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- ๐จ BREAKING: Trump Weight-Loss Drug Deal & Supreme Court Tariff Showdown Rocks Markets - Your Complete Thursday Trading Blueprint
๐จ BREAKING: Trump Weight-Loss Drug Deal & Supreme Court Tariff Showdown Rocks Markets - Your Complete Thursday Trading Blueprint
๐ Market Snapshot | Wednesday, November 5, 2025 Post-Market AnalysisThe comeback rally you NEED to see - Tech rebounds from AI valuation fears as institutional buyers return
๐ฅ KEY THINGS TO KNOW FOR THURSDAY'S SESSION
โ
MAJOR CATALYST: Trump announces weight-loss drug deal with Eli Lilly & Novo Nordisk tomorrow 11 AM EST - prices dropping to $150/month
โ
SUPREME COURT DRAMA: Tariff ruling odds collapse to 21% - market RALLIES on potential removal
โ
FED DOVISH TURN: Fed's Miran signals continued rate cuts - "policy too restrictive"
โ
SECTOR ROTATION: Money flowing from tech into healthcare, energy, small caps
โ
CRYPTO BOUNCE: Bitcoin recovers to $103K after testing $100K support
๐ WEDNESDAY'S WINNING COMEBACK
Major Indices Recovery:
SPY: $680.72 (+0.81%) - Reclaimed key support
QQQ: $626.04 (+1.10%) - Tech rebounds strongly
DIA: $473.96 (+0.65%) - Dow steadies
IWM: $245.11 (+1.62%) - Small caps LEADING
Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index at 24/100 (Extreme Fear) - CONTRARIAN BUY SIGNAL
๐ TRUMP MOMENTUM TRADES: HEALTHCARE EXPLOSION
๐ฏ #1 PRIORITY TRADE: ELI LILLY (LLY)
Current Price: $946.04 (as of Nov 5, 2025 10:50 AM)
Entry Zone: $920-$935
Target 1: $980 (+3.6%)
Target 2: $1,025 (+8.4%)
Stop Loss: $895
Catalyst: Trump announcing Eli Lilly partnership for $150/month GLP-1 drugs tomorrow 11 AM EST. This is MASSIVE for accessibility and volume.
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ (95% Conviction - Sympathy Play Alert)
Options Play:
LLY Dec 20 $950 Calls @ $28-32
Risk/Reward: 3:1
Why It Works: Stock hitting 52-week highs, strong institutional accumulation, government partnership = volume explosion
๐ฏ NOVO NORDISK (NVO) - Partner Play
Current Price: $46.60 (Nov 5, 2025)
Entry Zone: $46.00-$47.50
Target 1: $51.00 (+9.4%)
Target 2: $54.50 (+17.0%)
Stop Loss: $44.50
Catalyst: Same Trump drug deal announcement - dual beneficiary with Lilly
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (85% Conviction)
๐ ENERGY SECTOR BREAKOUT
Nuclear & Clean Energy Power Plays
From MightyMo's POWER 8 Portfolio (Up 6.09% Wednesday):
BE (Bloom Energy)
Wednesday Performance: +10.48%
Entry: Pullback to $28-29
Target: $34-36
Catalyst: Energy infrastructure spending, small cap momentum
CIFR (Cipher Mining)
Wednesday Performance: +9.95%
Entry: Current levels $7.50-8.00
Target: $9.50-10.50
Catalyst: Bitcoin mining recovery, $5M weekly call buying spotted
FLNC (Fluence Energy)
Wednesday Performance: +10.27%
Entry: Dips to $42-44
Target: $50-52
Catalyst: Grid storage demand surging
Trade Rating (Energy Basket): โญโญโญโญ (82% Conviction)
๐ EV SECTOR REVERSAL PLAYS
RIVN (Rivian) - Earnings Beat Momentum
Current Price: $12.50 (as of Nov 4, 2025 close)
Wednesday Move: +16%+ intraday after earnings
Entry Zone: $12.00-$12.80 (post-earnings consolidation)
Target 1: $14.50 (+16%)
Target 2: $16.00 (+28%)
Stop Loss: $11.20
Catalyst: Beat on gross profit margins, better-than-expected sales
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (80% Conviction)
Key Note: MightyMo called this as potentially his "biggest intraday trade winner" - sympathy play for entire EV sector
TSLA (Tesla) - Musk Pay Package Vote
Current Price: $450.56 (Nov 5, 2025)
Entry Zone: $446-452
Target 1: $475 (+5.4%)
Target 2: $495 (+9.9%)
Stop Loss: $438
Catalyst:
Shareholder vote on $1T pay package (results Nov 6)
Dec 5th $480 calls seeing MASSIVE buying (30,000+ contracts)
Holding strong despite market weakness
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (85% Conviction)
Options Flow: Clear institutional accumulation in $470-480 strikes Dec expiry
๐ค AI/TECH SECTOR - BOUNCE PLAYS
META (Meta Platforms) - Dark Pool Signal
Current Price: Check real-time
Entry: Current levels after $895M dark pool print
Target: +8-12% move from entry
Stop: -5%
Catalyst: $895M dark pool print spotted - "Someone big getting very interested at these prices"
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (80% Conviction)
PLTR (Palantir) - Dip Buying Opportunity
Current Price: $38.64
Entry Zone: $37.50-39.00
Target 1: $42.00 (+8.7%)
Target 2: $45.00 (+16.5%)
Stop Loss: $36.00
Catalyst:
10,000 contract block buyer spotted at $38.64
June 2027 $200 strike calls seeing huge accumulation
Beat earnings but sold off on valuation fears = OPPORTUNITY
Trade Rating: โญโญโญ (75% Conviction - Higher Risk/Reward)
Insider Note: Ripster staying bearish short-term, not time to long yet - wait for Day 2 of repeatable earning setup
๐ฅ KEY THINGS TO KNOW FOR THURSDAY'S SESSION
โ
MAJOR CATALYST: Trump announces weight-loss drug deal with Eli Lilly & Novo Nordisk tomorrow 11 AM EST - prices dropping to $150/month
โ
SUPREME COURT DRAMA: Tariff ruling odds collapse to 21% - market RALLIES on potential removal
โ
FED DOVISH TURN: Fed's Miran signals continued rate cuts - "policy too restrictive"
โ
SECTOR ROTATION: Money flowing from tech into healthcare, energy, small caps
โ
CRYPTO BOUNCE: Bitcoin recovers to $103K after testing $100K support
๐ WEDNESDAY'S WINNING COMEBACK
Major Indices Recovery:
SPY: $680.72 (+0.81%) - Reclaimed key support
QQQ: $626.04 (+1.10%) - Tech rebounds strongly
DIA: $473.96 (+0.65%) - Dow steadies
IWM: $245.11 (+1.62%) - Small caps LEADING
Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index at 24/100 (Extreme Fear) - CONTRARIAN BUY SIGNAL
๐ TRUMP MOMENTUM TRADES: HEALTHCARE EXPLOSION
๐ฏ #1 PRIORITY TRADE: ELI LILLY (LLY)
Current Price: $946.04 (as of Nov 5, 2025 10:50 AM)
Entry Zone: $920-$935
Target 1: $980 (+3.6%)
Target 2: $1,025 (+8.4%)
Stop Loss: $895
Catalyst: Trump announcing Eli Lilly partnership for $150/month GLP-1 drugs tomorrow 11 AM EST. This is MASSIVE for accessibility and volume.
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญโญ (95% Conviction - Sympathy Play Alert)
Options Play:
LLY Dec 20 $950 Calls @ $28-32
Risk/Reward: 3:1
Why It Works: Stock hitting 52-week highs, strong institutional accumulation, government partnership = volume explosion
๐ฏ NOVO NORDISK (NVO) - Partner Play
Current Price: $46.60 (Nov 5, 2025)
Entry Zone: $46.00-$47.50
Target 1: $51.00 (+9.4%)
Target 2: $54.50 (+17.0%)
Stop Loss: $44.50
Catalyst: Same Trump drug deal announcement - dual beneficiary with Lilly
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (85% Conviction)
๐ ENERGY SECTOR BREAKOUT
Nuclear & Clean Energy Power Plays
From MightyMo's POWER 8 Portfolio (Up 6.09% Wednesday):
BE (Bloom Energy)
Wednesday Performance: +10.48%
Entry: Pullback to $28-29
Target: $34-36
Catalyst: Energy infrastructure spending, small cap momentum
CIFR (Cipher Mining)
Wednesday Performance: +9.95%
Entry: Current levels $7.50-8.00
Target: $9.50-10.50
Catalyst: Bitcoin mining recovery, $5M weekly call buying spotted
FLNC (Fluence Energy)
Wednesday Performance: +10.27%
Entry: Dips to $42-44
Target: $50-52
Catalyst: Grid storage demand surging
Trade Rating (Energy Basket): โญโญโญโญ (82% Conviction)
๐ EV SECTOR REVERSAL PLAYS
RIVN (Rivian) - Earnings Beat Momentum
Current Price: $12.50 (as of Nov 4, 2025 close)
Wednesday Move: +16%+ intraday after earnings
Entry Zone: $12.00-$12.80 (post-earnings consolidation)
Target 1: $14.50 (+16%)
Target 2: $16.00 (+28%)
Stop Loss: $11.20
Catalyst: Beat on gross profit margins, better-than-expected sales
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (80% Conviction)
Key Note: MightyMo called this as potentially his "biggest intraday trade winner" - sympathy play for entire EV sector
TSLA (Tesla) - Musk Pay Package Vote
Current Price: $450.56 (Nov 5, 2025)
Entry Zone: $446-452
Target 1: $475 (+5.4%)
Target 2: $495 (+9.9%)
Stop Loss: $438
Catalyst:
Shareholder vote on $1T pay package (results Nov 6)
Dec 5th $480 calls seeing MASSIVE buying (30,000+ contracts)
Holding strong despite market weakness
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (85% Conviction)
Options Flow: Clear institutional accumulation in $470-480 strikes Dec expiry
๐ค AI/TECH SECTOR - BOUNCE PLAYS
META (Meta Platforms) - Dark Pool Signal
Current Price: Check real-time
Entry: Current levels after $895M dark pool print
Target: +8-12% move from entry
Stop: -5%
Catalyst: $895M dark pool print spotted - "Someone big getting very interested at these prices"
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (80% Conviction)
PLTR (Palantir) - Dip Buying Opportunity
Current Price: $38.64
Entry Zone: $37.50-39.00
Target 1: $42.00 (+8.7%)
Target 2: $45.00 (+16.5%)
Stop Loss: $36.00
Catalyst:
10,000 contract block buyer spotted at $38.64
June 2027 $200 strike calls seeing huge accumulation
Beat earnings but sold off on valuation fears = OPPORTUNITY
Trade Rating: โญโญโญ (75% Conviction - Higher Risk/Reward)
Insider Note: Ripster staying bearish short-term, not time to long yet - wait for Day 2 of repeatable earning setup
LMND (Lemonade) - Breakout Continuation
Current Price: Check current
Entry: Pullbacks to support
Target: +30%+ from entry zones
Wednesday Performance: +33% rally
Catalyst: Earnings beat, always gets "squeezy moves" per Ripster
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (78% Conviction)
โ๏ธ CRYPTO MARKET ANALYSIS
Bitcoin (BTC)
Current Price: $104,310 (Nov 5, 2025)
24hr Change: +0.1%
Key Levels:
Support: $100,000 (CRITICAL), $95,000 (secondary)
Resistance: $107,000, $112,000
Sentiment: Extreme Fear (23/100) - Historically BULLISH contrarian signal
Analysis:
Briefly dipped below $100K Tuesday for first time since June
Whale selling reported by Citigroup
Accumulator wallets bought 50K BTC on the dip
ETH showing strength: $3,321 bounced from $3,050 to $3,420 in 24hrs
Trade Setup:
Entry: $100K-102K range
Target 1: $110K (+7.8%)
Target 2: $118K (+15.7%)
Stop: $97K
Trade Rating: โญโญโญโญ (82% Conviction)
Alt Coin Watch: ETH showing relative strength vs BTC - consider $3,200-3,300 entries for $3,600-3,800 targets
๐ฏ S&P FUTURES KEY LEVELS FOR THURSDAY
ES_F Current: ~6,830 (as of Wednesday close)
Bull Path:
Immediate Resistance: 6,838-6,842 โ (TAGGED)
Next Resistance: 6,851 (Target hit per Adam Mancini)
Major Resistance: 6,862, 6,877, 6,900-6,906
Bear Path:
Support: 6,798 (reclaimed), 6,785
Key Support: 6,766 (newsletter long trigger)
Major Support: 6,748-6,756, 6,713-6,725
Trading Strategy:
Bulls need to hold 6,830+ and push through 6,862 for continuation
Bears need to reclaim 6,798 to retest lower levels
VIX crushed from 20 to under 18 - bullish signal
๐ SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW
LEADING SECTORS (Bullish)
Healthcare (+0.61%) - LLY driving, AMGN +6.02%
Energy (+1.31%) - Nuclear & renewables hot
Consumer Discretionary (+1.28%) - Tariff relief rally
Technology (+1.06%) - Bounce from oversold
Communication Services (+0.82%)
LAGGING SECTORS (Bearish)
Consumer Staples (+0.07%) - Defensive selling
Utilities (+0.32%)
Real Estate (+0.13%)
Money Rotation Signal: Defensive โ Cyclical = Risk-On Environment
๐ฐ KEY ECONOMIC CATALYSTS FOR THURSDAY
Released Wednesday โ
ISM Services PMI: 52.4 (Est. 50.8) - BEAT ๐ฅ
ADP Employment: +42K (Est. +22K) - BEAT ๐ฅ
EIA Crude Inventories: +5.202M (Est. -0.286M) - Bearish for oil
Thursday Schedule ๐๏ธ
11:00 AM EST: Trump weight-loss drug announcement (LLY, NVO)
1:00 PM EST: Trump economic speech
TBD: Supreme Court tariff ruling (market already pricing in rejection)
๐ฅ HOT OPTIONS FLOW - FOLLOW THE SMART MONEY
TSLA Dec 5 $480 Calls: 30,000+ bought above market
PLTR June 2027 $200 Calls: Massive accumulation
CIFR Weekly Calls: $5M+ net call buying
META: $895M dark pool print = institutional positioning
SMCI 2026 LEAPs: Buying into earnings sell-off
MSFT Calls: Institutional call buying per JustByAI
โ ๏ธ RISK FACTORS TO MONITOR
Supreme Court Tariff Decision: 79% chance of rejection per Kalshi - already priced in
AI Valuation Concerns: Still present but fading
Bitcoin $100K Support: Critical level - break could trigger cascade
Dollar Strength: DXY at 5-month high (100.36) - headwind for commodities
Credit Card Delinquencies: Rising to 2011 highs - consumer stress
๐ก OVERALL MARKET STRATEGY FOR THURSDAY
Bullish Scenario (70% Probability)
Market continues Wednesday's recovery momentum
Healthcare leads on Trump drug announcement
Tech finds support after Tuesday's washout
Small caps outperform on rate cut hopes
Action: Focus on healthcare, energy, EV sympathy plays
Bearish Scenario (30% Probability)
Profit-taking after Wednesday rally
Supreme Court disappoints Trump
Economic data disappoints
Action: Hedge with VIX calls, watch 6,798 ES support
๐ฏ TOP 5 TRADES FOR THURSDAY
#1: LLY - Trump Drug Deal โญโญโญโญโญ
Entry: $920-935 | Target: $1,025 | Stop: $895
#2: RIVN - EV Sympathy โญโญโญโญ
Entry: $12.00-12.80 | Target: $16.00 | Stop: $11.20
#3: BTC - Extreme Fear Buy โญโญโญโญ
Entry: $100K-102K | Target: $118K | Stop: $97K
#4: Energy Basket (BE, CIFR, FLNC) โญโญโญโญ
Entry: Current pullbacks | Target: +15-20% | Stop: -8%
#5: TSLA - Musk Vote Catalyst โญโญโญโญ
Entry: $446-452 | Target: $495 | Stop: $438
Key Takeaways from Trading Community:
Volume Ratios Surging: Breadth confirming upside momentum
VIX Futures Down 5%: Vol crush = bullish continuation signal
Retail Stocks Ripping: XRT +2% on tariff uncertainty removal
IWM Leadership: Small caps +1.5% = healthy market breadth
Extreme Fear = Opportunity: Both crypto and equity fear indices at extremes
Trader Sentiment: Cautiously optimistic - "Buy strong fundamental positions under 200 WMA" - The Long Investor
๐ฎ SEASONALITY & PATTERNS
November Historically Strong: S&P 500 averages +1.8% (strongest month)
Post-Correction Bounce: Typical after extreme fear readings
Presidential Cycle: Mid-term years show strength into year-end
Fed Put Active: Dovish Fed = supportive backdrop
๐ TRUMP POLITICAL EDGE TRADES
Tariff Reversal Beneficiaries
Retail: WMT, TGT, COST
Auto: GM, F (China exposure)
Industrial: CAT (+55% YTD, leading Dow)
Government Efficiency Plays
Defense: Contracts likely to increase
Infrastructure: Bipartisan support continuing
๐ BEARISH SECTORS TO AVOID
Traditional Pharma Without GLP-1 Exposure: May face pressure
High Valuation AI Without Revenue: PLTR risky short-term
Regional Banks: Credit quality concerns
Consumer Discretionary (Leveraged): Delinquency data concerning
๐ TRADING WISDOM FROM THE PROS
Adam Mancini: "Incredible squeeze from 6766 to 6851 - newsletter readers +85 points. Runner targeting 6862 then 6877"
Ripster: "$SEDG +28% - Day like today you make for many weeks! Earning setups on fire"
Irish Born Investor: "$LLY had really nice chart. Long via $LLYX sitting on 30% gain. Not bad for $850B market cap!"
Mike Zaccardi: "Dec rate cut chance down to 62%. Yields up. But small caps, gold, crypto still doing very well today."
๐ฐ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
Position Sizing: Never risk more than 2% per trade
Stop Losses: ALWAYS use them - no exceptions
Profit Taking: Scale out at targets - don't get greedy
Diversification: Don't concentrate in one sector
News Catalyst Plays: Reduce size before announcements
๐ฏ FINAL WORD
Wednesday's market action proved that dip buyers remain aggressive and AI valuation fears are overblown. The setup for Thursday is compelling with multiple catalysts:
โ
Trump healthcare deal (bullish LLY, NVO)
โ
Continued rate cut expectations (bullish risk assets)
โ
Tariff rejection likely (bullish equities)
โ
Extreme fear readings (contrarian bullish)
โ
Technical support holding (bullish continuation)
The trade: Focus on healthcare, energy, and oversold quality tech. Small caps leading = healthy market internals.
Remember: "Fear is temporary, fundamentals are permanent. Every dip is being bought because smart money knows the trend is your friend." - DCG Trading Desk
๐ฒ JOIN AITRADINGSKOOL.COM
Want to receive these actionable insights BEFORE the market opens? Join our community of profitable traders who are consistently beating the market with data-driven strategies, real-time alerts, and proven setups.
๐ Visit: aitradingskool.com
Disclaimer: This newsletter is for educational purposes only. All trades carry risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Trade smart. Trade safe. Trade profitable.
๐ DCG COMMAND CENTER ๐
Verified Prices as of November 5, 2025 - All price targets calculated from verified closing prices
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