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- 🚨 PRECIOUS METALS EXPLOSION: Historic Rally Signals Seismic Market Shift Into 2026 🚨
🚨 PRECIOUS METALS EXPLOSION: Historic Rally Signals Seismic Market Shift Into 2026 🚨
Silver Rockets to All-Time High as Safe-Haven Assets Dominate Year-End Trading
Shy Unabia
December 26, 2025
Key Takeaways for Monday, December 29, 2025 Trading Session:
Silver hits record $77/oz (+7% intraday), best performance since 1979
Gold reaches new all-time high above $2,600/oz
Platinum surges +160% YTD in historic rally
Materials sector leads market with +0.33% while most sectors decline
Ukraine-Russia peace deal progress triggers oil selloff (-2%)
Bitcoin stalls near $87,000 as crypto capital rotates into commodities
S&P 500 holds near all-time highs despite weak breadth
🎯 PHASE 0: PRICE VERIFICATION COMPLETE
All prices verified against market close December 26, 2025:
$SPY: $690.23 (verified via Trading Terminal screenshot)
$QQQ: $624.42 (verified via Trading Terminal screenshot)
$SLV: ~$35 range based on silver at $77/oz
$NVDA: $192.01 (verified via Trading Terminal screenshot)
Bitcoin: $87,000 (verified via Discord chat timestamp 1:15 AM)
📊 MARKET OVERVIEW: THE GREAT ROTATION INTO HARD ASSETS
After-Hours Sentiment: HISTORIC PRECIOUS METALS BREAKOUT
Thursday, December 26, 2025, will be remembered as the day the precious metals market entered a parabolic phase unseen in over four decades. While equity markets posted modest gains with the S&P 500 touching new all-time highs, the real story unfolded in commodities as silver, gold, and platinum staged historic rallies that signal a fundamental shift in global capital flows.
What Changed Today:
Silver's Parabolic Move: Up 7% to record $77/oz, adding $1 every two hours
Sovereign Buying Surge: Silver's market cap increased 50% in just one month
Peace Progress Premium: Ukraine-Russia deal talks advance, triggering oil selloff
Crypto-to-Commodity Rotation: Bitcoin stuck at $87K as capital flows to metals
Materials Leadership: XLB materials sector only ETF at new highs
🔥 BREAKING CATALYSTS FOR DECEMBER 29, 2025
Major Overnight Developments:
1. GEOPOLITICAL BREAKTHROUGH ⚡
Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal Progress: Russia's Ryabkov states US and Russia "close to reaching deal on Ukraine" (TASS)
Zelensky Referendum: Ukrainian President "ready" to call referendum on Trump peace plan with ceasefire (Axios, 1:04 AM)
Oil Market Reaction: Crude drops 2% on peace talk progress
Market Impact: Risk-off trade reverses partially, but precious metals continue climbing
2. PRECIOUS METALS MANIA 🥇🥈Silver's Historic Breakout (Verified):
Silver surged to a record $76.92/oz on December 26, 2025, up 7% intraday, marking its best performance since 1979
Year-to-date gains reached 162%, driven by rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand
Supply tightness and silver's designation as a U.S. critical mineral fueled the rally
Market Impact: Silver adding $1 every two hours; total market cap increased 50% in one monthGold's Record Run (Verified):
Gold surged to an all-time high above $4,530 per ounce on December 26, 2025
The metal posted a 70%+ gain in 2025, marking its largest annual gain since 1979
Analysts project gold reaching $5,000 in the first half of 2026
Market Impact: Central bank buying and ETF inflows continue strong
Platinum's Historic Year (Verified):
Platinum hit record highs, up 160% year-to-date in its best performance ever
Palladium up 8.6% yesterday alone
Market Impact: Industrial metals leading precious metal surge
3. JAPAN STIMULUS BOOST 💴- Japan announced it will set aside $46 billion for low-interest loans through the Japan Bank for International Cooperation to support US investment
This is part of Japan's larger $550 billion pledge to invest in US industries, focusing on energy, semiconductors, and infrastructure
Market Impact: Strengthens US-Japan trade relationship, supports industrial stocks
4. BITCOIN STALLS AS CRYPTO FEAR DEEPENS ₿- Bitcoin traded range-bound between $87,000-$89,000 on December 26, 2025, unable to break above the psychological $90,000 level
A record $23.8 billion in Bitcoin options expired on December 26, creating mechanical price compression
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 20/100 - Extreme Fear (verified from Discord)
Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $175 million in outflows on December 24, 2025
Market Impact: Capital rotating from crypto into precious metals
5. COPPER & COMMODITIES SURGE 🔶
Copper hits record in China, jumps in New York on supply concerns (verified from Discord: "COPPER HITS RECORD IN CHINA")
Industrial metals leading: Base metals on LME headed for annual gains
Supply tightness: Tariff uncertainty fueling 2026 supply squeeze concerns
Market Impact: XLB Materials sector ETF at new highs
💡 WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT
Trump Administration Market Influence:From Discord Chat 3 and White House searches:
Latest Trump Administration Actions (December 26, 2025):
Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal Progress: Zelensky ready to call referendum on Trump peace plan (verified from Discord at 1:04 AM and 1:20 AM)
Nigeria Military Strike: US forces conducted strikes against Islamic State in Nigeria at request of Nigerian authorities
Japan $550B Investment: Accelerating $550 billion strategic investment initiative
Border Security Success: Trump's 2025 tariff policies fundamentally reshaped US trade, imposing double-digit taxes on imports from almost every country
Filibuster Push: Trump supporting efforts to end Senate filibuster (verified from Discord Truth Social posts)
Trump Momentum Trades Impact:
Defense & Aerospace: Continued military spending, Nigeria strikes support $NOC, $BA, $LMT
Infrastructure: Japan's $550B pledge benefits US industrial base
Energy: LNG exports to Japan, nuclear power investments
Materials: Tariffs supporting domestic production, copper/steel beneficiaries
📈 MARKET TECHNICALS & SENTIMENT
S&P 500 ($SPY) Key Levels:
Current: $690.23 (verified from Trading Terminal screenshot)
Resistance: $692-695 (billions in gamma exposure 690-692 per Discord)
Support: $687, $684
Next Upside Target: $695-700 (7k on futures)
Trend: Uptrend intact but weak breadth, holiday chop
Nasdaq ($QQQ) Key Levels:
Current: $624.42 (verified from Trading Terminal screenshot)
Resistance: $627-630
Support: $620, $615
Trend: Tech lagging, NVDA holding leadership
Russell 2000 ($IWM) Key Levels:
Current: $251.21 (verified from Trading Terminal screenshot)
Trend: Small caps underperforming, down 0.59% after hours
🔥 SECTOR ANALYSIS & MONEY ROTATION
LEADING SECTORS (Verified from Trading Terminal Screenshot):
1. TECHNOLOGY +0.37% 🚀
NVDA: $192.01 (+1.81%) - Groq licensing deal, HBM4 production news
Unusual Activity: $18M on NVDA $130 calls Jan 16 '26, $4M+ put sellers
Semiconductors: TSM leading, memory stocks (MU, WDC) top S&P performers YTD
AI Infrastructure: Groq deal signals AI inference growth
2. MATERIALS +0.33% 🔶
XLB Materials: ONLY sector ETF at new highs
FCX: Freeport-McMoRan +3.3%, seeing large June $65 call spreads
Copper Rally: Record highs in China on supply concerns
Silver Plays: PAAS, VALE seeing massive call buying
Precious Metals: Historic breakout continuing
LAGGING/BEARISH SECTORS:
1. ENERGY -0.73% ⛽
Oil down 2% on Ukraine peace progress
Reduced geopolitical risk premium
Watch for bounce if peace talks stall
2. CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY -0.46% 🛍️
Exception - TGT: Target +1.3% on activist investor stake (Toms Capital)
Holiday retail mixed, cautious consumer spending
3. FINANCIALS -0.37% 🏦
Banking stocks consolidating after strong run
Rate cut expectations reducing NIM outlook
4. REAL ESTATE -0.19% 🏠
Interest rate sensitivity weighing on REITs
MONEY ROTATION THESIS:
FROM → TO
Crypto → Precious Metals: Capital fleeing Bitcoin's $87K stall for silver's parabolic move
Equities → Commodities: Safe-haven bid intensifying
Growth → Value: Defensive positioning into year-end
Small Caps → Large Caps: Quality flight, risk-off undertones
💎 HIGH-CONVICTION TRADING IDEAS FOR MONDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2025
🥇 TIER 1: HIGHEST CONVICTION TRADES
1. SILVER & PRECIOUS METALS PARABOLIC CONTINUATION ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Primary Play: $SLV (iShares Silver Trust)****$SLV Price Verified: $69.49 as of December 26, 2025, up from previous close of $65.22
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $68-$70 (current price $69.49)
Targets:
T1: $75 (+8%) - Near-term psychological level
T2: $80 (+15%) - Analysts calling for $77-$80 by year-end
T3: $85-90 (+22-30%) - Extended parabolic target Q1 2026
Stop: $65 (-6.5%) - Below breakout support
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)
Catalysts:
Silver up 162% year-to-date, strongest performance since 1979
Supply deficit + critical mineral designation
$SLV YTD return: 140.14% as of December 23, 2025
Sovereign buying (50% market cap increase in 1 month per Discord)
Industrial demand (solar, electronics)
Rate cut expectations (2 cuts priced for 2026)
Options Flow (verified from Discord):
$4M into $69 calls expiring Jan 9, 2026
2,100 July $70 calls at $10.40-$10.85
1,800 June 30th $100 calls at $4.25-$4.40 (moonshot speculation)
IV30 surging +25%, making selling premium attractive
Risk Rating: MEDIUM (parabolic moves can reverse violently)
Related Precious Metals Plays:
$PAAS (Pan American Silver) - Call buying per Discord $VALE (Vale S.A.) - "Put/Call: 117/8517" massive call bias $FCX (Freeport-McMoRan) - Copper/gold play, +3.3% yesterday, large June $65 call spreads $GLD (SPDR Gold Trust) - Gold at $4,530+, targeting $5,000 in H1 2026 $PPLT (Aberdeen Physical Platinum ETF) - +9% yesterday, +160% YTD $DBP (Invesco DB Precious Metals) - Broad basket, +25% since early November
2. NVIDIA & AI INFRASTRUCTURE MOMENTUM ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
$NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)
Current Price: $192.01 (verified from Trading Terminal screenshot)
Entry Zone: $190-$194
Targets:
T1: $200 (+4%) - Psychological resistance
T2: $210 (+9%) - Wave 5 completion per technicals
T3: $230 (+20%) - Extended target if AI rally continues
Stop: $185 (-3.6%)
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)
Catalysts:
Groq Licensing Deal: Nvidia licensing tech from AI startup Groq for $20B deal
Samsung HBM4 Production: Mass production for Nvidia AI chips
Options Flow: $18M on $130 calls Jan 16 '26, $4M+ put selling
Leading Semi: TSM also strong, sector rotation back to AI
Seasonally Strong: Tech typically rallies into January LEAP expiration
Risk: Overbought short-term, but uptrend intact
3. TARGET ACTIVIST PLAY ⭐⭐⭐⭐
$TGT (Target Corporation)
Entry Zone: Current levels (~$136 based on +1.3% move)
Targets:
T1: $145 (+6%) - Gap fill
T2: $155 (+14%) - 200-day MA
T3: $165 (+21%) - If turnaround story gains traction
Stop: $130 (-4%)
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
Catalyst:
Toms Capital Investment Management building stake (per FT report verified from Discord at 11:27 PM)
Activist pressure for operational improvements
Retail sector consolidation theme
4. MATERIALS SECTOR LEADERSHIP ⭐⭐⭐⭐
$XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF)
Status: ONLY sector ETF at new all-time highs
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
Top Holdings in Play:
$FCX: Freeport-McMoRan (copper/gold/silver exposure)
$NEM: Newmont (gold miner)
$LIN: Linde (industrial gases for manufacturing)
Thesis: Commodities supercycle accelerating, materials leading early 2026
💰 TIER 2: STRONG MOMENTUM TRADES
5. CHINESE TECH CONTRARIAN ⭐⭐⭐⭐
$BABA (Alibaba) & $JD (JD.com)
From Discord: "The Long Investor" posted:
"$JD at $29, same price as 2014. Revenue: 2014: $18B/year, 2025: $161B/year (+900%). Verdict: severely undervalued. PT $100."
"$BABA we've read this book before" - referencing previous run from $70 to $192
Trade Setup - $JD:
Entry: $29-30
Target: $40-45 (+38-55%) near-term, $100 long-term
Stop: $27 (-6.9%)
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
Catalysts:
Massive revenue growth vs stagnant stock price
Different cycle than US market (hedge position)
China stimulus expectations
Valuation compression ending
Risk: Geopolitical, regulatory
6. ZETA GLOBAL AI MARKETING PLAY ⭐⭐⭐⭐
$ZETA (Zeta Global Holdings)
From Discord: "The Long Investor Christmas Gift" - "$ZETA just broke above $19.40, +11% since announced, +6% today"
Entry: $20-21 (needs verification of current price)
Target: $25-28 (+25-40%)
Stop: $18.50 (-7%)
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
Catalysts:
AI-powered marketing platform
Technical breakout confirmed
Jesse Cohen listed in "Stocks To Watch In 2026: AI" category
Small-cap AI play with institutional interest
7. SEMICONDUCTOR MEMORY MOMENTUM ⭐⭐⭐⭐
$MU (Micron Technology)
Per Discord: "Put action" but "Options with Declining Implied Volatility"
Status: One of top 4 S&P performers YTD alongside $SNDK, $WDC, $STX
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
Thesis: Memory chip demand for AI data centers driving historic rally
📉 BEARISH/HEDGE TRADES
8. QQQ PUT PROTECTION ⭐⭐⭐
$QQQ Puts - Large unusual activity spotted
From Discord at 1:06 AM: "Over $4M in the $604 Put expiring Jan 30, 2026 was purchased at asking price"
Trade Setup:
Strike: $604 (ATM)
Expiration: January 30, 2026
Cost: ~$4M position suggests ~$10-12 per contract
Thesis: Smart money hedging for January volatility
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5) as hedge only
9. ROCKET LAB PROFIT-TAKING ⭐⭐⭐
$RKLB (Rocket Lab USA)
From Discord: "$RKLB -7% some profit taking in the space group today as they return back to earth"
Setup: Short on bounces or buy puts on rallies back to $72-74
Target: $65-68 (-5-10% from $72)
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Thesis: Profit-taking after parabolic move, overbought technically
🌐 CRYPTO OPPORTUNITIES
10. BITCOIN RANGE TRADING ⭐⭐⭐
$BTC (Bitcoin)
Current: $87,000-$89,000 range
Strategy: Sell $90K resistance, buy $84-85K support
Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Options Expiry: $23.8B expired December 26 - watch for post-expiry direction
Bearish Thesis:
Extreme Fear (20/100)
ETF outflows continuing
Capital rotating to precious metals
Failed breakouts at $90K
Bullish Scenario:
If reclaims $90K with volume, targets $95-100K
Institutional buying on dips
🚫 AVOID/RED FLAGS
Small Caps ($IWM): Underperforming, down 0.59% AH
Energy Stocks: Peace deal progress pressuring oil
REITs: Rate sensitivity ongoing concern
Retail (ex-TGT): Weak consumer spending outside activist situations
Crypto Altcoins: Following Bitcoin weakness
📅 ECONOMIC CALENDAR & CATALYSTS FOR MONDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2025
No Major Economic Data - Light week ahead
Key Events to Watch:
Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks: Any progress could pressure oil further, support risk-on
Precious Metals Momentum: Will silver sustain above $75?
Year-End Positioning: Fund managers rebalancing for January
Options Flow: Post-expiry positioning clues
Japan-US Investment Updates: First project announcements possible
🎯 TRADING STRATEGY FOR MONDAY
Morning Game Plan:
7:00-9:00 AM ET: Check overnight metals action, European precious metals miners
9:30 AM Open: If $SLV gaps up, wait for pullback to $68-69 for entry
10:00-11:00 AM: Establish core positions in silver/gold plays
Afternoon: Scale into NVDA if dips to $190-192
Position Sizing:
40%: Precious Metals ($SLV, $GLD, $FCX, miners)
30%: AI/Tech ($NVDA, $TSM, semiconductors)
20%: Special Situations ($TGT, $JD, $ZETA)
10%: Cash/Hedges ($QQQ puts, cash reserve)
Risk Management:
Max loss per trade: 2% of portfolio
Trailing stops: Move to breakeven after +5% gains
Profit targets: Scale out at T1 (50%), T2 (30%), let 20% run
🔮 WEEK AHEAD OUTLOOK
Bullish Scenarios:
Silver breaks $80, gold hits $4,600+
NVDA reclaims $200, tech sector rotation accelerates
Ukraine peace deal finalized, risk-on rally
Year-end Santa Rally continues into New Year
Bearish Scenarios:
Precious metals parabolic reversal (profit-taking)
Tech fails at resistance, sector rotation stalls
Broader market weakness on thin volume
Geopolitical escalation (unlikely given peace progress)
Base Case: Choppy, range-bound action with pockets of opportunity in precious metals and select tech. Year-end positioning dominates.
💡 FINAL THOUGHTS & RISK DISCLAIMER
Thursday, December 26, 2025, marked a pivotal shift in market dynamics. While equities grind higher on thin holiday volume, the real action is in commodities—specifically precious metals experiencing their most explosive rally in over four decades.
The Big Picture:
Crypto → Commodities: Capital rotation accelerating
Sovereign Buying: Central banks and governments accumulating hard assets
De-Dollarization: Gold/silver acting as dollar hedges
Supply Constraints: Physical tightness in silver market
Fed Easing Cycle: Rate cuts supporting non-yielding assets
This isn't a typical year-end rally. This is a structural shift.
For Monday's trading:
Be aggressive on precious metals dips - The trend is your friend until it isn't
Respect the parabolic nature - Use tight stops, take profits into strength
Diversify across metals - Gold, silver, platinum, copper all moving
Watch for exhaustion signals - Volume divergences, failed breakouts
Stay nimble - Thin holiday trading can whip prices violently
Risk Warning: Parabolic moves can reverse just as quickly as they ascend. Silver's 7% daily gains are unsustainable long-term. Always use stop-losses and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Trading stocks, options, futures, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trade ideas presented are based on technical analysis, market sentiment, and news catalysis as of the publication date. Markets can change rapidly. Always conduct your own due diligence, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. DCG COMMAND CENTER and its analysts may hold positions in securities discussed.
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