🚀 Thanksgiving Rally Ignites Historic Market Surge

📊 KEY THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT THURSDAY'S TRADING SESSION

✅ S&P 500 up 4 straight sessions - Best Thanksgiving week since 2012
✅ SPY reclaimed $680 resistance - Now eyeing $685-$690 breakout
✅ QQQ surged to $612 - Tech rebounds +5.5% from lows
✅ Bitcoin reclaimed $90K - Crypto Fear & Greed at extreme levels
✅ Fed rate cut odds hit 85% - December cut nearly certain
✅ VIX crushed to 17 handle - Fear evaporating rapidly
✅ Market breadth explosive - 77% of NYSE advancing

🎯 Trading Edge: Markets showing classic "buy the dip" behavior with improving breadth, declining volatility, and renewed institutional accumulation. The Thanksgiving rally is REAL.

🔥 OVERNIGHT MARKET ACTION: FUTURES & CRYPTO UPDATE

Index Futures (as of 6:00 AM ET)

• ES (S&P 500 Futures): 6,780 (+0.22%) - Holding above key 6,750 support

• NQ (Nasdaq Futures): 23,150 (+0.35%) - Tech leading pre-market

• YM (Dow Futures): 47,190 (+0.16%) - Steady consolidation

• RTY (Russell 2000): 2,472 (+0.88%) - Small caps surging

Crypto Market Recovery

• Bitcoin (BTC): $90,200 (+3.4% from lows) - RECLAIMED $90K MILESTONE

• Ethereum (ETH): $3,012 (+3.2%) - Back above $3K psychological level

• Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index at 20 (Extreme Fear) - Contrarian Buy Signal

Key Overnight Catalysts:

✅ USTR extends 178 China tariff exclusions until Nov 2026 - Trade tensions easing
✅ White House projects largest-ever tax refunds for 2026 - Consumer spending catalyst
✅ Chicago PMI crashed to 36.3 (exp: 44.3) - Justifies Fed dovishness
✅ Silver surges 3% to $52.94/oz - Precious metals catching bid

💰 WEDNESDAY'S MARKET WRAP: THE THANKSGIVING RALLY CONTINUES

Index Performance (Nov 26, 2025 Close)

🎯 Market Verdict: This is a legitimate buying thrust, not an oversold bounce. Breadth, participation, and momentum all confirming bullish structure.

🏆 TOP SECTOR PERFORMERS & MONEY ROTATION

BULLISH SECTORS (Leading the Rally):

1. 🛒 Retail & Consumer Discretionary: +2.1% - Black Friday optimism

2. 💊 Healthcare: +2.3% - Defensive money rotating in

3. 💼 Financials: +0.92% - Banks surging on rate cut optimism

4. 🏗️ Materials: +1.26% - Commodities catching bid

5. ⚡ Energy: +1.17% - Oil inventories higher than expected

BEARISH SECTORS (Lagging):

1. 🩺 Healthcare Equipment: -0.19% - Profit-taking

2. 📡 Communication Services: +0.06% - Minimal movement

💎 MONEY ROTATION INSIGHT:

FROM: Tech mega-caps (NVDA pressure from Google TPU news)
INTO: Small caps, retail, financials, and value stocks
KEY SIGNAL: Russell 2000 up 8.2% in 4 sessions = Broadening rally

🚨 BREAKING NEWS & CATALYSTS

🔴 Major Market-Moving Headlines (Nov 26 Post-Close):

1. GOOGLE AI DOMINANCE EXPANDS 🤖

• $GOOGL hits 13th record high in November (76% of trading days)

• Meta considering Google TPU chips for 2027 data centers

• Larry Page now world's 2nd richest person on GOOGL surge

• Price: $324.00 (+89% YTD) - Near $4 trillion market cap

• Implication: GOOGL becoming AI infrastructure king, threatening NVDA dominance

2. PENTAGON TARGETS CHINESE TECH 🇨🇳

• $BABA, $BIDU, $BYD added to military ties list

• Stocks sold off on news, then recovered

• Context: Tension ahead of Trump-Xi April meeting

• Trade: Volatility play, but long-term holders unfazed

3. FED RATE CUT ODDS SURGE TO 85% 📉

• Chicago PMI disaster (36.3 vs 44.3 exp) = recession signal

• Consumer confidence fell to 88.7 (exp: 93.2)

• Kevin Hassett frontrunner for Fed Chair - More dovish than Powell

• El-Erian warns: Fed guidance creating volatility, needs stability

4. JPMORGAN SEES S&P 500 AT 8,000 IN 2026 🎯

• +17.5% upside from current levels

• Bull case: AI spending continues, economic resilience

• Implication: Institutional FOMO building into year-end

5. TRUMP TRADE & POLITICAL EDGE 🇺🇸

• Georgia drops election case against Trump allies

• National Parks fees increase for non-residents (America First)

• Gas prices at lowest since pandemic - Nearly 30 states under $3/gallon

• Tax refunds projected as "largest ever" in 2026

🔥 HOTTEST TRADES & UNUSUAL ACTIVITY

🎯 Wednesday's Top Stock Movers:

MONSTER GAINERS 📈

SIGNIFICANT DECLINERS 📉

💎 KEY CATALYST TRADES FOR THURSDAY (NOV 27)

🚀 BULLISH HIGH-CONVICTION PLAYS

1. $GOOGL - AI Infrastructure King ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Current Price: $324.00
Entry Zone: $318-$322
Targets: $335 (+3.4%), $350 (+8%)
Stop Loss: $310
Catalyst: Meta TPU deal validates Google AI strategy, Gemini 3 momentum
Options Flow: Massive call buying, 2.9M Dec $320 calls
Trade Rating: A+ (9/10 conviction)

Why Now: Gene Munster's top Magnificent 7 pick, 13 record highs this month, approaching $4T market cap

2. $SPY - Thanksgiving Rally Extension ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Current Price: $680.28
Entry Zone: $678-$682
Targets: $690 (+1.4%), $700 (+2.9%)
Stop Loss: $672
Catalyst: Fed rate cut 85% priced, breadth improving, seasonality
Gamma Exposure: $2.9B at $680 strike - Pin risk into month-end
Trade Rating: A+ (10/10 conviction)

Why Now: 4 consecutive up days, reclaimed 50-DMA, VIX collapsing to 17 handle

3. $QQQ - Tech Rebound Play ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Current Price: $608.89
Entry Zone: $605-$610
Targets: $620 (+1.8%), $635 (+4.3%)
Stop Loss: $595
Catalyst: NVDA recovery, GOOGL surge, MSFT strength
Options Setup: 2,000 Sep 2026 $610/$690 call spreads
Trade Rating: A (8/10 conviction)

Why Now: Broke through short-term resistance, IV crush creating entry opportunity

4. $NVDA - Buy the Dip Opportunity ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Current Price: $181.52
Entry Zone: $178-$183
Targets: $195 (+7.4%), $210 (+15.6%)
Stop Loss: $172
Catalyst: Google TPU fears overdone, demand remains strong, $300 LEAP buying
Insider Signal: Someone bought $2.6M of $300 strike LEAPS
Trade Rating: A+ (9/10 conviction)

Why Now: Down 18% from highs, oversold on AI bubble fears that are reversing

5. $BTC/COIN/MSTR - Crypto Recovery Trade ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Bitcoin Price: $90,200
Entry Zone: $88,000-$92,000
Targets: $98,000 (+8.6%), $105,000 (+16.4%)
Stop Loss: $84,000
Catalyst: Reclaimed $90K, ETF inflows returning, Fed dovish
Sympathy Plays: COIN, MSTR, IBIT, CLSK
Trade Rating: A (8/10 conviction)

Why Now: Fear & Greed at 20 = Extreme Fear (contrarian buy), oversold bounce from $82K low

🐻 BEARISH/HEDGE OPPORTUNITIES

1. $ORCL - Overextended After Rally ⭐⭐⭐

Current Price: $230
Entry: Put spreads or short above $235
Targets: $210 (-8.7%), $200 (-13%)
Catalyst: 30% pullback after AI spending concerns, balance sheet risk
Trade Rating: B (6/10 conviction - Counter-trend)

📈 TRUMP MOMENTUM & POLITICAL TRADING EDGE

🇺🇸 Trump Policy Catalysts Driving Markets:

1. 🛢️ Energy Prices Collapsing
   
   

   • Gas prices lowest since pandemic

   • 30 states under $3/gallon

   • Winners: Consumer discretionary, travel stocks

2. 💵 Tax Refund Bonanza Coming
   
   

   • "Largest ever" tax refunds projected for 2026

   • Consumer spending catalyst into Q1 2026

   • Winners: Retail (TGT, WMT, AMZN), consumer discretionary

3. 🇨🇳 China Trade Tensions Easing
   
   

   • 178 tariff exclusions extended to Nov 2026

   • Xi-Trump meeting scheduled April 2025

   • Winners: BABA (volatile but recovering), supply chain stocks

4. 🏛️ Ukraine War Progress
   
   

   • "Tremendous progress" on ending conflict

   • Defense spending may shift to infrastructure

   • Rotation: From defense (LMT, NOC) to industrials

5. 🏦 Fed Chair Speculation
   
   

   • Kevin Hassett emerging as frontrunner

   • More dovish than Powell = Lower rates longer

   • Winners: Growth stocks, tech, real estate

🎯 SECTOR BREAKDOWN & TRADE OPPORTUNITIES

🛒 RETAIL SECTOR: Black Friday Surge (Rating: A+)

Leading Stocks: KSS, GPS, ANF, URBN, WOOF, SPG
Catalyst: Best Thanksgiving week in years, consumer confidence despite weak data
Trade Ideas:

• $GPS (Gap): Dec $29 calls active, +3,000 volume

• $KSS (Kohl's): Sympathy play after 43% pop Tuesday

• $SPG (Simon Property): Mall traffic surging, REIT play

💻 TECHNOLOGY: Leadership Rotation (Rating: A)

From NVDA → To GOOGL, MSFT, AVGO
 Catalyst: AI infrastructure buildout continues, TPU competition
Trade Ideas:

• $MSFT: Dec $486 calls, Azure strength

• $AVGO: Goldman upgraded to $435 PT ahead of Dec 11 earnings

• $ADSK (Autodesk): Gapped 8% on earnings, now consolidating

💰 FINANCIALS: Rate Cut Winners (Rating: A)

Leading Stocks: GS, JPM, BAC, C
Catalyst: Lower rates = M&A surge, trading revenues up
Trade Ideas:

• $GS: 4,200 Dec $900 low-delta calls buying at $1.55-$1.80

• $C (Citigroup): CFO transition, $0.60 dividend paid today

⚡ CRYPTO MINING: Bitcoin Recovery (Rating: A-)

Leading Stocks: CLSK, MARA, RIOT, HUT, CIFR
Catalyst: Bitcoin reclaimed $90K, mining profitability improving
Trade Ideas:

• $CLSK (CleanSpark): Earnings winner, up 15%+

• $MSTR (MicroStrategy): $1B in Bitcoin purchases, aggressive accumulation

🏗️ SMALL CAPS: Broadening Rally (Rating: A+)

Index: Russell 2000 (IWM) up 8.2% in 4 days
Catalyst: Rate cuts benefit smaller companies, credit spreads tightening
Trade Ideas:

• $IWM calls: Feb $250 strikes, momentum trade

• Individual small-cap breakouts: VRCA, TMC, LPSN

📊 OPTIONS FLOW & UNUSUAL ACTIVITY

🔥 Massive Institutional Bets:

1. $GOOGL: Millions in call volume daily, Dec $320 strikes dominant

2. $SPY: $2.9B gamma exposure at $680 - Pin risk into Friday close

3. $NVDA: $2.6M in $300 strike LEAPS (Jan 2028) - Extreme bullishness

4. $QQQ: 2,000 Sep 2026 $610/$690 call spreads

5. $MSFT: Dec call buying ahead of Azure updates

6. $IBIT (Bitcoin ETF): 3M put buying at $47 strike - Hedge or short?

🎯 Smart Money Moves:

• Hedge funds bought most equities in 2 years (Nov 21-24)

• Technology sector led buying: Semiconductors, hardware, software

• $IDXX (Idexx Labs): Politician tracker - Rep. Delaney bought May, now at ATH (+84%)

• 0DTE options now 60% of S&P volume - Extreme risk appetite

🌐 BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT BREAKDOWN

Market Overview:

• Bitcoin: $90,200 (+12% from $82K low)

• Market Cap: $2.24 trillion

• Fear & Greed Index: 20/100 = Extreme Fear (Contrarian buy signal)

• Crypto Fear & Greed: 15/100 = Extreme Fear

Key Crypto Catalysts:

✅ Bullish Factors:

1. ETF Inflows Returning: BlackRock IBIT seeing steady accumulation

2. Institutional Accumulation: JPMorgan calls BTC "tradable macro instrument"

3. Fed Dovish: Rate cuts typically bullish for risk assets

4. Technical Support Held: $84K-$86K support zone intact

5. Nasdaq Files: 40x increase in Bitcoin ETF options limits for institutions

⚠️ Bearish Risks:

1. $3.5B ETF Outflows: Largest since launch

2. Liquidation Event: $2B in leveraged longs wiped out

3. Macro Uncertainty: Treasury yields volatile

4. Adoption Concerns: Some institutional hesitancy

🎯 Crypto Trade Plan:

BUY ZONE: $88K-$92K (current range)
TARGETS: $98K (first), $105K (extension)
STOP LOSS: $84K (key support break)

Sympathy Plays:

• $COIN (Coinbase): Exchange volume surging, $280-$290 range

• $MSTR: Bitcoin proxy, high beta to BTC moves

• $CLSK: Mining profitability improving

• $IBIT, $FBTC: ETF plays for less volatile exposure

📅 ECONOMIC CALENDAR & KEY EVENTS

Thursday, November 27, 2025:

• 🦃 Thanksgiving Holiday - US markets CLOSED

• 🌍 Global Markets Open - Watch international flows

Friday, November 28, 2025:

• 🔔 Markets REOPEN (Early close at 1:00 PM ET)

• 🛍️ Black Friday - Retail data coming in

• 📊 Key Level Watch: SPY $690, QQQ $620, BTC $92K

Week Ahead (Dec 2-6):

• Monday (Dec 2): ISM Manufacturing PMI

• Wednesday (Dec 4): ADP Employment Report, JOLTS

• Thursday (Dec 5): Weekly Jobless Claims

• Friday (Dec 6): November Jobs Report (BIG ONE)

🎯 S&P FUTURES KEY LEVELS ($ES)

Critical Price Zones:

MAJOR RESISTANCE:

• 6,850-6,870: Adam Mancini's targets, Nov 13 breakdown test

• 6,880-6,900: Psychological round number, gamma wall

CURRENT SUPPORT:

• 6,780-6,800: Overnight range, must hold for bulls

• 6,750-6,760: Key retest zone, stops below here

MAJOR SUPPORT:

• 6,700-6,720: 20-day MA convergence

• 6,650-6,670: Last week's consolidation base

Trading Strategy:

• Above 6,800: Continue long bias, trail stops

• Below 6,750: Caution, potential consolidation

• Break 6,700: Shift to neutral, reassess

🔮 OVERALL MARKET STRATEGY & OUTLOOK

📊 Market Theme Recap:

The Thanksgiving Rally is REAL. This is not a bear market bounce - it's a legitimate buying thrust supported by:

• Explosive breadth (77% of NYSE advancing)

• Collapsing volatility (VIX to 17s)

• Fed rate cut odds at 85%

• Improving technical structure

• Strong seasonality into year-end

💡 Bullish Sentiment Case:

✅ S&P 500 just 1.5% from all-time highs
✅ Best Thanksgiving week since 2012
✅ Small caps surging (broadening rally)
✅ Fed put back in play
✅ JPMorgan targets 8,000 by 2026 (+17.5%)
✅ Corporate buybacks accelerating into year-end
✅ Seasonality: Nov-April historically strongest

⚠️ Bearish Sentiment Risks:

❌ Chicago PMI at 36.3 signals recession
❌ Consumer confidence falling for 10 months
❌ AI spending concerns (NVDA weakness)
❌ Valuation stretched (SPX P/E ~21x)
❌ Geopolitical risks (China, Pentagon actions)
❌ $38.3 trillion national debt concerns

🎯 DCG Command Center Verdict:

BULLISH into year-end with tactical hedges. The market is in "risk-on" mode, and fighting the tape is dangerous. However, remain nimble - the rally could pause at 6,850-6,870 ES resistance.

Recommended Allocation:

• 70% Long Exposure: Tech (GOOGL, MSFT, NVDA dip), SPY/QQQ

• 20% Tactical Trades: Crypto, small caps, retail

• 10% Hedges: VIX calls, SPY put spreads above 6,900

🚨 ACTIONABLE TRADE SUMMARY FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY

🎯 TOP 5 HIGH-CONVICTION TRADES:

1. $SPY Calls (Dec $690) - Thanksgiving rally extension

2. $GOOGL - AI infrastructure leader, momentum

3. $NVDA Dip Buy - Oversold, TPU fears overdone

4. $BTC/COIN - Crypto recovery from extreme fear

5. $IWM Small Caps - Broadening rally, rate cut beneficiary

⚡ Quick Scalp Opportunities:

• Friday Early Session: Low volume, wide spreads - Trade small

• Black Friday Retail Momentum: GPS, URBN, ANF sympathy plays

• Crypto Volatility: BTC $90K reclaim = $COIN/$MSTR surge

🎓 MASTERMIND GUIDANCE & SOCIAL SENTIMENT

Key Takeaways from Trading Community:

From Discord/Social Insights:

1. "It's a bull market, you know" - Jesse Livermore wisdom applies

2. "Buy the dip worked perfectly" - QQQ under $590 was gift

3. "VIX compression setup" - Expect VIX 15 handle soon

4. "Bears getting crushed" - Short covering fueling rally

5. "Retail FOMO building" - Breadth indicators confirming

Pro Trader Setups:

• Adam Mancini: 6,850 ES target hit, now looking at 6,869-6,877

• Jason (3PeaksTrading): "Wall of worry to SPX 7,000" - Stay long

• Ripster: Bitcoin $90K breakout bullish for $MSTR, $COIN

• Ryan Detrick: "Widely hated bull market continues" - Magazine cover contrarian indicator

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📢 FINAL THOUGHTS & THANKSGIVING MESSAGE

As we head into the Thanksgiving holiday, the market has given traders plenty to be grateful for:

• A powerful 4-day rally erasing the prior week's fears

• Tech leadership returning with GOOGL at the forefront

• Bitcoin reclaiming $90K after a brutal shakeout

• Fed rate cuts on the horizon

• Seasonality working in our favor

🦃 From the DCG Command Center Family: We're thankful for each member of our trading community. Your dedication, discipline, and passion for markets inspires us daily. Enjoy time with family and loved ones - the markets will be here when we return.

🔔 RISK DISCLAIMER

This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. All trades carry risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper position sizing, stop losses, and risk management. Never risk more than 2% of account equity on any single trade. The information provided is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence before entering any position.

🚀 Trade Safe. Trade Smart. Happy Thanksgiving!

- The DCG Command Center Team

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