🔥 ALPHABET SURGES TO ALL-TIME HIGHS AS AI CHIP RIVALRY SHAKES UP TECH SECTOR - MASSIVE FED RATE CUT ODDS SPARK PRE-THANKSGIVING RALLY 🚀

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⚡ KEY THINGS TO KNOW BEFORE THE BELL - NOVEMBER 26, 2025

MARKET SENTIMENT: 🟢 BULLISH - S&P 500 futures +0.36%, Nasdaq 100 futures +0.47%, Dow futures +0.25%

WHAT'S DRIVING MARKETS:

• Stocks are advancing with weak US consumer data and the emergence of a pro-rate-cut official as the potential head of the Federal Reserve pushing markets to price in an almost-certain reduction in borrowing costs BloombergStockmarketwatch

• CME FedWatch currently shows an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December, up from 42.2% last week Nasdaq

• Alphabet closed at another all-time high of $323.46 for the 13th time in November, climbing more than 24% in the past month CNBCMacroTrends

• NVDA closed at $177.82, down 2.59%, extending its monthly decline to approximately 15% StockAnalysis

• Vice President JD Vance will visit Fort Campbell on Wednesday, November 26, 2025, to celebrate Thanksgiving with servicemembers Roll Call

BREAKING CATALYST: Meta Platforms plans to spend billions installing Google's custom TPUs in its data centers starting in 2027, sending Alphabet to fresh 52-week highs while pressuring Nvidia TS2TS2

📊 S&P FUTURES ($ES) KEY LEVELS

Current Price: 6,796.50 (Pre-market) Critical Support: 6,710 (H4 short breakout level) Resistance Zones: 6,800-6,805 | 6,818 | 6,830 Key Pivot: 6,785 - holding this level keeps bulls in control

Technical Setup: The S&P 500 gained 0.9% to finish at 6,765.88, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing up 664.18 points or 1.43% at 47,112.45 CNBC

🎯 HOT TRADES & KEY CATALYSTS FOR NOVEMBER 26, 2025

💎 TIER 1 - HIGHEST CONVICTION PLAYS

1. ALPHABET INC (GOOGL) - STRONG BUY ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

• Last Close: $323.46 (+1.08%)

• Entry Zone: $320-$325

• Targets: T1: $330 (+2.0%) | T2: $345 (+6.6%)

• Stop Loss: $310

• Catalyst: Meta Platforms may rent and later buy Google's AI TPUs in a multi-billion-dollar deal, while Gemini 3 launch and integration has helped Alphabet outpace Magnificent Seven peers TS2

• Trade Rating: 9.5/10 - MOMENTUM BEAST

• Why Now: RSI above 79 signals extreme strength, 13 all-time highs in November, institutional accumulation accelerating

2. DELL TECHNOLOGIES (DELL) - BUY ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

• After-Hours Price: $138.58 (+5% AH move)

• Entry Zone: $135-$140

• Targets: T1: $150 (+8.3%) | T2: $165 (+19.2%)

• Stop Loss: $125

• Catalyst: Dell raised AI server shipment expectations to $25 billion from $20 billion and raised full-year revenue guidance to $111.7 billion from $107 billion, while forecasting Q4 sales of $31.5 billion versus $27.59 billion estimated CNBC

• Trade Rating: 9/10 - EARNINGS EXPLOSION

• Why Now: Massive guidance beat, AI infrastructure demand accelerating, analysts upgrading targets post-earnings

3. URBAN OUTFITTERS (URBN) - STRONG BUY ⭐⭐⭐⭐

• Pre-Market: $68.31 (+15% pre-market)

• Entry Zone: Pull backs to $66-$68

• Targets: T1: $74 (+8.3%) | T2: $80 (+17%)

• Stop Loss: $63

• Catalyst: Urban Outfitters posted earnings of $1.28 per share on $1.53 billion in revenue, beating analyst expectations of $1.20 per share and $1.47 billion in revenue, with record revenues, profits, and earnings per share CNBC

• Trade Rating: 8.5/10 - RETAIL BREAKOUT

• Why Now: Record quarter, consumer discretionary sector up 2.1%, strong digital and retail store sales

💰 TIER 2 - STRONG OPPORTUNITIES

4. SYMBOTIC INC (SYM) - BUY⭐⭐⭐⭐

• Last Move: +39.4% (Tuesday)

• Current: Watch for consolidation

• Entry Zone: Pullbacks to $45-$48

• Targets: T1: $55 (+15%) | T2: $62 (+29%)

• Stop Loss: $42

• Catalyst: Symbotic soared 39.4% after reporting fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings that significantly beat analyst consensus Stockmarketwatch

• Trade Rating: 8/10 - AUTOMATION SURGE

5. AUTODESK INC (ADSK) - BUY ⭐⭐⭐⭐

• After-Hours: $294.43 (+20 AH)

• Entry Zone: $290-$295

• Targets: T1: $310 (+5.3%) | T2: $325 (+10.5%)

• Stop Loss: $280

• Catalyst: Reports Q3 earnings of $2.67 per share, $0.17 better than consensus, with revenues rising 18% to $1.85 billion versus $1.81 billion consensus, while guiding Q4 above consensus

• Trade Rating: 7.5/10 - SOFTWARE STRENGTH

⚠️ STOCKS TO AVOID / SHORT OPPORTUNITIES

NVIDIA (NVDA) - NEAR-TERM CAUTION ❌

• Last Close: $177.82 (-2.59%)

• Concern: Chinese regulators blocked ByteDance from using Nvidia chips in new data centers White House, plus stock has fallen about 15% month to date, marking worst month since September 2022 StockAnalysis

• Trade Setup: Wait for stabilization above $185 or short bounces to $182-$185 with tight stops

WORKDAY (WDAY) - PROFIT TAKING ⚠️

• Last Close: $233.69 (-14 AH)

• Issue: Despite beating with Q3 earnings of $2.32 per share ($0.15 better than consensus) and 12.6% revenue growth, stock facing profit-taking after strong run

• Action: Sidelines until finds support

🌐 BITCOIN & CRYPTO SENTIMENT BREAKDOWN

BITCOIN (BTC) - MIXED/CONSOLIDATION

• Current Price: ~$86,880-$87,000

• 24H Change: -0.5%

• Key Levels: Support: $85,000-$86,000 | Resistance: $90,000-$92,000

Market Dynamics: Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize around $87,000 after a 30% drawdown from early-October all-time highs near $126,000, with the market caught between Fed-driven relief, oversold technicals and a massive $13.3 billion options expiry this week TS2TS2

Institutional Flow: ETF flows flipped modestly positive with about $129 million in net inflows on November 25, led by Fidelity's FBTC with approximately $170.8 million of fresh capital, though the average cost basis for ETF investors has clustered around $89,600 TS2

Outlook: Neutral-to-cautious. Watch $86K level closely - break below opens path to low $80Ks. Sustained move above $90K could trigger short squeeze.

Top Altcoins:

• ETH: $2,903 (-0.40% 24h) - Following BTC's consolidation pattern

• SOL: $135.73 (-0.43%) - Holding key support

• XRP: $2.15 (-0.93%) - Regulatory clarity helping relative strength

Crypto Sector Sentiment: 48.84 (Overs old) - Market in distribution mode but institutional buying preventing collapse

🏛️ WHITE HOUSE & POLITICAL IMPACT

Key Developments: President Trump's administration has released messaging emphasizing "More Relief on the Way as Economic Wins Bring Savings to Gas Pump, Thanksgiving Table" as millions of American families prepare for the holiday Roll Call

National Thanksgiving Turkey Pardoning Ceremony scheduled for Tuesday, November 25, 2025, with turkeys named "Gobble" and "Waddle" Roll Call

Market Impact: Neutral - Holiday-focused messaging, no major policy announcements impacting markets immediately

Trump Momentum Trades: Focus remains on:

• Defense contractors on strong military support

• Energy sector benefiting from domestic production policies

• Financial sector anticipating deregulation

📈 BULLISH SECTORS - MONEY ROTATION ANALYSIS

🔥 HOTTEST SECTORS NOW:

1. HEALTH CARE (+2.26%) 🟢🟢🟢

   • Leading sector performance

   • Key Plays: Healthcare Select Sector SPDR (XLV)

2. CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (+2.14%) 🟢🟢🟢

   • Breakout Stars: URBN, TJX, ROST all hitting highs

   • Retail strength ahead of holiday season

3. MATERIALS (+1.48%) 🟢🟢

   • Copper ripping near $5.20/lb, nearing highest since July

   • Industrial metals benefiting from infrastructure demand

4. CONSUMER STAPLES (+1.38%) 🟢🟢

   • Defensive positioning with growth

5. INDUSTRIALS (+1.28%) 🟢

   • Standout: CAT +56% YTD, best Dow stock

📉 BEARISH SECTORS TO AVOID

1. UTILITIES (-0.38%) 🔴

   • Rate sensitivity weighing on sector

2. ENERGY (-0.63%) 🔴🔴

   • WTI shooting for its lowest weekly settle since early 2021, now down 20% YTD

   • Oversupply concerns dominating

💼 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS & POST-MARKET MOVERS

Tuesday After-Hours Winners:

• DELL: +5% - AI server guidance explosion

• ADSK: +20 - Strong software demand

• URBN: +15% premarket - Record retail quarter

Tuesday After-Hours Losers:

• WDAY: -14 - Profit-taking despite beat

• HPQ: -4-5% - Layoff announcements offset beat

📅 UPCOMING ECONOMIC CATALYSTS - NOVEMBER 26, 2025

8:30 AM EST:

• Initial Jobless Claims (Key Fed indicator)

• Durable Goods Orders (September)

9:45-10:00 AM EST:

• Chicago PMI (November)

• Personal Spending data

2:00 PM EST:

• FED BEIGE BOOK - Critical for December rate decision

Market Closes Early Friday (1:00 PM ET) for Thanksgiving

🎯 DCG COMMAND CENTER GAME PLAN - NOVEMBER 26, 2025

PRE-MARKET STRATEGY (7:00-9:30 AM EST):

1. Watch GOOGL momentum - Any pullback to $320-322 is buyable for continuation

2. DELL follow-through - If holds $136+, targets $150-165 activated

3. Monitor ES futures at 6,800 - Break above confirms next leg higher

4. BTC correlation - Watch for any $90K breakthrough on crypto

MARKET OPEN STRATEGY (9:30-10:30 AM EST):

1. First 30 min: Let URBN, DELL, ADSK establish ranges after big moves

2. Jobless Claims reaction (8:30 AM) - Weaker data = more Fed cut odds = bullish

3. Sector rotation: Healthcare/Consumer Discretionary leading - follow the flow

4. Avoid: NVDA unless clear reversal above $185

MID-DAY STRATEGY (10:30 AM-2:00 PM EST):

1. Chicago PMI (10:00 AM) - Softer = more easing expectations

2. Beige Book (2:00 PM) - Most important data point of the day

3. Pre-holiday positioning - Expect lighter volume, trend-following moves

POWER HOUR & CLOSE (3:00-4:00 PM EST):

1. Month-end positioning - Last full trading day before holiday

2. Profit-taking likely on big winners (GOOGL, DELL, URBN)

3. Set alerts for overnight holds given Thursday market closure

🚀 TOP 5 HIGH-CONVICTION TRADES FOR TOMORROW

RANK 1: ALPHABET (GOOGL) - AI chip dominance story just beginning RANK 2: DELL (DELL) - $25B AI server guidance is game-changer
RANK 3: URBAN OUTFITTERS (URBN) - Retail momentum into holidays RANK 4: GOLD (GLD/GC futures) - Deutsche Bank raised 2026 gold forecast to $4,450/oz from $4,000, with prices likely ranging between $3,950 and $4,950 RANK 5: SYMBOTIC (SYM) - Automation theme catching fire

💡 MASTER TRADER INSIGHTS FROM THE COMMUNITY

Key Takeaways from Discord/Twitter Flow:

Mike Zaccardi notes: "84% chance of Fed cut at Kalshi, gold up, bitcoin down, copper ripping near $5.20/lb"

Ryan Detrick observed: "Nvidia fell more than 2.5% yesterday, but the S&P 500 added 0.9%. Best day for S&P 500 under that scenario since 7/1/22" - This is HEALTHY market breadth!

Palmer's Morning Take: "Great start with Campbells ($CPB) overpaid execs admitting their soup is trash" - Consumer staples facing honest reckoning

Adam Mancini's Levels: ES loves to tag targets in last half hour - 6780-85 hit as Day 2 of Thanksgiving Rally wraps up, holding runner for Day 3 with 6800-05, 6818, 6824 next

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📊 MARKET BREADTH & INTERNALS

Tuesday's Action:

• Advancers outnumbered decliners on NYSE by 4.05-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.59-to-1 ratio favored advancing issues Nasdaq

• 16.68 billion shares traded, lower than last 20-session average of 19.78 billion Nasdaq

• Fear gauge CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) down 9.6% to 18.56 Nasdaq

New Highs/Lows: 34 stocks in S&P 500 traded at new 52-week highs Tuesday, including Alphabet, General Motors, Las Vegas Sands, Ralph Lauren, Ross Stores, TJX Companies, Johnson & Johnson, Eli Lilly, and Apple CNBC

⚡ FINAL TAKEAWAY

The market is sending a CLEAR MESSAGE: The AI trade is ROTATING, not dying. While NVDA consolidates after its monster run, GOOGL is emerging as the new AI infrastructure leader with its TPU technology. The 85% odds of a December Fed cut are providing the perfect backdrop for this leadership change.

Wednesday's trade is about:

1. Riding the GOOGL momentum

2. Playing the DELL AI server boom

3. Catching retail strength (URBN)

4. Respecting the 6,800 level on ES futures

5. Staying cautious on NVDA until it reclaims $185

This is a trader's market - not an investor's hold. Take profits, respect stops, and remember: markets are closed Thursday. Don't get caught in illiquid moves.

Trade smart. Trade safe. Trade DCG.

🙏 Disclaimer

This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. All trade ideas include risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade. DCG Command Center is not a registered investment advisor.

Sources: Market data verified from multiple sources including Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, Investing.com, White House press releases, and social media feeds as of November 26, 2025, 8:00 AM EST.

Price Verification Completed: All ticker prices verified from closing data November 25, 2025, and pre-market data November 26, 2025.

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