🚀 "Bitcoin Rockets to New ATH, Trump Tariffs Rattle Brazil — Your Exclusive July 9th Market Recap & July 10th Trading Playbook!" 📈 Stocks, Options, Crypto Ai Trading Report

Overall Market Sentiment: BULLISH

• SPX: Bounced perfectly off 6225 positive gamma support, targeting 6300+ into week-end

• Small Caps (IWM): Approaching VPOC at 225.50 with call wall at 230 (one-year value high)

• VIX: Continued weakness throughout session despite tariff headlines

• Sector Rotation: Small caps leading (+3X major indices MTD), crypto infrastructure exploding

• Sector Rotation:

  • Winners: Technology (Semiconductors, Quantum), Biotech, Crypto (BTC, ETH), Consumer Discretionary

  • Laggards: Airlines, Energy, Financials (Banks), Metals

  • Reversals: Crypto-related equities (COIN bearish), Brazilian stocks (due to 50% Trump tariffs)

Key Catalysts Today:

• Bitcoin: Surged to $111K, just $400 from new ATH after breaking regression channel

• Trump Tariffs: New 20-40% tariffs announced on 20+ countries, more coming Wednesday

• Powell Rumors: Unconfirmed speculation of Fed Chair resignation driving rate cut bets

• OpenAI Browser: GOOGL initially dipped on web browser launch rumors but recovered

• Trump 50% Tariff on Brazil: Bearish catalyst for Brazilian equities.

• Trump 300 bps Rate Cut Proposal: Potential volatility event for financial markets.

• Delta Air Lines Earnings (July 10 pre-market): Positive surprise expected; could lift airline sector.

📰 Trump Impact & Political Edge:

• Positive for Crypto: Trump administration's crypto advocacy and rate cut proposal seen as bullish for crypto sector.

• Negative for Brazil-related stocks: New 50% tariffs imposed by Trump admin.

Tomorrow's Catalysts:

• More Trump tariff announcements expected Wednesday

• OPEX flow continues (IWM call wall at 230)

• Crypto momentum continuation vs. profit-taking

🤖 AI-Driven Asset Tracking

Bitcoin/Crypto Infrastructure Explosion:

• IBIT: $67-75 call spreads (25K), IV30 surged 3+ points in final hour

• ETHA: Outperforming Bitcoin +4.2%, approaching volume pocket target of $24

• COIN: July momentum bulls active (Put/Call: 94K/171K), $400 strikes next week

• MSTR: "Jamming higher" alongside Bitcoin surge

AI/Tech Flow:

• NVDA: $10 from doubling off Liberation Day low, CEO planning Beijing trip for new China chip launch

• MSFT: $525 calls (30K) and $550 calls (15K) bought as $505 calls closed

• GOOGL: Recovered from OpenAI browser news flush, search revenue tracking ahead per alt data

• META: November $790 calls vs $700 puts in bull risk reversals

Unusual AI Infrastructure:

• MKSI: July $105 calls after strong Q1, AI driving PCB demand

• ARM, CRM, SCHW: Seeing 2027 call closures (profit-taking on March/April winners)

📡 Crypto AI Crossover

Bitcoin: $111,000 (+~6%)

• Less than $400 from new ATH ($111,500 previous high)

• Breaking multi-year regression channel in 2+ year uptrend

• Corporate buying: $17B in Q2 ($70B annual pace)

Ethereum: $2,700 (+~8%)

• Tom Lee thesis: Banks buying ETH for stablecoin infrastructure

• ETHA volume pocket breakout targeting $24 (3100 ETH equivalent)

• Outperforming Bitcoin in final hour surge

AI Narrative Tokens:

• Solana ecosystem gaining as SPECT AI platform builds

• BANANA Gun: $116M weekly volume, more than established platforms

• Layer-1 infrastructure seeing renewed institutional interest

Swing Trades (July 10-12):

📌 Sympathy Stocks from Positive Earnings:

• DAL (Bullish): Likely to lift airlines like UAL, SKYW.

• Levi Strauss (LEVI): Bullish beat expected, supportive for apparel retail sector.

🚀 Money Rotation:

• Outflow from: Brazilian equities, Energy, Airlines

• Inflow into: Bitcoin/Crypto ETFs, Consumer Discretionary, Quantum Technology

🔑 SPX Futures ($ES) Key Levels:

• Support: 6225, 6150, 6080

• Resistance: 6300, 6350, 6425.

🎯 Hot Trades Today (July 9):

• Bitcoin ATH Momentum: IBIT, MSTR

• Bearish Airlines & Crypto Exchanges: DAL (caution), COIN (bearish)

🛠️ Bottom Line Up Front

Crypto winter is officially over. Bitcoin's march toward new ATHs combined with small-cap outperformance signals a major regime shift. The Trump tariff strategy is working to drive domestic asset rotation while crypto infrastructure sees institutional FOMO.

Risk: Profit-taking ahead of new ATH could create 5-8% pullback opportunity in crypto names.

🔔 Final Guidance for July 10th, 2025:

• Focus bullish trades on Quantum Tech, Consumer Discretionary, Crypto ETFs.

• Bearish opportunities clearly present in Brazilian equities and crypto exchanges.

• Caution advised around financials ahead of jobless claims and Fed commentary.

Execute confidently, manage risks tightly, and capitalize on clear market trends! 🚀

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