🚨 PRECIOUS METALS EXPLODE TO RECORDS AS TRUMP SHAKES FED FOUNDATIONS 🚨

DCG Command Center After Hours Trading NewsletterTuesday, December 23, 2025 - Christmas Eve Trading Session Preview

Author

Shy Unabia
December 23, 2025

⚡ KEY THINGS TO KNOW HEADING INTO DECEMBER 24, 2025

Market Snapshot: S&P 500 kissed 6,900 after blowout GDP print while silver screams to $71/oz in historic breakout. Trump demands Fed loyalty as precious metals steal the spotlight from tech giants.

Critical Overnight Developments:

  • 📈 Silver hits ALL-TIME HIGH $71.06/oz (+150% YTD) - Extreme momentum

  • 🥇 Gold surges past $4,475/oz - New record amid geopolitical tensions

  • 💰 SPY closed $684.83 (+0.63%) - Santa rally pushing toward 6,900 resistance

  • 🎯 NVDA rebounds to $188.14 (+2.3%) on China H200 chip export news

  • ⚠️ Bitcoin struggles at $87,500 (-1.16%) despite $28B options expiry ahead

  • 🏛️ Trump: "Anyone who disagrees with me will NEVER be Fed Chairman"

  • 📊 GDP crushes at 4.3% annualized - Strongest growth in 2 years

  • 😰 Consumer Confidence drops to 89.1 vs 91.0 expected - Lowest since April

🎯 PHASE 0: PRICE VERIFICATION COMPLETE

Verified Closing Prices (Dec 22-23, 2025):

  • SPY: $684.83 (verified via multiple sources)

  • NVDA: $188.14 (verified - Robinhood real-time)

  • GOOGL: $309.78 close / $311.60 current (verified)

  • Silver (XAG/USD): $70.41-$71.06 range (record high verified)

  • Gold: $4,475/oz (verified - CBS News, Trading Economics)

  • Bitcoin: $87,500-$88,000 range (verified - CoinDesk, multiple sources)

  • QQQ: $620+ (breaking call wall per Discord)

  • Platinum: $2,242.75/oz (record high verified)

🔥 BREAKING: WHITE HOUSE IMPACT ON MARKETS

Trump Administration Bombshells Rock Wall Street

President Trump's Truth Social Statements (Dec 23, 2025):

  1. Fed Independence Under Fire:

    • "Anybody that disagrees with me will NEVER be Fed Chairman"

    • "I want my new Fed chairman to lower interest rates if market is doing well"

    • "Inflation will take care of itself, or we can raise rates"

    • Market Impact: Signals potential 2026 Fed Chair replacement, dovish policy ahead

  2. Treasury Secretary Bessent Proposes Inflation Target Change:

    • Suggests Fed revise 2% target to 1.5%-2.5% or 1%-3% range

    • Acknowledges "Americans are under significant pressure due to high prices"

    • Trading Implication: More flexible monetary policy = bullish for risk assets

  3. WH Adviser Hassett's Economic Outlook:

    • "GDP figure a great Christmas present for American people"

    • "AI productivity boom evident in US economic data"

    • "Fed is way behind curve on rate cuts"

    • Projects 100k-150k monthly job gains if GDP stays at 4% range

    • Trump housing plan announcement coming in new year

  4. Student Loan Garnishment:

    • Administration to start seizing defaulted borrower pay in January

    • Sector Impact: Bullish for $SLM (Sallie Mae)

💎 HOTTEST SECTORS & MONEY ROTATION ANALYSIS

🥇 SECTOR LEADERSHIP: PRECIOUS METALS DOMINATION

Silver - The Star of 2025:

  • Current Price: $70.41-$71.06/oz

  • YTD Performance: +140-150% (historic run)

  • 9 consecutive daily gains - longest streak in 2+ years

  • Record inflows into silver ETFs from institutional/retail

Key Catalysts:

  • Supply squeeze in London market (expected to persist through 2026)

  • Industrial demand: Solar, EVs, data centers

  • Safe-haven flows amid Venezuela tensions

  • Fed rate cut expectations (2 cuts priced for 2026)

  • Weaker USD supporting dollar-priced metals

Trading Plays:

  • $SLV (iShares Silver Trust): Breakout above $40, target $45 (+12%)

  • $SLVP (iShares Silver Miners): Unusual $1.2M ITM call sweep (1375 May $28 calls at $9.40)

  • $EXK (Endeavour Silver): High-beta miner, trade momentum with $9.50-$10.50 range

  • $HYMC, $GOLD: Secondary plays on silver/gold surge

Platinum Also Exploding:

  • $2,242.75/oz - Record high since June 2008

  • +32% in 9 sessions, +142% YTD

  • Supply-driven squeeze, China demand, futures launch in Guangzhou

🖥️ TECHNOLOGY SECTOR: MEGA-CAP ROTATION

Big Daddy Stocks Leading (Per Discord Traders):

NVIDIA ($NVDA) - Current: $188.14

  • Entry Zone: $185-$187 (current consolidation)

  • Target 1: $195 (+3.6%)

  • Target 2: $200 (+6.3%)

  • Catalyst: China H200 chip export approvals (5k-10k modules = 40k-80k chips)

  • Options Flow: 50K March call rolls, 10K Jan $187 short puts holding

  • Analyst Targets: Truist $275, Tigress $350, Morgan Stanley $250

Alphabet ($GOOGL) - Current: $309.78

  • Entry Zone: $305-$308 (support at $305.75)

  • Breakout Level: $312+ triggers continuation

  • Target: $328.83 (recent high, +6.1%)

  • Catalyst: Intersect acquisition ($4.75B) for AI data center power

  • Note: Gemini 3 AI winning against competitors, "won 2025 AI model race"

Amazon ($AMZN) - Breakout Watch:

  • Buffett buying signal driving institutional interest

  • Monitor for breakout confirmation above recent resistance

  • Tech rotation beneficiary into year-end

📉 BEARISH/WEAK SECTORS

Per Discord Trader Analysis (MIGHTYMO):

  • ❌ Quantum Computing

  • ❌ Homebuilders

  • ❌ Semiconductors (except NVDA)

  • ❌ Casinos

  • ❌ China stocks

  • ❌ Application Software

  • ❌ Airlines/Hotels

  • ❌ Tankers/Oil/Gas

  • ❌ Lithium

  • ❌ Solar

  • ❌ Consumer Staples (XLP)

  • ❌ Auto Parts/Manufacturing

  • ❌ Beauty

💰 KEY CATALYST TRADES FOR DECEMBER 24, 2025

HIGH-CONVICTION BULLISH SETUPS

1. Silver Momentum Trade

  • Ticker: $SLV

  • Current: ~$40

  • Entry: Market open (momentum already established)

  • Target 1: $42 (+5%)

  • Target 2: $45 (+12.5%)

  • Stop: $38 (-5%)

  • Catalyst: Record highs, supply squeeze, institutional inflows

  • Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (9/10)

2. NVDA China Export Play

  • Ticker: $NVDA

  • Current: $188.14

  • Entry Zone: $185-$190

  • Target 1: $195 (+3.6%)

  • Target 2: $205 (+9%)

  • Stop: $182 (-3.3%)

  • Catalyst: H200 chip exports to China early 2026

  • Options: March $195 calls, Jan $187 support

  • Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8.5/10)

3. Gold Miners Sympathy

  • Tickers: $GLD, $GDX, $GOLD

  • Current Gold: $4,475/oz

  • Target: $4,600-$4,700 (+2.8-5%)

  • Catalyst: Record highs, geopolitical tensions, weak USD

  • Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10)

4. Financial Sector Breakouts

  • Tickers: $XLF, $JPM, $C, $BAC

  • Catalyst: Record highs amid strong GDP, rate cut expectations

  • $JPM, $C, $BAC: All hitting 52-week highs

  • Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7.5/10)

5. SPY/QQQ Year-End Rally

  • $SPY: $684.83, targeting $690-$695 (+0.8-1.5%)

  • $QQQ: Breaking $620 call wall, next resistance $630

  • Catalyst: CES conference Jan, seasonal Santa rally, low VIX (14.08)

  • Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10)

OPTIONS FLOW HIGHLIGHTS

Bullish Unusual Activity:

  • $SLVP: $1.2M ITM call buyer (1375 May $28 calls at $9.40)

  • $QQQ: $3.1M ITM call (per Cheddar Flow)

  • $SPY: $2.6B call wall @ $690 strike

  • $C, $JPM, $CG: Multiple call activity per Discord

Bearish/Hedging:

  • $QQQ/$SPY: Net put premium $46.2M vs call $38.6M (Dec 23 open)

  • $APP: $1.4M in-the-money put buyer

  • $TSLA: $300M gamma at $500 strike (thick call wall)

📊 S&P FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS

Current: ~6,925 Overnight Range: 6,913-6,948

Support Levels:

  • 6,925 - Critical pivot (held multiple times per Adam Mancini)

  • 6,900 - Psychological support

  • 6,875 - Strong support zone

Resistance Levels:

  • 6,950 - Immediate resistance

  • 6,963 - Bonus target from failed breakdown

  • 6,973 - Extended target

  • 7,000 - JPM collar strike (Dec 31), 7 delta growing

Technical Analysis:

  • Failed breakdown pattern from 6,925 played perfectly

  • Targets 6,930, 6,934, 6,942 all hit

  • Holiday rally working since Wednesday

  • Low volatility (VIX 14.08) = beach ball under water effect

🪙 BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT BREAKDOWN

Market Snapshot:

  • Bitcoin: $87,500-$88,000

  • 24hr Change: -1.16% to -0.62% (depending on source)

  • Market Cap: $3.07-$3.09 trillion

  • Sentiment: Crypto Fear & Greed Index = 24/100 (EXTREME FEAR)

Key Developments:

1. $28 Billion Options Expiry (Dec 26):

  • $23.6B Bitcoin options + $3.8B Ethereum

  • Largest expiry in exchange history

  • Price pinned until hedging pressure fades post-expiry

  • Expect volatility spike after Dec 26

2. ETF Flows Turning Negative:

  • Net outflow $142.2M (Dec 22) despite BlackRock IBIT positive

  • Signals weakening institutional demand

  • Removes key marginal buyer

3. MicroStrategy Pauses Buying:

  • No BTC purchases week of Dec 15-21

  • Holds 671,268 BTC (avg cost $74,972)

  • Raised $747.8M from stock sales

  • Significance: Removes visible corporate demand stream

4. Technical Setup:

  • Resistance: $90,000 (rejected multiple times)

  • Support: $87,000-$85,000

  • Range-bound: Holiday liquidity, "wait and see" mode

  • Q4 Performance: Down 22%+ (worst since 2018)

Altcoin Performance (24hr):

  • ETH: $2,993 (-1.02%)

  • SOL: $125.53 (-0.22%)

  • XRP: $1.89 (-1.66%)

  • DOGE: $0.13 (-0.11%)

Bullish Catalyst:

  • US Crypto Czar David Sacks: "The Golden Age is here"

  • JPMorgan exploring crypto trading for institutional clients

  • Coinbase enables SOL deposits/withdrawals via Base network

Bearish Factors:

  • 24hr liquidations: $222M (+11%)

  • Open interest: $129B (leverage rebuilding)

  • Holiday thin liquidity

Trade Setup:

  • Wait for: Post-Dec 26 options expiry clarity

  • Buy Zone: $85,000-$87,000 (if holds)

  • Sell Zone: $90,000-$92,000 (resistance)

  • Trade Rating: ⭐⭐ (5/10) - Wait for better setup

🏛️ TRUMP MOMENTUM TRADES

Direct Trump Impact Stocks:

1. Defense/Navy Contractors:

  • $HII (Huntington Ingalls): Navy contract strengthens backlog

  • Trump announces new "Trump class" Navy ships

  • Trade Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10)

2. Drone/Defense Tech:

  • $RCAT, $ONDS, $DPRO, $AVAV, $UMAC

  • FCC drone ban = huge TAM expansion for US companies

  • Needham: "Dramatically expands addressable market"

  • $UMAC: High momentum day per Discord (+8% intraday)

3. Student Loan Servicers:

  • $SLM (Sallie Mae): Garnishment news bullish

  • Administration to seize defaulted borrower pay (January)

4. Housing Plays (Upcoming):

  • Trump housing plan announcement "sometime in new year"

  • Wait for details before positioning

📈 ECONOMIC DATA IMPACT

Today's Key Reports:

US GDP (Q3 2025 - Final):

  • Actual: 4.3% annualized (vs 3.1% expected)

  • Impact: Strongest growth in 2 years

  • Market Reaction: Equity futures pressured initially, then rallied

  • Fed Implications: Reduces urgency for early 2026 rate cuts

  • Hassett: "Great Christmas present for American people"

Consumer Confidence (December):

  • Actual: 89.1

  • Expected: 91.0

  • Previous: 92.9 (revised from 88.7)

  • Impact: LOWEST since April 2025

  • Labor Differential: Declined to 5.9 (lowest since Feb 2021)

  • Jobs Plentiful: 26.7% (-2.5pp)

  • Jobs Hard to Get: 20.8% (+0.7pp)

  • Hassett: "Consumer sentiment pretty uncorrelated with hard economic numbers"

Other Data:

  • Baker Hughes Rig Count: Total 545 (prev 542), Oil 409 (prev 406)

  • Treasury Auctions: 5-yr note $70B (yield 3.747%, tail 0.1bp)

🔮 MARKET OUTLOOK & STRATEGY

Bull Case Momentum:

The Kobeissi Letter's 6-Point Bull Thesis:

  1. ✅ US GDP growth strongest pace since 2023

  2. ✅ CPI inflation fell to 2.7% (unexpected)

  3. ✅ Trump appointing new Fed Chair who will cut rates

  4. ✅ Oil prices down to lowest since 2021

  5. ✅ Equity ETFs attracted record $1.4T in 2025

  6. ✅ Mag 7 AI investment now above $600B/year

Question: "How can you fight this momentum?"

Bear Case Concerns:

Valuation & Technical Risks:

  • SPX near all-time highs with weak breadth (per multiple traders)

  • Consumer confidence declining despite strong GDP

  • International breadth strong, US breadth weak

  • Curve flattening (30yr down to 4.827%)

  • Apollo cutting risk, stockpiling cash for "market turmoil"

Crypto Weakness:

  • Bitcoin worst Q4 since 2018

  • 30% below 2025 peak

  • ETF outflows accelerating

  • Extreme fear sentiment

🎄 SEASONALITY & YEAR-END PATTERNS

Santa Rally Watch:

  • SPY/QQQ grinding higher into Christmas

  • VIX soft at 14.08 (-5.57%)

  • Low volume holiday week = hard to sustain selling

  • "Beach ball under water effect" per Discord traders

CES Conference (Early January):

  • Annual tech catalyst

  • Themes: On-device AI, gaming hardware, mobility

  • Historical bullish for $AAPL, $NVDA, $GOOGL, $QQQ

Post-Holiday Volatility:

  • Dec 26: $28B crypto options expiry (expect volatility spike)

  • Dec 31: $7,000 SPX collar strike (JPM) in play

  • Early Jan: Typical institutional rebalancing

TIER 1 - HIGHEST CONVICTION:

1. Silver Long ($SLV)

  • Entry: Market / $39.50-$40.50

  • Target 1: $42 (+5%)

  • Target 2: $45 (+12.5%)

  • Stop Loss: $38 (-5%)

  • Position Size: 2-3% of portfolio

  • Time Horizon: 1-2 weeks

  • Confidence: 9/10

2. NVDA Call Spread

  • Buy: Jan $185 calls

  • Sell: Jan $195 calls

  • Max Profit: $10 spread

  • Entry: $4-$5 debit

  • Risk/Reward: 1:2

  • Confidence: 8.5/10

TIER 2 - STRONG SETUPS:

3. SPY Bull Call Spread

  • Buy: Dec 31 $685 calls

  • Sell: Dec 31 $695 calls

  • Target: Year-end rally to 6,950

  • Confidence: 8/10

4. Gold Miners ($GDX)

  • Entry: Market

  • Target: +5-8% over 1-2 weeks

  • Stop: -4%

  • Confidence: 8/10

5. GOOGL Breakout

  • Entry: $312+ breakout

  • Target: $328 (recent high)

  • Stop: $305

  • Confidence: 7.5/10

TIER 3 - SPECULATIVE:

6. Bitcoin Post-Expiry Long

  • Wait For: Dec 26 options expiry

  • Entry: $85,000-$87,000 (if holds)

  • Target: $95,000-$100,000

  • Stop: $82,000

  • Confidence: 6/10 (timing dependent)

⚠️ RISKS & HEDGES

Key Risks:

  1. Weak breadth despite index highs

  2. Consumer confidence declining (disconnect from GDP)

  3. Crypto weakness could spill into risk assets

  4. Precious metals overextended short-term (due for pullback)

  5. Holiday liquidity = potential flash moves

Hedge Recommendations:

  • VIX calls (Dec 31, Jan) - cheap insurance

  • SPY put spreads (Dec 31 $675/$665) - defined risk

  • Take profits on 5%+ gains aggressively

  • Mental stops vs hard stops (per MIGHTYMO strategy)

🎯 DCG MASTERMIND GUIDANCE

Key Takeaways from Trading Floor:

MIGHTYMO's Intraday Strategy:

  • Playing Big Daddy stocks ($NVDA, $AMZN, $GOOGL) with mental stops

  • Recorded 9 stocks over 8% at 10am window for EOD analysis

  • Taking profits at 5% gains (don't let winners become losers)

  • "Find leaders in strongest sector/groupings, ride them"

Jason (@3PeaksTrading) Technical Levels:

  • $SPX Dec 31 call butterflies printing (suggested last week)

  • $7,000 strike becoming magnet (77K OI, rising delta)

  • Option volumes 75% of normal, expect further drying up post-London close

  • Captain Condor getting run over above 6,900

Adam Mancini's Failed Breakdown Setup:

  • Perfect execution from 6,925 pivot

  • All targets hit (6,930, 6,934, 6,942, 6,948)

  • "Just let runners work" - holding for 6,963, 6,973

The Long Investor:

  • Precious metals rotation = final stage of bull market

  • Smart money ahead of sell-off

  • Palladium consolidated 7 weeks on 200 WMA, jumped +35% on macro catalysts

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🎁 CHRISTMAS EVE TRADING TIPS

Expected Market Conditions (Dec 24):

  • Extremely thin volume (holiday trading)

  • Early close 1:00 PM ET

  • Many institutional desks closed

  • Higher volatility risk on low liquidity

  • Avoid large position sizes

Best Practices:

  1. Trade smaller sizes (50% of normal)

  2. Wider stops (account for thin liquidity)

  3. Focus on liquid names (SPY, QQQ, mega caps)

  4. Take profits early (reduced trading hours)

  5. Avoid earnings plays or binary events

  6. Monitor overnight gaps more closely

📊 FINAL MARKET SUMMARY

What Worked Monday (Dec 23):

✅ Precious metals (silver, gold, platinum)

✅ Mega-cap tech (NVDA, GOOGL)

✅ Financials (JPM, C, BAC)

✅ Defense/Navy (HII)

✅ US drone companies (RCAT, ONDS)

What Didn't Work:

❌ Crypto (BTC, ETH, altcoins)

❌ Semiconductors (except NVDA)

❌ China stocks

❌ Small caps (relative weakness)

❌ Consumer discretionary

Tuesday Setup:

🎯 Bullish Bias: Precious metals, mega-cap tech, financials

⚠️ Caution: Low volume, early close, overbought metals

🔍 Watch: Post-Dec 26 crypto volatility setup

📌 KEY TAKEAWAYS

  1. Precious metals in historic bull run - Silver +150% YTD, gold at records

  2. Trump reshaping Fed expectations - Dovish pivot likely in 2026

  3. Strong GDP (4.3%) vs weak consumer sentiment (89.1) - Disconnect to watch

  4. Mega-cap tech leading - NVDA, GOOGL catalysts driving rotation

  5. Crypto in extreme fear - Wait for Dec 26 options expiry for clarity

  6. Santa rally intact but thin volume requires caution

  7. CES conference in January = potential next tech catalyst

🚀 TOMORROW'S FOCUS

Christmas Eve Trading Checklist:

  • [ ] Monitor precious metals for profit-taking opportunities

  • [ ] Watch NVDA for China export news developments

  • [ ] Track SPY/QQQ into 1 PM early close

  • [ ] Position for post-holiday moves (Dec 26-31)

  • [ ] Review and adjust portfolio risk for year-end

  • [ ] Set alerts for key levels (SPY $690, NVDA $195)

Remember: Markets closed Wednesday (Christmas Day). Plan accordingly for gap risk and reduced liquidity Tuesday.

⚖️ DISCLAIMER

This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The DCG Command Center community consists of real traders sharing real-time insights, not promises of guaranteed returns.

📧 Questions? Join our community at aitradingskool.com

🎄 Merry Christmas & Happy Trading! 🎄

— The DCG Command Center Team

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