  • Stop: $84

Why It Works: Autonomous vehicle expansion + international growth. The robotaxi narrative is accelerating faster than expected.

6. AMERICAN EAGLE (AEO) โญโญโญโญ

Current Price: $20.83 (+3% pre-market)
Catalyst: Beat Q3 by $0.09, raised Q4 comp sales guidance
**JPMorgan upgraded to Neutral from Underweight
Trade Rating: 7/10

Strategy: Retail surprise play. Buy dips toward $20, target $22-23.

๐Ÿ”ฌ TIER 3: BIOTECH BREAKOUTS

7. CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS (CAPR) โญโญโญโญโญ

HALTED - Will Resume Trading
Catalyst: Pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 study of Deramiocel in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy met primary endpoint and key secondary cardiac endpoint, both achieving statistical significance

Trade Rating: 9.5/10 (HIGH VOLATILITY EXPECTED)

Why This Matters:

  • First-in-class therapy for Duchenne cardiomyopathy

  • Primary and ALL key secondary endpoints hit

  • Statistical significance achieved (p=0.03 and p=0.04)

  • Company plans FDA Complete Response Letter submission

Strategy:

  • WATCH for opening pop - likely 50-100%+ move

  • DO NOT CHASE initial spike

  • Look for consolidation/pullback to 20-30% gains for entry

  • This will have multi-day momentum

This is the type of biotech catalyst that can turn $5K into $25K+ in days.

8. PHARVARIS (PHVS) โญโญโญโญ

Current Price: $24.12 (+23.7% pre-market)
Catalyst: Phase 3 RAPIDe-3 primary endpoint met for HAE treatment
Trade Rating: 8/10

Strategy: Strong biotech momentum. Buy strength, target $28-30. Marketing authorization applications planned H1 2026.

๐Ÿฆ SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS

๐Ÿ”ฅ HOTTEST SECTORS RIGHT NOW

1. SEMICONDUCTORS ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

  • MRVL leading the charge (+10% pre-market)

  • NVDA up 0.86%, holding strong above $185

  • AI infrastructure spending accelerating

  • Play: MRVL, NVDA, AVGO, AMD

2. CRYPTO/BLOCKCHAIN ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

  • Bitcoin +7%, Ethereum +9%

  • UK passed law officially recognizing crypto as property - Major regulatory milestone

  • Vanguard + BofA = 50M+ new potential crypto investors

  • Play: MSTR, COIN, MARA, RIOT, IREN

3. AI INFRASTRUCTURE ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

  • Data center REITs gaining

  • Power/cooling solutions in demand

  • Play: IREN, DLR, EQIX

4. RETAIL (SELECT NAMES) ๐Ÿš€

  • Holiday season showing resilience

  • Play: DLTR, M (Macy's beat), AEO

โ„๏ธ COOLING SECTORS

Healthcare (Defensive Rotation)

  • REGN downgraded by Morgan Stanley to Equal Weight

  • Sector underperforming as risk-on sentiment returns

Utilities

  • Down as growth trades outperform

๐Ÿ“ˆ KEY ECONOMIC DATA TODAY

7:00 AM ET: MBA Mortgage Applications (-1.4%)
8:15 AM ET: ADP Employment Report ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ
8:30 AM ET: Import/Export Prices
9:15 AM ET: Industrial Production
9:45 AM ET: PMI Composite Final
10:00 AM ET: ISM Services Index ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ (Major market mover)
10:30 AM ET: EIA Petroleum Status Report

What to Watch: Traders are balancing renewed optimism about Federal Reserve rate cuts with lingering jitters from a global bond selloff. ADP jobs and ISM Services are critical for confirming the Fed's December 18 rate cut path (currently 87% priced in).

๐ŸŽฒ S&P 500 FUTURES KEY LEVELS

Current: 6,850
Overnight Range: 6,812 - 6,863

Bull Case Levels:

  • 6,862 - Immediate resistance

  • 6,868 - Next target

  • 6,877 - Strong breakout level

  • 6,889+ - Runway to new ATHs

Bear Case Levels:

  • 6,843 - First support

  • 6,834 - Critical reclaim level (was trigger yesterday)

  • 6,825-6,830 - Strong support zone

  • 6,812 - Must hold or risk deeper pullback

Trading Plan: Market is building a flag formation for next trend leg higher. 6,834 reclaim yesterday triggered the move to 6,850+. Watch for continuation above 6,862.

๐Ÿ’ก TRUMP MOMENTUM TRADES & POLITICAL EDGE

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ White House Impact

  • Trump scheduled to make statement December 3 at 14:30 ET from Oval Office - topic undisclosed

  • Trump administration considering order on robotics next year

  • Putin meeting with Trump envoy Stephen Witkoff in Moscow - Ukraine peace talks ongoing

Market Impact: Any positive geopolitical developments or pro-business announcements could spark additional rally fuel. Robotics order could ignite automation stocks.

Robotics Play: Watch TSLA, UBER (autonomous), F, GM for any Trump robotics policy announcements.

๐ŸŒ GLOBAL MARKET SNAPSHOT

Asia:

  • Nikkei 225: +1.14% to 49,864 - Tech led recovery

  • China concerns over Bank of Japan rate hike easing

Europe:

  • DAX: +0.3% - Extending Tuesday's rebound

  • FTSE 100: Mixed - Pound strength weighing

Commodities:

  • Copper: $5.37/lb - Highest since July 30 ๐Ÿ”ฅ

  • Natural Gas: Near $5.00 - First time in ~3 years ๐Ÿ”ฅ

  • Gold: -0.3% - Risk-on rotation

  • Silver: $58/oz - NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ”ฎ CRYPTO DEEP DIVE

Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Current: $93,001
24H Range: $86,785 - $93,938
Key Level: $93,000

Glassnode reports that if Bitcoin climbs past the $93,000 level, it could set off significant liquidations of short positions. We're AT that level now - a short squeeze could propel BTC to $95K-$98K rapidly.

December Outlook:

  • Historical December returns show an average of 8.42% but a median of just 1.69%

  • Fed decision December 18 is the major catalyst

  • Rate cut largely priced in, all eyes are now on 2026 monetary policy expectations

Altcoin Watch:

  • ETH: Breaking $3K is bullish continuation signal

  • SOL: Ecosystem growth accelerating, DeFi momentum

  • XRP: Regulatory clarity driving institutional interest

Total Crypto Market Cap: $3.24T (+7.4%)
Market Dominance: BTC 58.2%, ETH 11.6%

๐Ÿ“ฐ BREAKING NEWS HIGHLIGHTS (Last 12 Hours)

Stock News:

โœ… GOOGL: YouTube to comply with Australia's social media ban for under 16
โœ… AMZN: Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirms Overweight, $315 PT on AWS AI momentum
โœ… ORCL: Initiated Overweight at Wells Fargo, $280 PT
โœ… OKTA: Beat Q3, raised FY26 guidance - CEO says "AI won't eat software"
โœ… M (Macy's): Q3 revenue beat at $4.71B vs $4.55B est, guidance raised
โœ… RIVN: Recalling 34,824 vehicles over seatbelt issue
โœ… TSLA: German sales down 20.2% YoY in November

Crypto News:

โœ… UK officially recognizes crypto as property - Massive legal precedent
โœ… Vanguard ETF ban reversal = 50M+ potential new investors
โœ… BofA wealth advisers now recommending BTC ETFs
โœ… $58.5M net inflows into BTC spot ETFs Tuesday

๐ŸŽฏ DCG MASTER TRADE PLAN: DECEMBER 3, 2025

Market Structure: BULL FLAG CONSOLIDATION โ†’ BREAKOUT IMMINENT

Conviction Level: 8.5/10 BULLISH

Primary Plays (Allocate 60% of capital):

  1. MRVL - 25% allocation

    • Entry: $100-102

    • Target: $115-125

    • Stop: $94

    • Expected Move: +12-22%

  2. IREN - 20% allocation

    • Entry: $41.12 (offering price)

    • Target: $55-65

    • Stop: $37.50

    • Expected Move: +33-58%

  3. MSTR - 15% allocation

    • Entry: $178-183

    • Target: $200-230

    • Stop: $170

    • Expected Move: +10-27%

Swing Trades (Allocate 25% of capital):

  1. UBER - 10% allocation

    • Entry: $87-89

    • Target: $95-100

    • Stop: $84

  2. AEO - 8% allocation

    • Entry: $20-20.50

    • Target: $22-23

    • Stop: $19.50

  3. DLTR - 7% allocation

    • Entry: Watch opening range

    • Target: +5-8% move

    • Stop: Below VWAP

Biotech Lottery Tickets (Allocate 10% of risk capital):

  1. CAPR - 5% allocation

    • Entry: Wait for opening volatility to settle

    • Target: Multi-day momentum play

    • Stop: Time-based (3 days max)

  2. PHVS - 5% allocation

    • Entry: $24-25

    • Target: $28-30

    • Stop: $22

Crypto Allocation (5% speculative):

  • BTC: If breaks $93K cleanly, add exposure

  • ETH: Strong above $3,050

  • High-conviction alts: SOL, XRP on dips

โš ๏ธ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES

  1. Maximum position size: 25% in any single stock

  2. Total risk exposure: No more than 3% of portfolio per trade

  3. Stop losses are MANDATORY - No exceptions

  4. Scale in: Don't deploy full position immediately

  5. Take profits: 50% off at T1, let rest run with trailing stops

๐Ÿ”ฅ MASTERMIND COMMUNITY INSIGHTS

Top traders in our community are watching:

  • Greg McGauley called RUBI at $2.90 - "lotto play post-RS, tight stops under $2.70"

  • Palmer highlighted PLRZ - "low float can get $20"

  • Copper breakout to July highs catching momentum trader attention

  • Natural gas near $5 = watch UNG, energy stocks

Community Consensus: Risk-on environment accelerating. Semiconductors + crypto leading. Stay nimble, respect stops, let winners run.

๐Ÿ“Š SEASONALITY & MARKET PATTERNS

The S&P 500 capped its sixth advance in seven trading days on Tuesday. December historically strong for equities:

  • Since 1945, whenever the S&P 500 was up more than 5% YTD by November's end in the first year of a presidential cycle, December has never missed and kept the rally going with an average 2.1% gain

Current Setup:

  • S&P 500 YTD: +16%+ (well above 5% threshold)

  • First year of Trump second term

  • Fed cutting cycle

  • AI infrastructure boom accelerating

Historical Edge: This setup has 100% historical success rate for positive December returns.

๐Ÿ’ผ SECTOR SENTIMENT SCORECARD

BULLISH ๐ŸŸข:

  • Technology (AI, Semiconductors)

  • Crypto/Blockchain

  • Retail (selective)

  • Industrials (data center infra)

  • Commodities (Copper, Natural Gas)

NEUTRAL ๐ŸŸก:

  • Financials

  • Consumer Discretionary

  • Energy (mixed signals)

BEARISH ๐Ÿ”ด:

  • Healthcare (defensive rotation)

  • Utilities

  • REITs (rate-sensitive)

  • Consumer Staples

๐ŸŽ“ TRADING PSYCHOLOGY TIP OF THE DAY

"The best trades often feel uncomfortable at the entry."

When MRVL opens up 10% pre-market, your brain says "too expensive, I missed it." But smart money knows the story is just beginning. The Celestial AI acquisition, analyst upgrades, and AI infrastructure theme could drive this to $135+.

Action: Size appropriately, use stops, and don't let FOMO or fear dictate your positions. Trust your system.

๐Ÿ“ฑ FOLLOW THE MONEY: INSTITUTIONAL FLOW

Tuesday's Notable Moves:

  • Barclays remains upbeat on global and European stocks, expecting markets to keep rising despite policy uncertainty, setting a Stoxx 600 target of 620

  • JPMorgan sees S&P 500 reaching 7,500 by end of 2026 (+10% from here)

  • Citizens reiterated Market Outperform on IREN, $80 price target

What It Means: Major institutions are positioning for continued rally. Don't fight the tape.

๐Ÿšจ WHAT COULD GO WRONG?

Risks to Watch:

  1. ADP Jobs Data Surprise - If too hot, could spook rate cut bets

  2. ISM Services Miss - Would signal economic weakening

  3. Japan BOJ Hawkishness - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled that a rate hike would be considered at the December 18-19 policy meeting

  4. Bitcoin Rejection at $93K - Could trigger another leg down

  5. Profit-taking into Fed Decision - Market may consolidate before December 18

Plan: Have cash ready to buy dips. This bull market is not over, but volatility remains elevated.

๐ŸŽฏ SUMMARY: YOUR TRADING EDGE FOR DECEMBER 3, 2025

What's Working:

โœ… AI infrastructure stocks (MRVL, NVDA, IREN)
โœ… Crypto/Bitcoin exposure (MSTR, COIN, BTC/ETH)
โœ… Biotech catalysts (CAPR, PHVS)
โœ… Select retail earnings winners (DLTR, AEO, M)

What to Avoid:

โŒ Chasing extended moves without confirmation
โŒ Healthcare defensive names in risk-on environment
โŒ Utilities and rate-sensitive sectors
โŒ Low-volume pumps without catalysts

The Big Picture:

The December rally is gaining steam. With a rate cut on December 10th largely priced in (actually December 18), all eyes are now on 2026 monetary policy expectations. The Vanguard/BofA crypto catalyst is MASSIVE - this could be the institutional FOMO wave that drives BTC to $100K+ by year-end.

Semiconductors remain the backbone of the AI infrastructure build-out. MRVL's Celestial AI acquisition is a game-changer that positions them as the optical networking leader for AI data centers.

Risk management is paramount - use stops, size positions appropriately, and don't let one trade blow up your account.

๐ŸŽ“ WANT TO LEVEL UP YOUR TRADING?

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This newsletter is just the beginning. Imagine getting CAPR halted before it moves 100%+.

๐Ÿ“ž FINAL WORDS

December 3, 2025 is shaping up to be a HIGH-PROBABILITY trading day. The confluence of:

  1. Bitcoin institutional adoption catalyst

  2. MRVL earnings + acquisition blowout

  3. Continued Fed rate cut expectations

  4. Seasonal bullishness (100% hit rate in this setup)

  5. Sector rotation into growth/tech

Creates a rare trading environment where multiple sectors offer asymmetric risk/reward.

The market is telling you what it wants - AI infrastructure, crypto, and select growth. Listen to the tape, manage your risk, and let your winners run.

Trade smart. Trade safe. Make it a great trading day.

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. DCG Command Center and its authors are not financial advisors. All trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. The stocks and cryptocurrencies mentioned in this newsletter are not recommendations to buy or sell. Trade execution, position sizing, and risk management are the sole responsibility of the trader.

Market Data Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters, Yahoo Finance, TradingView, CoinMarketCap, SoSoValue, Investing.com, White House Official Statements, multiple financial news services (as of December 3, 2025, 6:00 AM ET)

Price Verification: All prices verified across multiple sources including Yahoo Finance, Investing.com, and official exchange data as of December 3, 2025 pre-market session.

ยฉ 2025 DCG Command Center. All rights reserved. Built by traders, for traders.

#Trading #Bitcoin #Stocks #Crypto #AI #Semiconductors #FedRateCut #MRVL #IREN #MSTR #TradingNewsletter

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