🚀 GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS SURGE AS TECH GIANTS RALLY: Iran Standoff, Fed Policy Hold, and Crypto Capitulation Set Stage for Volatile Wednesday Session

🚨 DCG COMMAND CENTER TRADING NEWSLETTER 🚨I Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Pre-Market Intelligence Report

📊 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: 5 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW

  1. 🎯 GEOPOLITICAL ESCALATION: Trump threatens second carrier deployment to Middle East if Iran talks fail - major defense sector catalyst brewing

  2. 💹 TECH SECTOR RESURGENCE: Software names explode higher - DDOG +16.3%, SPOT +17%, Oracle rallies as AI panic subsides

  3. 🏦 FED HOLDS FIRM: Multiple Fed officials signal extended pause, inflation concerns persist, rates staying "higher for longer"

  4. 💎 CRYPTO EXTREME FEAR: Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index hits 9/100 - historically strong contrarian buy signal as BTC tests $69K support

  5. 📈 MARKET BREADTH SURGE: Record $1 trillion daily trading volume, homebuilders leading with 13/13 stocks positive

🔥 BREAKING: TUESDAY'S MARKET CLOSE (Feb 10, 2026)

Major Indices - Last Close:

  • SPY: $693.68 (Range: $688.00 - $695.87) | +0.48% recovery bounce

  • QQQ: $614.32 | +0.77% tech rebound

  • DIA: $502.10 | +0.18% Dow strength

  • IWM: Russell 2000 holding support at key levels

Key Individual Movers:

  • DDOG (Datadog): +16.3% 🚀 (Earnings beat - $953M revenue vs $917M est)

  • SPOT (Spotify): +17.0% 🎵 (751M users, beat 745M estimate)

  • ORCL (Oracle): +7.0% (Recovering from AI selloff)

  • NVDA (Nvidia): +2.5% (H200 chip license news)

  • TSLA (Tesla): +1.51% (Semi pricing at $290K announced)

  • FISV (Fiserv): +4.91%

  • MU (Micron): +2.84% (Presentation tomorrow - watch closely)

💼 WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT ANALYSIS

Trump Administration Market Movers (Feb 10, 2026):

🔴 IRAN CRISIS ESCALATION:

  • Trump considering second aircraft carrier deployment to Middle East

  • Direct quote: "Either we reach a deal or we'll have to do something very tough"

  • Second round of US-Iran talks expected next week

  • DEFENSE TRADE: Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman on watch

💵 TREASURY POLICY:

  • Bessent calls for crypto market structure legislation - Major institutional catalyst

  • Treasury Secretary optimistic on Russia-Ukraine situation

  • US-China relationship described as "in a very comfortable place"

📊 COMMERCE SECRETARY LUTNICK KEY STATEMENTS:

  • Q4 GDP growth projected "over 5%"

  • Q1 2026 could see "over 6% growth"

  • "American demand for AI chips is vast - won't stand in their way"

  • Nvidia and China must adhere to H200 chip license terms

  • Dollar manipulation comments: "Dollar was manipulated higher over many years"

🏛️ GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN RISK:

  • 67.7% odds of shutdown starting Feb 14 (Kalshi prediction markets)

  • TSA, FEMA, ICE, Border Patrol operations at risk

  • ICE Director warns terrorism task forces would be "hit hardest"

📈 SECTOR ROTATION & MONEY FLOW ANALYSIS

🟢 BULLISH SECTORS (Tuesday Leaders):

1. SOFTWARE & APPLICATION PLATFORMS ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • DDOG: +16.3% to $132.59 (Q4 beat, guidance strong)

  • SPOT: +17.0% to $485.39 (Record user growth)

  • NOW: ServiceNow leading enterprise software

  • Application Software: 16/17 UP

  • Catalyst: AI panic subsiding, earnings beats restoring confidence

2. HOMEBUILDERS 🏠⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • 13 of 13 HOMEBUILDERS UP

  • $XHB (Homebuilders ETF) breaking cup-and-handle pattern

  • $NAIL (3x Homebuilders) surging

  • TOL (Toll Brothers): Strong momentum

  • Rising March rate cut odds fueling sector

  • Catalyst: Fed pause narrative + rate cut speculation

3. FINTECH & LENDING 💳⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • 9/10 Fintech Lenders UP

  • AFRM (Affirm): Leading the pack

  • FISV +4.91% to $63.09

  • Catalyst: Credit expansion cycle beginning

4. TRAVEL & HOSPITALITY ✈️⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Airlines/Hotels: 12/14 UP

  • MAR (Marriott): +9%

  • Catalyst: Summer travel bookings accelerating

5. CYBERSECURITY 🔒⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • 12/13 Cybersecurity stocks UP

  • MDB (MongoDB) leading

  • Catalyst: Ongoing threat landscape + enterprise spending

6. UTILITIES ⚡⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • +1.92% sector performance

  • Defensive rotation into stable dividend payers

  • AI data center power demand narrative

🔴 BEARISH SECTORS (Under Pressure):

1. FINANCIALS 📉

  • -1.25% sector decline

  • Regional banks under pressure

  • Interest rate sensitivity concerns

2. HEALTH CARE 💊📉

  • -0.06% slight decline

  • Sector consolidation ongoing

3. ENERGY ⛽📉

  • -0.07% marginal weakness

  • Oil prices mixed despite Iran tensions

4. TECHNOLOGY (Select Names) 💻📉

  • IRE (Ireland tech): -8.82%

  • AI-exposed names still digesting selloff

  • Exception: Cloud infrastructure recovering

🔥 KEY CATALYST TRADES FOR WEDNESDAY (FEB 11)

1. GEOPOLITICAL DEFENSE PLAY 🎖️

BULLISH SETUP: Iran Escalation / Carrier Deployment

  • Tickers: LMT, RTX, NOC, GD, BA (defense)

  • Entry Strategy: Scale into defense names on any pre-market dip

  • Catalyst: Second carrier deployment news could trigger 5-10% defense rally

  • Risk: Peace talks breakthrough would reverse trade

2. FED POLICY HOLD BENEFICIARIES 🏦

Rate-Sensitive Winners:

  • Homebuilders: XHB, TOL, DHI, LEN (March rate cut odds rising to ~35%)

  • REITs: VNQ, O, VICI (stable rates = dividend appeal)

  • Regional Banks: KRE (if shutdown avoided, relief rally possible)

  • Entry: Buy dips in homebuilders, rates staying accommodative longer

3. EARNINGS MOMENTUM CONTINUATION 📊

Post-Earnings Strength:

  • DDOG sympathy plays: ESTC (Elastic), SUMO, FROG (JFrog)

  • SPOT sympathy: RBLX (Roblox), PINS (Pinterest) - social/entertainment

  • Oracle recovery: AVGO, CRM, NOW (enterprise software rotation)

  • MU Presentation Play: Watch Tuesday 2/11 presentation - semi sector catalyst

4. CRYPTO CAPITULATION BOUNCE 🪙

Extreme Fear = Contrarian Setup:

  • BTC: $69,111 (9/100 Fear Index - historically strong buy signal)

  • Support Zone: $68K-$69K critical - hold = bounce to $72K-$75K

  • ETH: $2,016 (oversold, potential 10-15% relief rally)

  • SOL: $84.20 (brutal -16% week, but $80-90 support holding)

  • Equity Proxies: MSTR, COIN, RIOT, MARA (all compressed)

  • Strategy: Scale into BTC on $68K+ holds, tight stops below

Treasury Secretary Bessent Catalyst:

  • Calls for crypto market structure legislation

  • Major institutional unlock if passed

  • Stablecoin plays: USDC, PYUSD beneficiaries

🧠 MASTERMIND & SOCIAL INSIGHTS

Discord Trading Floor Chatter:

BEARISH SENTIMENT THEMES:

  • "Most signs still pointing lower" - Ryan Detrick watching 100-day MA breaks

  • Student loan delinquencies hit 16.3% (record high)

  • Consumer delinquencies at 4.8% (highest since 2017)

  • Credit card delinquencies: 12.7%

  • Auto loan delinquencies: 5.2%

BULLISH UNDERCURRENTS:

  • "Number of bankruptcies fell last quarter" - doesn't fit recession narrative

  • Foreclosures still below 2019 levels

  • Small-cap profits climbing and beating expectations

  • $SPX 8-hour consolidation = coiling for move

  • TICK breadth holding firm (+789 highs, only -314 lows)

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS (Adam Mancini):

  • ES Futures: 7006 target hit, now watching 6970-6998 chop zone

  • Next resistance: 7011, 7014, 7017-7022

  • "As warned, there is nothing to do now...Just hold runner"

  • Wait for elevator-down volatility before re-engaging

OPTION FLOW HIGHLIGHTS:

  • NVDA: 6,750 June $310 calls bought at $0.95 (right tail bet on AI recovery)

  • TSM: Massive short puts in open interest (bullish positioning)

  • TSLA: Put/Call ratio 16K/108K (skewed bullish)

  • LULU: $450K put buyer, 2/27 expiry (bearish short-term)

  • SPY: Feb 20 expiry has 102K calls - potential pinning magnet at that strike

Sam Bankman-Fried News:

  • Filed for retrial in FTX fraud case

  • Claims new witness testimony undermines prosecution

  • Crypto sentiment slightly dampened by reminder of 2022 collapse

📰 EARNINGS & CORPORATE NEWS ROUNDUP

Tuesday After-Hours Beats:

DATADOG (DDOG) - MONSTER BEAT 🚀

  • EPS: $0.59 vs $0.56 est (Beat)

  • Revenue: $953.19M vs $916.58M est (Beat)

  • Stock: +16.3% to $132.59

  • Guidance: Q1 sales above estimates

  • Sympathy Plays: ESTC, SUMO, FROG, DDOG competitors under pressure from OpenAI shift narrative reversed

SPOTIFY (SPOT) - RECORD USER GROWTH 🎵

  • Users: 751M vs 745.2M est (Beat by 5.8M)

  • Added: 38M users in Q4 (record quarter)

  • Stock: +17.0% to $485.39

  • Guidance: Strong Q1 outlook

  • Sympathy: RBLX, WBD (Warner Bros Discovery), entertainment tech

TESLA (TSLA) - SEMI PRICING

  • Semi Long Range priced at $290,000 (up 60% from original $180K promise)

  • Standard Range: $260,000

  • Still undercuts Class 8 electric truck average ($435K) by $145K

  • Volume production expected THIS YEAR

  • California HVIP vouchers reducing effective costs

  • 4-year payback vs diesel for local distribution

Upcoming Catalysts:

WEDNESDAY (Feb 11):

  • MU (Micron): Presentation at 2:30pm EST - HIGH WATCH

    • Recent news headwinds on AI chip concerns

    • Could be positive catalyst if they address concerns

    • Semi sector sympathy: NVDA, AMD, TSM, AVGO

ECONOMIC DATA (This Week):

  • Jobs report upcoming (market-moving)

  • Inflation data pending

  • Business inventories +0.1% (below +0.2% consensus - mild concern)

FED SPEAKERS (Recent):

  • Hammack: "Policy could stay on hold for quite some time"

  • Logan: "Near neutral, cuts may not be needed"

  • Both: Concerned about inflation staying stubbornly high

  • Risk: Inflation could stick at 3% this year

🌍 GLOBAL MACRO & GEOPOLITICAL UPDATE

Iran Situation (CRITICAL):

  • Trump: "Might send second carrier to strike Iran if talks fail"

  • Second round of talks expected next week

  • Israeli PM Netanyahu visiting Washington

  • Iran insists talks limited to nuclear program only

  • US wants broader terms

  • Market Impact: Defense stocks bid, oil volatility, safe-haven flows

US-China Relations:

  • Bessent: "US-China relationship in very comfortable place"

  • Lutnick: "Complex and nuanced, Trump leading it"

  • Nvidia/China H200 chip license terms enforcement ongoing

  • No major new tariff escalation

Government Shutdown:

  • 67.7% probability of Feb 14 shutdown (up 4.8%)

  • Democrats seeking ICE operation limits in funding talks

  • Homeland Security warns of security risks

  • TSA, FEMA, Border Patrol, ICE all affected

International:

  • Venezuela: First crude cargo to Israel after Maduro ouster

  • UK: PM Starmer confirms he'll lead Labour into next election

  • Google/Alphabet: Secured unconditional EU approval for $32B Wiz acquisition

💰 CRYPTO MARKET DEEP DIVE

Bitcoin Analysis:

Price: $69,111 | Fear Index: 9/100 (Extreme Fear)

Support/Resistance:

  • Critical Support: $68,000-$69,000 zone (MUST HOLD)

  • Resistance: $72,000 then $75,000

  • 52-Week Range: $60,187 - $126,186

On-Chain Metrics:

  • Liquidations: $2B+ in positions liquidated since Thursday

  • Selling Pressure: Forced liquidations creating cascading effect

  • Volume: $25.87B (24h) - elevated liquidation volume

Bullish Case:

  • Extreme Fear (9/100) historically marks bottoms

  • Treasury Secretary calling for crypto legislation

  • Interactive Brokers expanding crypto futures (Coinbase partnership)

  • Holding above $68K would confirm support

  • Target: $72K-$75K relief rally (5-8% upside)

Bearish Case:

  • Break below $68K opens $65K-$60K downside

  • Macro risk-off sentiment

  • Correlation with tech stocks still elevated

  • Some analysts calling for $40K (John Blank, Zacks)

Ethereum (ETH):

Price: $2,016 | Down 4.72%

Technical Setup:

  • Former support now resistance

  • Short-term bullish structure forming

  • Upside Cap: $2,500-$2,600 unless stronger buying

  • Critical Support: $1,500-$1,600 range

  • Oversold on multiple timeframes

Solana (SOL):

Price: $84.20 | Down 16.2% (7-day)

Current State:

  • Clear downtrend, recently broke descending channel

  • Support Zone: $80-$90 (currently holding)

  • Next Downside: $70-$65 if support breaks

  • Resistance: $100 (bulls must reclaim)

  • Down 37.4% in last 30 days

Institutional Note:

  • Spot Solana ETFs now >$1B AUM (Bitwise BSOL, Fidelity FSOL)

  • Morgan Stanley filed for Solana Trust

  • Forward Industries holding 6.9M SOL (~$1B)

Stablecoin News:

  • Fed's Hammack: "Hard time seeing domestic benefit of stablecoins"

  • Fed's Hammack: "Optimistic stablecoins won't compete with deposits"

  • Regulatory clarity needed - Bessent legislation call positive

Market Structure:

  • Interactive Brokers + Coinbase: Nano Bitcoin & Ether futures launching

  • Expanding institutional access

  • CME Single Stock Futures coming this summer (24/5 trading)

📊 SECTOR PERFORMANCE SCORECARD

Top Performers (Tuesday):

  1. Utilities: +1.92%

  2. Real Estate: +1.30%

  3. Materials: +1.24%

  4. Consumer Discretionary: +0.99%

  5. Communication Services: +0.78%

Bottom Performers:

  1. Financials: -1.25%

  2. Technology: -0.14%

  3. Energy: -0.07%

  4. Health Care: -0.06%

Breadth Indicators:

  • DJIA: 18 Up / 12 Down (Leaders: DIS, HD)

  • Nasdaq 100: 60 Up / 40 Down (Leaders: DDOG, MAR, SHOP)

  • S&P 100: 51 Up / 49 Down (Leaders: NOW, ORCL)

  • Volume: Record $1.03 trillion/day in January (+50% YoY)

  • Shares Traded: 19 billion daily average

🎯 S&P 500 FUTURES KEY LEVELS (ES_F)

Current: ~7,000 area

Support Zones:

  • 6,998-6,970: Chop/consolidation range (Adam Mancini)

  • 6,958-6,960: Next support if 6,970 fails

  • 6,945: Major support

  • 6,672: AVWAP from August lows (tested and held)

Resistance Levels:

  • 7,006: Backtests last Tuesday's breakdown (hit!)

  • 7,011: First resistance

  • 7,014: Second resistance

  • 7,017-7,022: Bonus targets

Technical Notes:

  • 8 straight hourly candles within 15 points (extreme compression)

  • Coiling action suggests volatility expansion coming

  • Volume increasing on up days (bullish)

  • TICK breadth holding firm

🔮 OVERNIGHT & PRE-MARKET CATALYSTS

Watch for Wednesday Morning:

Economic Data:

  • No major releases Wednesday

  • Jobs data later this week (major market mover)

Fed Speakers:

  • Monitor for any additional commentary on policy stance

  • Inflation concerns vs growth optimism tension

Geopolitical:

  • Iran news flow (carrier deployment decision)

  • Government shutdown negotiations

  • Any China/Taiwan developments

Earnings:

  • MU presentation (2:30pm EST) - CRITICAL for semi sector

  • Any pre-market earnings surprises

Crypto:

  • BTC holding $68K+ = bullish continuation

  • Break below $68K = risk-off into equities

💡 TRADING STRATEGIES FOR WEDNESDAY

BULLISH PLAYS:

1. Software Recovery Continuation

  • Ride DDOG, SPOT momentum

  • Sympathy plays: ESTC, SUMO, FROG, RBLX

  • Enterprise software recovery: NOW, CRM, ORCL

  • Stop: Below yesterday's lows

2. Homebuilder Breakout

  • XHB, DHI, LEN, TOL on cup-and-handle completion

  • March rate cut odds rising

  • Entry: Pullbacks to VWAP

  • Target: 5-8% extension

3. Defense Geopolitical Premium

  • LMT, RTX, NOC on Iran escalation

  • Scale into any pre-market weakness

  • Catalyst: Carrier deployment announcement

  • Stop: 3-5% below entry

4. Crypto Bounce Trade

  • BTC above $69K for $72K-$75K target

  • MSTR, COIN equity proxies

  • Tight stops: $68K break invalidates

BEARISH/HEDGES:

1. Put Protection

  • SPY Feb 20 expiry puts (102K OI at key strike)

  • QQQ hedges if tech fails to follow through

  • VIX: Currently 17.36 - still elevated

2. Short High-Flyers Post-Earnings

  • Names that gapped but failed to hold (check intraday action)

  • Fade parabolic moves in low-quality names

3. Sector Rotation Shorts

  • Financials weakness continuation

  • Energy if oil doesn't follow Iran tensions

🚨 RISK MANAGEMENT NOTES

Major Risks for Wednesday:

⚠️ Geopolitical:

  • Iran situation escalation = immediate risk-off

  • Government shutdown = volatility spike

  • Unexpected China/Taiwan news

⚠️ Technical:

  • ES breaking below 6,970 triggers next leg down

  • BTC breaking $68K = crypto contagion risk

  • Volume expansion on sell-off = acceleration

⚠️ Macro:

  • Fed speakers turning more hawkish

  • Inflation data coming hotter than expected

  • Jobs data miss later this week

⚠️ Sentiment:

  • Extreme Fear in crypto could spread to equities

  • Consumer delinquencies rising (recession signal)

  • Student loan crisis intensifying

Position Sizing:

  • Standard: 25-30% per position max

  • High-Risk Setups: 15-20% max (crypto, geopolitical plays)

  • Core Holdings: 30-40% (quality software, homebuilders)

  • Cash: Keep 20-30% dry powder for volatility

📈 BULLISH MARKET SENTIMENT SUMMARY

Why Bulls Are In Control:

  • Earnings beats crushing estimates (DDOG, SPOT examples)

  • Fed staying on hold = stability

  • Sector rotation healthy (homebuilders, utilities leading)

  • Record trading volume = strong liquidity

  • Breadth improving (60/40 Nasdaq, 18/12 Dow)

  • Bankruptcies declining despite recession fears

  • Small-cap profits accelerating

  • Technical: Key support levels holding

🐻 BEARISH MARKET SENTIMENT SUMMARY

Why Bears Have Case:

  • Consumer debt delinquencies at decade highs

  • Student loans 16.3% delinquent (record)

  • Credit cards 12.7% delinquent

  • American optimism at record low (59.2%, lowest in 20 years)

  • Government shutdown 67.7% odds

  • Crypto extreme fear spreading

  • Iran war risk premium rising

  • Fed worried inflation stuck at 3%

  • Unsustainable fiscal path (Fed officials warning)

🎓 EDUCATION: UNDERSTANDING THE CURRENT MARKET

What Is Driving Markets Right Now?

1. AI Narrative Stabilization: After panic selling on fears AI agents would commoditize software, earnings from DDOG and others prove specialized platforms still essential. The "AI will replace everything" fear is morphing into "AI enhances everything" reality.

2. Rate Cut Expectations Shift: Market initially priced 5-6 cuts in 2024. Now at 0-1 cuts. But "higher for longer" is getting priced more accurately, which helps rate-sensitive sectors (homebuilders, REITs) find bottoms.

3. Geopolitical Risk Premium: Iran situation adding defense sector bid. If tensions ease = remove premium. If escalates = further upside in defense.

4. Crypto Capitulation: When Fear & Greed hits single digits (9/100), historically marks strong 1-3 month buying opportunity. Question is whether this time is different given macro headwinds.

5. Government Dysfunction: Shutdown risk, debt ceiling debates, political gridlock = uncertainty. Markets hate uncertainty. Resolution typically = relief rally.

🌟 FINAL TRADE PLAN FOR WEDNESDAY

Pre-Market (8:00 AM - 9:30 AM):

  • Monitor futures reaction to overnight news

  • Watch BTC $69K level closely

  • Check for any Fed speaker headlines

  • MU presentation prep and positioning

Market Open (9:30 AM - 10:30 AM):

  • First 30 min: Let volatility settle

  • Watch DDOG, SPOT follow-through or fade

  • Monitor defense stocks for geopolitical premium

  • Track homebuilder strength into opening hour

Mid-Day (10:30 AM - 2:00 PM):

  • Execute swing entries on confirmed trends

  • Scale into crypto if BTC holds $69K

  • Prepare for MU presentation (2:30pm)

Afternoon (2:00 PM - 4:00 PM):

  • 2:30 PM: MU presentation - key catalyst

  • Monitor for late-day institutional flows

  • Prepare overnight positions

  • Review Iran news headlines

After-Hours:

  • Check for any Wednesday evening earnings

  • Monitor crypto overnight action

  • Set alerts for BTC $68K/$72K levels

🎯 TOP 5 HIGH-CONVICTION TRADES

1. DATADOG (DDOG) Momentum Continuation ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Catalyst: Earnings beat, guidance raise, AI narrative shift

  • Risk/Reward: 1.5:1

2. Homebuilder ETF (XHB) Cup-and-Handle ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Catalyst: March rate cut speculation, Fed pause

  • Risk/Reward: 2:1

3. Bitcoin (BTC) Extreme Fear Bounce ⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Catalyst: 9/100 Fear Index, Bessent crypto legislation

  • Risk/Reward: 3:1

  • Warning: High volatility, size accordingly

4. Defense Sector (LMT, RTX) Iran Premium ⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Catalyst: Trump second carrier decision

  • Risk/Reward: 2:1

5. Micron (MU) Presentation Recovery ⭐⭐⭐⭐

  • Catalyst: Addressing AI chip concerns

  • Risk/Reward: 1.5:1

  • High Risk: Could go either way

🔔 KEY ALERTS TO SET

  • BTC: Alert at $68,000 (break = sell signal) and $72,000 (target hit)

  • ES Futures: 6,970 (support test) and 7,011 (resistance)

  • VIX: Above 20 = risk-off acceleration

  • DXY: Dollar strength = headwind for risk assets

  • MU: Set alert for 2:30pm presentation start

  • News: Iran carrier deployment announcement

  • News: Government shutdown deadline developments

💬 COMMUNITY MESSAGE

To Our DCG Trading Family:

This market is offering incredible opportunities for those who stay disciplined. The extreme fear in crypto at 9/100 doesn't happen often - historically these are the setups that define yearly P&L.

The geopolitical situation demands respect - don't chase defense stocks into news, let them come to you. The homebuilder setup is textbook - cup-and-handle with fundamental tailwinds.

And remember what Adam Mancini said: "As warned, there is nothing to do now. Just hold runner." Don't overtrade the chop. Wait for your pitch.

We're traders, not gamblers. Every position needs a stop. Every trade needs a catalyst. Every risk needs sizing.

Wednesday could be volatile with the Iran situation developing. Protect your capital first, opportunities second.

Let's execute with precision.

Join the conversation and daily trading insights at aitradingskool.com 🎓

📊 QUICK REFERENCE: WEDNESDAY WATCH LIST

Longs:

  • DDOG, SPOT, ESTC, SUMO (software bounce)

  • XHB, DHI, LEN, TOL (homebuilders)

  • LMT, RTX, NOC (defense)

  • BTC, MSTR, COIN (crypto bounce)

  • MU (presentation play)

  • MAR, airlines (travel)

Shorts/Hedges:

  • SPY/QQQ puts for protection

  • Financials (KRE weakness)

  • Parabolic faders post-earnings

Watch Only:

  • NVDA (awaiting earnings 2/25)

  • TSLA (Semi news digesting)

  • ORCL (recovery continuation?

⚡ FINAL WORD

Market Character: Choppy consolidation with explosive sector rotations. Software finding legs again. Homebuilders breaking out. Crypto in capitulation. Geopolitics heating up. Fed on pause. Earnings beats matter.

Trading Edge: Focus on momentum continuation in proven winners (DDOG, SPOT sympathy), contrarian setups in extreme fear (BTC), and catalyst-driven plays (defense on Iran, homebuilders on rate cuts).

Risk: Don't let FOMO override discipline. The best trades come to you - don't chase.

Wednesday Tone: Cautiously optimistic with selective aggression. 60% bullish, 40% defensive.

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and position sizing.

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